Monthly outlook for Welsh Run, PA: average high 64.6°, average low 44.1°. That is 2.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (79.7°), the coolest 27 October (37.2°).
64.6°/44.1°
Average high / low
+2.3°
Above normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
18 October – 27 October
63°
61.2°
+1°
28 October – 6 November
67.3°
58.4°
+4.9°
7 November – 16 November
at normal
53.3°
—
October records over 66 years
87.8°2 October 2019All-time high
23.2°30 October 2011All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Warren (9 mi).
Mon, 1968° / 43°0
68 °
Welsh Run, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 68°, low 43°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind5.9 mph N
Humidity42%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Tue, 2067° / 48°0
67 °
Welsh Run, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 67°, low 48°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind9.3 mph N
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Wed, 2162° / 42°0
62 °
Welsh Run, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 62°, low 42°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind3.1 mph NE
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Thu, 2266° / 40°0
66 °
Welsh Run, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 66°, low 40°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind6.9 mph N
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Fri, 2358° / 45°0
58 °
Welsh Run, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 58°, low 45°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind9.1 mph NE
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sat, 2460° / 39°0
60 °
Welsh Run, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 60°, low 39°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind8.7 mph SE
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sun, 2562° / 40°0
62 °
Welsh Run, Sunday, 25 October
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 40°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind7.8 mph S
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Mon, 2662° / 43°0
62 °
Welsh Run, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 43°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind11.5 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Tue, 2761° / 37°0
61 °
Welsh Run, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 61°, low 37°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind5.4 mph NW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Wed, 2864° / 40°0
64 °
Welsh Run, Wednesday, 28 October
Mostly clear. High 64°, low 40°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind2.8 mph S
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Thu, 2967° / 46°0
67 °
Welsh Run, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 46°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind7.4 mph S
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Fri, 3080° / 52°0.44
80 °
Welsh Run, Friday, 30 October
Rain. High 80°, low 52°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind13.3 mph S
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Sat, 3167° / 53°0
67 °
Welsh Run, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 53°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind7.6 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sun, 0160° / 50°0.85
60 °
Welsh Run, Sunday, 1 November
Heavy rain. High 60°, low 50°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind7 mph S
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Mon, 0266° / 49°0
66 °
Welsh Run, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 66°, low 49°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.1 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 0359° / 42°0.07
59 °
Welsh Run, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high77° (2003)
Record low30° (2002)
Wed, 0457° / 41°0.09
57 °
Welsh Run, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high76° (2003)
Record low26° (1962)
Thu, 0557° / 41°0.11
57 °
Welsh Run, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high74° (2024)
Record low25° (1991)
Fri, 0656° / 41°0.06
56 °
Welsh Run, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high80° (2024)
Record low26° (1967)
Sat, 0755° / 40°0.11
55 °
Welsh Run, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high72° (1975)
Record low28° (1967)
Sun, 0855° / 39°0.14
55 °
Welsh Run, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high74° (1975)
Record low26° (1960)
Mon, 0955° / 40°0.07
55 °
Welsh Run, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high74° (1975)
Record low24° (2019)
Tue, 1055° / 40°0.15
55 °
Welsh Run, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high74° (2020)
Record low26° (2017)
Wed, 1153° / 39°0.13
53 °
Welsh Run, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high71° (2006)
Record low19° (2017)
Thu, 1252° / 38°0.17
52 °
Welsh Run, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high71° (1964)
Record low25° (2017)
Fri, 1351° / 36°0.07
51 °
Welsh Run, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high68° (1964)
Record low19° (2019)
Sat, 1452° / 37°0.07
52 °
Welsh Run, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high72° (1993)
Record low22° (1986)
Sun, 1553° / 37°0.11
53 °
Welsh Run, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high73° (1973)
Record low25° (1967)
Mon, 1651° / 37°0.12
51 °
Welsh Run, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high68° (2001)
Record low19° (1995)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Welsh Run, PA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Welsh Run, PA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.