Monthly outlook for McConnell Mill, VA: average high 69.3°, average low 52.8°. That is 5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 4.3 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (75.1°), the coolest 30 October (44.5°).
69.3°/52.8°
Average high / low
+5°
Above normal
4 / 5
Wet days / normal
4.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
30 October – 8 November
69.1°
61.8°
+4.1°
9 November – 18 November
69.5°
57.3°
+6.8°
19 November – 28 November
at normal
55°
—
October records over 66 years
94.6°3 October 2019All-time high
28.2°30 October 2017All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Kingsport (13 mi).
Sat, 3172° / 45°0
72 °
McConnell Mill, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 72°, low 45°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind3.4 mph SE
Humidity27%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Sun, 0164° / 48°0
64 °
McConnell Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 48°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind4.6 mph E
Humidity33%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Mon, 0269° / 49°0
69 °
McConnell Mill, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 69°, low 49°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind4 mph E
Humidity40%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Tue, 0370° / 47°0
70 °
McConnell Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Mostly clear. High 70°, low 47°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind4.5 mph SE
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Wed, 0465° / 56°1.12
65 °
McConnell Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Heavy rain. High 65°, low 56°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind7.4 mph SE
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Thu, 0566° / 59°0.52
66 °
McConnell Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 66°, low 59°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind4.7 mph NE
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Fri, 0664° / 59°0.04
64 °
McConnell Mill, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 64°, low 59°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind3.7 mph NE
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Sat, 0772° / 55°0
72 °
McConnell Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 72°, low 55°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind6.8 mph NE
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sun, 0874° / 54°0
74 °
McConnell Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Mostly clear. High 74°, low 54°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind7.3 mph E
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Mon, 0973° / 56°0
73 °
McConnell Mill, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 73°, low 56°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind6.4 mph NE
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Tue, 1073° / 61°0
73 °
McConnell Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Partly cloudy. High 73°, low 61°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind5.5 mph SW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Wed, 1166° / 55°0.07
66 °
McConnell Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 55°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10 mph W
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Thu, 1269° / 53°0.02
69 °
McConnell Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 69°, low 53°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind8.2 mph SW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Fri, 1375° / 55°0
75 °
McConnell Mill, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 75°, low 55°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind15.2 mph S
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sat, 1462° / 49°2.58
62 °
McConnell Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Heavy rain. High 62°, low 49°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind18.8 mph SW
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 1556° / 38°0.12
56 °
McConnell Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high73° (2005)
Record low20° (1969)
Mon, 1656° / 38°0.11
56 °
McConnell Mill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high72° (1988)
Record low26° (1967)
Tue, 1756° / 38°0.09
56 °
McConnell Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high74° (2023)
Record low25° (2022)
Wed, 1857° / 38°0.06
57 °
McConnell Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high74° (2016)
Record low23° (2014)
Thu, 1957° / 38°0.12
57 °
McConnell Mill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high74° (1985)
Record low20° (2014)
Fri, 2056° / 39°0.06
56 °
McConnell Mill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (1991)
Record low23° (2022)
Sat, 2154° / 38°0.13
54 °
McConnell Mill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high71° (1994)
Record low21° (2022)
Sun, 2255° / 37°0.11
55 °
McConnell Mill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high71° (1992)
Record low23° (1964)
Mon, 2355° / 36°0.1
55 °
McConnell Mill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high69° (1999)
Record low21° (1970)
Tue, 2455° / 37°0.15
55 °
McConnell Mill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high70° (1973)
Record low14° (1970)
Wed, 2555° / 37°0.07
55 °
McConnell Mill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high70° (1979)
Record low18° (1970)
Thu, 2655° / 36°0.15
55 °
McConnell Mill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high70° (1973)
Record low17° (1971)
Fri, 2755° / 38°0.13
55 °
McConnell Mill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high73° (1990)
Record low22° (2018)
Sat, 2853° / 38°0.15
53 °
McConnell Mill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high74° (1990)
Record low21° (2018)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for McConnell Mill, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in McConnell Mill, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.