Monthly outlook for Welsh Run, PA: average high 60.1°, average low 45.2°. That is 1.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 8 days (about 3.0 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (73.7°), the coolest 10 November (38.2°).
60.1°/45.2°
Average high / low
+1.8°
Above normal
8 / 4
Wet days / normal
3.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
28 October – 6 November
62°
58.4°
+2°
7 November – 16 November
56.8°
53.3°
+2°
17 November – 26 November
at normal
49.5°
—
October records over 66 years
87.8°2 October 2019All-time high
23.2°30 October 2011All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Warren (9 mi).
Thu, 2974° / 43°0
74 °
Welsh Run, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 74°, low 43°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4.6 mph S
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Fri, 3069° / 50°0
69 °
Welsh Run, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 69°, low 50°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind11.2 mph NW
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Sat, 3161° / 42°0
61 °
Welsh Run, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 42°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind1.4 mph NE
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Sun, 0168° / 51°0
68 °
Welsh Run, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 68°, low 51°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind6 mph S
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Mon, 0268° / 47°0
68 °
Welsh Run, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 47°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Tue, 0360° / 52°0.23
60 °
Welsh Run, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 52°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind16.7 mph E
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Wed, 0448° / 41°0.7
48 °
Welsh Run, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 48°, low 41°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind16.4 mph E
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Thu, 0553° / 49°1.41
53 °
Welsh Run, Thursday, 5 November
Heavy rain. High 53°, low 49°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind24.7 mph E
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Fri, 0651° / 47°0.05
51 °
Welsh Run, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 47°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind9 mph W
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sat, 0759° / 49°0.35
59 °
Welsh Run, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 59°, low 49°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind7.6 mph W
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sun, 0855° / 44°0.17
55 °
Welsh Run, Sunday, 8 November
Rain. High 55°, low 44°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind7.1 mph N
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Mon, 0956° / 40°0
56 °
Welsh Run, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 56°, low 40°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind3.9 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Tue, 1058° / 38°0
58 °
Welsh Run, Tuesday, 10 November
Partly cloudy. High 58°, low 38°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8.3 mph S
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Wed, 1162° / 42°0.04
62 °
Welsh Run, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 42°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind9.3 mph S
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Thu, 1251° / 42°0.09
51 °
Welsh Run, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 42°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind21 mph NW
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 1351° / 36°0.07
51 °
Welsh Run, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high68° (1964)
Record low19° (2019)
Sat, 1452° / 37°0.07
52 °
Welsh Run, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high72° (1993)
Record low22° (1986)
Sun, 1553° / 37°0.11
53 °
Welsh Run, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high73° (1973)
Record low25° (1967)
Mon, 1651° / 37°0.12
51 °
Welsh Run, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high68° (2001)
Record low19° (1995)
Tue, 1750° / 36°0.08
50 °
Welsh Run, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high68° (1963)
Record low12° (1995)
Wed, 1850° / 36°0.06
50 °
Welsh Run, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high70° (1963)
Record low22° (2018)
Thu, 1951° / 36°0.09
51 °
Welsh Run, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high69° (1985)
Record low19° (2014)
Fri, 2050° / 36°0.07
50 °
Welsh Run, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high73° (1991)
Record low19° (1984)
Sat, 2149° / 35°0.11
49 °
Welsh Run, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high70° (2007)
Record low17° (1984)
Sun, 2249° / 35°0.1
49 °
Welsh Run, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high65° (2007)
Record low20° (2018)
Mon, 2349° / 33°0.06
49 °
Welsh Run, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high69° (1979)
Record low17° (1989)
Tue, 2449° / 34°0.13
49 °
Welsh Run, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high67° (1999)
Record low14° (1989)
Wed, 2549° / 34°0.09
49 °
Welsh Run, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high68° (1979)
Record low19° (2005)
Thu, 2650° / 35°0.17
50 °
Welsh Run, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high65° (2025)
Record low24° (2005)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Welsh Run, PA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Welsh Run, PA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.