Monthly outlook for Burnt Factory, VA: average high 62.4°, average low 46.7°. That is 2.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (75.3°), the coolest 12 November (36.3°).
62.4°/46.7°
Average high / low
+2.4°
Above normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
28 October – 6 November
66.1°
59.6°
+3.7°
7 November – 16 November
56.1°
54.5°
+0.9°
17 November – 26 November
at normal
50.9°
—
October records over 66 years
90.9°2 October 2019All-time high
23.4°30 October 2011All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Winchester (5 mi).
Thu, 2975° / 44°0
75 °
Burnt Factory, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 75°, low 44°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind3.5 mph S
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Fri, 3071° / 50°0
71 °
Burnt Factory, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 71°, low 50°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind9.1 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Sat, 3159° / 46°0
59 °
Burnt Factory, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 46°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind3 mph NE
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Sun, 0169° / 51°0
69 °
Burnt Factory, Sunday, 1 November
Mostly clear. High 69°, low 51°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind3.4 mph S
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Mon, 0270° / 47°0
70 °
Burnt Factory, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 70°, low 47°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind4.7 mph SE
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Tue, 0365° / 49°0
65 °
Burnt Factory, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 49°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind5.3 mph E
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Wed, 0458° / 54°0.08
58 °
Burnt Factory, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 54°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind10.9 mph E
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Thu, 0563° / 57°1.59
63 °
Burnt Factory, Thursday, 5 November
Heavy rain. High 63°, low 57°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind15.5 mph SE
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Fri, 0665° / 48°0.02
65 °
Burnt Factory, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 65°, low 48°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind15.3 mph W
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Sat, 0757° / 42°0
57 °
Burnt Factory, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 57°, low 42°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind14 mph W
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sun, 0859° / 40°0
59 °
Burnt Factory, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 40°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind7.9 mph W
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Mon, 0961° / 43°0
61 °
Burnt Factory, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 43°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind6.1 mph S
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 1058° / 54°0.01
58 °
Burnt Factory, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 54°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind10.1 mph S
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Wed, 1156° / 38°0.07
56 °
Burnt Factory, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 38°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind20 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Thu, 1246° / 36°0
46 °
Burnt Factory, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 46°, low 36°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind17.4 mph W
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 1352° / 37°0.07
52 °
Burnt Factory, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high69° (1964)
Record low21° (2019)
Sat, 1453° / 37°0.06
53 °
Burnt Factory, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high74° (1993)
Record low22° (1986)
Sun, 1554° / 37°0.1
54 °
Burnt Factory, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high75° (1973)
Record low24° (1996)
Mon, 1653° / 37°0.11
53 °
Burnt Factory, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high70° (2001)
Record low17° (1995)
Tue, 1751° / 36°0.08
51 °
Burnt Factory, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high69° (2023)
Record low12° (1995)
Wed, 1852° / 36°0.05
52 °
Burnt Factory, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high71° (1963)
Record low23° (2018)
Thu, 1953° / 36°0.09
53 °
Burnt Factory, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high71° (1985)
Record low19° (2014)
Fri, 2051° / 37°0.06
51 °
Burnt Factory, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high73° (1991)
Record low21° (1995)
Sat, 2150° / 36°0.09
50 °
Burnt Factory, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high71° (1991)
Record low23° (1984)
Sun, 2250° / 35°0.1
50 °
Burnt Factory, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high67° (1979)
Record low22° (1964)
Mon, 2350° / 34°0.06
50 °
Burnt Factory, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high69° (1979)
Record low17° (1989)
Tue, 2450° / 35°0.12
50 °
Burnt Factory, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low15° (1989)
Wed, 2550° / 34°0.07
50 °
Burnt Factory, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high72° (1973)
Record low19° (1970)
Thu, 2652° / 36°0.15
52 °
Burnt Factory, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high68° (2025)
Record low20° (1971)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Burnt Factory, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Burnt Factory, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.