Weather in Ellis Fork, VA
Ellis Fork, Sunday, 11 October, 00:00
Overcast. Feels like 71°. High 76°, low 64°.
Monthly outlook for Ellis Fork, VA: average high 68.1°, average low 48.8°. That is 0.6° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (86°), the coolest 19 October (34.9°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 October – 20 October | 69.5° | 70.1° | -0.4° |
| 21 October – 30 October | 65.9° | 66.8° | -0.5° |
| 31 October – 9 November | at normal | 64.3° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Ivor (7 mi).
0Ellis Fork, Monday, 12 October
Overcast. High 77°, low 61°.
0
Ellis Fork, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 81°, low 58°.
0Ellis Fork, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 86°, low 65°.
0
Ellis Fork, Thursday, 15 October
Mostly clear. High 71°, low 57°.
0.24
Ellis Fork, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 70°, low 57°.
0Ellis Fork, Saturday, 17 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 48°.
0Ellis Fork, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 50°, low 38°.
0Ellis Fork, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 55°, low 35°.
0Ellis Fork, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 60°, low 37°.
0Ellis Fork, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 65°, low 41°.
0Ellis Fork, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 70°, low 45°.
0Ellis Fork, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 71°, low 48°.
0
Ellis Fork, Saturday, 24 October
Partly cloudy. High 60°, low 44°.
0Ellis Fork, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 62°, low 39°.
0Ellis Fork, Monday, 26 October
Partly cloudy. High 68°, low 44°.
0.1Ellis Fork, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Ellis Fork, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Ellis Fork, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Ellis Fork, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Ellis Fork, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Ellis Fork, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Ellis Fork, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Ellis Fork, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15
Ellis Fork, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Ellis Fork, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Ellis Fork, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Ellis Fork, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Ellis Fork, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Ellis Fork, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ellis Fork, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ellis Fork, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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