Monthly outlook for Madison Run, VA: average high 66.5°, average low 46.5°. That is 0.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 2.0 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (84.8°), the coolest 18 October (30.9°).
66.5°/46.5°
Average high / low
+0.2°
Above normal
4 / 4
Wet days / normal
2.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 October – 20 October
68.4°
67.3°
+0.6°
21 October – 30 October
63.5°
63.8°
-0.1°
31 October – 9 November
at normal
61°
—
October records over 66 years
95.2°2 October 2019All-time high
28.9°27 October 1962All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Orange (4 mi).
Mon, 1276° / 60°0.1
76 °
Madison Run, Monday, 12 October
Rain. High 76°, low 60°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind8 mph N
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point61°
Tue, 1380° / 53°0
80 °
Madison Run, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 80°, low 53°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind5.5 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point61°
Wed, 1483° / 62°0
83 °
Madison Run, Wednesday, 14 October
Mostly clear. High 83°, low 62°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind7 mph SW
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point66°
Thu, 1569° / 62°0.02
69 °
Madison Run, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 69°, low 62°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind9.6 mph NE
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point59°
Fri, 1685° / 58°0.05
85 °
Madison Run, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 85°, low 58°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind18.4 mph W
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Sat, 1753° / 35°0
53 °
Madison Run, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 53°, low 35°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind17.4 mph NW
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Sun, 1849° / 31°0
49 °
Madison Run, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 49°, low 31°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind12.5 mph N
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point16°
Mon, 1958° / 31°0
58 °
Madison Run, Monday, 19 October
Partly cloudy. High 58°, low 31°.
Pressure30.62 inHg
Wind6.3 mph SW
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Tue, 2066° / 36°0
66 °
Madison Run, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 66°, low 36°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind3.7 mph SW
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Wed, 2164° / 42°0
64 °
Madison Run, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 64°, low 42°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind5.9 mph NE
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Thu, 2262° / 42°0
62 °
Madison Run, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 42°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind7.8 mph NE
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Fri, 2361° / 42°0
61 °
Madison Run, Friday, 23 October
Mostly clear. High 61°, low 42°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind10.8 mph NE
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sat, 2463° / 44°0
63 °
Madison Run, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 44°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind11.1 mph NE
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sun, 2564° / 44°0
64 °
Madison Run, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 64°, low 44°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind9.1 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Mon, 2668° / 41°0.28
68 °
Madison Run, Monday, 26 October
Rain. High 68°, low 41°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind14.2 mph SW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2763° / 47°0.13
63 °
Madison Run, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high80° (2023)
Record low29° (1962)
Wed, 2864° / 47°0.09
64 °
Madison Run, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high84° (2023)
Record low30° (1976)
Thu, 2962° / 45°0.21
62 °
Madison Run, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high83° (2023)
Record low29° (1976)
Fri, 3062° / 44°0.09
62 °
Madison Run, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high81° (2023)
Record low30° (2011)
Sat, 3163° / 46°0.05
63 °
Madison Run, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high78° (2024)
Record low33° (1968)
Sun, 0164° / 47°0.11
64 °
Madison Run, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high82° (1974)
Record low34° (2002)
Mon, 0263° / 46°0.12
63 °
Madison Run, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high80° (1971)
Record low28° (2023)
Tue, 0363° / 45°0.06
63 °
Madison Run, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high78° (2016)
Record low32° (1996)
Wed, 0460° / 44°0.14
60 °
Madison Run, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high80° (1974)
Record low28° (2006)
Thu, 0560° / 44°0.09
60 °
Madison Run, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high78° (2022)
Record low28° (1991)
Fri, 0660° / 43°0.07
60 °
Madison Run, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high80° (2024)
Record low27° (1967)
Sat, 0759° / 42°0.1
59 °
Madison Run, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high80° (2024)
Record low28° (1967)
Sun, 0859° / 42°0.09
59 °
Madison Run, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high76° (1975)
Record low27° (1967)
Mon, 0959° / 42°0.05
59 °
Madison Run, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high80° (2023)
Record low25° (2019)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Madison Run, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Madison Run, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.