Monthly outlook for Burnt Factory, VA: average high 59.2°, average low 45.6°. That is 1.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 5.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 5 November (74.6°), the coolest 12 November (39°).
59.2°/45.6°
Average high / low
+1.4°
Above normal
6 / 4
Wet days / normal
5.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
31 October – 9 November
65.5°
58.5°
+3.9°
10 November – 19 November
48.8°
53.1°
-2.4°
20 November – 29 November
at normal
50.3°
—
October records over 66 years
90.9°2 October 2019All-time high
23.4°30 October 2011All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Winchester (5 mi).
Sun, 0168° / 41°0
68 °
Burnt Factory, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 41°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind4.9 mph SE
Humidity41%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Mon, 0267° / 41°0
67 °
Burnt Factory, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 41°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind4.5 mph SE
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Tue, 0374° / 47°0
74 °
Burnt Factory, Tuesday, 3 November
Mostly clear. High 74°, low 47°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6.1 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Wed, 0473° / 51°0
73 °
Burnt Factory, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 73°, low 51°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind6.9 mph S
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Thu, 0575° / 61°0.33
75 °
Burnt Factory, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 75°, low 61°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind10.6 mph SW
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Fri, 0667° / 58°0.73
67 °
Burnt Factory, Friday, 6 November
Heavy rain. High 67°, low 58°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind9.1 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Sat, 0764° / 54°0
64 °
Burnt Factory, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 54°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind9 mph NW
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Sun, 0856° / 43°0.35
56 °
Burnt Factory, Sunday, 8 November
Rain. High 56°, low 43°.
Pressure29.41 inHg
Wind20.2 mph W
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Mon, 0950° / 42°0.01
50 °
Burnt Factory, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 42°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind19.1 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 1049° / 44°0
49 °
Burnt Factory, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 44°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind17.7 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 1150° / 41°0
50 °
Burnt Factory, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 50°, low 41°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind15.5 mph W
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Thu, 1252° / 39°0
52 °
Burnt Factory, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 39°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind10.4 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Fri, 1346° / 39°0.15
46 °
Burnt Factory, Friday, 13 November
Rain. High 46°, low 39°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind6.6 mph SE
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 1450° / 45°3.57
50 °
Burnt Factory, Saturday, 14 November
Heavy rain. High 50°, low 45°.
Pressure29.18 inHg
Wind28.3 mph NW
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sun, 1545° / 43°0.11
45 °
Burnt Factory, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 43°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind23.3 mph NW
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 1653° / 37°0.11
53 °
Burnt Factory, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high70° (2001)
Record low17° (1995)
Tue, 1751° / 36°0.08
51 °
Burnt Factory, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high69° (2023)
Record low12° (1995)
Wed, 1852° / 36°0.05
52 °
Burnt Factory, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high71° (1963)
Record low23° (2018)
Thu, 1953° / 36°0.09
53 °
Burnt Factory, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high71° (1985)
Record low19° (2014)
Fri, 2051° / 37°0.06
51 °
Burnt Factory, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high73° (1991)
Record low21° (1995)
Sat, 2150° / 36°0.09
50 °
Burnt Factory, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high71° (1991)
Record low23° (1984)
Sun, 2250° / 35°0.1
50 °
Burnt Factory, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high67° (1979)
Record low22° (1964)
Mon, 2350° / 34°0.06
50 °
Burnt Factory, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high69° (1979)
Record low17° (1989)
Tue, 2450° / 35°0.12
50 °
Burnt Factory, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low15° (1989)
Wed, 2550° / 34°0.07
50 °
Burnt Factory, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high72° (1973)
Record low19° (1970)
Thu, 2652° / 36°0.15
52 °
Burnt Factory, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high68° (2025)
Record low20° (1971)
Fri, 2751° / 36°0.11
51 °
Burnt Factory, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high66° (1976)
Record low23° (1977)
Sat, 2850° / 36°0.18
50 °
Burnt Factory, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high70° (1990)
Record low18° (2014)
Sun, 2948° / 34°0.12
48 °
Burnt Factory, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high68° (1998)
Record low17° (2014)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Burnt Factory, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Burnt Factory, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.