Monthly outlook for Shell Creek, TN: average high 64.9°, average low 45.7°. That is 3.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.2 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 October (70.8°), the coolest 18 October (35.8°).
64.9°/45.7°
Average high / low
+3.2°
Above normal
1 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
17 October – 26 October
65.5°
59.7°
+3.2°
27 October – 5 November
64°
57.1°
+3.8°
6 November – 15 November
at normal
53.6°
—
October records over 66 years
83.8°3 October 2019All-time high
23.5°18 October 2022All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Crossnore (13 mi).
Sun, 1862° / 36°0
62 °
Shell Creek, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 62°, low 36°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind5.4 mph E
Humidity37%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point25°
Mon, 1965° / 39°0
65 °
Shell Creek, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 65°, low 39°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind3.1 mph N
Humidity34%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point27°
Tue, 2071° / 53°0
71 °
Shell Creek, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 71°, low 53°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind3.4 mph NE
Humidity32%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Wed, 2168° / 55°0
68 °
Shell Creek, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 68°, low 55°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind5.7 mph NW
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Thu, 2264° / 50°0
64 °
Shell Creek, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 64°, low 50°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind6.2 mph N
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Fri, 2368° / 46°0
68 °
Shell Creek, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 68°, low 46°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind3.9 mph NW
Humidity25%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sat, 2468° / 44°0
68 °
Shell Creek, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 68°, low 44°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind6.4 mph SE
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sun, 2566° / 44°0
66 °
Shell Creek, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 44°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind5.6 mph SE
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Mon, 2668° / 49°0
68 °
Shell Creek, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 49°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.5 mph W
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Tue, 2757° / 44°0.01
57 °
Shell Creek, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 44°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind7.8 mph NW
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Wed, 2864° / 44°0
64 °
Shell Creek, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 44°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5.7 mph SE
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Thu, 2966° / 51°0
66 °
Shell Creek, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 51°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind13.7 mph W
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Fri, 3062° / 41°0
62 °
Shell Creek, Friday, 30 October
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 41°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind6.3 mph NW
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sat, 3166° / 46°0
66 °
Shell Creek, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 46°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind7.8 mph SE
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sun, 0169° / 50°0
69 °
Shell Creek, Sunday, 1 November
Partly cloudy. High 69°, low 50°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind7.6 mph SE
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 0258° / 42°0.2
58 °
Shell Creek, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high73° (2003)
Record low23° (2020)
Tue, 0357° / 40°0.07
57 °
Shell Creek, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high72° (1974)
Record low25° (1966)
Wed, 0455° / 39°0.13
55 °
Shell Creek, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high69° (1974)
Record low24° (1966)
Thu, 0554° / 39°0.14
54 °
Shell Creek, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high71° (1975)
Record low25° (1991)
Fri, 0655° / 39°0.08
55 °
Shell Creek, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high70° (2015)
Record low23° (1967)
Sat, 0755° / 39°0.13
55 °
Shell Creek, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high71° (2024)
Record low23° (1967)
Sun, 0855° / 38°0.09
55 °
Shell Creek, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high70° (1975)
Record low21° (1976)
Mon, 0955° / 38°0.08
55 °
Shell Creek, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high70° (2021)
Record low21° (2019)
Tue, 1054° / 38°0.14
54 °
Shell Creek, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high69° (2006)
Record low16° (2025)
Wed, 1153° / 37°0.21
53 °
Shell Creek, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high67° (1985)
Record low15° (2025)
Thu, 1253° / 37°0.17
53 °
Shell Creek, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high68° (2003)
Record low16° (2019)
Fri, 1352° / 35°0.04
52 °
Shell Creek, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high68° (1985)
Record low13° (2019)
Sat, 1452° / 34°0.06
52 °
Shell Creek, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high68° (1985)
Record low18° (1968)
Sun, 1551° / 35°0.13
51 °
Shell Creek, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high70° (1993)
Record low14° (1969)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Shell Creek, TN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Shell Creek, TN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.