Monthly outlook for Birch Town, VA: average high 54.4°, average low 45.4°. That is 0.7° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.7 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 12 November (67°), the coolest 24 November (34.6°).
54.4°/45.4°
Average high / low
−0.7°
Below normal
3 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 November – 20 November
55°
56.5°
-0.9°
21 November – 30 November
53.5°
54.4°
-0.5°
1 December – 10 December
at normal
51.1°
—
November records over 66 years
80.8°7 November 2024All-time high
26.6°25 November 2013All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Chincoteague (3 mi).
Thu, 1267° / 53°0.03
67 °
Birch Town, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 67°, low 53°.
Pressure29.47 inHg
Wind9.5 mph SW
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Fri, 1351° / 43°0
51 °
Birch Town, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 43°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind14.9 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Sat, 1448° / 40°0
48 °
Birch Town, Saturday, 14 November
Partly cloudy. High 48°, low 40°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind16.4 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point29°
Sun, 1549° / 41°0
49 °
Birch Town, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 41°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind15.2 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Mon, 1652° / 41°0
52 °
Birch Town, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 52°, low 41°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind9.4 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 1755° / 49°0.03
55 °
Birch Town, Tuesday, 17 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 49°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind20.7 mph NE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Wed, 1855° / 49°0.33
55 °
Birch Town, Wednesday, 18 November
Rain. High 55°, low 49°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind29.3 mph NE
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Thu, 1954° / 43°0
54 °
Birch Town, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 54°, low 43°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind20.1 mph N
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Fri, 2053° / 47°0
53 °
Birch Town, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 47°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.9 mph N
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sat, 2156° / 53°0
56 °
Birch Town, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 53°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind12.8 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sun, 2261° / 56°0.25
61 °
Birch Town, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 56°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind24.5 mph S
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Mon, 2355° / 49°0
55 °
Birch Town, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 49°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind11.3 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Tue, 2452° / 35°0.08
52 °
Birch Town, Tuesday, 24 November
Snow. High 52°, low 35°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind30 mph NW
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Wed, 2545° / 36°0
45 °
Birch Town, Wednesday, 25 November
Clear. High 45°, low 36°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind21 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Thu, 2652° / 45°0
52 °
Birch Town, Thursday, 26 November
Clear. High 52°, low 45°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind18.5 mph SW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2756° / 44°0.11
56 °
Birch Town, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high68° (1985)
Record low28° (1974)
Sat, 2856° / 45°0.1
56 °
Birch Town, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high69° (1973)
Record low28° (1996)
Sun, 2953° / 42°0.09
53 °
Birch Town, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high67° (2011)
Record low28° (2023)
Mon, 3053° / 42°0.13
53 °
Birch Town, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high67° (2001)
Record low27° (1976)
Tue, 0153° / 42°0.09
53 °
Birch Town, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high69° (2001)
Record low25° (1976)
Wed, 0252° / 41°0.09
52 °
Birch Town, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high66° (2023)
Record low28° (1971)
Thu, 0352° / 41°0.08
52 °
Birch Town, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high67° (1991)
Record low24° (1976)
Fri, 0452° / 40°0.06
52 °
Birch Town, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high69° (1998)
Record low24° (1966)
Sat, 0551° / 40°0.16
51 °
Birch Town, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high67° (1982)
Record low29° (2007)
Sun, 0651° / 40°0.09
51 °
Birch Town, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high67° (1998)
Record low27° (2007)
Mon, 0750° / 39°0.1
50 °
Birch Town, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high70° (1998)
Record low27° (2002)
Tue, 0849° / 39°0.11
49 °
Birch Town, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high67° (1998)
Record low26° (1970)
Wed, 0950° / 39°0.19
50 °
Birch Town, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high69° (1978)
Record low25° (1960)
Thu, 1051° / 40°0.17
51 °
Birch Town, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high64° (1972)
Record low21° (1968)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Birch Town, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Birch Town, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.