Weather in Old Tavern, VA
Old Tavern, Sunday, 1 November, 03:16
Overcast. Feels like 47°. High 64°, low 44°.
Monthly outlook for Old Tavern, VA: average high 58.1°, average low 45.8°. That is 0.6° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 5.6 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 6 November (70.2°), the coolest 12 November (37.5°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 November – 10 November | 63.1° | 58.8° | +2.4° |
| 11 November – 20 November | 49.8° | 53.6° | -2.1° |
| 21 November – 30 November | at normal | 51° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — The Plains (3 mi).
0Old Tavern, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 43°.
0
Old Tavern, Tuesday, 3 November
Clear. High 68°, low 46°.
0
Old Tavern, Wednesday, 4 November
Mostly clear. High 70°, low 51°.
0.31
Old Tavern, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 70°, low 60°.
1.33Old Tavern, Friday, 6 November
Heavy rain. High 70°, low 59°.
0.05Old Tavern, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 64°, low 54°.
0.09Old Tavern, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 44°.
0.01Old Tavern, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 42°.
0Old Tavern, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 44°.
0Old Tavern, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 50°, low 41°.
0
Old Tavern, Thursday, 12 November
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 37°.
0.2Old Tavern, Friday, 13 November
Rain. High 46°, low 39°.
3.53Old Tavern, Saturday, 14 November
Heavy rain. High 51°, low 45°.
0.1Old Tavern, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 42°.
0Old Tavern, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 55°, low 39°.
0.08Old Tavern, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Old Tavern, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Old Tavern, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Old Tavern, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Old Tavern, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Old Tavern, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Old Tavern, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13
Old Tavern, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Old Tavern, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Old Tavern, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Old Tavern, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Old Tavern, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Old Tavern, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Old Tavern, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Old Tavern, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Old Tavern, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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