Weather in Chance, VA
Chance, Friday, 9 October, 18:31
Overcast. Feels like 65°. High 76°, low 51°.
Monthly outlook for Chance, VA: average high 69.5°, average low 51.5°. That is 0.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.6 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (84.5°), the coolest 19 October (37.3°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 October – 18 October | 73.2° | 69.5° | +2.1° |
| 19 October – 28 October | 63.3° | 65.9° | -1.4° |
| 29 October – 7 November | at normal | 63.1° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Tappahannock (12 mi).
0.29
Chance, Saturday, 10 October
Rain. High 73°, low 53°.
1.09Chance, Sunday, 11 October
Heavy rain. High 74°, low 56°.
0Chance, Monday, 12 October
Overcast. High 76°, low 63°.
0
Chance, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 83°, low 58°.
0.25Chance, Wednesday, 14 October
Rain. High 85°, low 67°.
0Chance, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 57°.
0Chance, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 75°, low 57°.
0Chance, Saturday, 17 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 48°.
0Chance, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 56°, low 42°.
0
Chance, Monday, 19 October
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 37°.
0Chance, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 42°.
0
Chance, Wednesday, 21 October
Mostly clear. High 62°, low 49°.
0Chance, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 64°, low 45°.
0Chance, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 71°, low 47°.
0Chance, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 71°, low 51°.
0.14Chance, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Chance, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Chance, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Chance, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Chance, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Chance, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Chance, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Chance, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Chance, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Chance, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14
Chance, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Chance, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Chance, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Chance, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chance, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chance, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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