Monthly outlook for Chestnut Valley, TN: average high 66.4°, average low 51.9°. That is 2.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 2.3 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 3 November (78°), the coolest 10 November (40.4°).
66.4°/51.9°
Average high / low
+2.1°
Above normal
7 / 5
Wet days / normal
2.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
31 October – 9 November
67.5°
64.2°
+1.8°
10 November – 19 November
64.4°
59.9°
+2.5°
20 November – 29 November
at normal
57.6°
—
October records over 66 years
95.7°3 October 2019All-time high
28.4°30 October 2017All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Tellico Plains (8 mi).
Sun, 0162° / 48°0.2
62 °
Chestnut Valley, Sunday, 1 November
Rain. High 62°, low 48°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind3.8 mph N
Humidity41%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Mon, 0275° / 49°0.01
75 °
Chestnut Valley, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 75°, low 49°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind3.7 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Tue, 0378° / 54°0
78 °
Chestnut Valley, Tuesday, 3 November
Clear. High 78°, low 54°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind1.8 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Wed, 0472° / 63°0.57
72 °
Chestnut Valley, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 72°, low 63°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind8.5 mph S
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point61°
Thu, 0572° / 56°0.17
72 °
Chestnut Valley, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 72°, low 56°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind11.9 mph S
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Fri, 0667° / 55°0.27
67 °
Chestnut Valley, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 67°, low 55°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind6.4 mph W
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sat, 0767° / 53°0
67 °
Chestnut Valley, Saturday, 7 November
Partly cloudy. High 67°, low 53°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind4.9 mph W
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sun, 0860° / 49°0.54
60 °
Chestnut Valley, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 49°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind11.7 mph SW
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Mon, 0952° / 43°0.02
52 °
Chestnut Valley, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 43°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind6.4 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 1059° / 40°0
59 °
Chestnut Valley, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 59°, low 40°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind4.9 mph N
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Wed, 1165° / 46°0
65 °
Chestnut Valley, Wednesday, 11 November
Mostly clear. High 65°, low 46°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind6 mph SW
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Thu, 1270° / 55°0.08
70 °
Chestnut Valley, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 70°, low 55°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind7.3 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Fri, 1370° / 59°0
70 °
Chestnut Valley, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 70°, low 59°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind9 mph S
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Sat, 1470° / 57°0.39
70 °
Chestnut Valley, Saturday, 14 November
Rain. High 70°, low 57°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind14.3 mph S
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Sun, 1554° / 48°0.03
54 °
Chestnut Valley, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 48°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind4.5 mph NW
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 1660° / 42°0.14
60 °
Chestnut Valley, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high73° (1971)
Record low26° (2018)
Tue, 1760° / 42°0.12
60 °
Chestnut Valley, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high76° (2016)
Record low27° (2022)
Wed, 1860° / 42°0.11
60 °
Chestnut Valley, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high78° (2016)
Record low25° (2022)
Thu, 1960° / 43°0.14
60 °
Chestnut Valley, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high78° (2025)
Record low23° (2014)
Fri, 2060° / 43°0.09
60 °
Chestnut Valley, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high73° (2025)
Record low27° (2022)
Sat, 2158° / 42°0.15
58 °
Chestnut Valley, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high72° (1979)
Record low25° (2022)
Sun, 2257° / 41°0.14
57 °
Chestnut Valley, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high73° (2025)
Record low26° (1964)
Mon, 2358° / 41°0.13
58 °
Chestnut Valley, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high72° (1973)
Record low23° (1970)
Tue, 2458° / 41°0.19
58 °
Chestnut Valley, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high72° (2025)
Record low18° (1970)
Wed, 2558° / 41°0.12
58 °
Chestnut Valley, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high70° (2010)
Record low20° (1970)
Thu, 2659° / 42°0.18
59 °
Chestnut Valley, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high73° (1973)
Record low26° (1977)
Fri, 2758° / 42°0.15
58 °
Chestnut Valley, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high75° (1990)
Record low26° (2021)
Sat, 2856° / 41°0.25
56 °
Chestnut Valley, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.25 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high73° (2001)
Record low22° (2018)
Sun, 2955° / 39°0.1
55 °
Chestnut Valley, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high72° (2001)
Record low23° (2023)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chestnut Valley, TN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chestnut Valley, TN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.