Monthly outlook for Thief River Falls, MN: average high 46.2°, average low 33.8°. That is 3.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.1 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 1 November (63.9°), the coolest 7 November (23.7°).
46.2°/33.8°
Average high / low
+3.2°
Above normal
1 / 3
Wet days / normal
0.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
28 October – 6 November
51.1°
42.7°
+4.7°
7 November – 16 November
37.9°
36.3°
+0.9°
17 November – 26 November
at normal
30.6°
—
October records over 66 years
86.7°3 October 2025All-time high
9.3°31 October 2002All-time low
Thu, 2944° / 34°0
44 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 44°, low 34°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind11.6 mph NW
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Fri, 3047° / 32°0
47 °
Thief River Falls, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 47°, low 32°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind1.6 mph N
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Sat, 3156° / 33°0
56 °
Thief River Falls, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 33°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind5.8 mph SE
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Sun, 0164° / 48°0
64 °
Thief River Falls, Sunday, 1 November
Partly cloudy. High 64°, low 48°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9.8 mph S
Humidity79%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Mon, 0260° / 49°0.11
60 °
Thief River Falls, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 49°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind15.1 mph N
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Tue, 0357° / 39°0
57 °
Thief River Falls, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 39°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind14.1 mph N
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 0458° / 45°0
58 °
Thief River Falls, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 45°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind12.8 mph N
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Thu, 0541° / 32°0
41 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 41°, low 32°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind17.8 mph NW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Fri, 0635° / 30°0
35 °
Thief River Falls, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 35°, low 30°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind19.1 mph NW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Sat, 0737° / 24°0
37 °
Thief River Falls, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 37°, low 24°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Sun, 0841° / 25°0
41 °
Thief River Falls, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 41°, low 25°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind6.3 mph SW
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point15°
Mon, 0940° / 30°0
40 °
Thief River Falls, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 40°, low 30°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind10.9 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Tue, 1034° / 25°0
34 °
Thief River Falls, Tuesday, 10 November
Light snow. High 34°, low 25°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind13 mph N
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Wed, 1135° / 26°0.01
35 °
Thief River Falls, Wednesday, 11 November
Light snow. High 35°, low 26°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind11.2 mph NW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Thu, 1242° / 28°0
42 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 42°, low 28°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.1 mph W
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 1336° / 23°0.04
36 °
Thief River Falls, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high60° (2016)
Record low-16° (1986)
Sat, 1437° / 23°0.02
37 °
Thief River Falls, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high58° (2025)
Record low-1° (1995)
Sun, 1536° / 24°0.04
36 °
Thief River Falls, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high55° (2015)
Record low5° (1986)
Mon, 1636° / 23°0.03
36 °
Thief River Falls, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high59° (2001)
Record low1° (1989)
Tue, 1734° / 23°0.05
34 °
Thief River Falls, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low-1° (2005)
Wed, 1833° / 21°0.05
33 °
Thief River Falls, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high52° (2001)
Record low-10° (1986)
Thu, 1933° / 20°0.08
33 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low20°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high50° (2023)
Record low-6° (1978)
Fri, 2031° / 19°0.07
31 °
Thief River Falls, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high48° (1990)
Record low-11° (1978)
Sat, 2132° / 17°0.03
32 °
Thief River Falls, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high32°
Average low17°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high55° (1990)
Record low-14° (1985)
Sun, 2230° / 18°0.03
30 °
Thief River Falls, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low18°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high51° (2006)
Record low-8° (1977)
Mon, 2329° / 17°0.02
29 °
Thief River Falls, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low17°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high50° (2025)
Record low-12° (1995)
Tue, 2430° / 16°0.02
30 °
Thief River Falls, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low16°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high47° (1984)
Record low-20° (1985)
Wed, 2529° / 17°0.03
29 °
Thief River Falls, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low17°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high52° (1984)
Record low-20° (1996)
Thu, 2627° / 14°0.03
27 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high27°
Average low14°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high48° (1962)
Record low-17° (1996)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Thief River Falls, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Thief River Falls, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.