Monthly outlook for Shell Creek, TN: average high 68.8°, average low 49.6°. That is 4.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.7 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 15 October (84.1°), the coolest 18 October (36.3°).
68.8°/49.6°
Average high / low
+4.5°
Above normal
3 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 October – 21 October
70.9°
61.7°
+5.1°
22 October – 31 October
65.2°
58.6°
+3.7°
1 November – 10 November
at normal
55.6°
—
October records over 66 years
83.8°3 October 2019All-time high
23.5°18 October 2022All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Crossnore (13 mi).
Tue, 1377° / 55°0
77 °
Shell Creek, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 77°, low 55°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6.3 mph W
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point60°
Wed, 1480° / 58°0
80 °
Shell Creek, Wednesday, 14 October
Mostly clear. High 80°, low 58°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind3.6 mph NW
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point65°
Thu, 1584° / 68°0
84 °
Shell Creek, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 84°, low 68°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind3.2 mph SW
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point63°
Fri, 1675° / 51°0.33
75 °
Shell Creek, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 75°, low 51°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind14.4 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point62°
Sat, 1759° / 44°0
59 °
Shell Creek, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 59°, low 44°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind7.8 mph N
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sun, 1858° / 36°0
58 °
Shell Creek, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 58°, low 36°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind6.9 mph SE
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Mon, 1965° / 38°0
65 °
Shell Creek, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 65°, low 38°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind6.7 mph SE
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Tue, 2071° / 50°0
71 °
Shell Creek, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 71°, low 50°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5 mph SE
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Wed, 2170° / 54°0.03
70 °
Shell Creek, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 54°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5.5 mph SE
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Thu, 2263° / 50°0
63 °
Shell Creek, Thursday, 22 October
Partly cloudy. High 63°, low 50°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind6.5 mph SE
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Fri, 2368° / 46°0
68 °
Shell Creek, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 46°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind5.2 mph SE
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sat, 2471° / 52°0
71 °
Shell Creek, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 71°, low 52°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind3.5 mph S
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sun, 2572° / 53°0.03
72 °
Shell Creek, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 53°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind8.6 mph W
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Mon, 2656° / 43°0.06
56 °
Shell Creek, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 43°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11.1 mph NW
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Tue, 2761° / 39°0
61 °
Shell Creek, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 61°, low 39°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind8.4 mph W
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 2858° / 43°0.13
58 °
Shell Creek, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high72° (2023)
Record low25° (1976)
Thu, 2958° / 41°0.13
58 °
Shell Creek, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high74° (2020)
Record low26° (2017)
Fri, 3058° / 41°0.12
58 °
Shell Creek, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high73° (2004)
Record low24° (2017)
Sat, 3158° / 43°0.13
58 °
Shell Creek, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high70° (2016)
Record low29° (1993)
Sun, 0158° / 43°0.13
58 °
Shell Creek, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high71° (2004)
Record low19° (2023)
Mon, 0258° / 42°0.2
58 °
Shell Creek, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high73° (2003)
Record low23° (2020)
Tue, 0357° / 40°0.07
57 °
Shell Creek, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high72° (1974)
Record low25° (1966)
Wed, 0455° / 39°0.13
55 °
Shell Creek, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high69° (1974)
Record low24° (1966)
Thu, 0554° / 39°0.14
54 °
Shell Creek, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high71° (1975)
Record low25° (1991)
Fri, 0655° / 39°0.08
55 °
Shell Creek, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high70° (2015)
Record low23° (1967)
Sat, 0755° / 39°0.13
55 °
Shell Creek, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high71° (2024)
Record low23° (1967)
Sun, 0855° / 38°0.09
55 °
Shell Creek, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high70° (1975)
Record low21° (1976)
Mon, 0955° / 38°0.08
55 °
Shell Creek, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high70° (2021)
Record low21° (2019)
Tue, 1054° / 38°0.14
54 °
Shell Creek, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high69° (2006)
Record low16° (2025)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Shell Creek, TN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Shell Creek, TN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.