Weather in Casanova, VA
Casanova, Saturday, 10 October, 17:48
Overcast. Feels like 67°. High 69°, low 51°.
Monthly outlook for Casanova, VA: average high 64.6°, average low 46.9°. That is 0.9° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.5 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (83.8°), the coolest 21 October (33.2°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 October – 19 October | 68.6° | 67.4° | +0.7° |
| 20 October – 29 October | 58° | 63.7° | -3.1° |
| 30 October – 8 November | at normal | 60.9° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Nokesville (8 mi).
0.94
Casanova, Sunday, 11 October
Heavy rain. High 68°, low 53°.
0.21Casanova, Monday, 12 October
Rain. High 75°, low 57°.
0
Casanova, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 80°, low 54°.
0.15Casanova, Wednesday, 14 October
Rain. High 84°, low 61°.
0Casanova, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 57°.
0Casanova, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 76°, low 57°.
0.19Casanova, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 47°.
0Casanova, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 38°.
0Casanova, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 50°, low 36°.
0Casanova, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 52°, low 34°.
0Casanova, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 57°, low 33°.
0Casanova, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 61°, low 38°.
0
Casanova, Friday, 23 October
Mostly clear. High 60°, low 41°.
0Casanova, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 49°.
0.02Casanova, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 46°.
0.13
Casanova, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Casanova, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Casanova, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.23Casanova, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Casanova, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Casanova, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Casanova, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Casanova, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Casanova, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Casanova, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Casanova, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Casanova, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Casanova, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Casanova, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Casanova, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Casanova, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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