Weather in El Refugio, TX
El Refugio, Thursday, 22 October, 15:48
Overcast. Feels like 87°. High 83°, low 71°.
Monthly outlook for El Refugio, TX: average high 84.3°, average low 71.9°. That is 0.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 26 October (89.4°), the coolest 2 November (65.3°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 October – 31 October | 84.4° | 84.3° | +0° |
| 1 November – 10 November | 84.1° | 81.7° | +1.3° |
| 11 November – 20 November | at normal | 78.5° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Garza-Salinas II (1 mi).
0
El Refugio, Friday, 23 October
Partly cloudy. High 88°, low 69°.
0.15
El Refugio, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 87°, low 71°.
0El Refugio, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 86°, low 75°.
0El Refugio, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 89°, low 71°.
0.02El Refugio, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 83°, low 72°.
0.01El Refugio, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 83°, low 70°.
0El Refugio, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 83°, low 72°.
0.1El Refugio, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 78°, low 73°.
0El Refugio, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 84°, low 72°.
0El Refugio, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 85°, low 73°.
0El Refugio, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 78°, low 65°.
0El Refugio, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 81°, low 72°.
0.05El Refugio, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 84°, low 75°.
0El Refugio, Thursday, 5 November
Partly cloudy. High 89°, low 74°.
0.02El Refugio, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 88°, low 75°.
0.07El Refugio, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03
El Refugio, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Refugio, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04El Refugio, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04El Refugio, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06El Refugio, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06El Refugio, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04El Refugio, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Refugio, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04El Refugio, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04El Refugio, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for El Refugio, TX are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in El Refugio, TX since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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