Monthly outlook for Chautauqua, SD: average high 50°, average low 39.5°. That is 2.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 3.0 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 2 November (62.8°), the coolest 15 November (27°).
50°/39.5°
Average high / low
+2.4°
Above normal
6 / 3
Wet days / normal
3.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
31 October – 9 November
54.7°
47.8°
+3.9°
10 November – 19 November
42.1°
41.8°
+0.2°
20 November – 29 November
at normal
36°
—
October records over 66 years
89.2°3 October 2025All-time high
9.3°26 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Rustic Acres Colony (8 mi).
Sun, 0161° / 54°0.04
61 °
Chautauqua, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 54°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind13.4 mph S
Humidity90%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Mon, 0263° / 56°2.01
63 °
Chautauqua, Monday, 2 November
Heavy rain. High 63°, low 56°.
Pressure29.50 inHg
Wind18.5 mph SE
Humidity96%
Visibility3.5 mi
Dew point58°
Tue, 0355° / 48°0.54
55 °
Chautauqua, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 55°, low 48°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind14.6 mph N
Humidity92%
Visibility5.3 mi
Dew point49°
Wed, 0450° / 47°0.2
50 °
Chautauqua, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 47°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind13.6 mph NW
Humidity93%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Thu, 0548° / 39°0
48 °
Chautauqua, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 39°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind12.7 mph NW
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Fri, 0657° / 35°0
57 °
Chautauqua, Friday, 6 November
Partly cloudy. High 57°, low 35°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9.7 mph SE
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sat, 0751° / 44°0.05
51 °
Chautauqua, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 44°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind15.1 mph N
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sun, 0848° / 40°0
48 °
Chautauqua, Sunday, 8 November
Mostly clear. High 48°, low 40°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind14.4 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Mon, 0954° / 38°0
54 °
Chautauqua, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 38°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.9 mph NW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Tue, 1051° / 38°0
51 °
Chautauqua, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 51°, low 38°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.9 mph NW
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Wed, 1143° / 32°0
43 °
Chautauqua, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 43°, low 32°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind9.4 mph N
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Thu, 1241° / 32°0
41 °
Chautauqua, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 41°, low 32°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind12 mph NE
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Fri, 1335° / 28°0
35 °
Chautauqua, Friday, 13 November
Light snow. High 35°, low 28°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind14.2 mph N
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Sat, 1441° / 27°0
41 °
Chautauqua, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 41°, low 27°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12 mph N
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Sun, 1540° / 27°0
40 °
Chautauqua, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 40°, low 27°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind8.2 mph NW
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 1643° / 27°0.06
43 °
Chautauqua, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high68° (2001)
Record low-3° (2014)
Tue, 1741° / 27°0.05
41 °
Chautauqua, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high64° (2001)
Record low3° (2014)
Wed, 1841° / 27°0.06
41 °
Chautauqua, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high65° (1999)
Record low-1° (1996)
Thu, 1940° / 27°0.09
40 °
Chautauqua, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high59° (2003)
Record low8° (1985)
Fri, 2039° / 25°0.06
39 °
Chautauqua, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high63° (1962)
Record low1° (1985)
Sat, 2138° / 23°0.03
38 °
Chautauqua, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high64° (2012)
Record low-7° (1985)
Sun, 2238° / 24°0.03
38 °
Chautauqua, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high58° (1974)
Record low5° (1975)
Mon, 2337° / 24°0.04
37 °
Chautauqua, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high55° (2006)
Record low-6° (1985)
Tue, 2438° / 22°0.04
38 °
Chautauqua, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high60° (1990)
Record low-9° (1985)
Wed, 2536° / 23°0.02
36 °
Chautauqua, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high60° (1960)
Record low-1° (1975)
Thu, 2634° / 22°0.06
34 °
Chautauqua, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high56° (1998)
Record low-5° (1993)
Fri, 2733° / 20°0.07
33 °
Chautauqua, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low20°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high61° (2017)
Record low-5° (1996)
Sat, 2833° / 19°0.08
33 °
Chautauqua, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high57° (1998)
Record low-9° (1985)
Sun, 2934° / 21°0.05
34 °
Chautauqua, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high56° (1998)
Record low-7° (1985)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chautauqua, SD are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chautauqua, SD since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.