Monthly outlook for Murphy Mill, TN: average high 69.8°, average low 51.3°. That is 1.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 2.2 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (82.7°), the coolest 19 October (34.5°).
69.8°/51.3°
Average high / low
+1.7°
Above normal
6 / 5
Wet days / normal
2.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
10 October – 19 October
72.5°
67.8°
+2.6°
20 October – 29 October
65.4°
64.3°
+0.6°
30 October – 8 November
at normal
61.3°
—
October records over 66 years
94.5°3 October 2019All-time high
27.3°30 October 2017All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Shawanee (8 mi).
Sun, 1168° / 55°0.35
68 °
Murphy Mill, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 68°, low 55°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind11.4 mph SW
Humidity87%
Visibility5.2 mi
Dew point58°
Mon, 1282° / 57°0
82 °
Murphy Mill, Monday, 12 October
Partly cloudy. High 82°, low 57°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind3.4 mph W
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point61°
Tue, 1381° / 60°0
81 °
Murphy Mill, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 81°, low 60°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind5.3 mph SW
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point61°
Wed, 1483° / 62°0.06
83 °
Murphy Mill, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 83°, low 62°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind5.1 mph SW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point66°
Thu, 1583° / 67°0.15
83 °
Murphy Mill, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 83°, low 67°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8.8 mph NE
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point65°
Fri, 1681° / 63°0
81 °
Murphy Mill, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 81°, low 63°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind13.1 mph SW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Sat, 1761° / 40°0.04
61 °
Murphy Mill, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 40°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind13.2 mph NW
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sun, 1854° / 36°0
54 °
Murphy Mill, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 54°, low 36°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind8.2 mph NE
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Mon, 1963° / 34°0
63 °
Murphy Mill, Monday, 19 October
Partly cloudy. High 63°, low 34°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.5 mph NE
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Tue, 2066° / 41°0
66 °
Murphy Mill, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 41°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind5.5 mph SE
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Wed, 2168° / 44°0
68 °
Murphy Mill, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 44°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind11.2 mph SE
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Thu, 2267° / 60°0.87
67 °
Murphy Mill, Thursday, 22 October
Heavy rain. High 67°, low 60°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind14.9 mph SE
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Fri, 2364° / 50°0
64 °
Murphy Mill, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 50°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind4.3 mph N
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sat, 2467° / 47°0
67 °
Murphy Mill, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 47°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind3.6 mph SW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sun, 2561° / 52°0
61 °
Murphy Mill, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 52°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind7 mph NW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2664° / 48°0.12
64 °
Murphy Mill, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high80° (1963)
Record low30° (1962)
Tue, 2763° / 47°0.15
63 °
Murphy Mill, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high81° (1963)
Record low28° (1962)
Wed, 2863° / 47°0.16
63 °
Murphy Mill, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high80° (1991)
Record low29° (1976)
Thu, 2963° / 46°0.13
63 °
Murphy Mill, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high80° (2016)
Record low28° (1976)
Fri, 3064° / 45°0.09
64 °
Murphy Mill, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high79° (2016)
Record low27° (2017)
Sat, 3164° / 47°0.07
64 °
Murphy Mill, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high78° (2016)
Record low33° (1993)
Sun, 0164° / 47°0.1
64 °
Murphy Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high82° (2016)
Record low26° (2023)
Mon, 0263° / 45°0.17
63 °
Murphy Mill, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high79° (2016)
Record low26° (2023)
Tue, 0361° / 44°0.08
61 °
Murphy Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high78° (2016)
Record low28° (1966)
Wed, 0460° / 43°0.09
60 °
Murphy Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high75° (2003)
Record low24° (1966)
Thu, 0559° / 43°0.15
59 °
Murphy Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high75° (1977)
Record low23° (1991)
Fri, 0659° / 43°0.08
59 °
Murphy Mill, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low28° (1967)
Sat, 0760° / 43°0.17
60 °
Murphy Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low27° (1967)
Sun, 0859° / 42°0.07
59 °
Murphy Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high75° (2005)
Record low26° (1971)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Murphy Mill, TN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Murphy Mill, TN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.