Monthly outlook for Old Tavern, VA: average high 57.9°, average low 43.8°. That is 0° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (73.3°), the coolest 13 November (33.6°).
57.9°/43.8°
Average high / low
+0°
Above normal
4 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
30 October – 8 November
63.3°
59.5°
+2.1°
9 November – 18 November
49.1°
54.5°
-3°
19 November – 28 November
at normal
51.7°
—
October records over 66 years
92.7°2 October 2019All-time high
27.1°30 October 2011All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — The Plains (3 mi).
Sat, 3162° / 43°0
62 °
Old Tavern, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 43°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind5.1 mph N
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Sun, 0162° / 43°0
62 °
Old Tavern, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 43°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind5.9 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Mon, 0266° / 46°0
66 °
Old Tavern, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 66°, low 46°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind7.1 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Tue, 0368° / 47°0
68 °
Old Tavern, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 47°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind7.3 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Wed, 0469° / 51°0
69 °
Old Tavern, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 69°, low 51°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind11.8 mph S
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Thu, 0564° / 62°0.85
64 °
Old Tavern, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 64°, low 62°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind11.9 mph SE
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Fri, 0663° / 59°0.55
63 °
Old Tavern, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 63°, low 59°.
Pressure29.38 inHg
Wind14.8 mph NW
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Sat, 0757° / 46°0
57 °
Old Tavern, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 46°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind15.8 mph NW
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sun, 0849° / 37°0
49 °
Old Tavern, Sunday, 8 November
Partly cloudy. High 49°, low 37°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind14.2 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Mon, 0953° / 34°0
53 °
Old Tavern, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 34°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind4.1 mph NW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Tue, 1044° / 37°0.38
44 °
Old Tavern, Tuesday, 10 November
Rain. High 44°, low 37°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind4.7 mph SE
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Wed, 1144° / 40°0.07
44 °
Old Tavern, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 40°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind10.3 mph N
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Thu, 1249° / 35°0
49 °
Old Tavern, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 49°, low 35°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.8 mph N
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Fri, 1354° / 34°0
54 °
Old Tavern, Friday, 13 November
Clear. High 54°, low 34°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind4.1 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sat, 1451° / 39°0
51 °
Old Tavern, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 39°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind9 mph S
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 1555° / 38°0.09
55 °
Old Tavern, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high75° (1993)
Record low26° (1995)
Mon, 1654° / 37°0.11
54 °
Old Tavern, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high71° (2001)
Record low17° (1995)
Tue, 1753° / 37°0.08
53 °
Old Tavern, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high69° (1987)
Record low20° (1995)
Wed, 1853° / 37°0.05
53 °
Old Tavern, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high71° (1963)
Record low25° (2014)
Thu, 1953° / 37°0.1
53 °
Old Tavern, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (1985)
Record low22° (2014)
Fri, 2053° / 38°0.06
53 °
Old Tavern, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high75° (1985)
Record low27° (2021)
Sat, 2151° / 37°0.09
51 °
Old Tavern, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high75° (1991)
Record low22° (2022)
Sun, 2251° / 36°0.09
51 °
Old Tavern, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high69° (2007)
Record low23° (1964)
Mon, 2351° / 35°0.06
51 °
Old Tavern, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high69° (1979)
Record low18° (1989)
Tue, 2451° / 35°0.13
51 °
Old Tavern, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high69° (1979)
Record low11° (1989)
Wed, 2551° / 35°0.07
51 °
Old Tavern, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high73° (1973)
Record low19° (1989)
Thu, 2653° / 36°0.12
53 °
Old Tavern, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high68° (2025)
Record low21° (1971)
Fri, 2751° / 37°0.1
51 °
Old Tavern, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high68° (1973)
Record low24° (1974)
Sat, 2852° / 37°0.17
52 °
Old Tavern, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high69° (1990)
Record low24° (1971)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Old Tavern, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Old Tavern, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.