Weather in Surprise, AZ
Surprise, Wednesday, 14 October, 04:13
Clear. Feels like 54°. High 75°, low 55°.
Monthly outlook for Surprise, AZ: average high 79.3°, average low 64.7°. That is 1.8° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.2 inches), against a normal of 1 days and 0.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 October (86.3°), the coolest 14 October (55.4°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 October – 23 October | 79.1° | 83.9° | -2.6° |
| 24 October – 2 November | 79.5° | 79.2° | +0.2° |
| 3 November – 12 November | at normal | 76.1° | — |
October records over 66 years
0
Surprise, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 86°, low 60°.
0Surprise, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 82°, low 68°.
0.17
Surprise, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 75°, low 61°.
0.02Surprise, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 73°, low 60°.
0
Surprise, Monday, 19 October
Mostly clear. High 80°, low 61°.
0.02Surprise, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 81°, low 75°.
0.02Surprise, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 86°, low 72°.
0.02Surprise, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 78°, low 66°.
0Surprise, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 74°, low 62°.
0Surprise, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 77°, low 64°.
0
Surprise, Sunday, 25 October
Partly cloudy. High 79°, low 65°.
0Surprise, Monday, 26 October
Mostly clear. High 80°, low 66°.
0
Surprise, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 81°, low 67°.
0Surprise, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 82°, low 67°.
0Surprise, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 78°, low 66°.
0.02Surprise, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Surprise, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Surprise, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Surprise, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0Surprise, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0Surprise, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Surprise, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Surprise, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0Surprise, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Surprise, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Surprise, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Surprise, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Surprise, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Surprise, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Surprise, AZ are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Surprise, AZ since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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