Weather in Monarch, VA
Monarch, Thursday, 8 October, 02:18
Clear. Feels like 53°. High 77°, low 51°.
Monthly outlook for Monarch, VA: average high 69.3°, average low 51.3°. That is 2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.2 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 9 October (77.5°), the coolest 21 October (43.1°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 October – 17 October | 73.6° | 66.8° | +3.8° |
| 18 October – 27 October | 62.1° | 63.1° | -0.6° |
| 28 October – 6 November | at normal | 60.5° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lynch (11 mi).
0
Monarch, Friday, 9 October
Overcast. High 77°, low 47°.
0.11
Monarch, Saturday, 10 October
Rain. High 69°, low 55°.
0.41Monarch, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 74°, low 58°.
0.19Monarch, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 58°.
0.01Monarch, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 77°, low 56°.
0.01Monarch, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 69°, low 48°.
0
Monarch, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 74°, low 52°.
0Monarch, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 77°, low 57°.
0Monarch, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 76°, low 55°.
0Monarch, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 51°.
0Monarch, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 45°.
0Monarch, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 66°, low 44°.
0Monarch, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 43°.
0.27Monarch, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 55°, low 50°.
0.2Monarch, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 51°.
0.09
Monarch, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Monarch, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11
Monarch, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Monarch, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Monarch, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Monarch, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Monarch, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Monarch, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Monarch, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Monarch, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Monarch, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Monarch, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Monarch, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Monarch, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Monarch, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Monarch, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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