Monthly outlook for Elroy, TX: average high 82.6°, average low 67°. That is 1.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.0 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 9 October (92.8°), the coolest 19 October (56.8°).
82.6°/67°
Average high / low
+1.4°
Above normal
6 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
8 October – 17 October
89.5°
81.1°
+4.7°
18 October – 27 October
71.2°
77.8°
-3.7°
28 October – 6 November
at normal
73.8°
—
October records over 66 years
98.8°13 October 2024All-time high
32.5°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Mustang Ridge (5 mi).
Fri, 0993° / 67°0
93 °
Elroy, Friday, 9 October
Clear. High 93°, low 67°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind7 mph NE
Humidity33%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Sat, 1092° / 65°0
92 °
Elroy, Saturday, 10 October
Clear. High 92°, low 65°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind0.4 mph N
Humidity36%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Sun, 1193° / 71°0
93 °
Elroy, Sunday, 11 October
Clear. High 93°, low 71°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.2 mph S
Humidity46%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point65°
Mon, 1289° / 73°0.27
89 °
Elroy, Monday, 12 October
Rain. High 89°, low 73°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind9.8 mph SE
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point71°
Tue, 1392° / 77°0.13
92 °
Elroy, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 92°, low 77°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind10.7 mph S
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point68°
Wed, 1490° / 77°0
90 °
Elroy, Wednesday, 14 October
Partly cloudy. High 90°, low 77°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind15 mph SE
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point69°
Thu, 1584° / 74°0
84 °
Elroy, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 84°, low 74°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind13.7 mph S
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Fri, 1690° / 68°0
90 °
Elroy, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 90°, low 68°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.1 mph SE
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sat, 1781° / 70°0.06
81 °
Elroy, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 81°, low 70°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind17.3 mph N
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Sun, 1873° / 60°0.04
73 °
Elroy, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 73°, low 60°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind14.8 mph N
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Mon, 1958° / 57°0.26
58 °
Elroy, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 57°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind13.5 mph N
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Tue, 2060° / 58°0.24
60 °
Elroy, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 58°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind12 mph N
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Wed, 2176° / 61°0
76 °
Elroy, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 76°, low 61°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind11.9 mph N
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Thu, 2280° / 65°0.01
80 °
Elroy, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 80°, low 65°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind12.4 mph N
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
Fri, 2380° / 65°0
80 °
Elroy, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 80°, low 65°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind15.6 mph NE
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2477° / 60°0.13
77 °
Elroy, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low60°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high89° (1991)
Record low46° (1982)
Sun, 2577° / 58°0.13
77 °
Elroy, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low58°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high91° (2010)
Record low43° (2005)
Mon, 2677° / 59°0.1
77 °
Elroy, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low59°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high90° (2024)
Record low46° (2005)
Tue, 2776° / 58°0.04
76 °
Elroy, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low58°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high91° (1995)
Record low40° (2020)
Wed, 2875° / 58°0.06
75 °
Elroy, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high75°
Average low58°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high89° (2024)
Record low41° (2020)
Thu, 2975° / 57°0.11
75 °
Elroy, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high75°
Average low57°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high88° (2024)
Record low41° (1970)
Fri, 3075° / 57°0.17
75 °
Elroy, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high75°
Average low57°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high89° (2024)
Record low37° (1980)
Sat, 3175° / 58°0.13
75 °
Elroy, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high75°
Average low58°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high87° (1997)
Record low33° (1993)
Sun, 0174° / 56°0.1
74 °
Elroy, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low56°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high85° (2024)
Record low33° (2019)
Mon, 0273° / 55°0.11
73 °
Elroy, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low55°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high86° (2024)
Record low37° (1991)
Tue, 0372° / 54°0.09
72 °
Elroy, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high72°
Average low54°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high89° (2024)
Record low36° (1991)
Wed, 0473° / 55°0.13
73 °
Elroy, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low55°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high87° (2024)
Record low31° (1991)
Thu, 0573° / 55°0.08
73 °
Elroy, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low55°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high87° (2017)
Record low34° (1991)
Fri, 0673° / 55°0.06
73 °
Elroy, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low55°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high85° (1963)
Record low41° (1992)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elroy, TX are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elroy, TX since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.