Monthly outlook for Toney, AR: average high 75.5°, average low 54.2°. That is 2.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 October (88.9°), the coolest 18 October (33.1°).
75.5°/54.2°
Average high / low
+2.5°
Above normal
4 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
10 October – 19 October
76.2°
72°
+2.3°
20 October – 29 October
74.4°
68.1°
+3.5°
30 October – 8 November
at normal
63.8°
—
October records over 66 years
92.8°8 October 1963All-time high
28°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Mountainburg (14 mi).
Sun, 1189° / 62°0
89 °
Toney, Sunday, 11 October
Partly cloudy. High 89°, low 62°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind5 mph SW
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point62°
Mon, 1286° / 66°0
86 °
Toney, Monday, 12 October
Clear. High 86°, low 66°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind4.8 mph SW
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point60°
Tue, 1387° / 67°0.01
87 °
Toney, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 87°, low 67°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind3.5 mph S
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point69°
Wed, 1479° / 73°0.92
79 °
Toney, Wednesday, 14 October
Heavy rain. High 79°, low 73°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind2.8 mph S
Humidity92%
Visibility4.3 mi
Dew point74°
Thu, 1587° / 71°0.25
87 °
Toney, Thursday, 15 October
Rain. High 87°, low 71°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5.4 mph SE
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point72°
Fri, 1671° / 53°0.09
71 °
Toney, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 71°, low 53°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind14.4 mph NW
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sat, 1752° / 39°0
52 °
Toney, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 52°, low 39°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind12.4 mph N
Humidity20%
Visibility—
Dew point10°
Sun, 1858° / 33°0
58 °
Toney, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 58°, low 33°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind4.6 mph E
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Mon, 1966° / 36°0
66 °
Toney, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 66°, low 36°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind5.8 mph SE
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Tue, 2070° / 42°0
70 °
Toney, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 42°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind10.8 mph SE
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Wed, 2174° / 50°0
74 °
Toney, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 74°, low 50°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6.9 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Thu, 2275° / 48°0
75 °
Toney, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 75°, low 48°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind3.8 mph NE
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 2378° / 52°0
78 °
Toney, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 78°, low 52°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind4.4 mph NE
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sat, 2481° / 56°0
81 °
Toney, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 81°, low 56°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind4.1 mph NE
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sun, 2570° / 58°0.08
70 °
Toney, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 58°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind11.6 mph N
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2668° / 51°0.13
68 °
Toney, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high83° (1963)
Record low39° (1994)
Tue, 2767° / 51°0.17
67 °
Toney, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high83° (1963)
Record low38° (2012)
Wed, 2866° / 50°0.16
66 °
Toney, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high84° (2024)
Record low32° (2017)
Thu, 2966° / 50°0.18
66 °
Toney, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high81° (2024)
Record low33° (2017)
Fri, 3067° / 51°0.21
67 °
Toney, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high80° (2024)
Record low31° (1993)
Sat, 3166° / 51°0.3
66 °
Toney, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.3 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high83° (2016)
Record low28° (1993)
Sun, 0165° / 50°0.24
65 °
Toney, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high80° (2016)
Record low26° (2023)
Mon, 0263° / 48°0.09
63 °
Toney, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high79° (2012)
Record low28° (1991)
Tue, 0363° / 48°0.14
63 °
Toney, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high80° (1978)
Record low21° (1991)
Wed, 0463° / 48°0.23
63 °
Toney, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.23 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high80° (1978)
Record low24° (1991)
Thu, 0563° / 47°0.24
63 °
Toney, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high80° (2017)
Record low28° (1991)
Fri, 0663° / 46°0.12
63 °
Toney, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high76° (2023)
Record low30° (1993)
Sat, 0763° / 47°0.13
63 °
Toney, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high79° (2005)
Record low27° (1993)
Sun, 0863° / 47°0.08
63 °
Toney, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high80° (2023)
Record low24° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Toney, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Toney, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.