Weather in Lake Elmo, MN
Lake Elmo, Sunday, 1 November, 05:19
Overcast. Feels like 54°. High 66°, low 54°.
Monthly outlook for Lake Elmo, MN: average high 54.2°, average low 43.9°. That is 5.8° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 3.2 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 1 November (65.6°), the coolest 6 November (37.6°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 November – 10 November | 56.4° | 45.7° | +6° |
| 11 November – 20 November | 50.6° | 40° | +5.9° |
| 21 November – 30 November | at normal | 34.4° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Landfall (5 mi).
0.92
Lake Elmo, Monday, 2 November
Heavy rain. High 63°, low 55°.
1.39Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 3 November
Heavy rain. High 63°, low 55°.
0.62Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 55°, low 48°.
0.07Lake Elmo, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 44°.
0
Lake Elmo, Friday, 6 November
Mostly clear. High 48°, low 38°.
0
Lake Elmo, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 54°, low 43°.
0
Lake Elmo, Sunday, 8 November
Partly cloudy. High 55°, low 40°.
0Lake Elmo, Monday, 9 November
Partly cloudy. High 56°, low 38°.
0Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 51°, low 42°.
0.17Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 42°, low 38°.
0Lake Elmo, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 42°.
0.02Lake Elmo, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 40°.
0Lake Elmo, Saturday, 14 November
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 39°.
0Lake Elmo, Sunday, 15 November
Mostly clear. High 58°, low 43°.
0Lake Elmo, Monday, 16 November
Mostly clear. High 58°, low 43°.
0.08Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Lake Elmo, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Lake Elmo, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Lake Elmo, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Lake Elmo, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Lake Elmo, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07
Lake Elmo, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Lake Elmo, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Lake Elmo, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Lake Elmo, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Lake Elmo, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Elmo, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Elmo, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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