Monthly outlook for Watchtower, NY: average high 63.1°, average low 43.5°. That is 0.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (75.8°), the coolest 19 October (28.2°).
63.1°/43.5°
Average high / low
+0.9°
Above normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
8 October – 17 October
65.2°
62.5°
+1.5°
18 October – 27 October
59.6°
58.9°
+0.4°
28 October – 6 November
at normal
55.5°
—
October records over 66 years
85.8°2 October 2019All-time high
21.9°31 October 2011All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Shawangunk (0 mi).
Fri, 0969° / 46°0
69 °
Watchtower, Friday, 9 October
Clear. High 69°, low 46°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind11.7 mph W
Humidity44%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Sat, 1064° / 43°0
64 °
Watchtower, Saturday, 10 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 43°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind2.2 mph SE
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Sun, 1157° / 48°0.21
57 °
Watchtower, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 48°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind3.8 mph E
Humidity76%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Mon, 1268° / 53°0.06
68 °
Watchtower, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 68°, low 53°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind5 mph NE
Humidity84%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Tue, 1371° / 50°0.02
71 °
Watchtower, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 71°, low 50°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind11.4 mph W
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Wed, 1461° / 44°0
61 °
Watchtower, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 61°, low 44°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.4 mph NW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Thu, 1559° / 40°0
59 °
Watchtower, Thursday, 15 October
Partly cloudy. High 59°, low 40°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind7.8 mph SW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Fri, 1676° / 55°0.01
76 °
Watchtower, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 76°, low 55°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind8.7 mph W
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Sat, 1757° / 40°0
57 °
Watchtower, Saturday, 17 October
Partly cloudy. High 57°, low 40°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind15.2 mph NW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sun, 1848° / 33°0
48 °
Watchtower, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 48°, low 33°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind12.4 mph NW
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point15°
Mon, 1956° / 28°0
56 °
Watchtower, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 56°, low 28°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind6.9 mph W
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Tue, 2064° / 35°0
64 °
Watchtower, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 64°, low 35°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind4.3 mph W
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Wed, 2163° / 41°0
63 °
Watchtower, Wednesday, 21 October
Partly cloudy. High 63°, low 41°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind5.3 mph SE
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Thu, 2264° / 43°0
64 °
Watchtower, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 64°, low 43°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind9.8 mph SW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 2363° / 46°0
63 °
Watchtower, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 46°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6.9 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2458° / 43°0.18
58 °
Watchtower, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high76° (2001)
Record low28° (1969)
Sun, 2558° / 44°0.13
58 °
Watchtower, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high77° (1963)
Record low32° (1962)
Mon, 2657° / 43°0.16
57 °
Watchtower, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high79° (1963)
Record low32° (1997)
Tue, 2757° / 42°0.18
57 °
Watchtower, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high79° (1963)
Record low29° (1976)
Wed, 2857° / 42°0.22
57 °
Watchtower, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high77° (2023)
Record low27° (1976)
Thu, 2955° / 40°0.18
55 °
Watchtower, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high70° (1971)
Record low29° (1965)
Fri, 3055° / 40°0.12
55 °
Watchtower, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high77° (2024)
Record low29° (2022)
Sat, 3156° / 40°0.07
56 °
Watchtower, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high80° (2024)
Record low22° (2011)
Sun, 0157° / 42°0.11
57 °
Watchtower, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high76° (1974)
Record low30° (2011)
Mon, 0257° / 42°0.13
57 °
Watchtower, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high76° (1982)
Record low27° (2023)
Tue, 0356° / 41°0.12
56 °
Watchtower, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high74° (2003)
Record low29° (1980)
Wed, 0455° / 40°0.06
55 °
Watchtower, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high73° (1994)
Record low30° (1998)
Thu, 0554° / 40°0.15
54 °
Watchtower, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high75° (2022)
Record low28° (1965)
Fri, 0653° / 40°0.09
53 °
Watchtower, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high78° (2024)
Record low28° (1967)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Watchtower, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Watchtower, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.