Weather in Elm Flat, TX
Elm Flat, Saturday, 10 October, 11:22
Clear. Feels like 80°. High 89°, low 64°.
Monthly outlook for Elm Flat, TX: average high 80°, average low 61°. That is 1.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 October (90.6°), the coolest 18 October (37.9°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 October – 19 October | 79.8° | 78.5° | +0.7° |
| 20 October – 29 October | 80.3° | 74.9° | +3° |
| 30 October – 8 November | at normal | 70.5° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Trinidad (12 mi).
0
Elm Flat, Sunday, 11 October
Overcast. High 91°, low 67°.
0
Elm Flat, Monday, 12 October
Mostly clear. High 87°, low 69°.
0.03
Elm Flat, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 90°, low 76°.
0.04Elm Flat, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 90°, low 77°.
0Elm Flat, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 88°, low 74°.
0.3Elm Flat, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 76°, low 62°.
0Elm Flat, Saturday, 17 October
Mostly clear. High 59°, low 47°.
0Elm Flat, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 59°, low 38°.
0Elm Flat, Monday, 19 October
Mostly clear. High 68°, low 41°.
0Elm Flat, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 75°, low 48°.
0Elm Flat, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 81°, low 59°.
0Elm Flat, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 81°, low 61°.
0Elm Flat, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 82°, low 63°.
0Elm Flat, Saturday, 24 October
Mostly clear. High 84°, low 66°.
0.28Elm Flat, Sunday, 25 October
Rain. High 80°, low 64°.
0.13
Elm Flat, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Elm Flat, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Elm Flat, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Elm Flat, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.26Elm Flat, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Elm Flat, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Elm Flat, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Elm Flat, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Elm Flat, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.22Elm Flat, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Elm Flat, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Elm Flat, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Elm Flat, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Elm Flat, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elm Flat, TX are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elm Flat, TX since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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