Monthly outlook for Monticello, TX: average high 57.4°, average low 41.4°. That is 3° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 2.5 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 November (74.9°), the coolest 24 November (23°).
57.4°/41.4°
Average high / low
−3°
Below normal
4 / 4
Wet days / normal
2.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 November – 22 November
63.4°
64°
-0.3°
23 November – 2 December
47.4°
60.3°
-7.2°
3 December – 12 December
at normal
57.4°
—
November records over 66 years
84.6°18 November 2025All-time high
21.9°12 November 2019All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Winnsboro (15 mi).
Sat, 1462° / 40°0.03
62 °
Monticello, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 40°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind11.1 mph E
Humidity42%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Sun, 1547° / 40°1.58
47 °
Monticello, Sunday, 15 November
Heavy rain. High 47°, low 40°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind7.1 mph E
Humidity94%
Visibility1.3 mi
Dew point44°
Mon, 1658° / 46°0.06
58 °
Monticello, Monday, 16 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 46°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind6 mph E
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Tue, 1762° / 44°0
62 °
Monticello, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 62°, low 44°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind7 mph E
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Wed, 1870° / 48°0
70 °
Monticello, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 70°, low 48°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind8.1 mph SE
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Thu, 1973° / 56°0
73 °
Monticello, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 73°, low 56°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind9.3 mph SE
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Fri, 2075° / 55°0
75 °
Monticello, Friday, 20 November
Mostly clear. High 75°, low 55°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind10.3 mph S
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Sat, 2167° / 58°0.07
67 °
Monticello, Saturday, 21 November
Light rain. High 67°, low 58°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind13.1 mph N
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sun, 2256° / 43°0
56 °
Monticello, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 43°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind11.8 mph N
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Mon, 2351° / 36°0
51 °
Monticello, Monday, 23 November
Clear. High 51°, low 36°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind13.8 mph N
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Tue, 2440° / 23°0
40 °
Monticello, Tuesday, 24 November
Overcast. High 40°, low 23°.
Pressure30.65 inHg
Wind9.4 mph NE
Humidity20%
Visibility—
Dew point-2°
Wed, 2541° / 28°0
41 °
Monticello, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 41°, low 28°.
Pressure30.68 inHg
Wind8.5 mph E
Humidity21%
Visibility—
Dew point1°
Thu, 2649° / 25°0
49 °
Monticello, Thursday, 26 November
Clear. High 49°, low 25°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind5.3 mph SE
Humidity20%
Visibility—
Dew point4°
Fri, 2756° / 31°0
56 °
Monticello, Friday, 27 November
Partly cloudy. High 56°, low 31°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind9.1 mph SE
Humidity25%
Visibility—
Dew point15°
Sat, 2848° / 43°0.76
48 °
Monticello, Saturday, 28 November
Heavy rain. High 48°, low 43°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind8.1 mph SE
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2959° / 44°0.15
59 °
Monticello, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high76° (2006)
Record low22° (1976)
Mon, 3059° / 42°0.16
59 °
Monticello, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high73° (2014)
Record low26° (1979)
Tue, 0159° / 42°0.03
59 °
Monticello, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high77° (2012)
Record low29° (2006)
Wed, 0260° / 44°0.13
60 °
Monticello, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high78° (2012)
Record low25° (1985)
Thu, 0360° / 44°0.18
60 °
Monticello, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high78° (2005)
Record low28° (1985)
Fri, 0458° / 43°0.09
58 °
Monticello, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high76° (2017)
Record low26° (2006)
Sat, 0558° / 43°0.09
58 °
Monticello, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high75° (1998)
Record low24° (2009)
Sun, 0657° / 44°0.13
57 °
Monticello, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high76° (1966)
Record low26° (1972)
Mon, 0756° / 42°0.07
56 °
Monticello, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high79° (1966)
Record low27° (2013)
Tue, 0858° / 42°0.13
58 °
Monticello, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high76° (2007)
Record low25° (2006)
Wed, 0958° / 42°0.17
58 °
Monticello, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high77° (2021)
Record low21° (2005)
Thu, 1056° / 42°0.13
56 °
Monticello, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high79° (2021)
Record low23° (1995)
Fri, 1156° / 40°0.15
56 °
Monticello, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high74° (2021)
Record low26° (2013)
Sat, 1256° / 41°0.14
56 °
Monticello, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high73° (1990)
Record low22° (1962)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Monticello, TX are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Monticello, TX since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.