As of 16:24 MDT

Weather in Chance, SD

52°

Chance, Sunday, 11 October, 16:24

Overcast. Feels like 51°. High 53°, low 46°.

Pressure29.80 inHg

Wind13.9 mph NE

Humidity84%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point47°

See detailed hourly forecast

Monthly outlook for Chance, SD: average high 57.8°, average low 41.2°. That is 0.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 October (81°), the coolest 26 October (28.8°).

57.8°/41.2°

Average high / low

+0.8°

Above normal

3 / 3

Wet days / normal

0.4 in

Precipitation this month

Ten-day blocks vs climate normal

Period	Forecast high	Normal	Difference
11 October – 20 October	61.4°	57.1°	+2.4°
21 October – 30 October	51.9°	53.4°	-0.8°
31 October – 9 November	at normal	47.3°	—

October records over 66 years

89.6°2 October 1997All-time high

-5.4°26 October 2020All-time low

Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Bison (12 mi).

Mon, 1252° / 44°

0.12

52 °

Chance, Monday, 12 October

Rain. High 52°, low 44°.

Pressure29.88 inHg

Wind9.3 mph N

Humidity92%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point46°

Tue, 1351° / 42°

51 °

Chance, Tuesday, 13 October

Overcast. High 51°, low 42°.

Pressure30.12 inHg

Wind5.1 mph NW

Humidity59%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point34°

Wed, 1455° / 38°

0.02

55 °

Chance, Wednesday, 14 October

Light rain. High 55°, low 38°.

Pressure30.21 inHg

Wind5.5 mph S

Humidity52%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point37°

Thu, 1553° / 42°

0.18

53 °

Chance, Thursday, 15 October

Rain. High 53°, low 42°.

Pressure30.42 inHg

Wind20.3 mph NW

Humidity48%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point30°

Fri, 1657° / 32°

57 °

Chance, Friday, 16 October

Clear. High 57°, low 32°.

Pressure30.62 inHg

Wind17.4 mph S

Humidity48%

Visibility—

Dew point29°

Sat, 1770° / 38°

70 °

Chance, Saturday, 17 October

Clear. High 70°, low 38°.

Pressure30.00 inHg

Wind12.4 mph S

Humidity38%

Visibility—

Dew point32°

Sun, 1874° / 55°

74 °

Chance, Sunday, 18 October

Clear. High 74°, low 55°.

Pressure29.91 inHg

Wind15.9 mph NW

Humidity22%

Visibility—

Dew point29°

Mon, 1968° / 49°

68 °

Chance, Monday, 19 October

Clear. High 68°, low 49°.

Pressure30.06 inHg

Wind16.2 mph SE

Humidity33%

Visibility—

Dew point32°

Tue, 2081° / 51°

81 °

Chance, Tuesday, 20 October

Mostly clear. High 81°, low 51°.

Pressure29.56 inHg

Wind21 mph S

Humidity23%

Visibility—

Dew point30°

Wed, 2165° / 47°

65 °

Chance, Wednesday, 21 October

Clear. High 65°, low 47°.

Pressure29.83 inHg

Wind14.8 mph SW

Humidity22%

Visibility—

Dew point21°

Thu, 2262° / 48°

62 °

Chance, Thursday, 22 October

Overcast. High 62°, low 48°.

Pressure29.88 inHg

Wind18.3 mph N

Humidity25%

Visibility—

Dew point23°

Fri, 2348° / 37°

48 °

Chance, Friday, 23 October

Light rain. High 48°, low 37°.

Pressure30.36 inHg

Wind22.4 mph NW

Humidity51%

Visibility—

Dew point28°

Sat, 2439° / 30°

39 °

Chance, Saturday, 24 October

Light snow. High 39°, low 30°.

Pressure30.53 inHg

Wind15.2 mph NW

Humidity58%

Visibility—

Dew point22°

Sun, 2559° / 32°

59 °

Chance, Sunday, 25 October

Mostly clear. High 59°, low 32°.

Pressure30.03 inHg

Wind22.9 mph NW

Humidity19%

Visibility—

Dew point14°

Mon, 2639° / 29°

39 °

Chance, Monday, 26 October

Partly cloudy. High 39°, low 29°.

Pressure30.45 inHg

Wind19.9 mph NW

Humidity43%

Visibility—

Dew point14°

From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics

Tue, 2752° / 34°

0.04

52 °

Chance, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high52°

Average low34°

Average precipitation0.04 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high74° (1983)

Record low8° (2020)

Wed, 2852° / 34°

0.06

52 °

Chance, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high52°

Average low34°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation18%

Record high77° (1985)

Record low12° (1991)

Thu, 2951° / 33°

0.1

51 °

Chance, Thursday, 29 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high51°

Average low33°

Average precipitation0.1 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high76° (1968)

Record low4° (1991)

Fri, 3049° / 32°

0.03

49 °

Chance, Friday, 30 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high49°

Average low32°

Average precipitation0.03 in

Chance of precipitation18%

Record high76° (1968)

Record low-5° (1991)

Sat, 3149° / 32°

0.04

49 °

Chance, Saturday, 31 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high49°

Average low32°

Average precipitation0.04 in

Chance of precipitation7%

Record high74° (1990)

Record low-1° (1991)

Sun, 0149° / 32°

0.04

49 °

Chance, Sunday, 1 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high49°

Average low32°

Average precipitation0.04 in

Chance of precipitation10%

Record high72° (1965)

Record low3° (2002)

Mon, 0249° / 31°

0.02

49 °

Chance, Monday, 2 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high49°

Average low31°

Average precipitation0.02 in

Chance of precipitation17%

Record high73° (2022)

Record low-3° (1991)

Tue, 0347° / 32°

0.02

47 °

Chance, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high47°

Average low32°

Average precipitation0.02 in

Chance of precipitation13%

Record high68° (2020)

Record low-7° (1991)

Wed, 0449° / 30°

0.02

49 °

Chance, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high49°

Average low30°

Average precipitation0.02 in

Chance of precipitation13%

Record high74° (1978)

Record low-6° (1991)

Thu, 0548° / 30°

0.03

48 °

Chance, Thursday, 5 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high48°

Average low30°

Average precipitation0.03 in

Chance of precipitation17%

Record high70° (2001)

Record low0° (2003)

Fri, 0647° / 29°

0.03

47 °

Chance, Friday, 6 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high47°

Average low29°

Average precipitation0.03 in

Chance of precipitation8%

Record high70° (2009)

Record low-2° (1991)

Sat, 0747° / 29°

0.04

47 °

Chance, Saturday, 7 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high47°

Average low29°

Average precipitation0.04 in

Chance of precipitation12%

Record high72° (1999)

Record low-10° (1991)

Sun, 0845° / 29°

0.03

45 °

Chance, Sunday, 8 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high45°

Average low29°

Average precipitation0.03 in

Chance of precipitation17%

Record high73° (1999)

Record low2° (2000)

Mon, 0942° / 26°

0.05

42 °

Chance, Monday, 9 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high42°

Average low26°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation17%

Record high69° (2016)

Record low-4° (2000)

About the monthly outlook

How accurate is a 30-day forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chance, SD are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above normal" mean?

We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chance, SD since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is it updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.