Monthly outlook for Machipongo, VA: average high 65°, average low 58.4°. That is 0.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.2 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (79.6°), the coolest 18 October (53.1°).
65°/58.4°
Average high / low
+0.4°
Above normal
5 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
16 October – 25 October
64.5°
65.1°
-0.3°
26 October – 4 November
66°
62.6°
+1.9°
5 November – 14 November
at normal
59°
—
October records over 66 years
88.7°2 October 2019All-time high
41°28 October 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Cheriton (9 mi).
Sat, 1766° / 54°0.37
66 °
Machipongo, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 66°, low 54°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind28.2 mph N
Humidity78%
Visibility4.4 mi
Dew point51°
Sun, 1860° / 53°0
60 °
Machipongo, Sunday, 18 October
Partly cloudy. High 60°, low 53°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind24.6 mph NE
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Mon, 1960° / 58°0.05
60 °
Machipongo, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 58°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind28.2 mph N
Humidity83%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Tue, 2066° / 59°0.01
66 °
Machipongo, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 59°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind29.5 mph N
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Wed, 2162° / 60°0.19
62 °
Machipongo, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 60°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind30.9 mph N
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Thu, 2262° / 59°0
62 °
Machipongo, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 59°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind23.3 mph NE
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Fri, 2363° / 56°0
63 °
Machipongo, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 56°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind15 mph N
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sat, 2462° / 55°0
62 °
Machipongo, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 55°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind24.3 mph NE
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Sun, 2564° / 60°0
64 °
Machipongo, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 60°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind24 mph NE
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Mon, 2664° / 62°0.48
64 °
Machipongo, Monday, 26 October
Rain. High 64°, low 62°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind18.6 mph NE
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Tue, 2764° / 58°0
64 °
Machipongo, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 64°, low 58°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind10.9 mph NE
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Wed, 2865° / 57°0
65 °
Machipongo, Wednesday, 28 October
Partly cloudy. High 65°, low 57°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.1 mph NE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Thu, 2966° / 58°0
66 °
Machipongo, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 58°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6 mph SE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Fri, 3067° / 60°0
67 °
Machipongo, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 67°, low 60°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind8.3 mph S
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sat, 3169° / 61°0
69 °
Machipongo, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 61°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8.2 mph S
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 0163° / 56°0.15
63 °
Machipongo, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low56°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high77° (2024)
Record low46° (1975)
Mon, 0262° / 56°0.17
62 °
Machipongo, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low56°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high73° (1971)
Record low42° (2020)
Tue, 0362° / 54°0.11
62 °
Machipongo, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low54°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high73° (2017)
Record low42° (2023)
Wed, 0461° / 54°0.13
61 °
Machipongo, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low54°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high73° (2022)
Record low41° (1966)
Thu, 0561° / 54°0.14
61 °
Machipongo, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low54°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high75° (2024)
Record low41° (1991)
Fri, 0661° / 53°0.1
61 °
Machipongo, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high77° (2024)
Record low38° (1991)
Sat, 0760° / 52°0.1
60 °
Machipongo, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high78° (2024)
Record low42° (1967)
Sun, 0859° / 52°0.07
59 °
Machipongo, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high69° (2025)
Record low39° (1976)
Mon, 0959° / 52°0.08
59 °
Machipongo, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high76° (2023)
Record low35° (1976)
Tue, 1060° / 52°0.14
60 °
Machipongo, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high72° (2020)
Record low39° (1995)
Wed, 1158° / 52°0.13
58 °
Machipongo, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high73° (2020)
Record low31° (2017)
Thu, 1258° / 50°0.26
58 °
Machipongo, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.26 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high72° (2022)
Record low37° (2017)
Fri, 1357° / 49°0.16
57 °
Machipongo, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high67° (1985)
Record low33° (2019)
Sat, 1456° / 49°0.09
56 °
Machipongo, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high67° (1985)
Record low32° (2019)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Machipongo, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Machipongo, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.