Weather in Lake Elmo, MN
Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 11 November, 12:20
Overcast. Feels like 50°. High 54°, low 39°.
Monthly outlook for Lake Elmo, MN: average high 41.7°, average low 30.8°. That is 1.8° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.2 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 November (53.6°), the coolest 26 November (14.5°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 November – 20 November | 45.7° | 40° | +3.2° |
| 21 November – 30 November | 35.1° | 34.4° | +0.4° |
| 1 December – 10 December | at normal | 28.8° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Landfall (5 mi).
0Lake Elmo, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 33°.
0
Lake Elmo, Friday, 13 November
Partly cloudy. High 38°, low 28°.
0
Lake Elmo, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 39°, low 27°.
0Lake Elmo, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 43°, low 29°.
0Lake Elmo, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 45°, low 30°.
0Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 50°, low 36°.
0Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 36°.
0.58
Lake Elmo, Thursday, 19 November
Rain. High 47°, low 40°.
0.02Lake Elmo, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 41°.
0.11
Lake Elmo, Saturday, 21 November
Snow. High 42°, low 31°.
0.01Lake Elmo, Sunday, 22 November
Light snow. High 34°, low 28°.
0Lake Elmo, Monday, 23 November
Clear. High 36°, low 27°.
0Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 24 November
Overcast. High 38°, low 30°.
0.43Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 25 November
Snow. High 31°, low 22°.
0Lake Elmo, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 30°, low 15°.
0.08Lake Elmo, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Lake Elmo, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Lake Elmo, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06
Lake Elmo, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Lake Elmo, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Lake Elmo, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Lake Elmo, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Lake Elmo, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Lake Elmo, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Lake Elmo, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Elmo, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Elmo, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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