Monthly outlook for Ash Flat, AR: average high 77.3°, average low 54.2°. That is 4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (91.9°), the coolest 18 October (36.6°).
77.3°/54.2°
Average high / low
+4°
Above normal
1 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
9 October – 18 October
80.5°
71.2°
+5.1°
19 October – 28 October
72°
67.2°
+2.7°
29 October – 7 November
at normal
63°
—
October records over 66 years
92.8°2 October 2019All-time high
27.5°31 October 2023All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Highland (5 mi).
Sat, 1079° / 55°0
79 °
Ash Flat, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 79°, low 55°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind1.9 mph N
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Sun, 1191° / 57°0
91 °
Ash Flat, Sunday, 11 October
Clear. High 91°, low 57°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind4 mph SW
Humidity44%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point59°
Mon, 1290° / 69°0
90 °
Ash Flat, Monday, 12 October
Clear. High 90°, low 69°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9.7 mph SW
Humidity33%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Tue, 1392° / 70°0
92 °
Ash Flat, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 92°, low 70°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.2 mph SW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Wed, 1491° / 74°0.02
91 °
Ash Flat, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 91°, low 74°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind10.4 mph S
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point70°
Thu, 1590° / 71°0.02
90 °
Ash Flat, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 90°, low 71°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind17.9 mph SW
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Fri, 1665° / 52°0.9
65 °
Ash Flat, Friday, 16 October
Heavy rain. High 65°, low 52°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind15.1 mph NW
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sat, 1759° / 41°0
59 °
Ash Flat, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 59°, low 41°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind13.1 mph N
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sun, 1860° / 37°0
60 °
Ash Flat, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 60°, low 37°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind7 mph NE
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Mon, 1966° / 41°0
66 °
Ash Flat, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 66°, low 41°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind7.1 mph E
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Tue, 2069° / 44°0
69 °
Ash Flat, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 69°, low 44°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6.2 mph E
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Wed, 2172° / 47°0
72 °
Ash Flat, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 72°, low 47°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4.1 mph E
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Thu, 2274° / 49°0
74 °
Ash Flat, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 74°, low 49°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind3.7 mph N
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 2375° / 50°0
75 °
Ash Flat, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 75°, low 50°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind4.9 mph N
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sat, 2475° / 51°0
75 °
Ash Flat, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 75°, low 51°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind4.5 mph N
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2566° / 50°0.08
66 °
Ash Flat, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high84° (2024)
Record low35° (2013)
Mon, 2666° / 50°0.12
66 °
Ash Flat, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high83° (2014)
Record low37° (1972)
Tue, 2765° / 49°0.15
65 °
Ash Flat, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high83° (1963)
Record low37° (2001)
Wed, 2865° / 48°0.13
65 °
Ash Flat, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high82° (2024)
Record low33° (2017)
Thu, 2965° / 48°0.13
65 °
Ash Flat, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high81° (1971)
Record low29° (2017)
Fri, 3066° / 49°0.15
66 °
Ash Flat, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high81° (2016)
Record low31° (1980)
Sat, 3166° / 49°0.21
66 °
Ash Flat, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high81° (2016)
Record low28° (2023)
Sun, 0164° / 49°0.2
64 °
Ash Flat, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high80° (2016)
Record low26° (2023)
Mon, 0263° / 47°0.1
63 °
Ash Flat, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high79° (2016)
Record low30° (1991)
Tue, 0362° / 46°0.09
62 °
Ash Flat, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high79° (2016)
Record low25° (1991)
Wed, 0462° / 46°0.11
62 °
Ash Flat, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high80° (1978)
Record low21° (1991)
Thu, 0561° / 46°0.14
61 °
Ash Flat, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high80° (1978)
Record low25° (1991)
Fri, 0661° / 44°0.14
61 °
Ash Flat, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high78° (1999)
Record low29° (1967)
Sat, 0761° / 45°0.13
61 °
Ash Flat, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high79° (1999)
Record low25° (1993)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ash Flat, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ash Flat, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.