Monthly outlook for Shell Creek, TN: average high 64.2°, average low 46.9°. That is 1.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 2.1 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (78.7°), the coolest 18 October (28.1°).
64.2°/46.9°
Average high / low
+1.6°
Above normal
6 / 5
Wet days / normal
2.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
10 October – 19 October
65.6°
62.3°
+1.8°
20 October – 29 October
61.7°
59°
+1.5°
30 October – 8 November
at normal
56.2°
—
October records over 66 years
83.8°3 October 2019All-time high
23.5°18 October 2022All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Crossnore (13 mi).
Sun, 1166° / 57°0.62
66 °
Shell Creek, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 66°, low 57°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind6.4 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point59°
Mon, 1272° / 57°0.24
72 °
Shell Creek, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 57°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind10.9 mph NW
Humidity91%
Visibility3.0 mi
Dew point59°
Tue, 1378° / 62°0
78 °
Shell Creek, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 78°, low 62°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6.6 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility2.2 mi
Dew point59°
Wed, 1479° / 64°0
79 °
Shell Creek, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 79°, low 64°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind4.6 mph W
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Thu, 1576° / 67°0.06
76 °
Shell Creek, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 76°, low 67°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind5 mph S
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point66°
Fri, 1670° / 60°0.31
70 °
Shell Creek, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 70°, low 60°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind11.5 mph W
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Sat, 1756° / 31°0.1
56 °
Shell Creek, Saturday, 17 October
Snow. High 56°, low 31°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind13.5 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sun, 1843° / 28°0.04
43 °
Shell Creek, Sunday, 18 October
Light snow. High 43°, low 28°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind8.5 mph NW
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Mon, 1957° / 29°0
57 °
Shell Creek, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 57°, low 29°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind5.9 mph SE
Humidity26%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Tue, 2061° / 35°0
61 °
Shell Creek, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 61°, low 35°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind5.6 mph SE
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Wed, 2164° / 40°0
64 °
Shell Creek, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 64°, low 40°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5.1 mph SE
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Thu, 2265° / 44°0
65 °
Shell Creek, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 65°, low 44°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind6.2 mph NW
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Fri, 2363° / 45°0
63 °
Shell Creek, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 63°, low 45°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8.3 mph NW
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 2457° / 40°0
57 °
Shell Creek, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 57°, low 40°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7 mph NW
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sun, 2561° / 40°0
61 °
Shell Creek, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 61°, low 40°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6.6 mph W
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2658° / 43°0.17
58 °
Shell Creek, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high72° (1963)
Record low25° (1962)
Tue, 2759° / 42°0.19
59 °
Shell Creek, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high72° (2014)
Record low24° (1962)
Wed, 2858° / 43°0.13
58 °
Shell Creek, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high72° (2023)
Record low25° (1976)
Thu, 2958° / 41°0.13
58 °
Shell Creek, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high74° (2020)
Record low26° (2017)
Fri, 3058° / 41°0.12
58 °
Shell Creek, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high73° (2004)
Record low24° (2017)
Sat, 3158° / 43°0.13
58 °
Shell Creek, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high70° (2016)
Record low29° (1993)
Sun, 0158° / 43°0.13
58 °
Shell Creek, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high71° (2004)
Record low19° (2023)
Mon, 0258° / 42°0.2
58 °
Shell Creek, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high73° (2003)
Record low23° (2020)
Tue, 0357° / 40°0.07
57 °
Shell Creek, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high72° (1974)
Record low25° (1966)
Wed, 0455° / 39°0.13
55 °
Shell Creek, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high69° (1974)
Record low24° (1966)
Thu, 0554° / 39°0.14
54 °
Shell Creek, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high71° (1975)
Record low25° (1991)
Fri, 0655° / 39°0.08
55 °
Shell Creek, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high70° (2015)
Record low23° (1967)
Sat, 0755° / 39°0.13
55 °
Shell Creek, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high71° (2024)
Record low23° (1967)
Sun, 0855° / 38°0.09
55 °
Shell Creek, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high70° (1975)
Record low21° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Shell Creek, TN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Shell Creek, TN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.