Monthly outlook for Toney, AR: average high 72.6°, average low 58°. That is 1.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 8 days (about 5.1 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (92.7°), the coolest 18 October (46.9°).
72.6°/58°
Average high / low
+1.6°
Above normal
8 / 5
Wet days / normal
5.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 October – 22 October
75.7°
71°
+2.6°
23 October – 1 November
67.3°
66.7°
+0.3°
2 November – 11 November
at normal
62.5°
—
October records over 66 years
92.8°8 October 1963All-time high
28°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Mountainburg (14 mi).
Wed, 1484° / 70°0.64
84 °
Toney, Wednesday, 14 October
Heavy rain. High 84°, low 70°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind4.5 mph S
Humidity88%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point76°
Thu, 1586° / 68°0.49
86 °
Toney, Thursday, 15 October
Heavy rain. High 86°, low 68°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind5.6 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point65°
Fri, 1665° / 53°0
65 °
Toney, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 53°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind15.5 mph N
Humidity44%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Sat, 1763° / 47°0
63 °
Toney, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 63°, low 47°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind7 mph NE
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sun, 1865° / 47°0
65 °
Toney, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 47°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind7.4 mph E
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Mon, 1966° / 53°0
66 °
Toney, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 53°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind4.3 mph E
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 2072° / 59°0.06
72 °
Toney, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 59°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind7.7 mph SE
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Wed, 2175° / 66°0.22
75 °
Toney, Wednesday, 21 October
Rain. High 75°, low 66°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8.1 mph E
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point68°
Thu, 2288° / 71°0.03
88 °
Toney, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 88°, low 71°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind14 mph S
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Fri, 2378° / 63°0.2
78 °
Toney, Friday, 23 October
Rain. High 78°, low 63°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11.9 mph S
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Sat, 2469° / 57°3.12
69 °
Toney, Saturday, 24 October
Heavy rain. High 69°, low 57°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind9 mph NE
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Sun, 2566° / 54°0.26
66 °
Toney, Sunday, 25 October
Rain. High 66°, low 54°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind5.4 mph NE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Mon, 2669° / 51°0
69 °
Toney, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 51°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind6.3 mph N
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Tue, 2756° / 50°0
56 °
Toney, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 50°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind5.6 mph E
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Wed, 2866° / 49°0
66 °
Toney, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 49°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind7.2 mph SE
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 2966° / 50°0.18
66 °
Toney, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high81° (2024)
Record low33° (2017)
Fri, 3067° / 51°0.21
67 °
Toney, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high80° (2024)
Record low31° (1993)
Sat, 3166° / 51°0.3
66 °
Toney, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.3 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high83° (2016)
Record low28° (1993)
Sun, 0165° / 50°0.24
65 °
Toney, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high80° (2016)
Record low26° (2023)
Mon, 0263° / 48°0.09
63 °
Toney, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high79° (2012)
Record low28° (1991)
Tue, 0363° / 48°0.14
63 °
Toney, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high80° (1978)
Record low21° (1991)
Wed, 0463° / 48°0.23
63 °
Toney, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.23 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high80° (1978)
Record low24° (1991)
Thu, 0563° / 47°0.24
63 °
Toney, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high80° (2017)
Record low28° (1991)
Fri, 0663° / 46°0.12
63 °
Toney, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high76° (2023)
Record low30° (1993)
Sat, 0763° / 47°0.13
63 °
Toney, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high79° (2005)
Record low27° (1993)
Sun, 0863° / 47°0.08
63 °
Toney, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high80° (2023)
Record low24° (1991)
Mon, 0963° / 47°0.14
63 °
Toney, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high78° (1980)
Record low25° (1991)
Tue, 1062° / 46°0.13
62 °
Toney, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high76° (1963)
Record low21° (2018)
Wed, 1160° / 44°0.11
60 °
Toney, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high78° (1989)
Record low25° (2019)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Toney, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Toney, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.