Monthly outlook for Vancel Mill, TN: average high 69°, average low 49.2°. That is 1.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (82.1°), the coolest 18 October (34.4°).
69°/49.2°
Average high / low
+1.5°
Above normal
4 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 October – 20 October
72.5°
67.4°
+2.9°
21 October – 30 October
63.3°
64.2°
-0.5°
31 October – 9 November
at normal
60.9°
—
October records over 66 years
94.5°3 October 2019All-time high
27.3°30 October 2017All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Shawanee (4 mi).
Mon, 1279° / 59°0
79 °
Vancel Mill, Monday, 12 October
Overcast. High 79°, low 59°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind3.7 mph SW
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point60°
Tue, 1380° / 62°0
80 °
Vancel Mill, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 80°, low 62°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5.4 mph S
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point63°
Wed, 1482° / 61°0
82 °
Vancel Mill, Wednesday, 14 October
Partly cloudy. High 82°, low 61°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind3 mph S
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point66°
Thu, 1581° / 66°0.03
81 °
Vancel Mill, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 81°, low 66°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind3.9 mph S
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point69°
Fri, 1675° / 52°0.05
75 °
Vancel Mill, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 75°, low 52°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind17.2 mph NW
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Sat, 1758° / 39°0
58 °
Vancel Mill, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 58°, low 39°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind10.2 mph N
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sun, 1863° / 34°0
63 °
Vancel Mill, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 63°, low 34°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind5.4 mph NE
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Mon, 1967° / 38°0
67 °
Vancel Mill, Monday, 19 October
Mostly clear. High 67°, low 38°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind4.2 mph E
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Tue, 2072° / 45°0
72 °
Vancel Mill, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 72°, low 45°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind3.6 mph E
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Wed, 2175° / 51°0
75 °
Vancel Mill, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 75°, low 51°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind5.5 mph SE
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Thu, 2262° / 55°1.05
62 °
Vancel Mill, Thursday, 22 October
Heavy rain. High 62°, low 55°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind13.2 mph NW
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Fri, 2362° / 43°0.06
62 °
Vancel Mill, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 43°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind12 mph W
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sat, 2455° / 35°0
55 °
Vancel Mill, Saturday, 24 October
Mostly clear. High 55°, low 35°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind9.8 mph NW
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sun, 2561° / 38°0
61 °
Vancel Mill, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 38°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind5.3 mph SW
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Mon, 2666° / 46°0.01
66 °
Vancel Mill, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 46°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind9.5 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2763° / 47°0.15
63 °
Vancel Mill, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high81° (1963)
Record low28° (1962)
Wed, 2863° / 47°0.16
63 °
Vancel Mill, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high80° (1991)
Record low29° (1976)
Thu, 2963° / 46°0.13
63 °
Vancel Mill, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high80° (2016)
Record low28° (1976)
Fri, 3064° / 45°0.09
64 °
Vancel Mill, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high79° (2016)
Record low27° (2017)
Sat, 3164° / 47°0.07
64 °
Vancel Mill, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high78° (2016)
Record low33° (1993)
Sun, 0164° / 47°0.1
64 °
Vancel Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high82° (2016)
Record low26° (2023)
Mon, 0263° / 45°0.17
63 °
Vancel Mill, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high79° (2016)
Record low26° (2023)
Tue, 0361° / 44°0.08
61 °
Vancel Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high78° (2016)
Record low28° (1966)
Wed, 0460° / 43°0.09
60 °
Vancel Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high75° (2003)
Record low24° (1966)
Thu, 0559° / 43°0.15
59 °
Vancel Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high75° (1977)
Record low23° (1991)
Fri, 0659° / 43°0.08
59 °
Vancel Mill, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low28° (1967)
Sat, 0760° / 43°0.17
60 °
Vancel Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low27° (1967)
Sun, 0859° / 42°0.07
59 °
Vancel Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high75° (2005)
Record low26° (1971)
Mon, 0960° / 42°0.13
60 °
Vancel Mill, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high77° (2005)
Record low23° (2019)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Vancel Mill, TN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Vancel Mill, TN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.