Weather in Surprise, AZ
Surprise, Thursday, 15 October, 22:51
Clear. Feels like 74°. High 85°, low 57°.
Monthly outlook for Surprise, AZ: average high 80.3°, average low 63.2°. That is 0.9° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.1 inches), against a normal of 1 days and 0.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (88.3°), the coolest 15 October (57.3°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 October – 24 October | 80.9° | 83.4° | -1.4° |
| 25 October – 3 November | 79.3° | 78.8° | +0.3° |
| 4 November – 13 November | at normal | 75.6° | — |
October records over 66 years
0
Surprise, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 88°, low 68°.
0.01
Surprise, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 80°, low 68°.
0Surprise, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 83°, low 66°.
0.01Surprise, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 83°, low 66°.
0.01Surprise, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 83°, low 63°.
0Surprise, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 81°, low 63°.
0.07Surprise, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 73°, low 62°.
0Surprise, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 74°, low 60°.
0Surprise, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 79°, low 63°.
0Surprise, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 75°, low 59°.
0Surprise, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 76°, low 58°.
0Surprise, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 79°, low 60°.
0Surprise, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 81°, low 65°.
0
Surprise, Thursday, 29 October
Partly cloudy. High 82°, low 65°.
0Surprise, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 82°, low 66°.
0.01
Surprise, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Surprise, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Surprise, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0Surprise, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0Surprise, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Surprise, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Surprise, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0Surprise, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Surprise, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Surprise, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Surprise, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Surprise, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Surprise, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Surprise, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Surprise, AZ are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Surprise, AZ since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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