Monthly outlook for Elk Run, VA: average high 63.2°, average low 48.4°. That is 1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (75.7°), the coolest 10 November (39.9°).
63.2°/48.4°
Average high / low
+1°
Above normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
26 October – 4 November
65.6°
62.6°
+1.6°
5 November – 14 November
59.2°
57.9°
+0.8°
15 November – 24 November
at normal
54.1°
—
October records over 66 years
94.6°2 October 2019All-time high
30.2°27 October 1962All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Remington (8 mi).
Tue, 2770° / 45°0
70 °
Elk Run, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 70°, low 45°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind5.3 mph NE
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point50°
Wed, 2866° / 48°0
66 °
Elk Run, Wednesday, 28 October
Partly cloudy. High 66°, low 48°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind1.6 mph SE
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Thu, 2970° / 50°0
70 °
Elk Run, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 70°, low 50°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind7.2 mph S
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Fri, 3076° / 49°0
76 °
Elk Run, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 76°, low 49°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8 mph N
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Sat, 3169° / 55°0
69 °
Elk Run, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 55°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind7.1 mph N
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sun, 0159° / 54°0
59 °
Elk Run, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 54°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind3.2 mph E
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Mon, 0262° / 59°0.34
62 °
Elk Run, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 62°, low 59°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind5.7 mph NE
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Tue, 0361° / 57°0.16
61 °
Elk Run, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 57°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind13.4 mph E
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Wed, 0452° / 47°0.09
52 °
Elk Run, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 47°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind12.4 mph E
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Thu, 0554° / 50°0
54 °
Elk Run, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 50°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind14.2 mph NE
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Fri, 0651° / 47°0.04
51 °
Elk Run, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 47°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind14 mph N
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sat, 0765° / 45°0
65 °
Elk Run, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 65°, low 45°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind7.1 mph W
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sun, 0862° / 46°0.02
62 °
Elk Run, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 46°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind10.3 mph N
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Mon, 0962° / 42°0
62 °
Elk Run, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 62°, low 42°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8.4 mph N
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Tue, 1061° / 40°0
61 °
Elk Run, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 61°, low 40°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4.6 mph N
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 1157° / 41°0.19
57 °
Elk Run, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high74° (2024)
Record low22° (2017)
Thu, 1256° / 41°0.22
56 °
Elk Run, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high73° (1964)
Record low23° (1987)
Fri, 1355° / 39°0.09
55 °
Elk Run, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high74° (1985)
Record low20° (1987)
Sat, 1455° / 38°0.06
55 °
Elk Run, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high76° (1985)
Record low20° (1968)
Sun, 1556° / 40°0.09
56 °
Elk Run, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high78° (1993)
Record low27° (1986)
Mon, 1656° / 39°0.11
56 °
Elk Run, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high75° (1964)
Record low25° (1967)
Tue, 1754° / 38°0.07
54 °
Elk Run, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high71° (1987)
Record low26° (1996)
Wed, 1855° / 38°0.05
55 °
Elk Run, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high72° (1963)
Record low25° (2022)
Thu, 1955° / 39°0.1
55 °
Elk Run, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (1985)
Record low23° (2014)
Fri, 2055° / 39°0.06
55 °
Elk Run, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high76° (1985)
Record low27° (2021)
Sat, 2153° / 38°0.09
53 °
Elk Run, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (1991)
Record low23° (2022)
Sun, 2253° / 38°0.09
53 °
Elk Run, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high71° (2007)
Record low24° (1964)
Mon, 2352° / 36°0.06
52 °
Elk Run, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (1979)
Record low13° (1989)
Tue, 2453° / 37°0.13
53 °
Elk Run, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high72° (1979)
Record low10° (1989)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elk Run, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elk Run, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.