Monthly outlook for Machipongo, VA: average high 67.9°, average low 59.9°. That is 1.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (77.7°), the coolest 27 October (52.7°).
67.9°/59.9°
Average high / low
+1.4°
Above normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 October – 22 October
69.3°
66.2°
+1.7°
23 October – 1 November
65.5°
63.3°
+1.2°
2 November – 11 November
at normal
60.4°
—
October records over 66 years
88.7°2 October 2019All-time high
41°28 October 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Cheriton (9 mi).
Wed, 1476° / 70°0
76 °
Machipongo, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 76°, low 70°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind9.4 mph SW
Humidity84%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point67°
Thu, 1574° / 66°0
74 °
Machipongo, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 74°, low 66°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind9.6 mph NE
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point59°
Fri, 1678° / 66°0.22
78 °
Machipongo, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 78°, low 66°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind22 mph SW
Humidity79%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point67°
Sat, 1764° / 58°0.15
64 °
Machipongo, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 64°, low 58°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind31.9 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sun, 1858° / 53°0
58 °
Machipongo, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 58°, low 53°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind17.9 mph NE
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 1964° / 55°0
64 °
Machipongo, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 55°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind9.8 mph SE
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Tue, 2069° / 62°0
69 °
Machipongo, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 62°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind8.5 mph SE
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Wed, 2167° / 61°0
67 °
Machipongo, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 67°, low 61°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind6.7 mph E
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Thu, 2268° / 59°0
68 °
Machipongo, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 68°, low 59°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind7.9 mph E
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Fri, 2368° / 61°0
68 °
Machipongo, Friday, 23 October
Partly cloudy. High 68°, low 61°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind11.5 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sat, 2475° / 63°0
75 °
Machipongo, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 75°, low 63°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind13.1 mph SW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sun, 2567° / 63°0
67 °
Machipongo, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 63°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind10.6 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Mon, 2661° / 53°0.68
61 °
Machipongo, Monday, 26 October
Rain. High 61°, low 53°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind16.9 mph N
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Tue, 2756° / 53°0
56 °
Machipongo, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 53°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind16.1 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Wed, 2866° / 54°0
66 °
Machipongo, Wednesday, 28 October
Mostly clear. High 66°, low 54°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind16.2 mph SW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 2963° / 55°0.23
63 °
Machipongo, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low55°
Average precipitation0.23 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high78° (2023)
Record low41° (1965)
Fri, 3062° / 55°0.09
62 °
Machipongo, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low55°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high80° (2023)
Record low42° (1965)
Sat, 3162° / 56°0.06
62 °
Machipongo, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low56°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high77° (2024)
Record low42° (1966)
Sun, 0163° / 56°0.15
63 °
Machipongo, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low56°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high77° (2024)
Record low46° (1975)
Mon, 0262° / 56°0.17
62 °
Machipongo, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low56°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high73° (1971)
Record low42° (2020)
Tue, 0362° / 54°0.11
62 °
Machipongo, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low54°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high73° (2017)
Record low42° (2023)
Wed, 0461° / 54°0.13
61 °
Machipongo, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low54°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high73° (2022)
Record low41° (1966)
Thu, 0561° / 54°0.14
61 °
Machipongo, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low54°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high75° (2024)
Record low41° (1991)
Fri, 0661° / 53°0.1
61 °
Machipongo, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high77° (2024)
Record low38° (1991)
Sat, 0760° / 52°0.1
60 °
Machipongo, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high78° (2024)
Record low42° (1967)
Sun, 0859° / 52°0.07
59 °
Machipongo, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high69° (2025)
Record low39° (1976)
Mon, 0959° / 52°0.08
59 °
Machipongo, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high76° (2023)
Record low35° (1976)
Tue, 1060° / 52°0.14
60 °
Machipongo, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high72° (2020)
Record low39° (1995)
Wed, 1158° / 52°0.13
58 °
Machipongo, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high73° (2020)
Record low31° (2017)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Machipongo, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Machipongo, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.