Monthly outlook for Chinle, AZ: average high 61.1°, average low 46°. That is 0.9° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 2.7 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 October (67.1°), the coolest 17 October (37.2°).
61.1°/46°
Average high / low
−0.9°
Below normal
7 / 2
Wet days / normal
2.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
16 October – 25 October
62.3°
64.5°
-1.2°
26 October – 4 November
59.1°
59.1°
+0°
5 November – 14 November
at normal
56°
—
October records over 66 years
87.6°4 October 2024All-time high
9.7°31 October 1991All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Flat Rock (10 mi).
Sat, 1764° / 37°0
64 °
Chinle, Saturday, 17 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 37°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind8.8 mph N
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Sun, 1859° / 46°0.05
59 °
Chinle, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 46°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind1.5 mph W
Humidity41%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Mon, 1965° / 44°0.41
65 °
Chinle, Monday, 19 October
Rain. High 65°, low 44°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind3.5 mph SW
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Tue, 2067° / 46°0
67 °
Chinle, Tuesday, 20 October
Partly cloudy. High 67°, low 46°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind5.6 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Wed, 2164° / 49°0.32
64 °
Chinle, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 49°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.3 mph SE
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Thu, 2261° / 50°0.79
61 °
Chinle, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 61°, low 50°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind26.1 mph S
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Fri, 2358° / 46°0.1
58 °
Chinle, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 46°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind17.8 mph SW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sat, 2462° / 49°0
62 °
Chinle, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 62°, low 49°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind19.4 mph SW
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sun, 2559° / 47°0.01
59 °
Chinle, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 47°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind14.4 mph S
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Mon, 2659° / 47°0
59 °
Chinle, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 47°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8 mph N
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Tue, 2764° / 48°0
64 °
Chinle, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 64°, low 48°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.2 mph N
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Wed, 2861° / 50°0.87
61 °
Chinle, Wednesday, 28 October
Rain. High 61°, low 50°.
Pressure29.50 inHg
Wind28.7 mph SE
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Thu, 2956° / 46°0.1
56 °
Chinle, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 46°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind30.4 mph SW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Fri, 3055° / 43°0
55 °
Chinle, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 55°, low 43°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind12.2 mph SW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sat, 3159° / 46°0
59 °
Chinle, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 59°, low 46°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind10.6 mph N
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 0157° / 36°0.03
57 °
Chinle, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high73° (2008)
Record low20° (1972)
Mon, 0258° / 36°0.02
58 °
Chinle, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high72° (2025)
Record low21° (1991)
Tue, 0358° / 36°0.04
58 °
Chinle, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high74° (2025)
Record low11° (1961)
Wed, 0459° / 36°0.02
59 °
Chinle, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high71° (2009)
Record low22° (1961)
Thu, 0559° / 36°0.02
59 °
Chinle, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high73° (2023)
Record low25° (1961)
Fri, 0659° / 35°0.02
59 °
Chinle, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high74° (2023)
Record low22° (1961)
Sat, 0758° / 36°0.02
58 °
Chinle, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high73° (1999)
Record low22° (1986)
Sun, 0857° / 36°0.03
57 °
Chinle, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high71° (2006)
Record low20° (2000)
Mon, 0956° / 34°0.04
56 °
Chinle, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high73° (2005)
Record low22° (1977)
Tue, 1056° / 34°0.03
56 °
Chinle, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high73° (2005)
Record low17° (2011)
Wed, 1155° / 34°0.03
55 °
Chinle, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high70° (1999)
Record low20° (1998)
Thu, 1254° / 33°0.05
54 °
Chinle, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high70° (1967)
Record low18° (2000)
Fri, 1354° / 33°0.03
54 °
Chinle, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high70° (2017)
Record low11° (2000)
Sat, 1453° / 33°0.02
53 °
Chinle, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high69° (2025)
Record low8° (2000)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chinle, AZ are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chinle, AZ since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.