Weather in Birch Town, VA
Birch Town, Sunday, 15 November, 08:54
Clear. Feels like 39°. High 51°, low 43°.
Monthly outlook for Birch Town, VA: average high 56.2°, average low 45.8°. That is 0.6° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 November (64.5°), the coolest 16 November (38.6°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 November – 24 November | 57° | 55.4° | +0.9° |
| 25 November – 4 December | 54.9° | 53.6° | +0.7° |
| 5 December – 14 December | at normal | 50.2° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Chincoteague (3 mi).
0
Birch Town, Monday, 16 November
Partly cloudy. High 52°, low 39°.
0Birch Town, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 56°, low 39°.
0Birch Town, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 60°, low 42°.
0Birch Town, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 63°, low 44°.
0Birch Town, Friday, 20 November
Clear. High 64°, low 44°.
0
Birch Town, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 49°.
1.46
Birch Town, Sunday, 22 November
Heavy rain. High 59°, low 56°.
0.28Birch Town, Monday, 23 November
Rain. High 56°, low 49°.
0Birch Town, Tuesday, 24 November
Clear. High 50°, low 41°.
0Birch Town, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 44°.
0Birch Town, Thursday, 26 November
Clear. High 53°, low 47°.
0Birch Town, Friday, 27 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 54°.
0.07Birch Town, Saturday, 28 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 58°.
0.03Birch Town, Sunday, 29 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 46°.
0Birch Town, Monday, 30 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 39°.
0.09Birch Town, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Birch Town, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Birch Town, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Birch Town, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Birch Town, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Birch Town, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Birch Town, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Birch Town, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19
Birch Town, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Birch Town, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.21Birch Town, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Birch Town, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Birch Town, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Birch Town, Monday, 14 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Birch Town, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Birch Town, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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