Monthly outlook for Murphy Mill, TN: average high 71.4°, average low 50.2°. That is 3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (82.4°), the coolest 19 October (39°).
71.4°/50.2°
Average high / low
+3°
Above normal
3 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 October – 21 October
72.8°
67°
+3.3°
22 October – 31 October
69.1°
64.1°
+2.8°
1 November – 10 November
at normal
60.3°
—
October records over 66 years
94.5°3 October 2019All-time high
27.3°30 October 2017All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Shawanee (8 mi).
Tue, 1380° / 60°0
80 °
Murphy Mill, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 80°, low 60°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5.9 mph SW
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point65°
Wed, 1482° / 62°0
82 °
Murphy Mill, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 82°, low 62°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind4.3 mph S
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point67°
Thu, 1582° / 65°0.28
82 °
Murphy Mill, Thursday, 15 October
Rain. High 82°, low 65°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.4 mph S
Humidity74%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point70°
Fri, 1675° / 51°0.03
75 °
Murphy Mill, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 75°, low 51°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9.2 mph W
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point63°
Sat, 1758° / 44°0
58 °
Murphy Mill, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 58°, low 44°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind12.3 mph N
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sun, 1865° / 40°0
65 °
Murphy Mill, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 65°, low 40°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind5.1 mph E
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Mon, 1968° / 39°0
68 °
Murphy Mill, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 68°, low 39°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind5.3 mph NE
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Tue, 2071° / 48°0
71 °
Murphy Mill, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 71°, low 48°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind4.6 mph NE
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Wed, 2171° / 48°0
71 °
Murphy Mill, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 71°, low 48°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind6 mph N
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Thu, 2273° / 49°0
73 °
Murphy Mill, Thursday, 22 October
Mostly clear. High 73°, low 49°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind3.5 mph NE
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Fri, 2374° / 49°0
74 °
Murphy Mill, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 74°, low 49°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind3.9 mph S
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sat, 2471° / 52°0.04
71 °
Murphy Mill, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 71°, low 52°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind13.2 mph SW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sun, 2562° / 46°0.23
62 °
Murphy Mill, Sunday, 25 October
Rain. High 62°, low 46°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind9.6 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Mon, 2668° / 41°0
68 °
Murphy Mill, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 68°, low 41°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind4.9 mph NE
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Tue, 2767° / 49°0
67 °
Murphy Mill, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 49°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind4.3 mph S
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 2863° / 47°0.16
63 °
Murphy Mill, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high80° (1991)
Record low29° (1976)
Thu, 2963° / 46°0.13
63 °
Murphy Mill, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high80° (2016)
Record low28° (1976)
Fri, 3064° / 45°0.09
64 °
Murphy Mill, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high79° (2016)
Record low27° (2017)
Sat, 3164° / 47°0.07
64 °
Murphy Mill, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high78° (2016)
Record low33° (1993)
Sun, 0164° / 47°0.1
64 °
Murphy Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high82° (2016)
Record low26° (2023)
Mon, 0263° / 45°0.17
63 °
Murphy Mill, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high79° (2016)
Record low26° (2023)
Tue, 0361° / 44°0.08
61 °
Murphy Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high78° (2016)
Record low28° (1966)
Wed, 0460° / 43°0.09
60 °
Murphy Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high75° (2003)
Record low24° (1966)
Thu, 0559° / 43°0.15
59 °
Murphy Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high75° (1977)
Record low23° (1991)
Fri, 0659° / 43°0.08
59 °
Murphy Mill, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low28° (1967)
Sat, 0760° / 43°0.17
60 °
Murphy Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low27° (1967)
Sun, 0859° / 42°0.07
59 °
Murphy Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high75° (2005)
Record low26° (1971)
Mon, 0960° / 42°0.13
60 °
Murphy Mill, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high77° (2005)
Record low23° (2019)
Tue, 1058° / 42°0.13
58 °
Murphy Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high75° (2020)
Record low25° (2025)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Murphy Mill, TN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Murphy Mill, TN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.