Weather in Shelfar, VA
Shelfar, Sunday, 11 October, 14:00
Heavy rain. Feels like 66°. High 70°, low 62°.
Monthly outlook for Shelfar, VA: average high 68°, average low 48.5°. That is 0.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 1.1 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (85.4°), the coolest 18 October (32.2°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 October – 20 October | 70° | 67.7° | +1.3° |
| 21 October – 30 October | 64.6° | 64.2° | +0.2° |
| 31 October – 9 November | at normal | 61.5° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Mineral (14 mi).
0
Shelfar, Monday, 12 October
Overcast. High 77°, low 62°.
0
Shelfar, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 81°, low 55°.
0Shelfar, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 85°, low 64°.
0.01Shelfar, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 65°.
0.04Shelfar, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 85°, low 60°.
0
Shelfar, Saturday, 17 October
Mostly clear. High 56°, low 37°.
0Shelfar, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 49°, low 32°.
0
Shelfar, Monday, 19 October
Partly cloudy. High 58°, low 33°.
0Shelfar, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 66°, low 37°.
0Shelfar, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 66°, low 43°.
0Shelfar, Thursday, 22 October
Mostly clear. High 64°, low 44°.
0Shelfar, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 45°.
0Shelfar, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 47°.
0Shelfar, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 63°, low 46°.
0Shelfar, Monday, 26 October
Partly cloudy. High 71°, low 43°.
0.13Shelfar, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Shelfar, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Shelfar, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Shelfar, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Shelfar, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Shelfar, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Shelfar, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Shelfar, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14
Shelfar, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Shelfar, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Shelfar, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Shelfar, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Shelfar, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Shelfar, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Shelfar, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Shelfar, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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