Monthly outlook for Ellis Mill, TN: average high 67.4°, average low 50.8°. That is 1.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 2.0 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (76.5°), the coolest 27 October (38.6°).
67.4°/50.8°
Average high / low
+1.6°
Above normal
6 / 5
Wet days / normal
2.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
27 October – 5 November
70.3°
65.8°
+2.5°
6 November – 15 November
62.5°
61.1°
+0.8°
16 November – 25 November
at normal
58.8°
—
October records over 66 years
95.7°3 October 2019All-time high
28.4°30 October 2017All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Tellico Plains (5 mi).
Wed, 2873° / 49°0
73 °
Ellis Mill, Wednesday, 28 October
Partly cloudy. High 73°, low 49°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind3.4 mph NE
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Thu, 2974° / 51°0
74 °
Ellis Mill, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 74°, low 51°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind1.3 mph E
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Fri, 3077° / 50°0
77 °
Ellis Mill, Friday, 30 October
Mostly clear. High 77°, low 50°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind6.3 mph NE
Humidity43%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Sat, 3174° / 57°0
74 °
Ellis Mill, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 74°, low 57°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind7.6 mph SE
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sun, 0162° / 55°0.48
62 °
Ellis Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Rain. High 62°, low 55°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind7.2 mph SE
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Mon, 0271° / 56°0
71 °
Ellis Mill, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 71°, low 56°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind5.8 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Tue, 0371° / 55°0
71 °
Ellis Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 71°, low 55°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind5.9 mph NE
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Wed, 0465° / 59°0.67
65 °
Ellis Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 65°, low 59°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind17.7 mph SE
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Thu, 0563° / 58°0.12
63 °
Ellis Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 63°, low 58°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind11.9 mph SE
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Fri, 0659° / 50°0.15
59 °
Ellis Mill, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 50°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind9.9 mph NW
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sat, 0759° / 42°0
59 °
Ellis Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Partly cloudy. High 59°, low 42°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8 mph NE
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sun, 0864° / 44°0
64 °
Ellis Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 64°, low 44°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind3.3 mph SW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Mon, 0966° / 42°0
66 °
Ellis Mill, Monday, 9 November
Partly cloudy. High 66°, low 42°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind3.7 mph S
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Tue, 1061° / 50°0.56
61 °
Ellis Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Rain. High 61°, low 50°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5.1 mph SE
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Wed, 1166° / 56°0.06
66 °
Ellis Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 56°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind6.8 mph SW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 1260° / 44°0.17
60 °
Ellis Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high74° (2003)
Record low23° (2019)
Fri, 1359° / 41°0.03
59 °
Ellis Mill, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high75° (1978)
Record low17° (2019)
Sat, 1459° / 41°0.1
59 °
Ellis Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high74° (1993)
Record low25° (2022)
Sun, 1559° / 42°0.19
59 °
Ellis Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high74° (1985)
Record low23° (1969)
Mon, 1660° / 42°0.14
60 °
Ellis Mill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high73° (1971)
Record low26° (2018)
Tue, 1760° / 42°0.12
60 °
Ellis Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high76° (2016)
Record low27° (2022)
Wed, 1860° / 42°0.11
60 °
Ellis Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high78° (2016)
Record low25° (2022)
Thu, 1960° / 43°0.14
60 °
Ellis Mill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high78° (2025)
Record low23° (2014)
Fri, 2060° / 43°0.09
60 °
Ellis Mill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high73° (2025)
Record low27° (2022)
Sat, 2158° / 42°0.15
58 °
Ellis Mill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high72° (1979)
Record low25° (2022)
Sun, 2257° / 41°0.14
57 °
Ellis Mill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high73° (2025)
Record low26° (1964)
Mon, 2358° / 41°0.13
58 °
Ellis Mill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high72° (1973)
Record low23° (1970)
Tue, 2458° / 41°0.19
58 °
Ellis Mill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high72° (2025)
Record low18° (1970)
Wed, 2558° / 41°0.12
58 °
Ellis Mill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high70° (2010)
Record low20° (1970)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ellis Mill, TN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ellis Mill, TN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.