Monthly outlook for Old Tavern, VA: average high 59.6°, average low 45.1°. That is 0.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 2.2 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (71.4°), the coolest 12 November (32.4°).
59.6°/45.1°
Average high / low
+0.9°
Above normal
4 / 4
Wet days / normal
2.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
30 October – 8 November
64.2°
59.5°
+2.6°
9 November – 18 November
51.9°
54.5°
-1.4°
19 November – 28 November
at normal
51.7°
—
October records over 66 years
92.7°2 October 2019All-time high
27.1°30 October 2011All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — The Plains (3 mi).
Sat, 3160° / 43°0
60 °
Old Tavern, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 43°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind4.4 mph N
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Sun, 0160° / 47°0
60 °
Old Tavern, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 47°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind5.1 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Mon, 0266° / 44°0
66 °
Old Tavern, Monday, 2 November
Partly cloudy. High 66°, low 44°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind5.3 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Tue, 0369° / 47°0
69 °
Old Tavern, Tuesday, 3 November
Partly cloudy. High 69°, low 47°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind9.7 mph S
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Wed, 0467° / 49°0
67 °
Old Tavern, Wednesday, 4 November
Mostly clear. High 67°, low 49°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind10.1 mph SE
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Thu, 0564° / 56°1.56
64 °
Old Tavern, Thursday, 5 November
Heavy rain. High 64°, low 56°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind7.3 mph SE
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Fri, 0669° / 59°0.22
69 °
Old Tavern, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 69°, low 59°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind12.2 mph NW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Sat, 0759° / 48°0
59 °
Old Tavern, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 48°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind17.2 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sun, 0856° / 40°0
56 °
Old Tavern, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 56°, low 40°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind9.8 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Mon, 0957° / 40°0.11
57 °
Old Tavern, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 40°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8.1 mph SW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Tue, 1053° / 49°0.04
53 °
Old Tavern, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 49°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind8.9 mph NW
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Wed, 1150° / 37°0
50 °
Old Tavern, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 37°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind13.8 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Thu, 1248° / 32°0
48 °
Old Tavern, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 32°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind6.6 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Fri, 1346° / 40°0.23
46 °
Old Tavern, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 40°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind4.8 mph S
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Sat, 1457° / 39°0
57 °
Old Tavern, Saturday, 14 November
Mostly clear. High 57°, low 39°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind3.8 mph W
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 1555° / 38°0.09
55 °
Old Tavern, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high75° (1993)
Record low26° (1995)
Mon, 1654° / 37°0.11
54 °
Old Tavern, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high71° (2001)
Record low17° (1995)
Tue, 1753° / 37°0.08
53 °
Old Tavern, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high69° (1987)
Record low20° (1995)
Wed, 1853° / 37°0.05
53 °
Old Tavern, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high71° (1963)
Record low25° (2014)
Thu, 1953° / 37°0.1
53 °
Old Tavern, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (1985)
Record low22° (2014)
Fri, 2053° / 38°0.06
53 °
Old Tavern, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high75° (1985)
Record low27° (2021)
Sat, 2151° / 37°0.09
51 °
Old Tavern, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high75° (1991)
Record low22° (2022)
Sun, 2251° / 36°0.09
51 °
Old Tavern, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high69° (2007)
Record low23° (1964)
Mon, 2351° / 35°0.06
51 °
Old Tavern, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high69° (1979)
Record low18° (1989)
Tue, 2451° / 35°0.13
51 °
Old Tavern, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high69° (1979)
Record low11° (1989)
Wed, 2551° / 35°0.07
51 °
Old Tavern, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high73° (1973)
Record low19° (1989)
Thu, 2653° / 36°0.12
53 °
Old Tavern, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high68° (2025)
Record low21° (1971)
Fri, 2751° / 37°0.1
51 °
Old Tavern, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high68° (1973)
Record low24° (1974)
Sat, 2852° / 37°0.17
52 °
Old Tavern, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high69° (1990)
Record low24° (1971)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Old Tavern, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Old Tavern, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.