Weather in Old Tavern, VA
Old Tavern, Sunday, 15 November, 11:48
Overcast. Feels like 47°. High 50°, low 40°.
Monthly outlook for Old Tavern, VA: average high 55.8°, average low 39°. That is 2.2° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 November (67.4°), the coolest 30 November (32.3°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 November – 24 November | 57.2° | 52.4° | +2.7° |
| 25 November – 4 December | 53.5° | 49.9° | +2° |
| 5 December – 14 December | at normal | 45.4° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — The Plains (3 mi).
0
Old Tavern, Monday, 16 November
Partly cloudy. High 54°, low 40°.
0
Old Tavern, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 59°, low 35°.
0Old Tavern, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 62°, low 38°.
0Old Tavern, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 66°, low 39°.
0Old Tavern, Friday, 20 November
Clear. High 67°, low 43°.
0Old Tavern, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 42°.
0Old Tavern, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 44°.
0Old Tavern, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 39°.
0
Old Tavern, Tuesday, 24 November
Mostly clear. High 49°, low 35°.
0Old Tavern, Wednesday, 25 November
Partly cloudy. High 52°, low 34°.
0Old Tavern, Thursday, 26 November
Partly cloudy. High 54°, low 34°.
0.05
Old Tavern, Friday, 27 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 39°.
0.21Old Tavern, Saturday, 28 November
Light rain. High 63°, low 51°.
0Old Tavern, Sunday, 29 November
Clear. High 55°, low 40°.
0Old Tavern, Monday, 30 November
Overcast. High 42°, low 32°.
0.17
Old Tavern, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Old Tavern, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Old Tavern, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Old Tavern, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Old Tavern, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Old Tavern, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Old Tavern, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Old Tavern, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Old Tavern, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Old Tavern, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Old Tavern, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Old Tavern, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Old Tavern, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Old Tavern, Monday, 14 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Old Tavern, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Old Tavern, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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