Weather in Lake Elmo, MN
Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 21 October, 05:57
Clear. Feels like 49°. High 70°, low 48°.
Monthly outlook for Lake Elmo, MN: average high 56.7°, average low 43.4°. That is 3.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 2.9 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 23 October (72°), the coolest 27 October (31.1°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 October – 30 October | 57.7° | 52.2° | +3° |
| 31 October – 9 November | 55.2° | 46.4° | +4.9° |
| 10 November – 19 November | at normal | 40.4° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Landfall (5 mi).
0
Lake Elmo, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 72°, low 43°.
0.02
Lake Elmo, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 55°.
0.05Lake Elmo, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 60°.
0.49Lake Elmo, Sunday, 25 October
Rain. High 58°, low 49°.
0.42Lake Elmo, Monday, 26 October
Rain. High 48°, low 40°.
0Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 46°, low 31°.
0.3Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 28 October
Rain. High 45°, low 36°.
0.01Lake Elmo, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 47°, low 38°.
0Lake Elmo, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 47°, low 33°.
0.03Lake Elmo, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 53°, low 34°.
0.06Lake Elmo, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 43°.
0
Lake Elmo, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 45°.
0
Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 3 November
Mostly clear. High 60°, low 43°.
1.31Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 57°, low 50°.
0.2Lake Elmo, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 58°, low 46°.
0.07
Lake Elmo, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Lake Elmo, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Lake Elmo, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13
Lake Elmo, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Lake Elmo, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Lake Elmo, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Lake Elmo, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Lake Elmo, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Lake Elmo, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Lake Elmo, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Elmo, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Elmo, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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