Weather in Shell Creek, TN
Shell Creek, Saturday, 10 October, 13:36
Light rain. Feels like 57°. High 57°, low 51°.
Monthly outlook for Shell Creek, TN: average high 65.4°, average low 47.2°. That is 2.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 2.9 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (78.8°), the coolest 18 October (27.6°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 October – 19 October | 65.8° | 62.3° | +1.9° |
| 20 October – 29 October | 64.8° | 59° | +3.2° |
| 30 October – 8 November | at normal | 56.2° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Crossnore (13 mi).
1.04Shell Creek, Sunday, 11 October
Heavy rain. High 66°, low 55°.
0.2Shell Creek, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 54°.
0
Shell Creek, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 78°, low 62°.
0Shell Creek, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 79°, low 65°.
0.19Shell Creek, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 78°, low 67°.
0.04Shell Creek, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 78°, low 57°.
0.02Shell Creek, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 51°, low 30°.
0.02
Shell Creek, Sunday, 18 October
Light snow. High 42°, low 28°.
0
Shell Creek, Monday, 19 October
Mostly clear. High 57°, low 29°.
0Shell Creek, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 62°, low 34°.
0
Shell Creek, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 36°.
0Shell Creek, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 45°.
0Shell Creek, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 66°, low 46°.
0Shell Creek, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 67°, low 47°.
0
Shell Creek, Sunday, 25 October
Partly cloudy. High 70°, low 49°.
0.17Shell Creek, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Shell Creek, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13
Shell Creek, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Shell Creek, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Shell Creek, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Shell Creek, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Shell Creek, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Shell Creek, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Shell Creek, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Shell Creek, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Shell Creek, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Shell Creek, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Shell Creek, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Shell Creek, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Shell Creek, TN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Shell Creek, TN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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