Monthly outlook for Lake Elmo, MN: average high 56.9°, average low 42.3°. That is 3.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 October (71.3°), the coolest 27 October (30.7°).
56.9°/42.3°
Average high / low
+3.6°
Above normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
21 October – 30 October
58.7°
52.2°
+3.6°
31 October – 9 November
53.8°
46.4°
+4.1°
10 November – 19 November
at normal
40.4°
—
October records over 66 years
84.6°2 October 2025All-time high
16°27 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Landfall (5 mi).
Thu, 2271° / 44°0
71 °
Lake Elmo, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 71°, low 44°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4.5 mph SE
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Fri, 2371° / 55°0
71 °
Lake Elmo, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 71°, low 55°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.5 mph SE
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Sat, 2471° / 60°0
71 °
Lake Elmo, Saturday, 24 October
Mostly clear. High 71°, low 60°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind13.4 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Sun, 2557° / 49°0.14
57 °
Lake Elmo, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 49°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind8.4 mph N
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Mon, 2648° / 38°0.27
48 °
Lake Elmo, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 48°, low 38°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind12.1 mph NE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Tue, 2745° / 31°0
45 °
Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 45°, low 31°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind7.4 mph N
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
Wed, 2850° / 31°0
50 °
Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 50°, low 31°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12.5 mph SW
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
Thu, 2951° / 36°0
51 °
Lake Elmo, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 51°, low 36°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind11.1 mph NW
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Fri, 3053° / 31°0
53 °
Lake Elmo, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 53°, low 31°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind13.3 mph S
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Sat, 3158° / 48°0.02
58 °
Lake Elmo, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 48°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind16.4 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sun, 0163° / 52°0
63 °
Lake Elmo, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 52°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind13.3 mph W
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Mon, 0253° / 43°0
53 °
Lake Elmo, Monday, 2 November
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 43°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind14.2 mph NW
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Tue, 0345° / 35°0
45 °
Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 35°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind8.4 mph SE
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Wed, 0452° / 40°0
52 °
Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 4 November
Partly cloudy. High 52°, low 40°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind10.2 mph SE
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Thu, 0552° / 38°0
52 °
Lake Elmo, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 38°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind9.3 mph S
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 0646° / 34°0.07
46 °
Lake Elmo, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low5° (1991)
Sat, 0746° / 33°0.02
46 °
Lake Elmo, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high70° (2020)
Record low-7° (1991)
Sun, 0845° / 32°0.03
45 °
Lake Elmo, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high70° (1999)
Record low0° (1991)
Mon, 0944° / 32°0.13
44 °
Lake Elmo, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high69° (1999)
Record low12° (2003)
Tue, 1042° / 31°0.13
42 °
Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high66° (2022)
Record low9° (2018)
Wed, 1140° / 29°0.06
40 °
Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high60° (1964)
Record low9° (2019)
Thu, 1239° / 28°0.07
39 °
Lake Elmo, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high60° (2011)
Record low4° (1966)
Fri, 1340° / 28°0.07
40 °
Lake Elmo, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high65° (1999)
Record low3° (1986)
Sat, 1441° / 29°0.02
41 °
Lake Elmo, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high67° (2025)
Record low8° (2014)
Sun, 1541° / 29°0.05
41 °
Lake Elmo, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high62° (2001)
Record low2° (2014)
Mon, 1641° / 29°0.08
41 °
Lake Elmo, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high64° (2023)
Record low8° (1997)
Tue, 1740° / 29°0.08
40 °
Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high66° (2001)
Record low6° (2014)
Wed, 1840° / 28°0.07
40 °
Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low1° (2014)
Thu, 1939° / 28°0.08
39 °
Lake Elmo, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high56° (2012)
Record low9° (2022)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Elmo, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Elmo, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.