Monthly outlook for El Refugio, TX: average high 89.1°, average low 72.9°. That is 3.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.5 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 3 November (93.6°), the coolest 7 November (68.7°).
89.1°/72.9°
Average high / low
+3.5°
Above normal
3 / 2
Wet days / normal
0.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
25 October – 3 November
88.7°
83.4°
+2.9°
4 November – 13 November
89.7°
80.8°
+5°
14 November – 23 November
at normal
78.1°
—
October records over 66 years
103.3°4 October 2012All-time high
40.5°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Garza-Salinas II (1 mi).
Mon, 2688° / 70°0
88 °
El Refugio, Monday, 26 October
Mostly clear. High 88°, low 70°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind7.2 mph SE
Humidity36%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Tue, 2789° / 70°0
89 °
El Refugio, Tuesday, 27 October
Mostly clear. High 89°, low 70°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5.7 mph SE
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point65°
Wed, 2887° / 73°0.15
87 °
El Refugio, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 87°, low 73°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind7.6 mph SE
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point68°
Thu, 2983° / 73°0.1
83 °
El Refugio, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 83°, low 73°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind14.4 mph SE
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Fri, 3087° / 72°0
87 °
El Refugio, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 87°, low 72°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind14.5 mph SE
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point65°
Sat, 3188° / 74°0.02
88 °
El Refugio, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 88°, low 74°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind13.4 mph SE
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point68°
Sun, 0192° / 75°0
92 °
El Refugio, Sunday, 1 November
Mostly clear. High 92°, low 75°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind14.3 mph SE
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Mon, 0293° / 75°0
93 °
El Refugio, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 93°, low 75°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind16.7 mph SE
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Tue, 0394° / 75°0
94 °
El Refugio, Tuesday, 3 November
Mostly clear. High 94°, low 75°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind15.4 mph SE
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Wed, 0493° / 74°0
93 °
El Refugio, Wednesday, 4 November
Mostly clear. High 93°, low 74°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind15.3 mph SE
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Thu, 0592° / 75°0
92 °
El Refugio, Thursday, 5 November
Mostly clear. High 92°, low 75°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind13.6 mph SE
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point65°
Fri, 0687° / 72°0.25
87 °
El Refugio, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 87°, low 72°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind12.2 mph E
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
Sat, 0789° / 69°0
89 °
El Refugio, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 89°, low 69°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind17.3 mph SE
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Sun, 0892° / 73°0
92 °
El Refugio, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 92°, low 73°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind19.2 mph SE
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Mon, 0987° / 75°0
87 °
El Refugio, Monday, 9 November
Partly cloudy. High 87°, low 75°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind15.7 mph SE
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point65°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 1080° / 63°0.04
80 °
El Refugio, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high80°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high92° (1985)
Record low47° (1990)
Wed, 1180° / 63°0.04
80 °
El Refugio, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high80°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high93° (2012)
Record low46° (2011)
Thu, 1279° / 62°0.06
79 °
El Refugio, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high79°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high93° (1969)
Record low39° (2019)
Fri, 1377° / 61°0.06
77 °
El Refugio, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low61°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high94° (1969)
Record low40° (2019)
Sat, 1478° / 61°0.02
78 °
El Refugio, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low61°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high97° (1983)
Record low33° (2018)
Sun, 1579° / 61°0.02
79 °
El Refugio, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high79°
Average low61°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high93° (1989)
Record low38° (2018)
Mon, 1678° / 61°0.04
78 °
El Refugio, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low61°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high93° (2025)
Record low41° (1970)
Tue, 1778° / 61°0.03
78 °
El Refugio, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low61°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high92° (2025)
Record low43° (2014)
Wed, 1879° / 62°0.04
79 °
El Refugio, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high79°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high94° (2024)
Record low43° (2014)
Thu, 1979° / 62°0.04
79 °
El Refugio, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high79°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high94° (2011)
Record low42° (1980)
Fri, 2077° / 60°0.02
77 °
El Refugio, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low60°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high92° (2025)
Record low41° (1969)
Sat, 2178° / 60°0.04
78 °
El Refugio, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low60°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high94° (2007)
Record low42° (1969)
Sun, 2278° / 60°0.04
78 °
El Refugio, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low60°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high96° (1983)
Record low45° (1984)
Mon, 2378° / 60°0.03
78 °
El Refugio, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low60°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high92° (2025)
Record low41° (1975)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for El Refugio, TX are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in El Refugio, TX since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.