Monthly outlook for Thief River Falls, MN: average high 51.5°, average low 40.6°. That is 7.3° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 1.4 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 1 November (63.2°), the coolest 6 November (34.2°).
51.5°/40.6°
Average high / low
+7.3°
Above normal
2 / 3
Wet days / normal
1.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
1 November – 10 November
51.2°
39.9°
+6.3°
11 November – 20 November
51.8°
34.3°
+9.7°
21 November – 30 November
at normal
28.3°
—
November records over 66 years
68.5°2 November 2022All-time high
-26.3°29 November 1985All-time low
Mon, 0255° / 52°1.24
55 °
Thief River Falls, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 55°, low 52°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind13.7 mph E
Humidity97%
Visibility1.5 mi
Dew point54°
Tue, 0352° / 40°0.18
52 °
Thief River Falls, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 52°, low 40°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind15.5 mph N
Humidity81%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Wed, 0448° / 38°0
48 °
Thief River Falls, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 38°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind11.6 mph N
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Thu, 0546° / 34°0
46 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 34°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11 mph N
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Fri, 0650° / 34°0
50 °
Thief River Falls, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 34°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.3 mph S
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 0752° / 40°0
52 °
Thief River Falls, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 52°, low 40°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind16.3 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sun, 0847° / 35°0
47 °
Thief River Falls, Sunday, 8 November
Partly cloudy. High 47°, low 35°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind7.2 mph NW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Mon, 0949° / 40°0
49 °
Thief River Falls, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 49°, low 40°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind18.2 mph NW
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Tue, 1049° / 38°0
49 °
Thief River Falls, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 38°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind14.2 mph S
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Wed, 1146° / 38°0
46 °
Thief River Falls, Wednesday, 11 November
Partly cloudy. High 46°, low 38°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind9 mph N
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Thu, 1251° / 37°0
51 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 37°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind17.7 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Fri, 1359° / 43°0
59 °
Thief River Falls, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 43°.
Pressure29.50 inHg
Wind12 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sat, 1456° / 46°0
56 °
Thief River Falls, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 46°.
Pressure29.32 inHg
Wind9.3 mph W
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sun, 1552° / 42°0
52 °
Thief River Falls, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 42°.
Pressure29.44 inHg
Wind8.1 mph E
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 1647° / 45°0.01
47 °
Thief River Falls, Monday, 16 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 45°.
Pressure29.47 inHg
Wind12 mph E
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 1734° / 23°0.05
34 °
Thief River Falls, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low-1° (2005)
Wed, 1833° / 21°0.05
33 °
Thief River Falls, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high52° (2001)
Record low-10° (1986)
Thu, 1933° / 20°0.08
33 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low20°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high50° (2023)
Record low-6° (1978)
Fri, 2031° / 19°0.07
31 °
Thief River Falls, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high48° (1990)
Record low-11° (1978)
Sat, 2132° / 17°0.03
32 °
Thief River Falls, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high32°
Average low17°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high55° (1990)
Record low-14° (1985)
Sun, 2230° / 18°0.03
30 °
Thief River Falls, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low18°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high51° (2006)
Record low-8° (1977)
Mon, 2329° / 17°0.02
29 °
Thief River Falls, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low17°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high50° (2025)
Record low-12° (1995)
Tue, 2430° / 16°0.02
30 °
Thief River Falls, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low16°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high47° (1984)
Record low-20° (1985)
Wed, 2529° / 17°0.03
29 °
Thief River Falls, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low17°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high52° (1984)
Record low-20° (1996)
Thu, 2627° / 14°0.03
27 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high27°
Average low14°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high48° (1962)
Record low-17° (1996)
Fri, 2726° / 13°0.02
26 °
Thief River Falls, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low13°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high52° (2017)
Record low-17° (1985)
Sat, 2826° / 13°0.04
26 °
Thief River Falls, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low13°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high45° (1962)
Record low-16° (1985)
Sun, 2928° / 13°0.02
28 °
Thief River Falls, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high28°
Average low13°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high43° (1962)
Record low-26° (1985)
Mon, 3027° / 15°0.03
27 °
Thief River Falls, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high27°
Average low15°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high44° (1962)
Record low-23° (1978)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Thief River Falls, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Thief River Falls, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.