Monthly outlook for Elk Run, VA: average high 64°, average low 45.4°. That is 2.9° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 November (77.2°), the coolest 13 November (32.1°).
64°/45.4°
Average high / low
+2.9°
Above normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
1 November – 10 November
65.3°
60.6°
+2.6°
11 November – 20 November
61.9°
55.3°
+3.6°
21 November – 30 November
at normal
52.8°
—
November records over 66 years
82.8°1 November 1974All-time high
10.4°24 November 1989All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Remington (8 mi).
Mon, 0265° / 42°0
65 °
Elk Run, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 42°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind5.3 mph S
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Tue, 0369° / 44°0
69 °
Elk Run, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 69°, low 44°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.5 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Wed, 0469° / 50°0
69 °
Elk Run, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 69°, low 50°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8.7 mph S
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point57°
Thu, 0570° / 59°0.04
70 °
Elk Run, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 70°, low 59°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind11.6 mph S
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Fri, 0671° / 57°0.1
71 °
Elk Run, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 71°, low 57°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind6.1 mph S
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Sat, 0766° / 50°0
66 °
Elk Run, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 66°, low 50°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind12.3 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sun, 0863° / 46°0.09
63 °
Elk Run, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 63°, low 46°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind13.9 mph SW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Mon, 0954° / 41°0
54 °
Elk Run, Monday, 9 November
Partly cloudy. High 54°, low 41°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind14.5 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Tue, 1061° / 38°0
61 °
Elk Run, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 61°, low 38°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind11.4 mph NW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Wed, 1155° / 39°0
55 °
Elk Run, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 39°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind8.4 mph SW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Thu, 1258° / 41°0.06
58 °
Elk Run, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 41°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind11.9 mph NW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Fri, 1349° / 32°0
49 °
Elk Run, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 32°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind7.7 mph N
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Sat, 1466° / 39°0
66 °
Elk Run, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 66°, low 39°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind7.6 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sun, 1566° / 50°0
66 °
Elk Run, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 50°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind12.1 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Mon, 1677° / 56°0
77 °
Elk Run, Monday, 16 November
Partly cloudy. High 77°, low 56°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind11.6 mph SW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 1754° / 38°0.07
54 °
Elk Run, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high71° (1987)
Record low26° (1996)
Wed, 1855° / 38°0.05
55 °
Elk Run, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high72° (1963)
Record low25° (2022)
Thu, 1955° / 39°0.1
55 °
Elk Run, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (1985)
Record low23° (2014)
Fri, 2055° / 39°0.06
55 °
Elk Run, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high76° (1985)
Record low27° (2021)
Sat, 2153° / 38°0.09
53 °
Elk Run, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (1991)
Record low23° (2022)
Sun, 2253° / 38°0.09
53 °
Elk Run, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high71° (2007)
Record low24° (1964)
Mon, 2352° / 36°0.06
52 °
Elk Run, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (1979)
Record low13° (1989)
Tue, 2453° / 37°0.13
53 °
Elk Run, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high72° (1979)
Record low10° (1989)
Wed, 2553° / 37°0.08
53 °
Elk Run, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high74° (1973)
Record low20° (1970)
Thu, 2655° / 38°0.12
55 °
Elk Run, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high70° (2025)
Record low21° (1971)
Fri, 2753° / 38°0.11
53 °
Elk Run, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high70° (1973)
Record low26° (1974)
Sat, 2855° / 38°0.14
55 °
Elk Run, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high71° (1990)
Record low25° (2023)
Sun, 2951° / 36°0.11
51 °
Elk Run, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high70° (1960)
Record low21° (2023)
Mon, 3050° / 36°0.11
50 °
Elk Run, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high71° (2001)
Record low22° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elk Run, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elk Run, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.