Weather in Old Tavern, VA
Old Tavern, Monday, 2 November, 18:17
Overcast. Feels like 56°. High 65°, low 44°.
Monthly outlook for Old Tavern, VA: average high 59.9°, average low 42.9°. That is 1.9° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 3 November (72.7°), the coolest 17 November (30°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 November – 11 November | 63.9° | 58.2° | +3.2° |
| 12 November – 21 November | 53.3° | 53.1° | +0.1° |
| 22 November – 1 December | at normal | 50.7° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — The Plains (3 mi).
0Old Tavern, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 73°, low 42°.
0
Old Tavern, Wednesday, 4 November
Mostly clear. High 69°, low 46°.
0.54
Old Tavern, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 71°, low 58°.
0.06Old Tavern, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 68°, low 58°.
0.03Old Tavern, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 69°, low 54°.
0.02Old Tavern, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 48°.
0.18Old Tavern, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 46°.
0
Old Tavern, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 51°, low 39°.
0Old Tavern, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 58°, low 37°.
0Old Tavern, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 44°.
0Old Tavern, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 38°.
0Old Tavern, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 61°, low 34°.
0Old Tavern, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 36°.
0Old Tavern, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 33°.
0Old Tavern, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 30°.
0.05
Old Tavern, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Old Tavern, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Old Tavern, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Old Tavern, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Old Tavern, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Old Tavern, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13
Old Tavern, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Old Tavern, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Old Tavern, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Old Tavern, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Old Tavern, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Old Tavern, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Old Tavern, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Old Tavern, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Old Tavern, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Old Tavern, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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