Monthly outlook for El Refugio, TX: average high 81.8°, average low 68.5°. That is 0.8° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 1.0 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 31 October (93°), the coolest 5 November (55.5°).
81.8°/68.5°
Average high / low
−0.8°
Below normal
7 / 3
Wet days / normal
1.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
23 October – 1 November
87.7°
84.1°
+1.9°
2 November – 11 November
72.1°
81.4°
-5.1°
12 November – 21 November
at normal
78.2°
—
October records over 66 years
103.3°4 October 2012All-time high
40.5°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Garza-Salinas II (1 mi).
Sat, 2488° / 70°0.13
88 °
El Refugio, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 88°, low 70°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind12.8 mph SE
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point64°
Sun, 2586° / 74°0
86 °
El Refugio, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 86°, low 74°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind12.8 mph SE
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point62°
Mon, 2688° / 71°0.01
88 °
El Refugio, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 88°, low 71°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8.2 mph E
Humidity42%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Tue, 2783° / 72°0.07
83 °
El Refugio, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 83°, low 72°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind9.8 mph E
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point65°
Wed, 2889° / 70°0.02
89 °
El Refugio, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 89°, low 70°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11.7 mph SE
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Thu, 2980° / 75°0.04
80 °
El Refugio, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 80°, low 75°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind17 mph SE
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point70°
Fri, 3091° / 74°0
91 °
El Refugio, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 91°, low 74°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind17.4 mph SE
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Sat, 3193° / 75°0.01
93 °
El Refugio, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 93°, low 75°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind12.2 mph SE
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point68°
Sun, 0190° / 77°0.02
90 °
El Refugio, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 90°, low 77°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind16.2 mph E
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point68°
Mon, 0281° / 72°0.05
81 °
El Refugio, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 81°, low 72°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind17.1 mph NE
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point66°
Tue, 0370° / 62°0.11
70 °
El Refugio, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 70°, low 62°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind17.1 mph NE
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Wed, 0460° / 57°0.29
60 °
El Refugio, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 57°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind14 mph N
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Thu, 0568° / 55°0.22
68 °
El Refugio, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 68°, low 55°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind13.8 mph N
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Fri, 0675° / 59°0
75 °
El Refugio, Friday, 6 November
Clear. High 75°, low 59°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.3 mph SE
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Sat, 0779° / 64°0
79 °
El Refugio, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 79°, low 64°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind14.4 mph SE
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 0882° / 64°0.03
82 °
El Refugio, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high82°
Average low64°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high96° (2025)
Record low48° (1978)
Mon, 0981° / 64°0.03
81 °
El Refugio, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high81°
Average low64°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high94° (1988)
Record low43° (1991)
Tue, 1080° / 63°0.04
80 °
El Refugio, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high80°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high92° (1985)
Record low47° (1990)
Wed, 1180° / 63°0.04
80 °
El Refugio, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high80°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high93° (2012)
Record low46° (2011)
Thu, 1279° / 62°0.06
79 °
El Refugio, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high79°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high93° (1969)
Record low39° (2019)
Fri, 1377° / 61°0.06
77 °
El Refugio, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low61°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high94° (1969)
Record low40° (2019)
Sat, 1478° / 61°0.02
78 °
El Refugio, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low61°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high97° (1983)
Record low33° (2018)
Sun, 1579° / 61°0.02
79 °
El Refugio, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high79°
Average low61°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high93° (1989)
Record low38° (2018)
Mon, 1678° / 61°0.04
78 °
El Refugio, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low61°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high93° (2025)
Record low41° (1970)
Tue, 1778° / 61°0.03
78 °
El Refugio, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low61°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high92° (2025)
Record low43° (2014)
Wed, 1879° / 62°0.04
79 °
El Refugio, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high79°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high94° (2024)
Record low43° (2014)
Thu, 1979° / 62°0.04
79 °
El Refugio, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high79°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high94° (2011)
Record low42° (1980)
Fri, 2077° / 60°0.02
77 °
El Refugio, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low60°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high92° (2025)
Record low41° (1969)
Sat, 2178° / 60°0.04
78 °
El Refugio, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low60°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high94° (2007)
Record low42° (1969)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for El Refugio, TX are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in El Refugio, TX since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.