Monthly outlook for Birch Town, VA: average high 54.2°, average low 45°. That is 0.7° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 November (63°), the coolest 27 November (34.7°).
54.2°/45°
Average high / low
−0.7°
Below normal
1 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 November – 22 November
55.8°
55.8°
-0°
23 November – 2 December
51.6°
54°
-1.3°
3 December – 12 December
at normal
50.6°
—
November records over 66 years
80.8°7 November 2024All-time high
26.6°25 November 2013All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Chincoteague (3 mi).
Sat, 1449° / 38°0
49 °
Birch Town, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 38°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind16.3 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point29°
Sun, 1553° / 43°0
53 °
Birch Town, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 43°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12.7 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Mon, 1651° / 37°0
51 °
Birch Town, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 51°, low 37°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind6.4 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Tue, 1754° / 37°0
54 °
Birch Town, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 54°, low 37°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind5.6 mph N
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Wed, 1859° / 41°0
59 °
Birch Town, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 59°, low 41°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind4.8 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Thu, 1957° / 45°0
57 °
Birch Town, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 57°, low 45°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind7.7 mph SW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Fri, 2061° / 52°0
61 °
Birch Town, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 52°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind10.7 mph N
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sat, 2159° / 54°0
59 °
Birch Town, Saturday, 21 November
Clear. High 59°, low 54°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind12.3 mph NE
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sun, 2263° / 59°0
63 °
Birch Town, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 59°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind7.3 mph NE
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Mon, 2363° / 60°0.02
63 °
Birch Town, Monday, 23 November
Light rain. High 63°, low 60°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.6 mph NE
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Tue, 2462° / 57°0.06
62 °
Birch Town, Tuesday, 24 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 57°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind11 mph W
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Wed, 2549° / 41°0.03
49 °
Birch Town, Wednesday, 25 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 41°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind29.4 mph NW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Thu, 2638° / 35°0.01
38 °
Birch Town, Thursday, 26 November
Light rain. High 38°, low 35°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind17.2 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Fri, 2748° / 35°0
48 °
Birch Town, Friday, 27 November
Clear. High 48°, low 35°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind18.7 mph SW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Sat, 2850° / 43°0
50 °
Birch Town, Saturday, 28 November
Mostly clear. High 50°, low 43°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind14.4 mph W
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2953° / 42°0.09
53 °
Birch Town, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high67° (2011)
Record low28° (2023)
Mon, 3053° / 42°0.13
53 °
Birch Town, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high67° (2001)
Record low27° (1976)
Tue, 0153° / 42°0.09
53 °
Birch Town, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high69° (2001)
Record low25° (1976)
Wed, 0252° / 41°0.09
52 °
Birch Town, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high66° (2023)
Record low28° (1971)
Thu, 0352° / 41°0.08
52 °
Birch Town, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high67° (1991)
Record low24° (1976)
Fri, 0452° / 40°0.06
52 °
Birch Town, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high69° (1998)
Record low24° (1966)
Sat, 0551° / 40°0.16
51 °
Birch Town, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high67° (1982)
Record low29° (2007)
Sun, 0651° / 40°0.09
51 °
Birch Town, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high67° (1998)
Record low27° (2007)
Mon, 0750° / 39°0.1
50 °
Birch Town, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high70° (1998)
Record low27° (2002)
Tue, 0849° / 39°0.11
49 °
Birch Town, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high67° (1998)
Record low26° (1970)
Wed, 0950° / 39°0.19
50 °
Birch Town, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high69° (1978)
Record low25° (1960)
Thu, 1051° / 40°0.17
51 °
Birch Town, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high64° (1972)
Record low21° (1968)
Fri, 1151° / 39°0.21
51 °
Birch Town, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high66° (1971)
Record low24° (1995)
Sat, 1249° / 39°0.09
49 °
Birch Town, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high65° (2007)
Record low19° (1988)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Birch Town, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Birch Town, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.