Monthly outlook for Madison Run, VA: average high 66.3°, average low 46.3°. That is 0.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (85.3°), the coolest 26 October (36.8°).
66.3°/46.3°
Average high / low
+0.9°
Above normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
15 October – 24 October
65.9°
65.9°
+0°
25 October – 3 November
66.8°
63°
+2.1°
4 November – 13 November
at normal
58.5°
—
October records over 66 years
95.2°2 October 2019All-time high
28.9°27 October 1962All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Orange (4 mi).
Fri, 1685° / 63°0.06
85 °
Madison Run, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 85°, low 63°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind10.6 mph SW
Humidity74%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point69°
Sat, 1763° / 46°0
63 °
Madison Run, Saturday, 17 October
Mostly clear. High 63°, low 46°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind13.5 mph N
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Sun, 1857° / 39°0
57 °
Madison Run, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 57°, low 39°.
Pressure30.62 inHg
Wind5.3 mph NE
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Mon, 1961° / 41°0
61 °
Madison Run, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 61°, low 41°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind0.9 mph E
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Tue, 2064° / 43°0
64 °
Madison Run, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 64°, low 43°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind5 mph NE
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Wed, 2168° / 47°0
68 °
Madison Run, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 47°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind7.9 mph NE
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Thu, 2268° / 46°0
68 °
Madison Run, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 68°, low 46°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.2 mph NE
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Fri, 2367° / 47°0
67 °
Madison Run, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 67°, low 47°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind10.3 mph NE
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sat, 2454° / 37°0
54 °
Madison Run, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 54°, low 37°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind8.1 mph NE
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sun, 2553° / 38°0
53 °
Madison Run, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 53°, low 38°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind9.4 mph NE
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Mon, 2667° / 37°0
67 °
Madison Run, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 67°, low 37°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind9.5 mph NE
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 2766° / 41°0
66 °
Madison Run, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 41°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind6 mph SW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Wed, 2876° / 51°0
76 °
Madison Run, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 76°, low 51°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.5 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Thu, 2965° / 50°0
65 °
Madison Run, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 50°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind4.7 mph NE
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Fri, 3073° / 53°0
73 °
Madison Run, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 53°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind7.5 mph SW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 3163° / 46°0.05
63 °
Madison Run, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high78° (2024)
Record low33° (1968)
Sun, 0164° / 47°0.11
64 °
Madison Run, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high82° (1974)
Record low34° (2002)
Mon, 0263° / 46°0.12
63 °
Madison Run, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high80° (1971)
Record low28° (2023)
Tue, 0363° / 45°0.06
63 °
Madison Run, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high78° (2016)
Record low32° (1996)
Wed, 0460° / 44°0.14
60 °
Madison Run, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high80° (1974)
Record low28° (2006)
Thu, 0560° / 44°0.09
60 °
Madison Run, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high78° (2022)
Record low28° (1991)
Fri, 0660° / 43°0.07
60 °
Madison Run, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high80° (2024)
Record low27° (1967)
Sat, 0759° / 42°0.1
59 °
Madison Run, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high80° (2024)
Record low28° (1967)
Sun, 0859° / 42°0.09
59 °
Madison Run, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high76° (1975)
Record low27° (1967)
Mon, 0959° / 42°0.05
59 °
Madison Run, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high80° (2023)
Record low25° (2019)
Tue, 1059° / 42°0.14
59 °
Madison Run, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high74° (1975)
Record low29° (2003)
Wed, 1158° / 41°0.19
58 °
Madison Run, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high75° (2024)
Record low22° (2017)
Thu, 1256° / 41°0.23
56 °
Madison Run, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.23 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high73° (2022)
Record low21° (1987)
Fri, 1355° / 39°0.08
55 °
Madison Run, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high75° (1985)
Record low22° (2019)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Madison Run, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Madison Run, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.