Monthly outlook for Burning Knolls, VA: average high 60.1°, average low 44.6°. That is 1.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 7.6 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (74.4°), the coolest 9 November (31.6°).
60.1°/44.6°
Average high / low
+1.1°
Above normal
6 / 4
Wet days / normal
7.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
28 October – 6 November
65.3°
59.6°
+3.2°
7 November – 16 November
51.4°
54.5°
-1.8°
17 November – 26 November
at normal
50.9°
—
October records over 66 years
90.9°2 October 2019All-time high
23.4°30 October 2011All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Winchester (4 mi).
Thu, 2974° / 42°0
74 °
Burning Knolls, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 74°, low 42°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind3.8 mph S
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Fri, 3071° / 48°0
71 °
Burning Knolls, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 71°, low 48°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind9.3 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Sat, 3160° / 45°0
60 °
Burning Knolls, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 45°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind2.4 mph E
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Sun, 0169° / 47°0
69 °
Burning Knolls, Sunday, 1 November
Mostly clear. High 69°, low 47°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind8.3 mph S
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Mon, 0269° / 45°0
69 °
Burning Knolls, Monday, 2 November
Partly cloudy. High 69°, low 45°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.7 mph SW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Tue, 0359° / 51°0.25
59 °
Burning Knolls, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 51°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9.5 mph NE
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Wed, 0456° / 52°0.94
56 °
Burning Knolls, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 56°, low 52°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8.6 mph NE
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Thu, 0565° / 61°1.9
65 °
Burning Knolls, Thursday, 5 November
Heavy rain. High 65°, low 61°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind11.4 mph SE
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
Fri, 0663° / 48°1.2
63 °
Burning Knolls, Friday, 6 November
Heavy rain. High 63°, low 48°.
Pressure29.47 inHg
Wind16.8 mph W
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Sat, 0752° / 39°0
52 °
Burning Knolls, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 52°, low 39°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sun, 0849° / 35°0
49 °
Burning Knolls, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 49°, low 35°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind7.1 mph N
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Mon, 0950° / 32°0
50 °
Burning Knolls, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 50°, low 32°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind3.6 mph E
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Tue, 1051° / 32°0
51 °
Burning Knolls, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 32°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.8 mph SE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Wed, 1152° / 42°0.76
52 °
Burning Knolls, Wednesday, 11 November
Rain. High 52°, low 42°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11.2 mph NE
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Thu, 1254° / 48°2.57
54 °
Burning Knolls, Thursday, 12 November
Heavy rain. High 54°, low 48°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind10.3 mph NE
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 1352° / 37°0.07
52 °
Burning Knolls, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high69° (1964)
Record low21° (2019)
Sat, 1453° / 37°0.06
53 °
Burning Knolls, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high74° (1993)
Record low22° (1986)
Sun, 1554° / 37°0.1
54 °
Burning Knolls, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high75° (1973)
Record low24° (1996)
Mon, 1653° / 37°0.11
53 °
Burning Knolls, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high70° (2001)
Record low17° (1995)
Tue, 1751° / 36°0.08
51 °
Burning Knolls, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high69° (2023)
Record low12° (1995)
Wed, 1852° / 36°0.05
52 °
Burning Knolls, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high71° (1963)
Record low23° (2018)
Thu, 1953° / 36°0.09
53 °
Burning Knolls, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high71° (1985)
Record low19° (2014)
Fri, 2051° / 37°0.06
51 °
Burning Knolls, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high73° (1991)
Record low21° (1995)
Sat, 2150° / 36°0.09
50 °
Burning Knolls, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high71° (1991)
Record low23° (1984)
Sun, 2250° / 35°0.1
50 °
Burning Knolls, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high67° (1979)
Record low22° (1964)
Mon, 2350° / 34°0.06
50 °
Burning Knolls, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high69° (1979)
Record low17° (1989)
Tue, 2450° / 35°0.12
50 °
Burning Knolls, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low15° (1989)
Wed, 2550° / 34°0.07
50 °
Burning Knolls, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high72° (1973)
Record low19° (1970)
Thu, 2652° / 36°0.15
52 °
Burning Knolls, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high68° (2025)
Record low20° (1971)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Burning Knolls, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Burning Knolls, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.