Monthly outlook for Lake Elmo, MN: average high 51.6°, average low 39.3°. That is 4.8° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 3 November (62.4°), the coolest 12 November (30.5°).
51.6°/39.3°
Average high / low
+4.8°
Above normal
5 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
3 November – 12 November
52.1°
44.1°
+4.4°
13 November – 22 November
50.6°
39.4°
+6.2°
23 November – 2 December
at normal
33.2°
—
November records over 66 years
72°2 November 2022All-time high
-11.7°30 November 1964All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Landfall (5 mi).
Wed, 0453° / 49°0.48
53 °
Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 4 November
Heavy rain. High 53°, low 49°.
Pressure29.47 inHg
Wind5.5 mph N
Humidity91%
Visibility3.6 mi
Dew point56°
Thu, 0550° / 43°0.19
50 °
Lake Elmo, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 43°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind15.8 mph N
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Fri, 0644° / 38°0
44 °
Lake Elmo, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 38°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind5.1 mph NE
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point27°
Sat, 0752° / 33°0
52 °
Lake Elmo, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 33°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind7.9 mph W
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sun, 0856° / 41°0
56 °
Lake Elmo, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 56°, low 41°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind6.6 mph SE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Mon, 0959° / 40°0
59 °
Lake Elmo, Monday, 9 November
Partly cloudy. High 59°, low 40°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind9.5 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Tue, 1055° / 40°0
55 °
Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 10 November
Mostly clear. High 55°, low 40°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6.6 mph NW
Humidity25%
Visibility—
Dew point16°
Wed, 1147° / 37°0
47 °
Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 11 November
Partly cloudy. High 47°, low 37°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind9 mph N
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Thu, 1242° / 30°0
42 °
Lake Elmo, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 42°, low 30°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind7.3 mph N
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Fri, 1344° / 34°0
44 °
Lake Elmo, Friday, 13 November
Mostly clear. High 44°, low 34°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind3.1 mph SE
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Sat, 1449° / 33°0
49 °
Lake Elmo, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 49°, low 33°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind8 mph SW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Sun, 1554° / 35°0
54 °
Lake Elmo, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 54°, low 35°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind13.2 mph SW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Mon, 1656° / 39°0
56 °
Lake Elmo, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 56°, low 39°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind13.6 mph S
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Tue, 1750° / 42°0.04
50 °
Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 17 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 42°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind12.4 mph S
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Wed, 1852° / 42°0.11
52 °
Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 18 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 42°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind6.5 mph SW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 1939° / 28°0.08
39 °
Lake Elmo, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high56° (2012)
Record low9° (2022)
Fri, 2037° / 26°0.1
37 °
Lake Elmo, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high55° (2003)
Record low2° (2022)
Sat, 2137° / 24°0.05
37 °
Lake Elmo, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low1° (2000)
Sun, 2237° / 25°0.04
37 °
Lake Elmo, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high56° (2012)
Record low-1° (1978)
Mon, 2336° / 24°0.09
36 °
Lake Elmo, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high55° (2025)
Record low3° (1989)
Tue, 2436° / 24°0.04
36 °
Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high59° (2011)
Record low-5° (1989)
Wed, 2535° / 24°0.04
35 °
Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high54° (2011)
Record low0° (1991)
Thu, 2634° / 22°0.07
34 °
Lake Elmo, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high53° (1960)
Record low-5° (1977)
Fri, 2732° / 20°0.08
32 °
Lake Elmo, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high32°
Average low20°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high58° (1998)
Record low-7° (1996)
Sat, 2832° / 20°0.08
32 °
Lake Elmo, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high32°
Average low20°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high54° (2006)
Record low-1° (1977)
Sun, 2933° / 21°0.07
33 °
Lake Elmo, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high59° (1998)
Record low-11° (1985)
Mon, 3032° / 21°0.06
32 °
Lake Elmo, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high32°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high56° (1998)
Record low-12° (1964)
Tue, 0131° / 19°0.06
31 °
Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high60° (1998)
Record low-4° (2014)
Wed, 0230° / 18°0.04
30 °
Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low18°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high58° (1982)
Record low-7° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Elmo, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Elmo, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.