Monthly outlook for Murphy Mill, TN: average high 69.1°, average low 48.9°. That is 1.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.6 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (82.5°), the coolest 18 October (30.8°).
69.1°/48.9°
Average high / low
+1.1°
Above normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
9 October – 18 October
72.1°
68.3°
+2.1°
19 October – 28 October
64.2°
64.5°
-0.2°
29 October – 7 November
at normal
61.8°
—
October records over 66 years
94.5°3 October 2019All-time high
27.3°30 October 2017All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Shawanee (8 mi).
Sat, 1071° / 54°1.26
71 °
Murphy Mill, Saturday, 10 October
Heavy rain. High 71°, low 54°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind17.2 mph E
Humidity79%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Sun, 1168° / 58°0.28
68 °
Murphy Mill, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 68°, low 58°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind12.3 mph SW
Humidity93%
Visibility2.4 mi
Dew point60°
Mon, 1281° / 57°0
81 °
Murphy Mill, Monday, 12 October
Overcast. High 81°, low 57°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind3.8 mph W
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point63°
Tue, 1382° / 59°0
82 °
Murphy Mill, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 82°, low 59°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind7.5 mph SW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Wed, 1483° / 64°0.07
83 °
Murphy Mill, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 83°, low 64°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind3.2 mph SW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Thu, 1569° / 64°0.01
69 °
Murphy Mill, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 69°, low 64°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind2.9 mph NE
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Fri, 1680° / 56°0.03
80 °
Murphy Mill, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 80°, low 56°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind17.1 mph SW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Sat, 1753° / 37°0
53 °
Murphy Mill, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 53°, low 37°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind13 mph NW
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sun, 1857° / 31°0
57 °
Murphy Mill, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 57°, low 31°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind5.3 mph NE
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Mon, 1961° / 35°0
61 °
Murphy Mill, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 35°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind4.6 mph SW
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Tue, 2068° / 43°0
68 °
Murphy Mill, Tuesday, 20 October
Mostly clear. High 68°, low 43°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind5.2 mph NE
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Wed, 2169° / 43°0
69 °
Murphy Mill, Wednesday, 21 October
Mostly clear. High 69°, low 43°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind4.9 mph SE
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Thu, 2268° / 43°0
68 °
Murphy Mill, Thursday, 22 October
Mostly clear. High 68°, low 43°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind4.4 mph SE
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Fri, 2369° / 51°0
69 °
Murphy Mill, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 51°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind8.1 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sat, 2451° / 37°0
51 °
Murphy Mill, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 51°, low 37°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind13.6 mph NW
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2564° / 47°0.14
64 °
Murphy Mill, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high80° (1963)
Record low33° (2006)
Mon, 2664° / 48°0.12
64 °
Murphy Mill, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high80° (1963)
Record low30° (1962)
Tue, 2763° / 47°0.15
63 °
Murphy Mill, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high81° (1963)
Record low28° (1962)
Wed, 2863° / 47°0.16
63 °
Murphy Mill, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high80° (1991)
Record low29° (1976)
Thu, 2963° / 46°0.13
63 °
Murphy Mill, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high80° (2016)
Record low28° (1976)
Fri, 3064° / 45°0.09
64 °
Murphy Mill, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high79° (2016)
Record low27° (2017)
Sat, 3164° / 47°0.07
64 °
Murphy Mill, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high78° (2016)
Record low33° (1993)
Sun, 0164° / 47°0.1
64 °
Murphy Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high82° (2016)
Record low26° (2023)
Mon, 0263° / 45°0.17
63 °
Murphy Mill, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high79° (2016)
Record low26° (2023)
Tue, 0361° / 44°0.08
61 °
Murphy Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high78° (2016)
Record low28° (1966)
Wed, 0460° / 43°0.09
60 °
Murphy Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high75° (2003)
Record low24° (1966)
Thu, 0559° / 43°0.15
59 °
Murphy Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high75° (1977)
Record low23° (1991)
Fri, 0659° / 43°0.08
59 °
Murphy Mill, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low28° (1967)
Sat, 0760° / 43°0.17
60 °
Murphy Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low27° (1967)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Murphy Mill, TN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Murphy Mill, TN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.