Monthly outlook for Burnt Factory, VA: average high 60.8°, average low 43°. That is 2.9° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 5 November (75.1°), the coolest 17 November (28.6°).
60.8°/43°
Average high / low
+2.9°
Above normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
2 November – 11 November
65.1°
57.4°
+4.3°
12 November – 21 November
53.6°
52.2°
+0.8°
22 November – 1 December
at normal
49.6°
—
November records over 66 years
80.1°6 November 2024All-time high
11.7°17 November 1995All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Winchester (5 mi).
Tue, 0373° / 44°0
73 °
Burnt Factory, Tuesday, 3 November
Partly cloudy. High 73°, low 44°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind5.4 mph SE
Humidity41%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Wed, 0474° / 47°0
74 °
Burnt Factory, Wednesday, 4 November
Partly cloudy. High 74°, low 47°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind10.1 mph S
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Thu, 0575° / 60°0.36
75 °
Burnt Factory, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 75°, low 60°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind8.9 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point62°
Fri, 0670° / 57°0.07
70 °
Burnt Factory, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 70°, low 57°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind2.8 mph NE
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Sat, 0771° / 52°0.03
71 °
Burnt Factory, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 71°, low 52°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind10.5 mph NW
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sun, 0863° / 48°0.02
63 °
Burnt Factory, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 63°, low 48°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.3 mph SE
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Mon, 0951° / 45°0.08
51 °
Burnt Factory, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 45°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind15.4 mph W
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 1051° / 39°0
51 °
Burnt Factory, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 51°, low 39°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind18.8 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Wed, 1157° / 41°0
57 °
Burnt Factory, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 57°, low 41°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind15 mph NW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Thu, 1258° / 41°0
58 °
Burnt Factory, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 41°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind15.2 mph W
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Fri, 1352° / 38°0
52 °
Burnt Factory, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 38°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind4 mph W
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sat, 1462° / 34°0
62 °
Burnt Factory, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 62°, low 34°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind17.1 mph W
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Sun, 1553° / 36°0
53 °
Burnt Factory, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 36°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind5.2 mph NW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Mon, 1648° / 32°0
48 °
Burnt Factory, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 32°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind9.6 mph NE
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Tue, 1748° / 29°0
48 °
Burnt Factory, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 29°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind11.2 mph E
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 1852° / 36°0.05
52 °
Burnt Factory, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high71° (1963)
Record low23° (2018)
Thu, 1953° / 36°0.09
53 °
Burnt Factory, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high71° (1985)
Record low19° (2014)
Fri, 2051° / 37°0.06
51 °
Burnt Factory, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high73° (1991)
Record low21° (1995)
Sat, 2150° / 36°0.09
50 °
Burnt Factory, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high71° (1991)
Record low23° (1984)
Sun, 2250° / 35°0.1
50 °
Burnt Factory, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high67° (1979)
Record low22° (1964)
Mon, 2350° / 34°0.06
50 °
Burnt Factory, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high69° (1979)
Record low17° (1989)
Tue, 2450° / 35°0.12
50 °
Burnt Factory, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low15° (1989)
Wed, 2550° / 34°0.07
50 °
Burnt Factory, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high72° (1973)
Record low19° (1970)
Thu, 2652° / 36°0.15
52 °
Burnt Factory, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high68° (2025)
Record low20° (1971)
Fri, 2751° / 36°0.11
51 °
Burnt Factory, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high66° (1976)
Record low23° (1977)
Sat, 2850° / 36°0.18
50 °
Burnt Factory, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high70° (1990)
Record low18° (2014)
Sun, 2948° / 34°0.12
48 °
Burnt Factory, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high68° (1998)
Record low17° (2014)
Mon, 3047° / 34°0.11
47 °
Burnt Factory, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high69° (1998)
Record low17° (1976)
Tue, 0147° / 33°0.19
47 °
Burnt Factory, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high70° (2006)
Record low14° (1967)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Burnt Factory, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Burnt Factory, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.