Weather in Old Tavern, VA
Old Tavern, Thursday, 22 October, 08:00
Clear. Feels like 39°. High 66°, low 41°.
Monthly outlook for Old Tavern, VA: average high 61.3°, average low 46°. That is 0.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (74.1°), the coolest 5 November (34.8°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 October – 31 October | 65.1° | 61.8° | +1.9° |
| 1 November – 10 November | 55° | 58.8° | -2.1° |
| 11 November – 20 November | at normal | 53.6° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — The Plains (3 mi).
0
Old Tavern, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 44°.
0Old Tavern, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 58°, low 41°.
0Old Tavern, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 61°, low 41°.
0Old Tavern, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 66°, low 42°.
0Old Tavern, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 63°, low 50°.
0
Old Tavern, Wednesday, 28 October
Partly cloudy. High 66°, low 48°.
0Old Tavern, Thursday, 29 October
Partly cloudy. High 74°, low 50°.
0Old Tavern, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 54°.
0Old Tavern, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 51°.
0Old Tavern, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 54°.
1.07
Old Tavern, Monday, 2 November
Heavy rain. High 60°, low 51°.
0Old Tavern, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 47°.
0Old Tavern, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 45°.
0Old Tavern, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 35°.
0.25Old Tavern, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 43°.
0.11Old Tavern, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Old Tavern, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Old Tavern, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Old Tavern, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Old Tavern, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.21
Old Tavern, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Old Tavern, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Old Tavern, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Old Tavern, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Old Tavern, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Old Tavern, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Old Tavern, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Old Tavern, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Old Tavern, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Old Tavern, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Old Tavern, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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