Weather in Ellis Fork, VA
Ellis Fork, Friday, 16 October, 05:05
Mostly clear. Feels like 66°. High 85°, low 65°.
Monthly outlook for Ellis Fork, VA: average high 66.9°, average low 55.1°. That is 0.2° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 9 days (about 2.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (85.2°), the coolest 18 October (45.7°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 October – 25 October | 64.4° | 68.3° | -2.2° |
| 26 October – 4 November | 71.1° | 65.7° | +3° |
| 5 November – 14 November | at normal | 61.6° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Ivor (7 mi).
0.57
Ellis Fork, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 65°, low 51°.
0
Ellis Fork, Sunday, 18 October
Mostly clear. High 58°, low 46°.
0
Ellis Fork, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 50°.
0.04Ellis Fork, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 54°.
0.3Ellis Fork, Wednesday, 21 October
Rain. High 62°, low 55°.
0.01Ellis Fork, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 53°.
0.27Ellis Fork, Friday, 23 October
Rain. High 59°, low 54°.
0Ellis Fork, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 49°.
0.98Ellis Fork, Sunday, 25 October
Rain. High 66°, low 53°.
0.1Ellis Fork, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 58°.
0Ellis Fork, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 71°, low 55°.
0Ellis Fork, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 77°, low 59°.
0.12Ellis Fork, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 71°, low 61°.
0.24Ellis Fork, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 68°, low 62°.
0.15Ellis Fork, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 73°, low 58°.
0.12
Ellis Fork, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Ellis Fork, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Ellis Fork, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15
Ellis Fork, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Ellis Fork, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Ellis Fork, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Ellis Fork, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Ellis Fork, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Ellis Fork, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Ellis Fork, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Ellis Fork, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.33Ellis Fork, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Ellis Fork, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Ellis Fork, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ellis Fork, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ellis Fork, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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