Monthly outlook for Ellis Mill, TN: average high 71.1°, average low 50.9°. That is 1.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 2 November (79.7°), the coolest 18 October (40.3°).
71.1°/50.9°
Average high / low
+1.9°
Above normal
2 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
18 October – 27 October
69.9°
68.2°
+0.9°
28 October – 6 November
73°
65.4°
+4.2°
7 November – 16 November
at normal
60.8°
—
October records over 66 years
95.7°3 October 2019All-time high
28.4°30 October 2017All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Tellico Plains (5 mi).
Mon, 1969° / 41°0
69 °
Ellis Mill, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 69°, low 41°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind1.2 mph N
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Tue, 2072° / 47°0
72 °
Ellis Mill, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 72°, low 47°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind5.5 mph NE
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Wed, 2171° / 46°0
71 °
Ellis Mill, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 71°, low 46°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind1.2 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Thu, 2269° / 48°0
69 °
Ellis Mill, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 69°, low 48°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind8.2 mph NE
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Fri, 2371° / 47°0
71 °
Ellis Mill, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 71°, low 47°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind7.8 mph NE
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sat, 2471° / 48°0
71 °
Ellis Mill, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 71°, low 48°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind8.1 mph S
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sun, 2569° / 47°0
69 °
Ellis Mill, Sunday, 25 October
Partly cloudy. High 69°, low 47°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind8.8 mph NE
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Mon, 2669° / 47°0
69 °
Ellis Mill, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 47°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind4.5 mph N
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Tue, 2772° / 52°0
72 °
Ellis Mill, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 72°, low 52°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind5.6 mph NE
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Wed, 2873° / 53°0
73 °
Ellis Mill, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 53°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind4.3 mph SW
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Thu, 2974° / 50°0
74 °
Ellis Mill, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 74°, low 50°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind7.5 mph SE
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Fri, 3065° / 58°0.02
65 °
Ellis Mill, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 58°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.9 mph SE
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Sat, 3168° / 60°0.23
68 °
Ellis Mill, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 68°, low 60°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind2.8 mph NE
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
Sun, 0178° / 64°0
78 °
Ellis Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 78°, low 64°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind10 mph SE
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
Mon, 0280° / 67°0.1
80 °
Ellis Mill, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 80°, low 67°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11.2 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 0364° / 47°0.1
64 °
Ellis Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high80° (2003)
Record low26° (1966)
Wed, 0463° / 47°0.13
63 °
Ellis Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high78° (2003)
Record low24° (1966)
Thu, 0563° / 46°0.16
63 °
Ellis Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high75° (1975)
Record low26° (1966)
Fri, 0663° / 46°0.09
63 °
Ellis Mill, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high79° (2024)
Record low29° (1967)
Sat, 0763° / 46°0.18
63 °
Ellis Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high79° (2024)
Record low29° (1967)
Sun, 0862° / 45°0.11
62 °
Ellis Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high79° (2023)
Record low30° (1967)
Mon, 0963° / 46°0.13
63 °
Ellis Mill, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high78° (2020)
Record low30° (2019)
Tue, 1062° / 45°0.18
62 °
Ellis Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high77° (2020)
Record low28° (2025)
Wed, 1161° / 44°0.15
61 °
Ellis Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high74° (2020)
Record low22° (2025)
Thu, 1260° / 44°0.17
60 °
Ellis Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high74° (2003)
Record low23° (2019)
Fri, 1359° / 41°0.03
59 °
Ellis Mill, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high75° (1978)
Record low17° (2019)
Sat, 1459° / 41°0.1
59 °
Ellis Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high74° (1993)
Record low25° (2022)
Sun, 1559° / 42°0.19
59 °
Ellis Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high74° (1985)
Record low23° (1969)
Mon, 1660° / 42°0.14
60 °
Ellis Mill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high73° (1971)
Record low26° (2018)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ellis Mill, TN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ellis Mill, TN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.