Monthly outlook for Upper Shell Creek, TN: average high 64.9°, average low 47°. That is 2.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 15 October (79.8°), the coolest 18 October (37.4°).
64.9°/47°
Average high / low
+2.9°
Above normal
5 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
15 October – 24 October
67.2°
60.5°
+3.7°
25 October – 3 November
61°
57.9°
+1.7°
4 November – 13 November
at normal
54.1°
—
October records over 66 years
83.8°3 October 2019All-time high
23.5°18 October 2022All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Crossnore (11 mi).
Fri, 1677° / 52°0.22
77 °
Upper Shell Creek, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 77°, low 52°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind11.1 mph W
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point57°
Sat, 1750° / 41°0.15
50 °
Upper Shell Creek, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 50°, low 41°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind12.1 mph N
Humidity87%
Visibility5.6 mi
Dew point40°
Sun, 1862° / 37°0
62 °
Upper Shell Creek, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 62°, low 37°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind5.5 mph E
Humidity40%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point26°
Mon, 1965° / 38°0
65 °
Upper Shell Creek, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 65°, low 38°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind5.9 mph S
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Tue, 2066° / 46°0
66 °
Upper Shell Creek, Tuesday, 20 October
Partly cloudy. High 66°, low 46°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind4.1 mph NE
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Wed, 2168° / 48°0
68 °
Upper Shell Creek, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 68°, low 48°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind4.9 mph SE
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Thu, 2267° / 46°0
67 °
Upper Shell Creek, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 67°, low 46°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind5.6 mph SE
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Fri, 2368° / 45°0
68 °
Upper Shell Creek, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 68°, low 45°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind5.1 mph SE
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 2471° / 48°0
71 °
Upper Shell Creek, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 71°, low 48°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind5.3 mph SE
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sun, 2565° / 47°0
65 °
Upper Shell Creek, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 65°, low 47°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6.3 mph S
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Mon, 2668° / 53°0
68 °
Upper Shell Creek, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 68°, low 53°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind7.2 mph S
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Tue, 2760° / 55°0.6
60 °
Upper Shell Creek, Tuesday, 27 October
Rain. High 60°, low 55°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind7.1 mph SE
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Wed, 2857° / 56°0.26
57 °
Upper Shell Creek, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 56°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind6.7 mph SE
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Thu, 2952° / 43°0.06
52 °
Upper Shell Creek, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 52°, low 43°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind7.2 mph NW
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Fri, 3064° / 42°0
64 °
Upper Shell Creek, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 64°, low 42°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind4.2 mph NW
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 3158° / 43°0.13
58 °
Upper Shell Creek, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high70° (2016)
Record low29° (1993)
Sun, 0158° / 43°0.13
58 °
Upper Shell Creek, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high71° (2004)
Record low19° (2023)
Mon, 0258° / 42°0.2
58 °
Upper Shell Creek, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high73° (2003)
Record low23° (2020)
Tue, 0357° / 40°0.07
57 °
Upper Shell Creek, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high72° (1974)
Record low25° (1966)
Wed, 0455° / 39°0.13
55 °
Upper Shell Creek, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high69° (1974)
Record low24° (1966)
Thu, 0554° / 39°0.14
54 °
Upper Shell Creek, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high71° (1975)
Record low25° (1991)
Fri, 0655° / 39°0.08
55 °
Upper Shell Creek, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high70° (2015)
Record low23° (1967)
Sat, 0755° / 39°0.13
55 °
Upper Shell Creek, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high71° (2024)
Record low23° (1967)
Sun, 0855° / 38°0.09
55 °
Upper Shell Creek, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high70° (1975)
Record low21° (1976)
Mon, 0955° / 38°0.08
55 °
Upper Shell Creek, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high70° (2021)
Record low21° (2019)
Tue, 1054° / 38°0.14
54 °
Upper Shell Creek, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high69° (2006)
Record low16° (2025)
Wed, 1153° / 37°0.21
53 °
Upper Shell Creek, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high67° (1985)
Record low15° (2025)
Thu, 1253° / 37°0.17
53 °
Upper Shell Creek, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high68° (2003)
Record low16° (2019)
Fri, 1352° / 35°0.04
52 °
Upper Shell Creek, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high68° (1985)
Record low13° (2019)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Upper Shell Creek, TN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Upper Shell Creek, TN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.