Monthly outlook for Burnt Factory, VA: average high 64.4°, average low 45.8°. That is 4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.7 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 November (76.7°), the coolest 8 November (34.7°).
64.4°/45.8°
Average high / low
+4°
Above normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
30 October – 8 November
64.3°
58.8°
+3.1°
9 November – 18 November
64.4°
53.5°
+6.1°
19 November – 28 November
at normal
50.7°
—
October records over 66 years
90.9°2 October 2019All-time high
23.4°30 October 2011All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Winchester (5 mi).
Sat, 3162° / 40°0
62 °
Burnt Factory, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 40°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind3.1 mph NE
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Sun, 0164° / 48°0
64 °
Burnt Factory, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 48°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind6 mph SE
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Mon, 0268° / 45°0
68 °
Burnt Factory, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 45°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind4.7 mph S
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Tue, 0371° / 47°0
71 °
Burnt Factory, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 71°, low 47°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind9.7 mph SE
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Wed, 0469° / 48°0
69 °
Burnt Factory, Wednesday, 4 November
Mostly clear. High 69°, low 48°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind11.8 mph S
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Thu, 0567° / 60°0.63
67 °
Burnt Factory, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 67°, low 60°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind12.8 mph SE
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Fri, 0662° / 47°0.05
62 °
Burnt Factory, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 47°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind19.8 mph NW
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sat, 0755° / 39°0
55 °
Burnt Factory, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 55°, low 39°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind14.5 mph NW
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sun, 0853° / 35°0.01
53 °
Burnt Factory, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 35°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind5.3 mph N
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Mon, 0955° / 43°0
55 °
Burnt Factory, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 43°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind14.3 mph NW
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 1056° / 41°0
56 °
Burnt Factory, Tuesday, 10 November
Mostly clear. High 56°, low 41°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11.2 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Wed, 1160° / 39°0
60 °
Burnt Factory, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 39°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind3.7 mph W
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Thu, 1264° / 46°0.02
64 °
Burnt Factory, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 64°, low 46°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind5.1 mph SW
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Fri, 1377° / 54°0
77 °
Burnt Factory, Friday, 13 November
Partly cloudy. High 77°, low 54°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.6 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sat, 1474° / 55°0
74 °
Burnt Factory, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 74°, low 55°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind2.3 mph E
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 1554° / 37°0.1
54 °
Burnt Factory, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high75° (1973)
Record low24° (1996)
Mon, 1653° / 37°0.11
53 °
Burnt Factory, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high70° (2001)
Record low17° (1995)
Tue, 1751° / 36°0.08
51 °
Burnt Factory, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high69° (2023)
Record low12° (1995)
Wed, 1852° / 36°0.05
52 °
Burnt Factory, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high71° (1963)
Record low23° (2018)
Thu, 1953° / 36°0.09
53 °
Burnt Factory, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high71° (1985)
Record low19° (2014)
Fri, 2051° / 37°0.06
51 °
Burnt Factory, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high73° (1991)
Record low21° (1995)
Sat, 2150° / 36°0.09
50 °
Burnt Factory, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high71° (1991)
Record low23° (1984)
Sun, 2250° / 35°0.1
50 °
Burnt Factory, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high67° (1979)
Record low22° (1964)
Mon, 2350° / 34°0.06
50 °
Burnt Factory, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high69° (1979)
Record low17° (1989)
Tue, 2450° / 35°0.12
50 °
Burnt Factory, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low15° (1989)
Wed, 2550° / 34°0.07
50 °
Burnt Factory, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high72° (1973)
Record low19° (1970)
Thu, 2652° / 36°0.15
52 °
Burnt Factory, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high68° (2025)
Record low20° (1971)
Fri, 2751° / 36°0.11
51 °
Burnt Factory, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high66° (1976)
Record low23° (1977)
Sat, 2850° / 36°0.18
50 °
Burnt Factory, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high70° (1990)
Record low18° (2014)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Burnt Factory, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Burnt Factory, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.