Weather in El Refugio, TX
El Refugio, Friday, 16 October, 05:43
Clear. Feels like 72°. High 85°, low 70°.
Monthly outlook for El Refugio, TX: average high 83.9°, average low 69°. That is 0.6° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (91.2°), the coolest 17 October (59.3°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 October – 25 October | 83.9° | 85.7° | -1° |
| 26 October – 4 November | 84° | 83° | +0.5° |
| 5 November – 14 November | at normal | 80.5° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Garza-Salinas II (1 mi).
0
El Refugio, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 74°, low 59°.
0.03
El Refugio, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 78°, low 61°.
0.09El Refugio, Monday, 19 October
Rain. High 81°, low 63°.
0.02El Refugio, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 86°, low 66°.
0.04El Refugio, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 85°, low 70°.
0
El Refugio, Thursday, 22 October
Partly cloudy. High 87°, low 71°.
0El Refugio, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 88°, low 69°.
0El Refugio, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 90°, low 71°.
0
El Refugio, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 85°, low 73°.
0.35El Refugio, Monday, 26 October
Rain. High 84°, low 72°.
1El Refugio, Tuesday, 27 October
Rain. High 76°, low 72°.
0.23El Refugio, Wednesday, 28 October
Rain. High 86°, low 70°.
0El Refugio, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 91°, low 75°.
0.02El Refugio, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 88°, low 74°.
0El Refugio, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 78°, low 66°.
0.07
El Refugio, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Refugio, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04El Refugio, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06El Refugio, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04El Refugio, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07El Refugio, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Refugio, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Refugio, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04El Refugio, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04El Refugio, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06El Refugio, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06El Refugio, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for El Refugio, TX are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in El Refugio, TX since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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