Monthly outlook for Thief River Falls, MN: average high 48.8°, average low 37.8°. That is 5.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.2 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 1 November (61.3°), the coolest 10 November (31.1°).
48.8°/37.8°
Average high / low
+5.3°
Above normal
2 / 3
Wet days / normal
0.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
30 October – 8 November
50.8°
41.6°
+5.1°
9 November – 18 November
45.5°
35.1°
+5.8°
19 November – 28 November
at normal
29.2°
—
October records over 66 years
86.7°3 October 2025All-time high
9.3°31 October 2002All-time low
Sat, 3153° / 34°0
53 °
Thief River Falls, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 53°, low 34°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind7.1 mph SE
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Sun, 0161° / 49°0
61 °
Thief River Falls, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 49°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9.2 mph S
Humidity82%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Mon, 0259° / 52°0.09
59 °
Thief River Falls, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 52°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind7.2 mph E
Humidity87%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Tue, 0351° / 39°0.07
51 °
Thief River Falls, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 39°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind15 mph N
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Wed, 0448° / 33°0
48 °
Thief River Falls, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 48°, low 33°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind13.5 mph N
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Thu, 0551° / 39°0
51 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 39°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9.8 mph N
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Fri, 0648° / 45°0
48 °
Thief River Falls, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 45°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind8.2 mph E
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sat, 0747° / 38°0
47 °
Thief River Falls, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 38°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.9 mph E
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sun, 0843° / 33°0
43 °
Thief River Falls, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 33°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind6.7 mph SE
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Mon, 0944° / 35°0
44 °
Thief River Falls, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 35°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6.3 mph E
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Tue, 1044° / 31°0
44 °
Thief River Falls, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 44°, low 31°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind5.6 mph SE
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Wed, 1145° / 31°0
45 °
Thief River Falls, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 45°, low 31°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind9.3 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Thu, 1249° / 34°0
49 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 49°, low 34°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind15.5 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Fri, 1345° / 41°0
45 °
Thief River Falls, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 41°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind9.1 mph SE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sat, 1446° / 37°0
46 °
Thief River Falls, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 37°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind11.1 mph N
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 1536° / 24°0.04
36 °
Thief River Falls, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high55° (2015)
Record low5° (1986)
Mon, 1636° / 23°0.03
36 °
Thief River Falls, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high59° (2001)
Record low1° (1989)
Tue, 1734° / 23°0.05
34 °
Thief River Falls, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low-1° (2005)
Wed, 1833° / 21°0.05
33 °
Thief River Falls, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high52° (2001)
Record low-10° (1986)
Thu, 1933° / 20°0.08
33 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low20°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high50° (2023)
Record low-6° (1978)
Fri, 2031° / 19°0.07
31 °
Thief River Falls, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high48° (1990)
Record low-11° (1978)
Sat, 2132° / 17°0.03
32 °
Thief River Falls, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high32°
Average low17°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high55° (1990)
Record low-14° (1985)
Sun, 2230° / 18°0.03
30 °
Thief River Falls, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low18°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high51° (2006)
Record low-8° (1977)
Mon, 2329° / 17°0.02
29 °
Thief River Falls, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low17°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high50° (2025)
Record low-12° (1995)
Tue, 2430° / 16°0.02
30 °
Thief River Falls, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low16°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high47° (1984)
Record low-20° (1985)
Wed, 2529° / 17°0.03
29 °
Thief River Falls, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low17°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high52° (1984)
Record low-20° (1996)
Thu, 2627° / 14°0.03
27 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high27°
Average low14°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high48° (1962)
Record low-17° (1996)
Fri, 2726° / 13°0.02
26 °
Thief River Falls, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low13°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high52° (2017)
Record low-17° (1985)
Sat, 2826° / 13°0.04
26 °
Thief River Falls, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low13°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high45° (1962)
Record low-16° (1985)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Thief River Falls, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Thief River Falls, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.