Monthly outlook for Surprise, AZ: average high 101.8°, average low 84.7°. That is 0.7° above the climate normal for August. Precipitation is expected on 8 days (about 1.0 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 9 August (112.4°), the coolest 13 August (78.9°).
101.8°/84.7°
Average high / low
+0.7°
Above normal
8 / 2
Wet days / normal
1.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
8 August – 17 August
103.7°
101°
+1.5°
18 August – 27 August
98.5°
99.9°
-0.8°
28 August – 6 September
at normal
99.8°
—
August records over 66 years
115.5°7 August 2025All-time high
60.6°23 August 1968All-time low
Sun, 09112° / 89°0
112 °
Surprise, Sunday, 9 August
Clear. High 112°, low 89°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind3 mph SW
Humidity22%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Mon, 10108° / 85°0.04
108 °
Surprise, Monday, 10 August
Light rain. High 108°, low 85°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind9.5 mph W
Humidity27%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point61°
Tue, 11103° / 82°0.01
103 °
Surprise, Tuesday, 11 August
Light rain. High 103°, low 82°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind7.4 mph W
Humidity33%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point63°
Wed, 1296° / 82°0.33
96 °
Surprise, Wednesday, 12 August
Light rain. High 96°, low 82°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind3.9 mph NW
Humidity44%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point63°
Thu, 1399° / 79°0.17
99 °
Surprise, Thursday, 13 August
Light rain. High 99°, low 79°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind9.9 mph SW
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
Fri, 1499° / 84°0
99 °
Surprise, Friday, 14 August
Mostly clear. High 99°, low 84°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind7.5 mph W
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sat, 15103° / 86°0
103 °
Surprise, Saturday, 15 August
Overcast. High 103°, low 86°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind11.1 mph W
Humidity22%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sun, 16103° / 86°0
103 °
Surprise, Sunday, 16 August
Overcast. High 103°, low 86°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind12.8 mph W
Humidity21%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Mon, 17106° / 89°0
106 °
Surprise, Monday, 17 August
Mostly clear. High 106°, low 89°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind7.4 mph SE
Humidity22%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Tue, 18106° / 84°0.06
106 °
Surprise, Tuesday, 18 August
Light rain. High 106°, low 84°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind19.6 mph SE
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Wed, 1999° / 82°0.04
99 °
Surprise, Wednesday, 19 August
Light rain. High 99°, low 82°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind9.6 mph S
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Thu, 2099° / 85°0.11
99 °
Surprise, Thursday, 20 August
Light rain. High 99°, low 85°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind12.9 mph W
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Fri, 2197° / 85°0.02
97 °
Surprise, Friday, 21 August
Light rain. High 97°, low 85°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind13.5 mph NE
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Sat, 2290° / 81°0.12
90 °
Surprise, Saturday, 22 August
Light rain. High 90°, low 81°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind27.5 mph NW
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Sun, 23100° / 84°0
100 °
Surprise, Sunday, 23 August
Overcast. High 100°, low 84°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind7.4 mph NE
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 24100° / 79°0.02
100 °
Surprise, Monday, 24 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high100°
Average low79°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high112° (2020)
Record low66° (1992)
Tue, 25100° / 79°0.03
100 °
Surprise, Tuesday, 25 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high100°
Average low79°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high110° (2020)
Record low67° (1990)
Wed, 26100° / 79°0.03
100 °
Surprise, Wednesday, 26 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high100°
Average low79°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high110° (2021)
Record low70° (1990)
Thu, 27100° / 79°0.06
100 °
Surprise, Thursday, 27 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high100°
Average low79°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high110° (2011)
Record low69° (1972)
Fri, 28101° / 79°0.02
101 °
Surprise, Friday, 28 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high101°
Average low79°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high111° (2023)
Record low70° (2016)
Sat, 29101° / 79°0.02
101 °
Surprise, Saturday, 29 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high101°
Average low79°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high111° (2023)
Record low70° (1993)
Sun, 30101° / 79°0.02
101 °
Surprise, Sunday, 30 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high101°
Average low79°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high109° (2022)
Record low69° (2010)
Mon, 31100° / 79°0.02
100 °
Surprise, Monday, 31 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high100°
Average low79°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high109° (2011)
Record low69° (1962)
Tue, 0199° / 79°0.03
99 °
Surprise, Tuesday, 1 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high99°
Average low79°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high109° (1982)
Record low66° (1992)
Wed, 0299° / 78°0.06
99 °
Surprise, Wednesday, 2 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high99°
Average low78°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high108° (1982)
Record low66° (1992)
Thu, 03100° / 78°0.02
100 °
Surprise, Thursday, 3 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high100°
Average low78°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high108° (2020)
Record low67° (1999)
Fri, 0499° / 77°0.05
99 °
Surprise, Friday, 4 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high99°
Average low77°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high110° (2020)
Record low65° (1961)
Sat, 0599° / 77°0.09
99 °
Surprise, Saturday, 5 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high99°
Average low77°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high112° (2020)
Record low61° (1992)
Sun, 0698° / 77°0.02
98 °
Surprise, Sunday, 6 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high98°
Average low77°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high111° (2020)
Record low64° (1970)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Surprise, AZ are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Surprise, AZ since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.