Monthly outlook for Lake Elmo, MN: average high 51.7°, average low 40.6°. That is 3.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 3.2 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 28 October (68.3°), the coolest 11 November (29.9°).
51.7°/40.6°
Average high / low
+3.1°
Above normal
5 / 4
Wet days / normal
3.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
28 October – 6 November
56.6°
48.1°
+4.7°
7 November – 16 November
43.7°
42°
+0.9°
17 November – 26 November
at normal
37.2°
—
October records over 66 years
84.6°2 October 2025All-time high
16°27 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Landfall (5 mi).
Thu, 2954° / 43°0
54 °
Lake Elmo, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 54°, low 43°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind8.7 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Fri, 3056° / 40°0
56 °
Lake Elmo, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 40°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.3 mph E
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Sat, 3160° / 40°0
60 °
Lake Elmo, Saturday, 31 October
Partly cloudy. High 60°, low 40°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind5.8 mph E
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Sun, 0166° / 51°0.01
66 °
Lake Elmo, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 51°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind6.6 mph S
Humidity82%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Mon, 0258° / 56°0.89
58 °
Lake Elmo, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 58°, low 56°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind14.5 mph SE
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Tue, 0358° / 53°0.98
58 °
Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 58°, low 53°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind17.7 mph N
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Wed, 0453° / 52°1.07
53 °
Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 53°, low 52°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind12.6 mph E
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Thu, 0552° / 39°0.06
52 °
Lake Elmo, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 39°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind15.8 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Fri, 0641° / 33°0
41 °
Lake Elmo, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 41°, low 33°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind14.6 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Sat, 0743° / 31°0
43 °
Lake Elmo, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 43°, low 31°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind10 mph NW
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point16°
Sun, 0846° / 31°0
46 °
Lake Elmo, Sunday, 8 November
Mostly clear. High 46°, low 31°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind3.8 mph NE
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Mon, 0950° / 35°0
50 °
Lake Elmo, Monday, 9 November
Partly cloudy. High 50°, low 35°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind6.7 mph W
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Tue, 1044° / 34°0
44 °
Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 34°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind11.8 mph N
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Wed, 1138° / 30°0
38 °
Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 11 November
Partly cloudy. High 38°, low 30°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind11.4 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Thu, 1241° / 30°0
41 °
Lake Elmo, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 41°, low 30°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8.1 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 1340° / 28°0.07
40 °
Lake Elmo, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high65° (1999)
Record low3° (1986)
Sat, 1441° / 29°0.02
41 °
Lake Elmo, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high67° (2025)
Record low8° (2014)
Sun, 1541° / 29°0.05
41 °
Lake Elmo, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high62° (2001)
Record low2° (2014)
Mon, 1641° / 29°0.08
41 °
Lake Elmo, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high64° (2023)
Record low8° (1997)
Tue, 1740° / 29°0.08
40 °
Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high66° (2001)
Record low6° (2014)
Wed, 1840° / 28°0.07
40 °
Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low1° (2014)
Thu, 1939° / 28°0.08
39 °
Lake Elmo, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high56° (2012)
Record low9° (2022)
Fri, 2037° / 26°0.1
37 °
Lake Elmo, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high55° (2003)
Record low2° (2022)
Sat, 2137° / 24°0.05
37 °
Lake Elmo, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low1° (2000)
Sun, 2237° / 25°0.04
37 °
Lake Elmo, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high56° (2012)
Record low-1° (1978)
Mon, 2336° / 24°0.09
36 °
Lake Elmo, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high55° (2025)
Record low3° (1989)
Tue, 2436° / 24°0.04
36 °
Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high59° (2011)
Record low-5° (1989)
Wed, 2535° / 24°0.04
35 °
Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high54° (2011)
Record low0° (1991)
Thu, 2634° / 22°0.07
34 °
Lake Elmo, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high53° (1960)
Record low-5° (1977)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Elmo, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Elmo, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.