Monthly outlook for Mogarts Beach, VA: average high 56.2°, average low 43.3°. That is 0.6° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.5 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 November (67.2°), the coolest 27 November (29.1°).
56.2°/43.3°
Average high / low
−0.6°
Below normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 November – 22 November
58.1°
57.5°
+0.3°
23 November – 2 December
53.1°
55.9°
-1.6°
3 December – 12 December
at normal
52.4°
—
November records over 66 years
80.6°11 November 2020All-time high
25.9°29 November 2023All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Newport News (7 mi).
Sat, 1454° / 44°0
54 °
Mogarts Beach, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 54°, low 44°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind16.6 mph NW
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point28°
Sun, 1555° / 39°0
55 °
Mogarts Beach, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 55°, low 39°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind10 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Mon, 1651° / 39°0
51 °
Mogarts Beach, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 51°, low 39°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind7.2 mph N
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Tue, 1755° / 38°0
55 °
Mogarts Beach, Tuesday, 17 November
Mostly clear. High 55°, low 38°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind5.9 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 1859° / 37°0
59 °
Mogarts Beach, Wednesday, 18 November
Mostly clear. High 59°, low 37°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind3.8 mph NW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Thu, 1960° / 40°0
60 °
Mogarts Beach, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 60°, low 40°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind5.9 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Fri, 2062° / 47°0
62 °
Mogarts Beach, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 47°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.9 mph SW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sat, 2162° / 51°0
62 °
Mogarts Beach, Saturday, 21 November
Clear. High 62°, low 51°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind9.6 mph NE
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sun, 2267° / 56°0
67 °
Mogarts Beach, Sunday, 22 November
Mostly clear. High 67°, low 56°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind6.3 mph E
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Mon, 2364° / 60°0.15
64 °
Mogarts Beach, Monday, 23 November
Light rain. High 64°, low 60°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind7.3 mph NE
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Tue, 2467° / 60°0.31
67 °
Mogarts Beach, Tuesday, 24 November
Rain. High 67°, low 60°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind10.2 mph SW
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Wed, 2551° / 39°0.01
51 °
Mogarts Beach, Wednesday, 25 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 39°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind18.9 mph NW
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Thu, 2638° / 32°0.05
38 °
Mogarts Beach, Thursday, 26 November
Light snow. High 38°, low 32°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind12.8 mph N
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point13°
Fri, 2747° / 29°0
47 °
Mogarts Beach, Friday, 27 November
Clear. High 47°, low 29°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind13.4 mph SW
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point13°
Sat, 2853° / 35°0
53 °
Mogarts Beach, Saturday, 28 November
Clear. High 53°, low 35°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8.5 mph SW
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2955° / 42°0.09
55 °
Mogarts Beach, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high71° (1960)
Record low26° (2023)
Mon, 3054° / 42°0.15
54 °
Mogarts Beach, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (2001)
Record low30° (1976)
Tue, 0155° / 43°0.07
55 °
Mogarts Beach, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high73° (2006)
Record low28° (1964)
Wed, 0254° / 41°0.06
54 °
Mogarts Beach, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high69° (1991)
Record low28° (1964)
Thu, 0354° / 41°0.07
54 °
Mogarts Beach, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high76° (1991)
Record low26° (1976)
Fri, 0453° / 40°0.04
53 °
Mogarts Beach, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high73° (1978)
Record low26° (1976)
Sat, 0552° / 40°0.15
52 °
Mogarts Beach, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high72° (1982)
Record low29° (2000)
Sun, 0653° / 40°0.08
53 °
Mogarts Beach, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high74° (1998)
Record low27° (2024)
Mon, 0752° / 39°0.07
52 °
Mogarts Beach, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high74° (1998)
Record low25° (2002)
Tue, 0851° / 40°0.11
51 °
Mogarts Beach, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high72° (1978)
Record low26° (2010)
Wed, 0952° / 39°0.16
52 °
Mogarts Beach, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high75° (1978)
Record low23° (2025)
Thu, 1053° / 41°0.17
53 °
Mogarts Beach, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high72° (2019)
Record low25° (1968)
Fri, 1152° / 40°0.18
52 °
Mogarts Beach, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high72° (2021)
Record low24° (1995)
Sat, 1251° / 39°0.07
51 °
Mogarts Beach, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high72° (2007)
Record low21° (1962)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mogarts Beach, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mogarts Beach, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.