Monthly outlook for Chautauqua, SD: average high 56.8°, average low 44.5°. That is 3.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 8 days (about 3.3 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 October (63.8°), the coolest 4 November (37.7°).
56.8°/44.5°
Average high / low
+3.7°
Above normal
8 / 3
Wet days / normal
3.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
24 October – 2 November
56.7°
51.6°
+2.8°
3 November – 12 November
56.9°
45.4°
+6.4°
13 November – 22 November
at normal
40.9°
—
October records over 66 years
89.2°3 October 2025All-time high
9.3°26 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Rustic Acres Colony (8 mi).
Sun, 2550° / 45°0.18
50 °
Chautauqua, Sunday, 25 October
Rain. High 50°, low 45°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind7.3 mph NE
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Mon, 2650° / 43°0.91
50 °
Chautauqua, Monday, 26 October
Rain. High 50°, low 43°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind13 mph E
Humidity93%
Visibility2.9 mi
Dew point41°
Tue, 2759° / 43°0.12
59 °
Chautauqua, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 43°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind9.9 mph S
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Wed, 2859° / 41°0.05
59 °
Chautauqua, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 41°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind3.7 mph E
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Thu, 2962° / 41°0
62 °
Chautauqua, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 62°, low 41°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8.9 mph SE
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 3056° / 44°0.66
56 °
Chautauqua, Friday, 30 October
Rain. High 56°, low 44°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind17.4 mph SE
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sat, 3158° / 55°0.46
58 °
Chautauqua, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 58°, low 55°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind19.9 mph S
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sun, 0156° / 50°0.76
56 °
Chautauqua, Sunday, 1 November
Rain. High 56°, low 50°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind27.5 mph N
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Mon, 0254° / 41°0.01
54 °
Chautauqua, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 41°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind24.5 mph N
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Tue, 0352° / 39°0
52 °
Chautauqua, Tuesday, 3 November
Clear. High 52°, low 39°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind9.1 mph E
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Wed, 0450° / 38°0
50 °
Chautauqua, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 38°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind16.8 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Thu, 0560° / 46°0
60 °
Chautauqua, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 46°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind17.2 mph S
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Fri, 0661° / 48°0
61 °
Chautauqua, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 48°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind14 mph S
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sat, 0761° / 48°0
61 °
Chautauqua, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 48°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind18.8 mph NW
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sun, 0857° / 43°0
57 °
Chautauqua, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 57°, low 43°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12.8 mph NW
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 0944° / 31°0.15
44 °
Chautauqua, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high69° (1999)
Record low13° (2018)
Tue, 1042° / 28°0.07
42 °
Chautauqua, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high64° (2016)
Record low4° (1986)
Wed, 1141° / 26°0.04
41 °
Chautauqua, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high63° (2005)
Record low-3° (1986)
Thu, 1241° / 26°0.06
41 °
Chautauqua, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high65° (2005)
Record low-2° (1966)
Fri, 1343° / 28°0.03
43 °
Chautauqua, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low-12° (1986)
Sat, 1443° / 29°0.02
43 °
Chautauqua, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high69° (2025)
Record low6° (2014)
Sun, 1543° / 28°0.06
43 °
Chautauqua, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high64° (2001)
Record low6° (2000)
Mon, 1643° / 27°0.06
43 °
Chautauqua, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high68° (2001)
Record low-3° (2014)
Tue, 1741° / 27°0.05
41 °
Chautauqua, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high64° (2001)
Record low3° (2014)
Wed, 1841° / 27°0.06
41 °
Chautauqua, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high65° (1999)
Record low-1° (1996)
Thu, 1940° / 27°0.09
40 °
Chautauqua, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high59° (2003)
Record low8° (1985)
Fri, 2039° / 25°0.06
39 °
Chautauqua, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high63° (1962)
Record low1° (1985)
Sat, 2138° / 23°0.03
38 °
Chautauqua, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high64° (2012)
Record low-7° (1985)
Sun, 2238° / 24°0.03
38 °
Chautauqua, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high58° (1974)
Record low5° (1975)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chautauqua, SD are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chautauqua, SD since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.