Monthly outlook for Burning Knolls, VA: average high 84.5°, average low 63.7°. That is 0.6° above the climate normal for August. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 1.0 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 10 August (95.2°), the coolest 22 August (54°).
84.5°/63.7°
Average high / low
+0.6°
Above normal
7 / 6
Wet days / normal
1.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
9 August – 18 August
84.4°
84°
+0.2°
19 August – 28 August
84.6°
82.9°
+0.9°
29 August – 7 September
at normal
81.5°
—
August records over 66 years
99.7°12 August 2021All-time high
47.7°30 August 1986All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Winchester (4 mi).
Mon, 1095° / 69°0.16
95 °
Burning Knolls, Monday, 10 August
Rain. High 95°, low 69°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind7.1 mph W
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point65°
Tue, 1190° / 67°0.28
90 °
Burning Knolls, Tuesday, 11 August
Heavy rain. High 90°, low 67°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9.9 mph W
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point65°
Wed, 1291° / 68°0.13
91 °
Burning Knolls, Wednesday, 12 August
Light rain. High 91°, low 68°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind7.6 mph W
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point64°
Thu, 1382° / 65°0.18
82 °
Burning Knolls, Thursday, 13 August
Light rain. High 82°, low 65°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind14.5 mph NW
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Fri, 1473° / 61°0
73 °
Burning Knolls, Friday, 14 August
Overcast. High 73°, low 61°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind6.5 mph S
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sat, 1582° / 57°0
82 °
Burning Knolls, Saturday, 15 August
Clear. High 82°, low 57°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind9.6 mph NW
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sun, 1684° / 57°0
84 °
Burning Knolls, Sunday, 16 August
Overcast. High 84°, low 57°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8.9 mph SE
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Mon, 1779° / 66°0.09
79 °
Burning Knolls, Monday, 17 August
Light rain. High 79°, low 66°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind6.9 mph S
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Tue, 1878° / 65°0
78 °
Burning Knolls, Tuesday, 18 August
Overcast. High 78°, low 65°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind6.5 mph SE
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Wed, 1990° / 64°0
90 °
Burning Knolls, Wednesday, 19 August
Overcast. High 90°, low 64°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind8.4 mph S
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Thu, 2079° / 66°0.1
79 °
Burning Knolls, Thursday, 20 August
Light rain. High 79°, low 66°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind16.9 mph NW
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Fri, 2180° / 58°0
80 °
Burning Knolls, Friday, 21 August
Clear. High 80°, low 58°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Sat, 2284° / 54°0
84 °
Burning Knolls, Saturday, 22 August
Partly cloudy. High 84°, low 54°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind6.6 mph SE
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sun, 2384° / 64°0.12
84 °
Burning Knolls, Sunday, 23 August
Light rain. High 84°, low 64°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind9.6 mph SW
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Mon, 2491° / 68°0
91 °
Burning Knolls, Monday, 24 August
Mostly clear. High 91°, low 68°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind14.2 mph W
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2583° / 64°0.06
83 °
Burning Knolls, Tuesday, 25 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high83°
Average low64°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high96° (2007)
Record low52° (1971)
Wed, 2684° / 64°0.06
84 °
Burning Knolls, Wednesday, 26 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high84°
Average low64°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high95° (2021)
Record low54° (1963)
Thu, 2784° / 66°0.11
84 °
Burning Knolls, Thursday, 27 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high84°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high94° (2020)
Record low55° (1969)
Fri, 2884° / 66°0.12
84 °
Burning Knolls, Friday, 28 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high84°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high98° (2024)
Record low52° (2025)
Sat, 2983° / 65°0.09
83 °
Burning Knolls, Saturday, 29 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high83°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high94° (2018)
Record low48° (1986)
Sun, 3083° / 64°0.06
83 °
Burning Knolls, Sunday, 30 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high83°
Average low64°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high95° (2010)
Record low48° (1986)
Mon, 3182° / 65°0.09
82 °
Burning Knolls, Monday, 31 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high82°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high96° (2010)
Record low50° (1986)
Tue, 0181° / 63°0.11
81 °
Burning Knolls, Tuesday, 1 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high81°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high97° (2010)
Record low51° (1967)
Wed, 0282° / 63°0.08
82 °
Burning Knolls, Wednesday, 2 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high82°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high97° (2010)
Record low52° (1967)
Thu, 0382° / 63°0.07
82 °
Burning Knolls, Thursday, 3 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high82°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high96° (2010)
Record low50° (1967)
Fri, 0481° / 64°0.11
81 °
Burning Knolls, Friday, 4 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high81°
Average low64°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high99° (2023)
Record low51° (2024)
Sat, 0581° / 63°0.14
81 °
Burning Knolls, Saturday, 5 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high81°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high99° (2023)
Record low50° (1997)
Sun, 0680° / 62°0.24
80 °
Burning Knolls, Sunday, 6 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high80°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high98° (2023)
Record low49° (2000)
Mon, 0780° / 62°0.06
80 °
Burning Knolls, Monday, 7 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high80°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high93° (2010)
Record low49° (1984)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Burning Knolls, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Burning Knolls, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.