Monthly outlook for Independence, IA: average high 64.5°, average low 49.6°. That is 2.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 3.5 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 10 October (80.4°), the coolest 18 October (35.7°).
64.5°/49.6°
Average high / low
+2.6°
Above normal
4 / 4
Wet days / normal
3.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
7 October – 16 October
69.7°
61°
+4.8°
17 October – 26 October
55.8°
56.8°
-0.6°
27 October – 5 November
at normal
52.2°
—
October records over 66 years
86.4°1 October 1976All-time high
21°19 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Aurora (14 mi).
Thu, 0869° / 50°0
69 °
Independence, Thursday, 8 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 50°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind3.3 mph N
Humidity45%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Fri, 0975° / 51°0.3
75 °
Independence, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 75°, low 51°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.9 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Sat, 1080° / 62°0
80 °
Independence, Saturday, 10 October
Clear. High 80°, low 62°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind12.2 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point60°
Sun, 1177° / 61°0
77 °
Independence, Sunday, 11 October
Clear. High 77°, low 61°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind10.6 mph S
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Mon, 1272° / 60°0
72 °
Independence, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 60°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind7.7 mph N
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Tue, 1361° / 55°0.1
61 °
Independence, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 55°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.4 mph NE
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Wed, 1466° / 54°2.04
66 °
Independence, Wednesday, 14 October
Heavy rain. High 66°, low 54°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind16.5 mph SE
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Thu, 1568° / 48°1.05
68 °
Independence, Thursday, 15 October
Rain. High 68°, low 48°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind19.3 mph NW
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Fri, 1653° / 44°0
53 °
Independence, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 53°, low 44°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind20.6 mph W
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sat, 1744° / 38°0
44 °
Independence, Saturday, 17 October
Overcast. High 44°, low 38°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind17.4 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sun, 1856° / 36°0
56 °
Independence, Sunday, 18 October
Partly cloudy. High 56°, low 36°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind16.4 mph SW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Mon, 1957° / 42°0
57 °
Independence, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 42°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind6.8 mph N
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Tue, 2058° / 43°0
58 °
Independence, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 43°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind10.3 mph SE
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Wed, 2163° / 46°0.02
63 °
Independence, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 46°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind10.4 mph SE
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Thu, 2256° / 49°0
56 °
Independence, Thursday, 22 October
Mostly clear. High 56°, low 49°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind19.8 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2356° / 43°0.13
56 °
Independence, Friday, 23 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high78° (1963)
Record low25° (1969)
Sat, 2455° / 41°0.11
55 °
Independence, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high76° (1963)
Record low22° (1981)
Sun, 2555° / 40°0.06
55 °
Independence, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high74° (1989)
Record low27° (1962)
Mon, 2655° / 40°0.09
55 °
Independence, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high73° (1989)
Record low21° (1962)
Tue, 2754° / 39°0.07
54 °
Independence, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high72° (2014)
Record low22° (2020)
Wed, 2853° / 38°0.07
53 °
Independence, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high73° (2016)
Record low23° (1969)
Thu, 2954° / 38°0.1
54 °
Independence, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high79° (2024)
Record low22° (1980)
Fri, 3055° / 39°0.09
55 °
Independence, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high75° (2024)
Record low21° (1988)
Sat, 3153° / 39°0.12
53 °
Independence, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high72° (1968)
Record low23° (1993)
Sun, 0152° / 37°0.21
52 °
Independence, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high74° (2000)
Record low21° (2023)
Mon, 0251° / 37°0.09
51 °
Independence, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high70° (2015)
Record low15° (1991)
Tue, 0351° / 36°0.06
51 °
Independence, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high71° (1987)
Record low12° (1991)
Wed, 0450° / 37°0.11
50 °
Independence, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high70° (2008)
Record low9° (1991)
Thu, 0549° / 35°0.08
49 °
Independence, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high67° (2015)
Record low17° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Independence, IA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Independence, IA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.