Monthly outlook for Chinle, AZ: average high 55.7°, average low 40.6°. That is 0.4° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.2 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 10 November (61.9°), the coolest 15 November (35.7°).
55.7°/40.6°
Average high / low
−0.4°
Below normal
5 / 2
Wet days / normal
1.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
31 October – 9 November
58°
57.8°
+0.1°
10 November – 19 November
51.8°
53.2°
-0.8°
20 November – 29 November
at normal
47.8°
—
October records over 66 years
87.6°4 October 2024All-time high
9.7°31 October 1991All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Flat Rock (10 mi).
Sun, 0158° / 49°0.89
58 °
Chinle, Sunday, 1 November
Rain. High 58°, low 49°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind17.9 mph SW
Humidity87%
Visibility1.3 mi
Dew point54°
Mon, 0256° / 40°0.05
56 °
Chinle, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 40°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind1.5 mph E
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Tue, 0354° / 36°0
54 °
Chinle, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 36°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4.9 mph N
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Wed, 0459° / 36°0
59 °
Chinle, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 59°, low 36°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind10.3 mph S
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Thu, 0553° / 37°0
53 °
Chinle, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 53°, low 37°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9.2 mph N
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Fri, 0657° / 36°0
57 °
Chinle, Friday, 6 November
Partly cloudy. High 57°, low 36°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.9 mph N
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sat, 0759° / 46°0
59 °
Chinle, Saturday, 7 November
Partly cloudy. High 59°, low 46°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind11.4 mph N
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Sun, 0861° / 44°0
61 °
Chinle, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 61°, low 44°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind4.9 mph E
Humidity25%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Mon, 0962° / 47°0
62 °
Chinle, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 47°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind5.4 mph S
Humidity17%
Visibility—
Dew point13°
Tue, 1062° / 50°0
62 °
Chinle, Tuesday, 10 November
Mostly clear. High 62°, low 50°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.7 mph W
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Wed, 1159° / 41°0.08
59 °
Chinle, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 41°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind29.4 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Thu, 1245° / 37°0.07
45 °
Chinle, Thursday, 12 November
Light snow. High 45°, low 37°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind25.4 mph SW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Fri, 1347° / 36°0.06
47 °
Chinle, Friday, 13 November
Snow. High 47°, low 36°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind16.6 mph N
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Sat, 1448° / 36°0
48 °
Chinle, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 48°, low 36°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind14.8 mph N
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sun, 1550° / 36°0
50 °
Chinle, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 50°, low 36°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind5.1 mph S
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 1653° / 32°0.03
53 °
Chinle, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high70° (1999)
Record low15° (1997)
Tue, 1752° / 31°0.02
52 °
Chinle, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low12° (2000)
Wed, 1851° / 31°0.03
51 °
Chinle, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high72° (2020)
Record low13° (2000)
Thu, 1951° / 30°0.04
51 °
Chinle, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high69° (2007)
Record low7° (1985)
Fri, 2051° / 30°0.02
51 °
Chinle, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high66° (2020)
Record low7° (1985)
Sat, 2150° / 30°0.04
50 °
Chinle, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high65° (1995)
Record low9° (1994)
Sun, 2249° / 30°0.03
49 °
Chinle, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high63° (2002)
Record low11° (1964)
Mon, 2349° / 30°0.03
49 °
Chinle, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high63° (1981)
Record low8° (1983)
Tue, 2449° / 28°0.03
49 °
Chinle, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high69° (2017)
Record low11° (1983)
Wed, 2548° / 29°0.03
48 °
Chinle, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high64° (2017)
Record low16° (2010)
Thu, 2646° / 29°0.04
46 °
Chinle, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high73° (2017)
Record low14° (1984)
Fri, 2745° / 26°0.03
45 °
Chinle, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high71° (2017)
Record low12° (1984)
Sat, 2845° / 26°0.02
45 °
Chinle, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high63° (2014)
Record low6° (1976)
Sun, 2945° / 26°0.05
45 °
Chinle, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high63° (1999)
Record low11° (1983)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chinle, AZ are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chinle, AZ since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.