Monthly outlook for Thief River Falls, MN: average high 38.9°, average low 28.5°. That is 3.9° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.1 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 17 November (51.3°), the coolest 26 November (14.1°).
38.9°/28.5°
Average high / low
+3.9°
Above normal
3 / 3
Wet days / normal
1.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 November – 21 November
43.5°
34.1°
+5.2°
22 November – 1 December
31.2°
27.7°
+1.9°
2 December – 11 December
at normal
22.2°
—
November records over 66 years
68.5°2 November 2022All-time high
-26.3°29 November 1985All-time low
Fri, 1335° / 22°0
35 °
Thief River Falls, Friday, 13 November
Clear. High 35°, low 22°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind5.9 mph SE
Humidity86%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point22°
Sat, 1441° / 25°0
41 °
Thief River Falls, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 41°, low 25°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind9.8 mph S
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point27°
Sun, 1547° / 31°0
47 °
Thief River Falls, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 47°, low 31°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind13.1 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Mon, 1651° / 40°0
51 °
Thief River Falls, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 51°, low 40°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind13.6 mph S
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Tue, 1751° / 42°0
51 °
Thief River Falls, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 42°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind12.3 mph S
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Wed, 1851° / 45°0.01
51 °
Thief River Falls, Wednesday, 18 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 45°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind11.2 mph SE
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Thu, 1949° / 34°0.08
49 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 34°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind20.4 mph NW
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Fri, 2036° / 30°0
36 °
Thief River Falls, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 36°, low 30°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind9.9 mph E
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Sat, 2139° / 30°0
39 °
Thief River Falls, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 39°, low 30°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind6.9 mph NE
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Sun, 2244° / 31°0.01
44 °
Thief River Falls, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 31°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind6.5 mph SW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Mon, 2338° / 22°0.71
38 °
Thief River Falls, Monday, 23 November
Snow. High 38°, low 22°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind19.5 mph NW
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Tue, 2424° / 20°0
24 °
Thief River Falls, Tuesday, 24 November
Overcast. High 24°, low 20°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind16.7 mph NW
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point15°
Wed, 2522° / 16°0
22 °
Thief River Falls, Wednesday, 25 November
Partly cloudy. High 22°, low 16°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind9.7 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point13°
Thu, 2627° / 14°0
27 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 26 November
Partly cloudy. High 27°, low 14°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind17 mph SE
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point11°
Fri, 2732° / 28°0.28
32 °
Thief River Falls, Friday, 27 November
Snow. High 32°, low 28°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind17.2 mph SE
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2826° / 13°0.04
26 °
Thief River Falls, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low13°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high45° (1962)
Record low-16° (1985)
Sun, 2928° / 13°0.02
28 °
Thief River Falls, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high28°
Average low13°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high43° (1962)
Record low-26° (1985)
Mon, 3027° / 15°0.03
27 °
Thief River Falls, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high27°
Average low15°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high44° (1962)
Record low-23° (1978)
Tue, 0126° / 12°0.04
26 °
Thief River Falls, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low12°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high52° (1962)
Record low-21° (1978)
Wed, 0224° / 10°0.03
24 °
Thief River Falls, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high24°
Average low10°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high50° (1982)
Record low-26° (1978)
Thu, 0324° / 11°0.02
24 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high24°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high51° (1962)
Record low-28° (1972)
Fri, 0426° / 11°0.04
26 °
Thief River Falls, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high43° (1982)
Record low-27° (1991)
Sat, 0524° / 9°0.04
24 °
Thief River Falls, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high24°
Average low9°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high41° (1979)
Record low-19° (2000)
Sun, 0621° / 5°0.04
21 °
Thief River Falls, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high21°
Average low5°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high46° (2023)
Record low-32° (1972)
Mon, 0721° / 7°0.02
21 °
Thief River Falls, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high21°
Average low7°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high46° (2023)
Record low-25° (2013)
Tue, 0822° / 8°0.04
22 °
Thief River Falls, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high22°
Average low8°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high42° (1990)
Record low-22° (2013)
Wed, 0921° / 7°0.04
21 °
Thief River Falls, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high21°
Average low7°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high45° (2015)
Record low-25° (1977)
Thu, 1019° / 4°0.02
19 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high19°
Average low4°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high38° (2015)
Record low-33° (1977)
Fri, 1120° / 4°0.02
20 °
Thief River Falls, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high20°
Average low4°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high39° (1998)
Record low-28° (1995)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Thief River Falls, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Thief River Falls, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.