Weather in Lake Elmo, MN
Lake Elmo, Monday, 19 October, 14:25
Partly cloudy. Feels like 62°. High 64°, low 40°.
Monthly outlook for Lake Elmo, MN: average high 55°, average low 38.7°. That is 2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.5 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 October (68.5°), the coolest 28 October (27.3°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 October – 28 October | 60.9° | 53° | +4.4° |
| 29 October – 7 November | 45° | 47.7° | -1.5° |
| 8 November – 17 November | at normal | 41.4° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Landfall (5 mi).
0
Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 68°, low 44°.
0Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 66°, low 47°.
0Lake Elmo, Thursday, 22 October
Partly cloudy. High 69°, low 49°.
0.02
Lake Elmo, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 55°.
0.14Lake Elmo, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 68°, low 57°.
0Lake Elmo, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 60°, low 48°.
0Lake Elmo, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 64°, low 41°.
0
Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 44°, low 33°.
0Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 28 October
Partly cloudy. High 41°, low 27°.
0Lake Elmo, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 51°, low 31°.
0
Lake Elmo, Friday, 30 October
Mostly clear. High 49°, low 32°.
0Lake Elmo, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 44°, low 28°.
0.32
Lake Elmo, Sunday, 1 November
Snow. High 36°, low 33°.
0Lake Elmo, Monday, 2 November
Mostly clear. High 42°, low 28°.
0Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 30°.
0.06Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Lake Elmo, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Lake Elmo, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Lake Elmo, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Lake Elmo, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13
Lake Elmo, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Lake Elmo, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Lake Elmo, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Lake Elmo, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Lake Elmo, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Lake Elmo, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Elmo, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Elmo, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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