Weather in Chance, VA
Chance, Thursday, 8 October, 16:44
Clear. Feels like 79°. High 80°, low 56°.
Monthly outlook for Chance, VA: average high 70.7°, average low 52.1°. That is 1.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.0 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (86.5°), the coolest 20 October (37.8°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 October – 17 October | 75.3° | 69.7° | +3.1° |
| 18 October – 27 October | 63.1° | 66.1° | -1.7° |
| 28 October – 6 November | at normal | 63.4° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Tappahannock (12 mi).
0
Chance, Friday, 9 October
Overcast. High 77°, low 52°.
0.02
Chance, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 55°.
0.85Chance, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 71°, low 61°.
0.13Chance, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 73°, low 63°.
0.04Chance, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 82°, low 59°.
0Chance, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 71°, low 57°.
0
Chance, Thursday, 15 October
Mostly clear. High 70°, low 54°.
0Chance, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 86°, low 62°.
0
Chance, Saturday, 17 October
Partly cloudy. High 69°, low 52°.
0Chance, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 55°, low 43°.
0Chance, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 54°, low 39°.
0Chance, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 63°, low 38°.
0Chance, Wednesday, 21 October
Mostly clear. High 65°, low 43°.
0Chance, Thursday, 22 October
Partly cloudy. High 70°, low 47°.
0Chance, Friday, 23 October
Mostly clear. High 72°, low 54°.
0.07Chance, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Chance, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Chance, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Chance, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Chance, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Chance, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Chance, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Chance, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Chance, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Chance, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Chance, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14
Chance, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Chance, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Chance, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chance, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chance, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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