Monthly outlook for Ellis Mill, TN: average high 64.6°, average low 49.8°. That is 1.4° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.9 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 3 November (77°), the coolest 11 November (44.5°).
64.6°/49.8°
Average high / low
+1.4°
Above normal
6 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
1 November – 10 November
65.1°
63.6°
+0.8°
11 November – 20 November
63.8°
59.7°
+2.3°
21 November – 30 November
at normal
57.1°
—
November records over 66 years
82.9°1 November 2016All-time high
17.4°13 November 2019All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Tellico Plains (5 mi).
Mon, 0269° / 48°0
69 °
Ellis Mill, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 69°, low 48°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind12.3 mph SE
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Tue, 0377° / 54°0
77 °
Ellis Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Partly cloudy. High 77°, low 54°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind13.6 mph S
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Wed, 0469° / 65°0.59
69 °
Ellis Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Heavy rain. High 69°, low 65°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind16 mph S
Humidity92%
Visibility2.9 mi
Dew point65°
Thu, 0569° / 56°0.13
69 °
Ellis Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 69°, low 56°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind5.3 mph SW
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Fri, 0668° / 50°0
68 °
Ellis Mill, Friday, 6 November
Clear. High 68°, low 50°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind6.8 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sat, 0765° / 45°0
65 °
Ellis Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 45°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind5.3 mph N
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sun, 0860° / 47°0.78
60 °
Ellis Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Heavy rain. High 60°, low 47°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind4.7 mph E
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Mon, 0954° / 45°0.13
54 °
Ellis Mill, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 45°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind7.1 mph N
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Tue, 1059° / 48°0
59 °
Ellis Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 48°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind8.8 mph N
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Wed, 1162° / 44°0
62 °
Ellis Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 44°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.8 mph N
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Thu, 1263° / 49°0
63 °
Ellis Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 49°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind4.5 mph NE
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Fri, 1365° / 47°0
65 °
Ellis Mill, Friday, 13 November
Clear. High 65°, low 47°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind5.1 mph SE
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sat, 1463° / 50°0
63 °
Ellis Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 50°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind16.2 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sun, 1566° / 50°0.12
66 °
Ellis Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 50°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind15.6 mph SE
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Mon, 1663° / 46°0
63 °
Ellis Mill, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 63°, low 46°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind5 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 1760° / 42°0.12
60 °
Ellis Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high76° (2016)
Record low27° (2022)
Wed, 1860° / 42°0.11
60 °
Ellis Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high78° (2016)
Record low25° (2022)
Thu, 1960° / 43°0.14
60 °
Ellis Mill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high78° (2025)
Record low23° (2014)
Fri, 2060° / 43°0.09
60 °
Ellis Mill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high73° (2025)
Record low27° (2022)
Sat, 2158° / 42°0.15
58 °
Ellis Mill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high72° (1979)
Record low25° (2022)
Sun, 2257° / 41°0.14
57 °
Ellis Mill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high73° (2025)
Record low26° (1964)
Mon, 2358° / 41°0.13
58 °
Ellis Mill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high72° (1973)
Record low23° (1970)
Tue, 2458° / 41°0.19
58 °
Ellis Mill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high72° (2025)
Record low18° (1970)
Wed, 2558° / 41°0.12
58 °
Ellis Mill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high70° (2010)
Record low20° (1970)
Thu, 2659° / 42°0.18
59 °
Ellis Mill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high73° (1973)
Record low26° (1977)
Fri, 2758° / 42°0.15
58 °
Ellis Mill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high75° (1990)
Record low26° (2021)
Sat, 2856° / 41°0.25
56 °
Ellis Mill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.25 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high73° (2001)
Record low22° (2018)
Sun, 2955° / 39°0.1
55 °
Ellis Mill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high72° (2001)
Record low23° (2023)
Mon, 3055° / 40°0.26
55 °
Ellis Mill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.26 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high69° (1998)
Record low21° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ellis Mill, TN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ellis Mill, TN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.