Weather in El Refugio, TX
El Refugio, Wednesday, 21 October, 18:41
Overcast. Feels like 84°. High 86°, low 66°.
Monthly outlook for El Refugio, TX: average high 83.4°, average low 70.6°. That is 0.1° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 8 days (about 5.3 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 26 October (88.5°), the coolest 5 November (65.2°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 October – 30 October | 86.2° | 84.7° | +0.8° |
| 31 October – 9 November | 78.8° | 82° | -1.8° |
| 10 November – 19 November | at normal | 78.8° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Garza-Salinas II (1 mi).
0.11
El Refugio, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 88°, low 72°.
0
El Refugio, Friday, 23 October
Mostly clear. High 88°, low 70°.
0.05El Refugio, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 88°, low 71°.
0El Refugio, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 86°, low 73°.
0El Refugio, Monday, 26 October
Mostly clear. High 89°, low 71°.
0.03El Refugio, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 85°, low 71°.
0El Refugio, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 88°, low 73°.
0.01El Refugio, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 87°, low 72°.
1.52El Refugio, Friday, 30 October
Heavy rain. High 77°, low 70°.
2.51El Refugio, Saturday, 31 October
Heavy rain. High 83°, low 70°.
0.08El Refugio, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 81°, low 73°.
0.63El Refugio, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 81°, low 73°.
0.05El Refugio, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 78°, low 71°.
0.3El Refugio, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 73°, low 68°.
0
El Refugio, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 77°, low 65°.
0.04El Refugio, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07
El Refugio, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Refugio, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Refugio, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04El Refugio, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04El Refugio, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06El Refugio, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06El Refugio, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04El Refugio, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Refugio, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04El Refugio, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04El Refugio, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for El Refugio, TX are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in El Refugio, TX since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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