Monthly outlook for Dawn, TX: average high 73.2°, average low 56.4°. That is 0.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 12 October (88.1°), the coolest 17 October (46°).
73.2°/56.4°
Average high / low
+0.3°
Above normal
5 / 2
Wet days / normal
1.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
7 October – 16 October
79.9°
73.6°
+3.5°
17 October – 26 October
62.2°
70.3°
-4.5°
27 October – 5 November
at normal
65°
—
October records over 66 years
95°3 October 2000All-time high
18.3°31 October 1991All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Hereford (13 mi).
Thu, 0883° / 55°0
83 °
Dawn, Thursday, 8 October
Clear. High 83°, low 55°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind4.6 mph SW
Humidity40%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Fri, 0980° / 54°0
80 °
Dawn, Friday, 9 October
Clear. High 80°, low 54°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind7.8 mph SW
Humidity38%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Sat, 1080° / 57°0
80 °
Dawn, Saturday, 10 October
Clear. High 80°, low 57°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind14 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Sun, 1185° / 62°0
85 °
Dawn, Sunday, 11 October
Clear. High 85°, low 62°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind12.8 mph S
Humidity43%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Mon, 1288° / 66°0
88 °
Dawn, Monday, 12 October
Partly cloudy. High 88°, low 66°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind15.9 mph S
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Tue, 1382° / 66°0
82 °
Dawn, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 82°, low 66°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind19.3 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Wed, 1471° / 65°0.22
71 °
Dawn, Wednesday, 14 October
Rain. High 71°, low 65°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind25.8 mph SW
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Thu, 1576° / 55°0
76 °
Dawn, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 76°, low 55°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind21 mph W
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Fri, 1671° / 57°0.07
71 °
Dawn, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 71°, low 57°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind22.8 mph NE
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Sat, 1754° / 46°0.87
54 °
Dawn, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 54°, low 46°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind20.9 mph NE
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sun, 1860° / 48°0.03
60 °
Dawn, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 48°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind16.9 mph S
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Mon, 1967° / 57°0.02
67 °
Dawn, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 57°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind16.8 mph SE
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Tue, 2067° / 59°0.11
67 °
Dawn, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 59°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind13.8 mph S
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Wed, 2161° / 53°0.54
61 °
Dawn, Wednesday, 21 October
Rain. High 61°, low 53°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind17.2 mph N
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Thu, 2264° / 46°0
64 °
Dawn, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 64°, low 46°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind7.6 mph N
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2369° / 48°0.06
69 °
Dawn, Friday, 23 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high88° (2003)
Record low35° (2008)
Sat, 2469° / 47°0.08
69 °
Dawn, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high86° (2012)
Record low31° (2019)
Sun, 2569° / 47°0.02
69 °
Dawn, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high84° (2011)
Record low26° (2019)
Mon, 2669° / 47°0.02
69 °
Dawn, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high87° (2014)
Record low21° (2020)
Tue, 2767° / 45°0.06
67 °
Dawn, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high84° (2024)
Record low19° (2020)
Wed, 2866° / 45°0.04
66 °
Dawn, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high89° (2024)
Record low21° (2011)
Thu, 2968° / 45°0.03
68 °
Dawn, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high87° (2016)
Record low28° (2019)
Fri, 3066° / 45°0.07
66 °
Dawn, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high83° (2010)
Record low21° (1993)
Sat, 3165° / 44°0.07
65 °
Dawn, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high84° (2016)
Record low18° (1991)
Sun, 0164° / 43°0.02
64 °
Dawn, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high83° (1994)
Record low21° (1991)
Mon, 0263° / 42°0.05
63 °
Dawn, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high81° (2012)
Record low18° (1991)
Tue, 0363° / 42°0.04
63 °
Dawn, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high80° (2005)
Record low16° (1991)
Wed, 0464° / 42°0.06
64 °
Dawn, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high84° (2025)
Record low20° (1991)
Thu, 0565° / 43°0.01
65 °
Dawn, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high79° (1999)
Record low22° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Dawn, TX are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Dawn, TX since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.