Monthly outlook for Natal, VA: average high 73.8°, average low 53.1°. That is 2.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 2.2 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (82°), the coolest 22 October (44.7°).
73.8°/53.1°
Average high / low
+2.9°
Above normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
2.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
7 October – 16 October
75.6°
70°
+3.1°
17 October – 26 October
70.8°
65.9°
+2.7°
27 October – 5 November
at normal
63.3°
—
October records over 66 years
97.2°3 October 2019All-time high
28.4°27 October 1962All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Gretna (6 mi).
Thu, 0881° / 54°0
81 °
Natal, Thursday, 8 October
Clear. High 81°, low 54°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind6.3 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Fri, 0979° / 51°0
79 °
Natal, Friday, 9 October
Overcast. High 79°, low 51°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind2.1 mph SW
Humidity40%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Sat, 1072° / 56°0.03
72 °
Natal, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 56°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind6.4 mph E
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Sun, 1168° / 58°2.02
68 °
Natal, Sunday, 11 October
Heavy rain. High 68°, low 58°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.8 mph E
Humidity97%
Visibility1.3 mi
Dew point63°
Mon, 1274° / 62°0.14
74 °
Natal, Monday, 12 October
Rain. High 74°, low 62°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind15 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Tue, 1382° / 60°0
82 °
Natal, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 82°, low 60°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind10.3 mph NW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Wed, 1471° / 51°0
71 °
Natal, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 71°, low 51°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind8.9 mph NW
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Thu, 1575° / 47°0
75 °
Natal, Thursday, 15 October
Mostly clear. High 75°, low 47°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind7.5 mph SW
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Fri, 1679° / 55°0
79 °
Natal, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 79°, low 55°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind6.8 mph SW
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sat, 1780° / 56°0
80 °
Natal, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 80°, low 56°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind5.7 mph SW
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sun, 1867° / 59°0.01
67 °
Natal, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 59°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind4.8 mph SE
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Mon, 1975° / 56°0
75 °
Natal, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 75°, low 56°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind5.5 mph NW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Tue, 2071° / 48°0
71 °
Natal, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 71°, low 48°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind3.6 mph W
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Wed, 2170° / 46°0
70 °
Natal, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 46°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind5.9 mph N
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Thu, 2262° / 45°0
62 °
Natal, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 45°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6.6 mph SE
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2367° / 48°0.19
67 °
Natal, Friday, 23 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high80° (1978)
Record low37° (1997)
Sat, 2466° / 49°0.07
66 °
Natal, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high80° (2001)
Record low32° (1969)
Sun, 2564° / 48°0.2
64 °
Natal, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high78° (2012)
Record low36° (2006)
Mon, 2664° / 49°0.13
64 °
Natal, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high78° (1984)
Record low32° (1962)
Tue, 2765° / 48°0.14
65 °
Natal, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high81° (1963)
Record low28° (1962)
Wed, 2865° / 48°0.11
65 °
Natal, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high82° (2023)
Record low32° (1976)
Thu, 2964° / 47°0.11
64 °
Natal, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high84° (2023)
Record low33° (1976)
Fri, 3064° / 46°0.08
64 °
Natal, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high82° (2023)
Record low31° (1965)
Sat, 3164° / 47°0.06
64 °
Natal, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high78° (1974)
Record low36° (2011)
Sun, 0164° / 48°0.1
64 °
Natal, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high81° (1974)
Record low34° (2023)
Mon, 0264° / 48°0.13
64 °
Natal, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high80° (1974)
Record low31° (1993)
Tue, 0364° / 46°0.07
64 °
Natal, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high80° (1974)
Record low33° (2023)
Wed, 0461° / 45°0.2
61 °
Natal, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high78° (1974)
Record low30° (1966)
Thu, 0560° / 45°0.08
60 °
Natal, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high78° (1975)
Record low29° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Natal, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Natal, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.