Weather in Upperville, VA
Upperville, Wednesday, 14 October, 23:34
Overcast. Feels like 74°. High 85°, low 64°.
Monthly outlook for Upperville, VA: average high 66.7°, average low 49.3°. That is 1.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.7 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (84.7°), the coolest 18 October (38.7°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 October – 23 October | 68.2° | 64.8° | +1.9° |
| 24 October – 2 November | 64.3° | 61.4° | +1.6° |
| 3 November – 12 November | at normal | 57.5° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — The Plains (11 mi).
0.18
Upperville, Thursday, 15 October
Rain. High 73°, low 57°.
0.06Upperville, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 84°, low 56°.
0.04Upperville, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 45°.
0
Upperville, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 57°, low 39°.
0Upperville, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 63°, low 40°.
0Upperville, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 66°, low 39°.
0Upperville, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 66°, low 47°.
0Upperville, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 65°, low 46°.
0Upperville, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 67°, low 47°.
0Upperville, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 69°, low 49°.
0Upperville, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 68°, low 48°.
0.02Upperville, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 53°.
0.17Upperville, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 54°.
0.89Upperville, Wednesday, 28 October
Rain. High 59°, low 54°.
0.36Upperville, Thursday, 29 October
Rain. High 62°, low 52°.
0.11
Upperville, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05
Upperville, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Upperville, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Upperville, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Upperville, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Upperville, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Upperville, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Upperville, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Upperville, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Upperville, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Upperville, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Upperville, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Upperville, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.21
Upperville, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Upperville, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Upperville, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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