Monthly outlook for Ellis Mill, TN: average high 54.3°, average low 35.1°. That is 2.6° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.2 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 November (70.4°), the coolest 24 November (17.4°).
54.3°/35.1°
Average high / low
−2.6°
Below normal
3 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 November – 20 November
57.1°
59.7°
-1.5°
21 November – 30 November
49.6°
57.1°
-4.2°
1 December – 10 December
at normal
53.6°
—
November records over 66 years
82.9°1 November 2016All-time high
17.4°13 November 2019All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Tellico Plains (5 mi).
Thu, 1260° / 45°0.04
60 °
Ellis Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 45°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind11 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Fri, 1348° / 38°0
48 °
Ellis Mill, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 38°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind8.3 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Sat, 1449° / 36°0
49 °
Ellis Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 49°, low 36°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind7.9 mph N
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point26°
Sun, 1552° / 33°0
52 °
Ellis Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 33°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind6.8 mph NE
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Mon, 1652° / 34°0
52 °
Ellis Mill, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 34°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind8.5 mph NE
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Tue, 1756° / 36°0
56 °
Ellis Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 36°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind9.4 mph NE
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Wed, 1858° / 33°0
58 °
Ellis Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 58°, low 33°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind9.3 mph NE
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Thu, 1962° / 36°0
62 °
Ellis Mill, Thursday, 19 November
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 36°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind3.3 mph SW
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Fri, 2064° / 45°0
64 °
Ellis Mill, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 45°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10 mph SE
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sat, 2159° / 51°0.05
59 °
Ellis Mill, Saturday, 21 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 51°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind15.2 mph S
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sun, 2257° / 41°0.13
57 °
Ellis Mill, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 41°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind10.7 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 2339° / 22°0.01
39 °
Ellis Mill, Monday, 23 November
Light rain. High 39°, low 22°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind13.8 mph NW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Tue, 2439° / 17°0
39 °
Ellis Mill, Tuesday, 24 November
Clear. High 39°, low 17°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind7 mph NW
Humidity25%
Visibility—
Dew point2°
Wed, 2549° / 23°0
49 °
Ellis Mill, Wednesday, 25 November
Clear. High 49°, low 23°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind4 mph W
Humidity17%
Visibility—
Dew point2°
Thu, 2655° / 30°0
55 °
Ellis Mill, Thursday, 26 November
Clear. High 55°, low 30°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind6.2 mph SW
Humidity19%
Visibility—
Dew point11°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2758° / 42°0.15
58 °
Ellis Mill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high75° (1990)
Record low26° (2021)
Sat, 2856° / 41°0.25
56 °
Ellis Mill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.25 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high73° (2001)
Record low22° (2018)
Sun, 2955° / 39°0.1
55 °
Ellis Mill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high72° (2001)
Record low23° (2023)
Mon, 3055° / 40°0.26
55 °
Ellis Mill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.26 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high69° (1998)
Record low21° (1976)
Tue, 0155° / 40°0.15
55 °
Ellis Mill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high70° (1970)
Record low22° (1964)
Wed, 0255° / 39°0.11
55 °
Ellis Mill, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high73° (1982)
Record low22° (2020)
Thu, 0355° / 39°0.16
55 °
Ellis Mill, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high72° (1982)
Record low25° (1979)
Fri, 0454° / 39°0.2
54 °
Ellis Mill, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high73° (1982)
Record low22° (1963)
Sat, 0553° / 38°0.15
53 °
Ellis Mill, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high71° (1998)
Record low25° (1974)
Sun, 0653° / 36°0.18
53 °
Ellis Mill, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high71° (1998)
Record low19° (1984)
Mon, 0752° / 37°0.13
52 °
Ellis Mill, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high70° (1998)
Record low15° (1977)
Tue, 0853° / 38°0.11
53 °
Ellis Mill, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high74° (1978)
Record low20° (2006)
Wed, 0954° / 39°0.22
54 °
Ellis Mill, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high71° (1966)
Record low22° (2006)
Thu, 1053° / 38°0.35
53 °
Ellis Mill, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.35 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high71° (2007)
Record low13° (1995)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ellis Mill, TN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ellis Mill, TN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.