Weather in Upper Shell Creek, TN
Upper Shell Creek, Tuesday, 13 October, 11:50
Clear. Feels like 70°. High 74°, low 48°.
Monthly outlook for Upper Shell Creek, TN: average high 67.5°, average low 46.9°. That is 4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 15 October (82.1°), the coolest 18 October (36.5°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 October – 22 October | 69.1° | 61.4° | +4.3° |
| 23 October – 1 November | 64.9° | 58.4° | +3.6° |
| 2 November – 11 November | at normal | 55.1° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Crossnore (11 mi).
0Upper Shell Creek, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 82°, low 55°.
0Upper Shell Creek, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 82°, low 59°.
0.31
Upper Shell Creek, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 74°, low 46°.
0.03Upper Shell Creek, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 50°, low 43°.
0Upper Shell Creek, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 62°, low 36°.
0
Upper Shell Creek, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 41°.
0Upper Shell Creek, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 50°.
0
Upper Shell Creek, Wednesday, 21 October
Partly cloudy. High 70°, low 52°.
0
Upper Shell Creek, Thursday, 22 October
Mostly clear. High 64°, low 48°.
0Upper Shell Creek, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 47°.
0Upper Shell Creek, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 72°, low 53°.
0.02Upper Shell Creek, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 49°.
0Upper Shell Creek, Monday, 26 October
Mostly clear. High 60°, low 43°.
0Upper Shell Creek, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 39°.
0Upper Shell Creek, Wednesday, 28 October
Partly cloudy. High 61°, low 41°.
0.13Upper Shell Creek, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Upper Shell Creek, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13
Upper Shell Creek, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Upper Shell Creek, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Upper Shell Creek, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Upper Shell Creek, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Upper Shell Creek, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Upper Shell Creek, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Upper Shell Creek, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Upper Shell Creek, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Upper Shell Creek, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Upper Shell Creek, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Upper Shell Creek, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.21Upper Shell Creek, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Upper Shell Creek, TN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Upper Shell Creek, TN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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