Monthly outlook for Thief River Falls, MN: average high 48.6°, average low 35.9°. That is 6.7° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.2 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 November (56.6°), the coolest 6 November (28.3°).
48.6°/35.9°
Average high / low
+6.7°
Above normal
1 / 3
Wet days / normal
0.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
4 November – 13 November
47.9°
37.7°
+5.7°
14 November – 23 November
49.6°
32.9°
+9.3°
24 November – 3 December
at normal
26.6°
—
November records over 66 years
68.5°2 November 2022All-time high
-26.3°29 November 1985All-time low
Thu, 0540° / 29°0
40 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 40°, low 29°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.5 mph N
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point28°
Fri, 0644° / 28°0
44 °
Thief River Falls, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 28°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind11 mph S
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Sat, 0753° / 34°0
53 °
Thief River Falls, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 34°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind12.3 mph SW
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Sun, 0850° / 38°0
50 °
Thief River Falls, Sunday, 8 November
Mostly clear. High 50°, low 38°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.9 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 0956° / 41°0
56 °
Thief River Falls, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 41°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind14.2 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Tue, 1046° / 36°0
46 °
Thief River Falls, Tuesday, 10 November
Mostly clear. High 46°, low 36°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind11.7 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Wed, 1142° / 31°0
42 °
Thief River Falls, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 42°, low 31°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind5.2 mph NE
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Thu, 1248° / 32°0
48 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 32°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12.5 mph SW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Fri, 1356° / 38°0
56 °
Thief River Falls, Friday, 13 November
Mostly clear. High 56°, low 38°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind11.9 mph SW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sat, 1452° / 40°0
52 °
Thief River Falls, Saturday, 14 November
Mostly clear. High 52°, low 40°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind8.5 mph NW
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Sun, 1551° / 36°0
51 °
Thief River Falls, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 51°, low 36°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8.4 mph SE
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Mon, 1657° / 37°0
57 °
Thief River Falls, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 57°, low 37°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind12.6 mph S
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Tue, 1756° / 48°0.23
56 °
Thief River Falls, Tuesday, 17 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 48°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind18.1 mph S
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Wed, 1846° / 38°0
46 °
Thief River Falls, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 38°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind12.4 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Thu, 1936° / 30°0
36 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 19 November
Mostly clear. High 36°, low 30°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind11.2 mph N
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2031° / 19°0.07
31 °
Thief River Falls, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high48° (1990)
Record low-11° (1978)
Sat, 2132° / 17°0.03
32 °
Thief River Falls, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high32°
Average low17°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high55° (1990)
Record low-14° (1985)
Sun, 2230° / 18°0.03
30 °
Thief River Falls, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low18°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high51° (2006)
Record low-8° (1977)
Mon, 2329° / 17°0.02
29 °
Thief River Falls, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low17°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high50° (2025)
Record low-12° (1995)
Tue, 2430° / 16°0.02
30 °
Thief River Falls, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low16°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high47° (1984)
Record low-20° (1985)
Wed, 2529° / 17°0.03
29 °
Thief River Falls, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low17°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high52° (1984)
Record low-20° (1996)
Thu, 2627° / 14°0.03
27 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high27°
Average low14°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high48° (1962)
Record low-17° (1996)
Fri, 2726° / 13°0.02
26 °
Thief River Falls, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low13°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high52° (2017)
Record low-17° (1985)
Sat, 2826° / 13°0.04
26 °
Thief River Falls, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low13°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high45° (1962)
Record low-16° (1985)
Sun, 2928° / 13°0.02
28 °
Thief River Falls, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high28°
Average low13°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high43° (1962)
Record low-26° (1985)
Mon, 3027° / 15°0.03
27 °
Thief River Falls, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high27°
Average low15°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high44° (1962)
Record low-23° (1978)
Tue, 0126° / 12°0.04
26 °
Thief River Falls, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low12°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high52° (1962)
Record low-21° (1978)
Wed, 0224° / 10°0.03
24 °
Thief River Falls, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high24°
Average low10°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high50° (1982)
Record low-26° (1978)
Thu, 0324° / 11°0.02
24 °
Thief River Falls, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high24°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high51° (1962)
Record low-28° (1972)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Thief River Falls, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Thief River Falls, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.