Monthly outlook for Chestnut Valley, TN: average high 64.3°, average low 48.7°. That is 0.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.6 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (77.1°), the coolest 9 November (37.3°).
64.3°/48.7°
Average high / low
+0.4°
Above normal
5 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
29 October – 7 November
68.6°
65°
+2°
8 November – 17 November
57.1°
60.4°
-1.9°
18 November – 27 November
at normal
58.5°
—
October records over 66 years
95.7°3 October 2019All-time high
28.4°30 October 2017All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Tellico Plains (8 mi).
Fri, 3077° / 47°0
77 °
Chestnut Valley, Friday, 30 October
Mostly clear. High 77°, low 47°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind6.7 mph N
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Sat, 3170° / 52°0
70 °
Chestnut Valley, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 52°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind4 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Sun, 0162° / 56°0.01
62 °
Chestnut Valley, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 56°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.8 mph W
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Mon, 0272° / 56°0
72 °
Chestnut Valley, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 72°, low 56°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4.9 mph NW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Tue, 0377° / 56°0
77 °
Chestnut Valley, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 77°, low 56°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind9.6 mph S
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Wed, 0473° / 64°0.06
73 °
Chestnut Valley, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 73°, low 64°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind11.5 mph S
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Thu, 0567° / 55°0.91
67 °
Chestnut Valley, Thursday, 5 November
Heavy rain. High 67°, low 55°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind10.6 mph S
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Fri, 0660° / 53°0.08
60 °
Chestnut Valley, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 53°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind5 mph SW
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sat, 0754° / 45°0.11
54 °
Chestnut Valley, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 45°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind6.7 mph NE
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sun, 0857° / 38°0
57 °
Chestnut Valley, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 57°, low 38°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind7.7 mph N
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Mon, 0959° / 37°0
59 °
Chestnut Valley, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 59°, low 37°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind5.6 mph N
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Tue, 1058° / 44°0
58 °
Chestnut Valley, Tuesday, 10 November
Partly cloudy. High 58°, low 44°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind12.2 mph W
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Wed, 1157° / 41°0
57 °
Chestnut Valley, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 41°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind6.8 mph SW
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Thu, 1255° / 48°0.44
55 °
Chestnut Valley, Thursday, 12 November
Rain. High 55°, low 48°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind5.6 mph S
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Fri, 1356° / 40°0.02
56 °
Chestnut Valley, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 40°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind3.9 mph NW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 1459° / 41°0.1
59 °
Chestnut Valley, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high74° (1993)
Record low25° (2022)
Sun, 1559° / 42°0.19
59 °
Chestnut Valley, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high74° (1985)
Record low23° (1969)
Mon, 1660° / 42°0.14
60 °
Chestnut Valley, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high73° (1971)
Record low26° (2018)
Tue, 1760° / 42°0.12
60 °
Chestnut Valley, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high76° (2016)
Record low27° (2022)
Wed, 1860° / 42°0.11
60 °
Chestnut Valley, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high78° (2016)
Record low25° (2022)
Thu, 1960° / 43°0.14
60 °
Chestnut Valley, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high78° (2025)
Record low23° (2014)
Fri, 2060° / 43°0.09
60 °
Chestnut Valley, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high73° (2025)
Record low27° (2022)
Sat, 2158° / 42°0.15
58 °
Chestnut Valley, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high72° (1979)
Record low25° (2022)
Sun, 2257° / 41°0.14
57 °
Chestnut Valley, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high73° (2025)
Record low26° (1964)
Mon, 2358° / 41°0.13
58 °
Chestnut Valley, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high72° (1973)
Record low23° (1970)
Tue, 2458° / 41°0.19
58 °
Chestnut Valley, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high72° (2025)
Record low18° (1970)
Wed, 2558° / 41°0.12
58 °
Chestnut Valley, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high70° (2010)
Record low20° (1970)
Thu, 2659° / 42°0.18
59 °
Chestnut Valley, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high73° (1973)
Record low26° (1977)
Fri, 2758° / 42°0.15
58 °
Chestnut Valley, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high75° (1990)
Record low26° (2021)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chestnut Valley, TN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chestnut Valley, TN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.