Weather in Chinle, AZ
Chinle, Friday, 16 October, 13:11
Clear. Feels like 58°. High 64°, low 42°.
Monthly outlook for Chinle, AZ: average high 60.8°, average low 45.6°. That is 1.1° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 8 days (about 1.6 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 October (67.3°), the coolest 17 October (36.4°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 October – 25 October | 62.2° | 64.5° | -1.3° |
| 26 October – 4 November | 58.5° | 59.1° | -0.3° |
| 5 November – 14 November | at normal | 56° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Flat Rock (10 mi).
0
Chinle, Saturday, 17 October
Mostly clear. High 64°, low 36°.
0
Chinle, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 42°.
0.07
Chinle, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 43°.
0Chinle, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 45°.
0.43Chinle, Wednesday, 21 October
Rain. High 67°, low 47°.
0.28Chinle, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 62°, low 55°.
0.15Chinle, Friday, 23 October
Rain. High 61°, low 50°.
0.04Chinle, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 51°.
0.09Chinle, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 46°.
0Chinle, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 47°.
0
Chinle, Tuesday, 27 October
Partly cloudy. High 65°, low 51°.
0Chinle, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 47°.
0.07Chinle, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 46°.
0.38Chinle, Friday, 30 October
Rain. High 51°, low 40°.
0.03Chinle, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 43°.
0.03Chinle, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Chinle, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Chinle, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Chinle, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Chinle, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Chinle, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Chinle, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Chinle, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Chinle, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Chinle, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Chinle, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Chinle, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Chinle, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Chinle, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chinle, AZ are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chinle, AZ since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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