Monthly outlook for Monticello, TX: average high 69.8°, average low 51.7°. That is 2.2° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 2.6 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 November (76.5°), the coolest 15 November (41.2°).
69.8°/51.7°
Average high / low
+2.2°
Above normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
2.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
3 November – 12 November
70.9°
66.8°
+2.2°
13 November – 22 November
68.1°
64°
+2.2°
23 November – 2 December
at normal
60.3°
—
November records over 66 years
84.6°18 November 2025All-time high
21.9°12 November 2019All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Winnsboro (15 mi).
Wed, 0471° / 55°0
71 °
Monticello, Wednesday, 4 November
Partly cloudy. High 71°, low 55°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind6 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Thu, 0574° / 56°0
74 °
Monticello, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 74°, low 56°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind6.4 mph S
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Fri, 0668° / 53°0
68 °
Monticello, Friday, 6 November
Clear. High 68°, low 53°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point50°
Sat, 0766° / 51°0
66 °
Monticello, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 66°, low 51°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind4.7 mph NE
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Sun, 0866° / 47°0
66 °
Monticello, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 66°, low 47°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4.8 mph N
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Mon, 0976° / 51°0
76 °
Monticello, Monday, 9 November
Mostly clear. High 76°, low 51°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind7.8 mph S
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Tue, 1075° / 57°0
75 °
Monticello, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 75°, low 57°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind10.8 mph S
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Wed, 1176° / 62°0.31
76 °
Monticello, Wednesday, 11 November
Rain. High 76°, low 62°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind11.3 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Thu, 1263° / 50°0.02
63 °
Monticello, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 63°, low 50°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind11.2 mph NE
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Fri, 1362° / 43°0
62 °
Monticello, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 43°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9.1 mph NE
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sat, 1461° / 43°0
61 °
Monticello, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 43°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind6.5 mph NE
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sun, 1565° / 41°0
65 °
Monticello, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 65°, low 41°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind7.7 mph SE
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Mon, 1672° / 50°0
72 °
Monticello, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 72°, low 50°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind15.5 mph SW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Tue, 1773° / 49°0
73 °
Monticello, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 73°, low 49°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind8.9 mph SE
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Wed, 1874° / 55°1.09
74 °
Monticello, Wednesday, 18 November
Heavy rain. High 74°, low 55°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind23 mph S
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 1964° / 50°0.1
64 °
Monticello, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high84° (2025)
Record low31° (1980)
Fri, 2064° / 49°0.06
64 °
Monticello, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high78° (2007)
Record low32° (2022)
Sat, 2164° / 47°0.1
64 °
Monticello, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high77° (1999)
Record low32° (2018)
Sun, 2262° / 47°0.13
62 °
Monticello, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high77° (1999)
Record low28° (1964)
Mon, 2363° / 47°0.13
63 °
Monticello, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high77° (2010)
Record low30° (1964)
Tue, 2461° / 46°0.21
61 °
Monticello, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high77° (1965)
Record low27° (1970)
Wed, 2562° / 46°0.15
62 °
Monticello, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high77° (1966)
Record low30° (1975)
Thu, 2662° / 48°0.17
62 °
Monticello, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high79° (1965)
Record low27° (1993)
Fri, 2761° / 46°0.15
61 °
Monticello, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high76° (1989)
Record low25° (1993)
Sat, 2858° / 43°0.11
58 °
Monticello, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high75° (2006)
Record low28° (2013)
Sun, 2959° / 44°0.15
59 °
Monticello, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high76° (2006)
Record low22° (1976)
Mon, 3059° / 42°0.16
59 °
Monticello, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high73° (2014)
Record low26° (1979)
Tue, 0159° / 42°0.03
59 °
Monticello, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high77° (2012)
Record low29° (2006)
Wed, 0260° / 44°0.13
60 °
Monticello, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high78° (2012)
Record low25° (1985)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Monticello, TX are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Monticello, TX since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.