Monthly outlook for Old Tavern, VA: average high 58.4°, average low 41.2°. That is 0.7° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.5 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (74.8°), the coolest 6 November (28.4°).
58.4°/41.2°
Average high / low
−0.7°
Below normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
26 October – 4 November
63.5°
60.9°
+1.4°
5 November – 14 November
50°
56.2°
-3.4°
15 November – 24 November
at normal
52.4°
—
October records over 66 years
92.7°2 October 2019All-time high
27.1°30 October 2011All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — The Plains (3 mi).
Tue, 2768° / 44°0
68 °
Old Tavern, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 68°, low 44°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.9 mph NE
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point50°
Wed, 2863° / 46°0
63 °
Old Tavern, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 46°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind4.9 mph S
Humidity82%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Thu, 2967° / 49°0
67 °
Old Tavern, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 49°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6 mph S
Humidity78%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Fri, 3075° / 50°0
75 °
Old Tavern, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 75°, low 50°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind5.7 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sat, 3163° / 49°0
63 °
Old Tavern, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 49°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind4.9 mph E
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sun, 0161° / 44°0
61 °
Old Tavern, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 44°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind6.5 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Mon, 0258° / 51°1.4
58 °
Old Tavern, Monday, 2 November
Heavy rain. High 58°, low 51°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind9.2 mph E
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Tue, 0357° / 51°0
57 °
Old Tavern, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 51°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind12.7 mph NW
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Wed, 0453° / 40°0
53 °
Old Tavern, Wednesday, 4 November
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 40°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9.3 mph N
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Thu, 0547° / 34°0.07
47 °
Old Tavern, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 34°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind8.6 mph N
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Fri, 0647° / 28°0
47 °
Old Tavern, Friday, 6 November
Clear. High 47°, low 28°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind6.7 mph N
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Sat, 0752° / 30°0
52 °
Old Tavern, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 52°, low 30°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind5.7 mph S
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Sun, 0848° / 33°0.04
48 °
Old Tavern, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 33°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind6.1 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Mon, 0952° / 38°0
52 °
Old Tavern, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 38°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind17 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Tue, 1054° / 32°0
54 °
Old Tavern, Tuesday, 10 November
Mostly clear. High 54°, low 32°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind5.1 mph NW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 1156° / 40°0.17
56 °
Old Tavern, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high73° (2006)
Record low20° (2017)
Thu, 1254° / 40°0.21
54 °
Old Tavern, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high72° (1964)
Record low27° (2017)
Fri, 1353° / 37°0.09
53 °
Old Tavern, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high71° (1964)
Record low21° (2019)
Sat, 1454° / 37°0.06
54 °
Old Tavern, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high74° (1985)
Record low22° (1968)
Sun, 1555° / 38°0.09
55 °
Old Tavern, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high75° (1993)
Record low26° (1995)
Mon, 1654° / 37°0.11
54 °
Old Tavern, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high71° (2001)
Record low17° (1995)
Tue, 1753° / 37°0.08
53 °
Old Tavern, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high69° (1987)
Record low20° (1995)
Wed, 1853° / 37°0.05
53 °
Old Tavern, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high71° (1963)
Record low25° (2014)
Thu, 1953° / 37°0.1
53 °
Old Tavern, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (1985)
Record low22° (2014)
Fri, 2053° / 38°0.06
53 °
Old Tavern, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high75° (1985)
Record low27° (2021)
Sat, 2151° / 37°0.09
51 °
Old Tavern, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high75° (1991)
Record low22° (2022)
Sun, 2251° / 36°0.09
51 °
Old Tavern, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high69° (2007)
Record low23° (1964)
Mon, 2351° / 35°0.06
51 °
Old Tavern, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high69° (1979)
Record low18° (1989)
Tue, 2451° / 35°0.13
51 °
Old Tavern, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high69° (1979)
Record low11° (1989)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Old Tavern, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Old Tavern, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.