Weather in Chance, SD
Chance, Thursday, 15 October, 03:47
Overcast. Feels like 40°. High 50°, low 41°.
Monthly outlook for Chance, SD: average high 56°, average low 39.8°. That is 0.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 2.1 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 October (76.3°), the coolest 30 October (28.8°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 October – 24 October | 61.8° | 56.1° | +3.2° |
| 25 October – 3 November | 46.1° | 50.8° | -2.6° |
| 4 November – 13 November | at normal | 44.6° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Bison (12 mi).
0
Chance, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 52°, low 33°.
0Chance, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 72°, low 36°.
0Chance, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 64°, low 48°.
0Chance, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 61°, low 41°.
0Chance, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 67°, low 44°.
0
Chance, Wednesday, 21 October
Mostly clear. High 71°, low 52°.
0.02
Chance, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 76°, low 56°.
1.54Chance, Friday, 23 October
Heavy rain. High 62°, low 41°.
0.43
Chance, Saturday, 24 October
Snow. High 43°, low 37°.
0Chance, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 46°, low 34°.
0.02Chance, Monday, 26 October
Snow. High 42°, low 34°.
0.01Chance, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 38°.
0.06Chance, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 51°, low 42°.
0Chance, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 50°, low 33°.
0Chance, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 35°, low 29°.
0.04Chance, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Chance, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Chance, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Chance, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Chance, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Chance, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Chance, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Chance, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Chance, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Chance, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06
Chance, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Chance, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Chance, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Chance, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chance, SD are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chance, SD since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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