Monthly outlook for Ash Flat, AR: average high 72°, average low 53.4°. That is 1.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 4.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (91°), the coolest 18 October (34.8°).
72°/53.4°
Average high / low
+1.3°
Above normal
6 / 4
Wet days / normal
4.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
10 October – 19 October
76°
70.6°
+3°
20 October – 29 October
65.3°
67°
-1°
30 October – 8 November
at normal
62.7°
—
October records over 66 years
92.8°2 October 2019All-time high
27.5°31 October 2023All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Highland (5 mi).
Sun, 1190° / 52°0
90 °
Ash Flat, Sunday, 11 October
Clear. High 90°, low 52°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind4.6 mph SW
Humidity45%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point60°
Mon, 1290° / 68°0
90 °
Ash Flat, Monday, 12 October
Clear. High 90°, low 68°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind8.9 mph SW
Humidity39%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Tue, 1391° / 70°0.07
91 °
Ash Flat, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 91°, low 70°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind6.6 mph SW
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point67°
Wed, 1483° / 72°0.56
83 °
Ash Flat, Wednesday, 14 October
Rain. High 83°, low 72°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind8.6 mph W
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point75°
Thu, 1581° / 72°1.62
81 °
Ash Flat, Thursday, 15 October
Heavy rain. High 81°, low 72°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind10.1 mph SE
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point70°
Fri, 1672° / 56°0.66
72 °
Ash Flat, Friday, 16 October
Heavy rain. High 72°, low 56°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind16.9 mph NW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sat, 1754° / 42°0
54 °
Ash Flat, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 54°, low 42°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind19 mph NW
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sun, 1856° / 35°0
56 °
Ash Flat, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 56°, low 35°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind5.8 mph N
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Mon, 1959° / 39°0
59 °
Ash Flat, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 39°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind6.8 mph SE
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Tue, 2068° / 47°0
68 °
Ash Flat, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 47°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind9.8 mph SE
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 2163° / 57°1.21
63 °
Ash Flat, Wednesday, 21 October
Heavy rain. High 63°, low 57°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind17 mph S
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Thu, 2266° / 52°0.22
66 °
Ash Flat, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 66°, low 52°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind16.9 mph W
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Fri, 2371° / 47°0
71 °
Ash Flat, Friday, 23 October
Mostly clear. High 71°, low 47°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind7.4 mph S
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Sat, 2461° / 48°0
61 °
Ash Flat, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 48°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind13.1 mph NW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sun, 2562° / 42°0
62 °
Ash Flat, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 42°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind9.1 mph S
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2666° / 50°0.12
66 °
Ash Flat, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high83° (2014)
Record low37° (1972)
Tue, 2765° / 49°0.15
65 °
Ash Flat, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high83° (1963)
Record low37° (2001)
Wed, 2865° / 48°0.13
65 °
Ash Flat, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high82° (2024)
Record low33° (2017)
Thu, 2965° / 48°0.13
65 °
Ash Flat, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high81° (1971)
Record low29° (2017)
Fri, 3066° / 49°0.15
66 °
Ash Flat, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high81° (2016)
Record low31° (1980)
Sat, 3166° / 49°0.21
66 °
Ash Flat, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high81° (2016)
Record low28° (2023)
Sun, 0164° / 49°0.2
64 °
Ash Flat, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high80° (2016)
Record low26° (2023)
Mon, 0263° / 47°0.1
63 °
Ash Flat, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high79° (2016)
Record low30° (1991)
Tue, 0362° / 46°0.09
62 °
Ash Flat, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high79° (2016)
Record low25° (1991)
Wed, 0462° / 46°0.11
62 °
Ash Flat, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high80° (1978)
Record low21° (1991)
Thu, 0561° / 46°0.14
61 °
Ash Flat, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high80° (1978)
Record low25° (1991)
Fri, 0661° / 44°0.14
61 °
Ash Flat, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high78° (1999)
Record low29° (1967)
Sat, 0761° / 45°0.13
61 °
Ash Flat, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high79° (1999)
Record low25° (1993)
Sun, 0861° / 45°0.03
61 °
Ash Flat, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high80° (2023)
Record low21° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ash Flat, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ash Flat, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.