Monthly outlook for Motorun, VA: average high 55.3°, average low 44.2°. That is 0.8° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.1 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 November (69.8°), the coolest 24 November (31.7°).
55.3°/44.2°
Average high / low
−0.8°
Below normal
5 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 November – 20 November
56°
57.4°
-0.8°
21 November – 30 November
54°
55.4°
-0.8°
1 December – 10 December
at normal
52.1°
—
November records over 66 years
80.2°11 November 2020All-time high
25.3°29 November 2023All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Yorktown (14 mi).
Thu, 1269° / 45°0.07
69 °
Motorun, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 69°, low 45°.
Pressure29.47 inHg
Wind9.1 mph SW
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Fri, 1353° / 44°0
53 °
Motorun, Friday, 13 November
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 44°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind12.8 mph NW
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Sat, 1451° / 39°0
51 °
Motorun, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 51°, low 39°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind14.7 mph NW
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point29°
Sun, 1552° / 37°0
52 °
Motorun, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 52°, low 37°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind10.8 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Mon, 1652° / 43°0
52 °
Motorun, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 52°, low 43°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind10 mph N
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 1752° / 49°0.28
52 °
Motorun, Tuesday, 17 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 49°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind20.6 mph NE
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Wed, 1852° / 49°0.31
52 °
Motorun, Wednesday, 18 November
Rain. High 52°, low 49°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind26.7 mph N
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Thu, 1954° / 47°0
54 °
Motorun, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 54°, low 47°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind17.8 mph N
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Fri, 2055° / 47°0
55 °
Motorun, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 47°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6.8 mph NW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 2157° / 50°0
57 °
Motorun, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 50°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind11.3 mph S
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sun, 2262° / 54°0.35
62 °
Motorun, Sunday, 22 November
Rain. High 62°, low 54°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind16.6 mph S
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Mon, 2355° / 48°0
55 °
Motorun, Monday, 23 November
Partly cloudy. High 55°, low 48°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind10.9 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Tue, 2449° / 32°0.04
49 °
Motorun, Tuesday, 24 November
Light snow. High 49°, low 32°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind24.1 mph W
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Wed, 2547° / 34°0
47 °
Motorun, Wednesday, 25 November
Clear. High 47°, low 34°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind14.3 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Thu, 2653° / 41°0
53 °
Motorun, Thursday, 26 November
Clear. High 53°, low 41°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind16.4 mph SW
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2757° / 45°0.12
57 °
Motorun, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high73° (1973)
Record low30° (1977)
Sat, 2857° / 45°0.11
57 °
Motorun, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high74° (1973)
Record low31° (2013)
Sun, 2954° / 43°0.11
54 °
Motorun, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high70° (1960)
Record low25° (2023)
Mon, 3054° / 43°0.16
54 °
Motorun, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high72° (2020)
Record low30° (1976)
Tue, 0154° / 43°0.09
54 °
Motorun, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high72° (2006)
Record low28° (1964)
Wed, 0253° / 42°0.08
53 °
Motorun, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high69° (2018)
Record low30° (1964)
Thu, 0353° / 42°0.08
53 °
Motorun, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high74° (1991)
Record low26° (1976)
Fri, 0453° / 41°0.06
53 °
Motorun, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high72° (1978)
Record low25° (1989)
Sat, 0552° / 41°0.18
52 °
Motorun, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high71° (1982)
Record low31° (1991)
Sun, 0652° / 40°0.11
52 °
Motorun, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high72° (1998)
Record low26° (2024)
Mon, 0751° / 40°0.09
51 °
Motorun, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high73° (1998)
Record low25° (2024)
Tue, 0850° / 40°0.13
50 °
Motorun, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high71° (1978)
Record low27° (2010)
Wed, 0951° / 40°0.2
51 °
Motorun, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high74° (1978)
Record low22° (2025)
Thu, 1052° / 41°0.2
52 °
Motorun, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high72° (2019)
Record low25° (1968)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Motorun, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Motorun, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.