As of 09:25 EDT

Weather in Chance, VA

62°

Chance, Saturday, 10 October, 09:25

Overcast. Feels like 62°. High 67°, low 54°.

Pressure30.36 inHg

Wind5.8 mph NE

Humidity91%

Visibility1.9 mi

Dew point59°

See detailed hourly forecast

Monthly outlook for Chance, VA: average high 68.4°, average low 50.1°. That is 0.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (84°), the coolest 19 October (34.2°).

68.4°/50.1°

Average high / low

+0.2°

Above normal

3 / 4

Wet days / normal

1.3 in

Precipitation this month

Ten-day blocks vs climate normal

Period	Forecast high	Normal	Difference
10 October – 19 October	70.2°	69°	+0.7°
20 October – 29 October	65.6°	65.5°	+0°
30 October – 8 November	at normal	62.8°	—

October records over 66 years

94.1°2 October 2019All-time high

32.7°29 October 1976All-time low

Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Tappahannock (12 mi).

Sun, 1169° / 56°

1.02

69 °

Chance, Sunday, 11 October

Heavy rain. High 69°, low 56°.

Pressure30.03 inHg

Wind12.5 mph E

Humidity98%

Visibility2.8 mi

Dew point67°

Mon, 1275° / 60°

75 °

Chance, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 75°, low 60°.

Pressure29.83 inHg

Wind13 mph NW

Humidity75%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point62°

Tue, 1380° / 58°

80 °

Chance, Tuesday, 13 October

Clear. High 80°, low 58°.

Pressure29.97 inHg

Wind6.1 mph SW

Humidity54%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point60°

Wed, 1484° / 66°

84 °

Chance, Wednesday, 14 October

Clear. High 84°, low 66°.

Pressure29.94 inHg

Wind8.6 mph N

Humidity63%

Visibility—

Dew point64°

Thu, 1567° / 56°

67 °

Chance, Thursday, 15 October

Mostly clear. High 67°, low 56°.

Pressure30.27 inHg

Wind9.4 mph NE

Humidity62%

Visibility—

Dew point52°

Fri, 1680° / 55°

0.06

80 °

Chance, Friday, 16 October

Light rain. High 80°, low 55°.

Pressure30.03 inHg

Wind15.3 mph S

Humidity83%

Visibility—

Dew point56°

Sat, 1771° / 44°

0.01

71 °

Chance, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 71°, low 44°.

Pressure29.94 inHg

Wind13 mph NW

Humidity51%

Visibility—

Dew point39°

Sun, 1855° / 41°

55 °

Chance, Sunday, 18 October

Clear. High 55°, low 41°.

Pressure30.24 inHg

Wind13.4 mph N

Humidity50%

Visibility—

Dew point31°

Mon, 1954° / 34°

54 °

Chance, Monday, 19 October

Clear. High 54°, low 34°.

Pressure30.56 inHg

Wind8.4 mph N

Humidity39%

Visibility—

Dew point22°

Tue, 2058° / 38°

58 °

Chance, Tuesday, 20 October

Clear. High 58°, low 38°.

Pressure30.56 inHg

Wind5.3 mph E

Humidity45%

Visibility—

Dew point30°

Wed, 2160° / 42°

60 °

Chance, Wednesday, 21 October

Overcast. High 60°, low 42°.

Pressure30.47 inHg

Wind5.1 mph SE

Humidity68%

Visibility—

Dew point43°

Thu, 2272° / 53°

72 °

Chance, Thursday, 22 October

Mostly clear. High 72°, low 53°.

Pressure30.21 inHg

Wind7 mph SW

Humidity65%

Visibility—

Dew point52°

Fri, 2372° / 51°

72 °

Chance, Friday, 23 October

Clear. High 72°, low 51°.

Pressure30.12 inHg

Wind5.7 mph W

Humidity54%

Visibility—

Dew point46°

Sat, 2466° / 49°

66 °

Chance, Saturday, 24 October

Clear. High 66°, low 49°.

Pressure30.15 inHg

Wind7 mph NW

Humidity44%

Visibility—

Dew point37°

Sun, 2565° / 46°

65 °

Chance, Sunday, 25 October

Mostly clear. High 65°, low 46°.

Pressure30.18 inHg

Wind10.3 mph SE

Humidity48%

Visibility—

Dew point37°

From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics

Mon, 2664° / 51°

0.15

64 °

Chance, Monday, 26 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high64°

Average low51°

Average precipitation0.15 in

Chance of precipitation28%

Record high80° (2023)

Record low36° (1962)

Tue, 2765° / 51°

0.12

65 °

Chance, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high65°

Average low51°

Average precipitation0.12 in

Chance of precipitation28%

Record high81° (2010)

Record low33° (1962)

Wed, 2865° / 51°

0.11

65 °

Chance, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high65°

Average low51°

Average precipitation0.11 in

Chance of precipitation30%

Record high84° (2023)

Record low35° (1976)

Thu, 2963° / 49°

0.19

63 °

Chance, Thursday, 29 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high63°

Average low49°

Average precipitation0.19 in

Chance of precipitation20%

Record high85° (2023)

Record low33° (1976)

Fri, 3063° / 48°

0.09

63 °

Chance, Friday, 30 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high63°

Average low48°

Average precipitation0.09 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high83° (2023)

Record low34° (1965)

Sat, 3164° / 49°

0.05

64 °

Chance, Saturday, 31 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high64°

Average low49°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high80° (2019)

Record low38° (1968)

Sun, 0165° / 51°

0.11

65 °

Chance, Sunday, 1 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high65°

Average low51°

Average precipitation0.11 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high82° (1974)

Record low38° (2002)

Mon, 0265° / 51°

0.1

65 °

Chance, Monday, 2 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high65°

Average low51°

Average precipitation0.1 in

Chance of precipitation30%

Record high80° (1971)

Record low35° (2023)

Tue, 0364° / 49°

0.07

64 °

Chance, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high64°

Average low49°

Average precipitation0.07 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high81° (2016)

Record low36° (2023)

Wed, 0462° / 47°

0.14

62 °

Chance, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high62°

Average low47°

Average precipitation0.14 in

Chance of precipitation33%

Record high80° (1974)

Record low33° (2006)

Thu, 0562° / 48°

0.11

62 °

Chance, Thursday, 5 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high62°

Average low48°

Average precipitation0.11 in

Chance of precipitation30%

Record high79° (1961)

Record low32° (1991)

Fri, 0661° / 47°

0.07

61 °

Chance, Friday, 6 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high61°

Average low47°

Average precipitation0.07 in

Chance of precipitation20%

Record high79° (2024)

Record low32° (1991)

Sat, 0761° / 46°

0.12

61 °

Chance, Saturday, 7 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high61°

Average low46°

Average precipitation0.12 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high82° (2024)

Record low31° (1962)

Sun, 0860° / 46°

0.11

60 °

Chance, Sunday, 8 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high60°

Average low46°

Average precipitation0.11 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high77° (1975)

Record low32° (1967)

About the monthly outlook

How accurate is a 30-day forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chance, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above normal" mean?

We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chance, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is it updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.