Weather in Elsom, VA
Elsom, Saturday, 10 October, 16:28
Overcast. Feels like 71°. High 71°, low 55°.
Monthly outlook for Elsom, VA: average high 69.6°, average low 50.4°. That is 0.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (86.4°), the coolest 19 October (36.3°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 October – 19 October | 72.1° | 69.2° | +1.6° |
| 20 October – 29 October | 65.5° | 65.9° | -0.2° |
| 30 October – 8 November | at normal | 63.1° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — West Point (3 mi).
0.41
Elsom, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 74°, low 60°.
0Elsom, Monday, 12 October
Overcast. High 75°, low 59°.
0
Elsom, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 81°, low 58°.
0Elsom, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 86°, low 65°.
0.02Elsom, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 58°.
0Elsom, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 81°, low 58°.
0.14Elsom, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 73°, low 49°.
0Elsom, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 41°.
0Elsom, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 52°, low 36°.
0Elsom, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 36°.
0Elsom, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 61°, low 39°.
0Elsom, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 64°, low 44°.
0Elsom, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 74°, low 51°.
0Elsom, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 69°, low 49°.
0
Elsom, Sunday, 25 October
Mostly clear. High 69°, low 47°.
0.15
Elsom, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Elsom, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Elsom, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Elsom, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Elsom, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Elsom, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Elsom, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Elsom, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Elsom, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14
Elsom, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Elsom, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Elsom, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Elsom, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Elsom, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elsom, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elsom, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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