Monthly outlook for Birch Town, VA: average high 55.1°, average low 43.9°. That is 0.1° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 1.0 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 28 November (64.3°), the coolest 25 November (31.6°).
55.1°/43.9°
Average high / low
−0.1°
Below normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
14 November – 23 November
56.6°
55.5°
+0.6°
24 November – 3 December
52.5°
53.9°
-0.8°
4 December – 13 December
at normal
50.4°
—
November records over 66 years
80.8°7 November 2024All-time high
26.6°25 November 2013All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Chincoteague (3 mi).
Sun, 1552° / 42°0
52 °
Birch Town, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 42°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind12.8 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Mon, 1652° / 38°0
52 °
Birch Town, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 38°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind8.6 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Tue, 1755° / 38°0
55 °
Birch Town, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 55°, low 38°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind6 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Wed, 1860° / 41°0
60 °
Birch Town, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 60°, low 41°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind5.1 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Thu, 1962° / 44°0
62 °
Birch Town, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 62°, low 44°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind5.4 mph SW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Fri, 2063° / 44°0
63 °
Birch Town, Friday, 20 November
Clear. High 63°, low 44°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind9.8 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sat, 2157° / 52°0
57 °
Birch Town, Saturday, 21 November
Clear. High 57°, low 52°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind11.4 mph NE
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sun, 2259° / 56°0
59 °
Birch Town, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 56°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind12.3 mph S
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Mon, 2357° / 43°0
57 °
Birch Town, Monday, 23 November
Clear. High 57°, low 43°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind24.6 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Tue, 2438° / 32°0
38 °
Birch Town, Tuesday, 24 November
Clear. High 38°, low 32°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind24.1 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
Wed, 2544° / 32°0
44 °
Birch Town, Wednesday, 25 November
Clear. High 44°, low 32°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind18.1 mph N
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Thu, 2654° / 39°0
54 °
Birch Town, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 39°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind10.5 mph SE
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Fri, 2761° / 56°0.15
61 °
Birch Town, Friday, 27 November
Rain. High 61°, low 56°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind31.7 mph SE
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Sat, 2864° / 55°0.81
64 °
Birch Town, Saturday, 28 November
Rain. High 64°, low 55°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind43.3 mph S
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Sun, 2954° / 51°0
54 °
Birch Town, Sunday, 29 November
Clear. High 54°, low 51°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind21.7 mph SW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 3053° / 42°0.13
53 °
Birch Town, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high67° (2001)
Record low27° (1976)
Tue, 0153° / 42°0.09
53 °
Birch Town, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high69° (2001)
Record low25° (1976)
Wed, 0252° / 41°0.09
52 °
Birch Town, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high66° (2023)
Record low28° (1971)
Thu, 0352° / 41°0.08
52 °
Birch Town, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high67° (1991)
Record low24° (1976)
Fri, 0452° / 40°0.06
52 °
Birch Town, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high69° (1998)
Record low24° (1966)
Sat, 0551° / 40°0.16
51 °
Birch Town, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high67° (1982)
Record low29° (2007)
Sun, 0651° / 40°0.09
51 °
Birch Town, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high67° (1998)
Record low27° (2007)
Mon, 0750° / 39°0.1
50 °
Birch Town, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high70° (1998)
Record low27° (2002)
Tue, 0849° / 39°0.11
49 °
Birch Town, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high67° (1998)
Record low26° (1970)
Wed, 0950° / 39°0.19
50 °
Birch Town, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high69° (1978)
Record low25° (1960)
Thu, 1051° / 40°0.17
51 °
Birch Town, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high64° (1972)
Record low21° (1968)
Fri, 1151° / 39°0.21
51 °
Birch Town, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high66° (1971)
Record low24° (1995)
Sat, 1249° / 39°0.09
49 °
Birch Town, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high65° (2007)
Record low19° (1988)
Sun, 1350° / 38°0.12
50 °
Birch Town, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high64° (2015)
Record low16° (1960)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Birch Town, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Birch Town, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.