Monthly outlook for Thief River Falls, MN: average high 37.5°, average low 28.9°. That is 2.8° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 17 November (49.3°), the coolest 22 November (21.3°).
37.5°/28.9°
Average high / low
+2.8°
Above normal
4 / 3
Wet days / normal
0.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 November – 20 November
42.1°
34.3°
+4.3°
21 November – 30 November
29.9°
28.3°
+0.9°
1 December – 10 December
at normal
22.7°
—
November records over 66 years
68.5°2 November 2022All-time high
-26.3°29 November 1985All-time low
Thu, 1237° / 26°0
37 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 37°, low 26°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind4.3 mph NE
Humidity77%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point22°
Fri, 1336° / 25°0
36 °
Thief River Falls, Friday, 13 November
Partly cloudy. High 36°, low 25°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind3.9 mph SE
Humidity81%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point23°
Sat, 1439° / 25°0
39 °
Thief River Falls, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 39°, low 25°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.2 mph S
Humidity75%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point25°
Sun, 1542° / 28°0
42 °
Thief River Falls, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 42°, low 28°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind11.4 mph S
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Mon, 1648° / 36°0
48 °
Thief River Falls, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 48°, low 36°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind15 mph S
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Tue, 1749° / 38°0
49 °
Thief River Falls, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 38°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind17.4 mph S
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Wed, 1844° / 42°0
44 °
Thief River Falls, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 42°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind15.7 mph S
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Thu, 1944° / 42°0.16
44 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 42°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind8.8 mph SE
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Fri, 2042° / 32°0.06
42 °
Thief River Falls, Friday, 20 November
Snow. High 42°, low 32°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind17.3 mph N
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sat, 2130° / 28°0.06
30 °
Thief River Falls, Saturday, 21 November
Light snow. High 30°, low 28°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind18.6 mph N
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Sun, 2228° / 21°0
28 °
Thief River Falls, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 28°, low 21°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind11.3 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point13°
Mon, 2333° / 21°0
33 °
Thief River Falls, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 33°, low 21°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind13.1 mph SW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Tue, 2427° / 22°0
27 °
Thief River Falls, Tuesday, 24 November
Overcast. High 27°, low 22°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind9.1 mph NW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point14°
Wed, 2529° / 24°0
29 °
Thief River Falls, Wednesday, 25 November
Light snow. High 29°, low 24°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind10 mph E
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point15°
Thu, 2633° / 22°0.13
33 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 26 November
Snow. High 33°, low 22°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind19.4 mph S
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2726° / 13°0.02
26 °
Thief River Falls, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low13°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high52° (2017)
Record low-17° (1985)
Sat, 2826° / 13°0.04
26 °
Thief River Falls, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low13°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high45° (1962)
Record low-16° (1985)
Sun, 2928° / 13°0.02
28 °
Thief River Falls, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high28°
Average low13°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high43° (1962)
Record low-26° (1985)
Mon, 3027° / 15°0.03
27 °
Thief River Falls, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high27°
Average low15°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high44° (1962)
Record low-23° (1978)
Tue, 0126° / 12°0.04
26 °
Thief River Falls, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low12°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high52° (1962)
Record low-21° (1978)
Wed, 0224° / 10°0.03
24 °
Thief River Falls, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high24°
Average low10°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high50° (1982)
Record low-26° (1978)
Thu, 0324° / 11°0.02
24 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high24°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high51° (1962)
Record low-28° (1972)
Fri, 0426° / 11°0.04
26 °
Thief River Falls, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high43° (1982)
Record low-27° (1991)
Sat, 0524° / 9°0.04
24 °
Thief River Falls, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high24°
Average low9°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high41° (1979)
Record low-19° (2000)
Sun, 0621° / 5°0.04
21 °
Thief River Falls, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high21°
Average low5°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high46° (2023)
Record low-32° (1972)
Mon, 0721° / 7°0.02
21 °
Thief River Falls, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high21°
Average low7°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high46° (2023)
Record low-25° (2013)
Tue, 0822° / 8°0.04
22 °
Thief River Falls, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high22°
Average low8°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high42° (1990)
Record low-22° (2013)
Wed, 0921° / 7°0.04
21 °
Thief River Falls, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high21°
Average low7°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high45° (2015)
Record low-25° (1977)
Thu, 1019° / 4°0.02
19 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high19°
Average low4°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high38° (2015)
Record low-33° (1977)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Thief River Falls, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Thief River Falls, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.