Monthly outlook for Birch Town, VA: average high 60.8°, average low 52.5°. That is 1.1° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 2 November (66.4°), the coolest 6 November (41.8°).
60.8°/52.5°
Average high / low
−1.1°
Below normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
22 October – 31 October
62.2°
63.4°
-0.7°
1 November – 10 November
58.5°
60.8°
-1.3°
11 November – 20 November
at normal
56.5°
—
October records over 66 years
88.5°2 October 2019All-time high
35.4°28 October 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Chincoteague (3 mi).
Fri, 2361° / 52°0
61 °
Birch Town, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 52°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind13.6 mph NE
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Sat, 2460° / 52°0
60 °
Birch Town, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 52°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind11.9 mph NE
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Sun, 2563° / 50°0
63 °
Birch Town, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 63°, low 50°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind8.3 mph NE
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Mon, 2666° / 46°0
66 °
Birch Town, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 66°, low 46°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind5.8 mph N
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Tue, 2766° / 50°0
66 °
Birch Town, Tuesday, 27 October
Partly cloudy. High 66°, low 50°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind11.9 mph NE
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Wed, 2861° / 58°0.01
61 °
Birch Town, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 58°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind14.9 mph E
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Thu, 2962° / 59°0
62 °
Birch Town, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 62°, low 59°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind9.5 mph S
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Fri, 3061° / 54°0
61 °
Birch Town, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 54°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind13.4 mph N
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sat, 3159° / 55°0
59 °
Birch Town, Saturday, 31 October
Partly cloudy. High 59°, low 55°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind14.6 mph NE
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sun, 0163° / 60°0.22
63 °
Birch Town, Sunday, 1 November
Rain. High 63°, low 60°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind16 mph SE
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Mon, 0266° / 62°0.1
66 °
Birch Town, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 62°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind15.2 mph NW
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Tue, 0361° / 56°0
61 °
Birch Town, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 56°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11.8 mph E
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Wed, 0459° / 49°0
59 °
Birch Town, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 59°, low 49°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind26.8 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Thu, 0550° / 44°0
50 °
Birch Town, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 44°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind26.7 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Fri, 0652° / 42°0
52 °
Birch Town, Friday, 6 November
Partly cloudy. High 52°, low 42°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind18.7 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 0760° / 49°0.08
60 °
Birch Town, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high81° (2024)
Record low36° (1962)
Sun, 0859° / 48°0.07
59 °
Birch Town, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (1986)
Record low35° (1960)
Mon, 0959° / 48°0.07
59 °
Birch Town, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (2023)
Record low31° (1976)
Tue, 1060° / 49°0.12
60 °
Birch Town, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high70° (2021)
Record low36° (1973)
Wed, 1158° / 48°0.12
58 °
Birch Town, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high70° (2020)
Record low29° (2017)
Thu, 1257° / 47°0.24
57 °
Birch Town, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high71° (2022)
Record low35° (1996)
Fri, 1356° / 45°0.15
56 °
Birch Town, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high68° (1985)
Record low28° (2019)
Sat, 1456° / 45°0.08
56 °
Birch Town, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high70° (1985)
Record low30° (1986)
Sun, 1557° / 46°0.12
57 °
Birch Town, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high75° (1993)
Record low32° (1967)
Mon, 1657° / 46°0.08
57 °
Birch Town, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high70° (2006)
Record low28° (1967)
Tue, 1756° / 45°0.11
56 °
Birch Town, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high67° (1993)
Record low32° (1967)
Wed, 1856° / 44°0.04
56 °
Birch Town, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high68° (2021)
Record low32° (2014)
Thu, 1956° / 44°0.09
56 °
Birch Town, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high69° (1985)
Record low28° (2014)
Fri, 2056° / 45°0.07
56 °
Birch Town, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high71° (1985)
Record low32° (1984)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Birch Town, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Birch Town, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.