Monthly outlook for Ellis Mill, TN: average high 69.5°, average low 51.2°. That is 1.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 5.9 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 31 October (75.7°), the coolest 21 October (43.1°).
69.5°/51.2°
Average high / low
+1.5°
Above normal
3 / 5
Wet days / normal
5.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
21 October – 30 October
71.3°
67.8°
+1.9°
31 October – 9 November
66.7°
64.2°
+1.4°
10 November – 19 November
at normal
59.9°
—
October records over 66 years
95.7°3 October 2019All-time high
28.4°30 October 2017All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Tellico Plains (5 mi).
Thu, 2272° / 44°0
72 °
Ellis Mill, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 72°, low 44°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind9.7 mph NE
Humidity44%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Fri, 2370° / 45°0
70 °
Ellis Mill, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 70°, low 45°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind4.5 mph NE
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Sat, 2469° / 49°0
69 °
Ellis Mill, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 69°, low 49°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind2.7 mph NE
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Sun, 2568° / 46°0
68 °
Ellis Mill, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 68°, low 46°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind4.1 mph NE
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Mon, 2670° / 47°0
70 °
Ellis Mill, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 47°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind5 mph S
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Tue, 2771° / 51°0
71 °
Ellis Mill, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 71°, low 51°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind4.9 mph SE
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Wed, 2873° / 54°0
73 °
Ellis Mill, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 54°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind5.6 mph SW
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Thu, 2972° / 51°0
72 °
Ellis Mill, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 72°, low 51°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind3.7 mph SE
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Fri, 3075° / 53°0
75 °
Ellis Mill, Friday, 30 October
Mostly clear. High 75°, low 53°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind7.3 mph N
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sat, 3176° / 55°0
76 °
Ellis Mill, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 76°, low 55°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind14.3 mph S
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sun, 0168° / 56°0
68 °
Ellis Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 56°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind13.6 mph SE
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Mon, 0270° / 63°1.38
70 °
Ellis Mill, Monday, 2 November
Heavy rain. High 70°, low 63°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind14.1 mph SE
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Tue, 0365° / 56°4.34
65 °
Ellis Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Heavy rain. High 65°, low 56°.
Pressure29.44 inHg
Wind9.4 mph SW
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Wed, 0457° / 54°0.19
57 °
Ellis Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 54°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind11.2 mph S
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Thu, 0565° / 51°0
65 °
Ellis Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 65°, low 51°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind11.9 mph SW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 0663° / 46°0.09
63 °
Ellis Mill, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high79° (2024)
Record low29° (1967)
Sat, 0763° / 46°0.18
63 °
Ellis Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high79° (2024)
Record low29° (1967)
Sun, 0862° / 45°0.11
62 °
Ellis Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high79° (2023)
Record low30° (1967)
Mon, 0963° / 46°0.13
63 °
Ellis Mill, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high78° (2020)
Record low30° (2019)
Tue, 1062° / 45°0.18
62 °
Ellis Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high77° (2020)
Record low28° (2025)
Wed, 1161° / 44°0.15
61 °
Ellis Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high74° (2020)
Record low22° (2025)
Thu, 1260° / 44°0.17
60 °
Ellis Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high74° (2003)
Record low23° (2019)
Fri, 1359° / 41°0.03
59 °
Ellis Mill, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high75° (1978)
Record low17° (2019)
Sat, 1459° / 41°0.1
59 °
Ellis Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high74° (1993)
Record low25° (2022)
Sun, 1559° / 42°0.19
59 °
Ellis Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high74° (1985)
Record low23° (1969)
Mon, 1660° / 42°0.14
60 °
Ellis Mill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high73° (1971)
Record low26° (2018)
Tue, 1760° / 42°0.12
60 °
Ellis Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high76° (2016)
Record low27° (2022)
Wed, 1860° / 42°0.11
60 °
Ellis Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high78° (2016)
Record low25° (2022)
Thu, 1960° / 43°0.14
60 °
Ellis Mill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high78° (2025)
Record low23° (2014)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ellis Mill, TN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ellis Mill, TN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.