Monthly outlook for Chinle, AZ: average high 61.6°, average low 45°. That is 1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (67.7°), the coolest 26 October (36°).
61.6°/45°
Average high / low
+1°
Above normal
3 / 2
Wet days / normal
0.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
23 October – 1 November
61.4°
60.6°
+0.5°
2 November – 11 November
62°
57.3°
+2.6°
12 November – 21 November
at normal
52.3°
—
October records over 66 years
87.6°4 October 2024All-time high
9.7°31 October 1991All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Flat Rock (10 mi).
Sat, 2459° / 44°0.2
59 °
Chinle, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 59°, low 44°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind5.3 mph N
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Sun, 2558° / 40°0
58 °
Chinle, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 58°, low 40°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6.4 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Mon, 2661° / 36°0
61 °
Chinle, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 61°, low 36°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind3 mph W
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Tue, 2763° / 39°0
63 °
Chinle, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 63°, low 39°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5 mph S
Humidity44%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Wed, 2867° / 40°0
67 °
Chinle, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 40°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11.7 mph S
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Thu, 2968° / 42°0
68 °
Chinle, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 42°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind13.5 mph S
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Fri, 3057° / 49°0.37
57 °
Chinle, Friday, 30 October
Rain. High 57°, low 49°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind14.2 mph SW
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sat, 3158° / 46°0.01
58 °
Chinle, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 46°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind8.6 mph W
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sun, 0160° / 47°0
60 °
Chinle, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 60°, low 47°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind11.5 mph N
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Mon, 0258° / 47°0
58 °
Chinle, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 47°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind8.9 mph N
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Tue, 0359° / 46°0
59 °
Chinle, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 46°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind6.6 mph N
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Wed, 0463° / 47°0
63 °
Chinle, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 63°, low 47°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind7.6 mph NE
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Thu, 0564° / 51°0
64 °
Chinle, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 51°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind10 mph N
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Fri, 0663° / 48°0
63 °
Chinle, Friday, 6 November
Clear. High 63°, low 48°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind13.5 mph N
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sat, 0764° / 49°0
64 °
Chinle, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 64°, low 49°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind14.3 mph N
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 0857° / 36°0.03
57 °
Chinle, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high71° (2006)
Record low20° (2000)
Mon, 0956° / 34°0.04
56 °
Chinle, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high73° (2005)
Record low22° (1977)
Tue, 1056° / 34°0.03
56 °
Chinle, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high73° (2005)
Record low17° (2011)
Wed, 1155° / 34°0.03
55 °
Chinle, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high70° (1999)
Record low20° (1998)
Thu, 1254° / 33°0.05
54 °
Chinle, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high70° (1967)
Record low18° (2000)
Fri, 1354° / 33°0.03
54 °
Chinle, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high70° (2017)
Record low11° (2000)
Sat, 1453° / 33°0.02
53 °
Chinle, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high69° (2025)
Record low8° (2000)
Sun, 1553° / 32°0.03
53 °
Chinle, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high69° (1967)
Record low18° (1985)
Mon, 1653° / 32°0.03
53 °
Chinle, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high70° (1999)
Record low15° (1997)
Tue, 1752° / 31°0.02
52 °
Chinle, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low12° (2000)
Wed, 1851° / 31°0.03
51 °
Chinle, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high72° (2020)
Record low13° (2000)
Thu, 1951° / 30°0.04
51 °
Chinle, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high69° (2007)
Record low7° (1985)
Fri, 2051° / 30°0.02
51 °
Chinle, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high66° (2020)
Record low7° (1985)
Sat, 2150° / 30°0.04
50 °
Chinle, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high65° (1995)
Record low9° (1994)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chinle, AZ are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chinle, AZ since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.