Monthly outlook for Tumbling Creek, VA: average high 85.7°, average low 65.9°. That is 3.3° above the climate normal for August. Precipitation is expected on 10 days (about 3.4 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 August (95.8°), the coolest 18 August (58.9°).
85.7°/65.9°
Average high / low
+3.3°
Above normal
10 / 8
Wet days / normal
3.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
9 August – 18 August
81.7°
79.8°
+1°
19 August – 28 August
92.4°
79.7°
+7°
29 August – 7 September
at normal
78.4°
—
August records over 66 years
93.6°16 August 2007All-time high
45.7°29 August 1986All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lebanon (13 mi).
Mon, 1087° / 70°0.09
87 °
Tumbling Creek, Monday, 10 August
Rain. High 87°, low 70°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind5.8 mph W
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point67°
Tue, 1186° / 67°0.46
86 °
Tumbling Creek, Tuesday, 11 August
Rain. High 86°, low 67°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10 mph SW
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point69°
Wed, 1290° / 67°1.56
90 °
Tumbling Creek, Wednesday, 12 August
Heavy rain. High 90°, low 67°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind12.3 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point69°
Thu, 1378° / 65°0.15
78 °
Tumbling Creek, Thursday, 13 August
Light rain. High 78°, low 65°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind5.6 mph W
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Fri, 1473° / 63°0.43
73 °
Tumbling Creek, Friday, 14 August
Rain. High 73°, low 63°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5.4 mph SW
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point68°
Sat, 1576° / 61°0.05
76 °
Tumbling Creek, Saturday, 15 August
Light rain. High 76°, low 61°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind5.2 mph SW
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point65°
Sun, 1684° / 61°0.22
84 °
Tumbling Creek, Sunday, 16 August
Rain. High 84°, low 61°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.3 mph SW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Mon, 1778° / 65°0.2
78 °
Tumbling Creek, Monday, 17 August
Rain. High 78°, low 65°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind5.5 mph N
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Tue, 1882° / 59°0
82 °
Tumbling Creek, Tuesday, 18 August
Clear. High 82°, low 59°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind4.5 mph E
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Wed, 1985° / 61°0
85 °
Tumbling Creek, Wednesday, 19 August
Mostly clear. High 85°, low 61°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind3.4 mph E
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Thu, 2089° / 64°0
89 °
Tumbling Creek, Thursday, 20 August
Partly cloudy. High 89°, low 64°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind5.2 mph W
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
Fri, 2194° / 69°0
94 °
Tumbling Creek, Friday, 21 August
Overcast. High 94°, low 69°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind8.6 mph SW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point69°
Sat, 2296° / 72°0
96 °
Tumbling Creek, Saturday, 22 August
Clear. High 96°, low 72°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind4.7 mph N
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point68°
Sun, 2395° / 73°0.01
95 °
Tumbling Creek, Sunday, 23 August
Light rain. High 95°, low 73°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind4.1 mph N
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point66°
Mon, 2495° / 72°0.04
95 °
Tumbling Creek, Monday, 24 August
Light rain. High 95°, low 72°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind7.3 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point69°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2580° / 63°0.06
80 °
Tumbling Creek, Tuesday, 25 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high80°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high90° (2023)
Record low53° (1986)
Wed, 2680° / 62°0.08
80 °
Tumbling Creek, Wednesday, 26 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high80°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high89° (2016)
Record low53° (2025)
Thu, 2780° / 63°0.13
80 °
Tumbling Creek, Thursday, 27 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high80°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high90° (2016)
Record low51° (2025)
Fri, 2880° / 63°0.12
80 °
Tumbling Creek, Friday, 28 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high80°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high89° (2024)
Record low50° (1968)
Sat, 2980° / 63°0.06
80 °
Tumbling Creek, Saturday, 29 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high80°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high90° (1973)
Record low46° (1986)
Sun, 3080° / 63°0.09
80 °
Tumbling Creek, Sunday, 30 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high80°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high90° (2024)
Record low47° (1986)
Mon, 3179° / 63°0.11
79 °
Tumbling Creek, Monday, 31 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high79°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high89° (2024)
Record low50° (1976)
Tue, 0178° / 62°0.15
78 °
Tumbling Creek, Tuesday, 1 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high89° (1973)
Record low51° (1999)
Wed, 0279° / 62°0.09
79 °
Tumbling Creek, Wednesday, 2 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high79°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high89° (1973)
Record low47° (1967)
Thu, 0379° / 62°0.09
79 °
Tumbling Creek, Thursday, 3 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high79°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high90° (2011)
Record low48° (1967)
Fri, 0478° / 62°0.14
78 °
Tumbling Creek, Friday, 4 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high89° (2019)
Record low49° (1997)
Sat, 0577° / 61°0.17
77 °
Tumbling Creek, Saturday, 5 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low61°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high88° (2023)
Record low47° (1997)
Sun, 0677° / 61°0.14
77 °
Tumbling Creek, Sunday, 6 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low61°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high87° (2007)
Record low49° (1984)
Mon, 0777° / 60°0.09
77 °
Tumbling Creek, Monday, 7 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low60°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high87° (1990)
Record low49° (2017)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Tumbling Creek, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Tumbling Creek, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.