Monthly outlook for Welsh Run, PA: average high 63.1°, average low 48.3°. That is 4.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 8 November (70.7°), the coolest 13 November (35.5°).
63.1°/48.3°
Average high / low
+4.2°
Above normal
3 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
31 October – 9 November
67°
57.3°
+5.4°
10 November – 19 November
56.5°
51.9°
+2.6°
20 November – 29 November
at normal
48.8°
—
October records over 66 years
87.8°2 October 2019All-time high
23.2°30 October 2011All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Warren (9 mi).
Sun, 0166° / 41°0
66 °
Welsh Run, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 66°, low 41°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind3.8 mph SE
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Mon, 0263° / 46°0
63 °
Welsh Run, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 46°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind2.2 mph SE
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Tue, 0367° / 45°0
67 °
Welsh Run, Tuesday, 3 November
Partly cloudy. High 67°, low 45°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind4.1 mph SE
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Wed, 0470° / 49°0
70 °
Welsh Run, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 70°, low 49°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind10.5 mph S
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Thu, 0567° / 57°0.03
67 °
Welsh Run, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 67°, low 57°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind6.9 mph SE
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Fri, 0668° / 60°0
68 °
Welsh Run, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 68°, low 60°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind5.8 mph NE
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Sat, 0765° / 60°0
65 °
Welsh Run, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 60°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind5.9 mph SE
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Sun, 0871° / 53°0
71 °
Welsh Run, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 71°, low 53°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind4.5 mph S
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Mon, 0969° / 57°0
69 °
Welsh Run, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 69°, low 57°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind4.8 mph SW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Tue, 1060° / 58°0.3
60 °
Welsh Run, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 58°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind6.6 mph SW
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Wed, 1158° / 50°0.1
58 °
Welsh Run, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 50°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind20.5 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Thu, 1257° / 42°0
57 °
Welsh Run, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 57°, low 42°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind17.9 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Fri, 1354° / 35°0
54 °
Welsh Run, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 35°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind11.1 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sat, 1455° / 39°0.16
55 °
Welsh Run, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 39°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind4.3 mph W
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sun, 1555° / 37°0
55 °
Welsh Run, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 55°, low 37°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind11.4 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 1651° / 37°0.12
51 °
Welsh Run, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high68° (2001)
Record low19° (1995)
Tue, 1750° / 36°0.08
50 °
Welsh Run, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high68° (1963)
Record low12° (1995)
Wed, 1850° / 36°0.06
50 °
Welsh Run, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high70° (1963)
Record low22° (2018)
Thu, 1951° / 36°0.09
51 °
Welsh Run, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high69° (1985)
Record low19° (2014)
Fri, 2050° / 36°0.07
50 °
Welsh Run, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high73° (1991)
Record low19° (1984)
Sat, 2149° / 35°0.11
49 °
Welsh Run, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high70° (2007)
Record low17° (1984)
Sun, 2249° / 35°0.1
49 °
Welsh Run, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high65° (2007)
Record low20° (2018)
Mon, 2349° / 33°0.06
49 °
Welsh Run, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high69° (1979)
Record low17° (1989)
Tue, 2449° / 34°0.13
49 °
Welsh Run, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high67° (1999)
Record low14° (1989)
Wed, 2549° / 34°0.09
49 °
Welsh Run, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high68° (1979)
Record low19° (2005)
Thu, 2650° / 35°0.17
50 °
Welsh Run, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high65° (2025)
Record low24° (2005)
Fri, 2749° / 35°0.13
49 °
Welsh Run, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high65° (1988)
Record low23° (1974)
Sat, 2849° / 35°0.2
49 °
Welsh Run, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high70° (1990)
Record low22° (2014)
Sun, 2947° / 34°0.13
47 °
Welsh Run, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high66° (1998)
Record low20° (2023)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Welsh Run, PA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Welsh Run, PA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.