Monthly outlook for Thief River Falls, MN: average high 32.3°, average low 20.5°. That is 0.5° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 2.6 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 17 November (51.4°), the coolest 27 November (0.4°).
32.3°/20.5°
Average high / low
+0.5°
Above normal
3 / 3
Wet days / normal
2.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 November – 22 November
42.2°
33.6°
+4.8°
23 November – 2 December
15.9°
27°
-6.2°
3 December – 12 December
at normal
21.9°
—
November records over 66 years
68.5°2 November 2022All-time high
-26.3°29 November 1985All-time low
Sat, 1443° / 22°0
43 °
Thief River Falls, Saturday, 14 November
Partly cloudy. High 43°, low 22°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind9 mph S
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point23°
Sun, 1546° / 27°0
46 °
Thief River Falls, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 46°, low 27°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind12.8 mph S
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point29°
Mon, 1650° / 38°0
50 °
Thief River Falls, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 50°, low 38°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind12.8 mph SW
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Tue, 1751° / 42°0
51 °
Thief River Falls, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 42°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind11.5 mph S
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Wed, 1851° / 42°0
51 °
Thief River Falls, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 42°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind12.7 mph S
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Thu, 1948° / 35°0.1
48 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 35°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind19.1 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Fri, 2040° / 29°0.04
40 °
Thief River Falls, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 40°, low 29°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind12.6 mph SE
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Sat, 2139° / 22°2.43
39 °
Thief River Falls, Saturday, 21 November
Snow. High 39°, low 22°.
Pressure29.18 inHg
Wind30.2 mph NW
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sun, 2216° / 8°0.04
16 °
Thief River Falls, Sunday, 22 November
Light snow. High 16°, low 8°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind25.7 mph NW
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point11°
Mon, 2314° / 9°0.02
14 °
Thief River Falls, Monday, 23 November
Light snow. High 14°, low 9°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind12.9 mph N
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point11°
Tue, 2415° / 4°0
15 °
Thief River Falls, Tuesday, 24 November
Overcast. High 15°, low 4°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind13.6 mph SW
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point8°
Wed, 2517° / 14°0
17 °
Thief River Falls, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 17°, low 14°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind11.9 mph SW
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point14°
Thu, 2620° / 12°0
20 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 26 November
Partly cloudy. High 20°, low 12°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind15.3 mph SW
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point16°
Fri, 279° / 0°0
9 °
Thief River Falls, Friday, 27 November
Clear. High 9°, low 0°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind12.3 mph NW
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point5°
Sat, 2820° / 3°0
20 °
Thief River Falls, Saturday, 28 November
Overcast. High 20°, low 3°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind6.8 mph SW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point12°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2928° / 13°0.02
28 °
Thief River Falls, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high28°
Average low13°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high43° (1962)
Record low-26° (1985)
Mon, 3027° / 15°0.03
27 °
Thief River Falls, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high27°
Average low15°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high44° (1962)
Record low-23° (1978)
Tue, 0126° / 12°0.04
26 °
Thief River Falls, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low12°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high52° (1962)
Record low-21° (1978)
Wed, 0224° / 10°0.03
24 °
Thief River Falls, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high24°
Average low10°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high50° (1982)
Record low-26° (1978)
Thu, 0324° / 11°0.02
24 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high24°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high51° (1962)
Record low-28° (1972)
Fri, 0426° / 11°0.04
26 °
Thief River Falls, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high43° (1982)
Record low-27° (1991)
Sat, 0524° / 9°0.04
24 °
Thief River Falls, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high24°
Average low9°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high41° (1979)
Record low-19° (2000)
Sun, 0621° / 5°0.04
21 °
Thief River Falls, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high21°
Average low5°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high46° (2023)
Record low-32° (1972)
Mon, 0721° / 7°0.02
21 °
Thief River Falls, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high21°
Average low7°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high46° (2023)
Record low-25° (2013)
Tue, 0822° / 8°0.04
22 °
Thief River Falls, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high22°
Average low8°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high42° (1990)
Record low-22° (2013)
Wed, 0921° / 7°0.04
21 °
Thief River Falls, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high21°
Average low7°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high45° (2015)
Record low-25° (1977)
Thu, 1019° / 4°0.02
19 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high19°
Average low4°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high38° (2015)
Record low-33° (1977)
Fri, 1120° / 4°0.02
20 °
Thief River Falls, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high20°
Average low4°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high39° (1998)
Record low-28° (1995)
Sat, 1221° / 5°0.03
21 °
Thief River Falls, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high21°
Average low5°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high41° (2004)
Record low-30° (2000)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Thief River Falls, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Thief River Falls, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.