Weather in Lake Elmo, MN
Lake Elmo, Saturday, 17 October, 14:05
Clear. Feels like 54°. High 58°, low 33°.
Monthly outlook for Lake Elmo, MN: average high 63.3°, average low 47.2°. That is 6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 October (71.4°), the coolest 17 October (33.2°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 October – 26 October | 63.9° | 53.8° | +5.6° |
| 27 October – 5 November | 62.2° | 48.7° | +7.5° |
| 6 November – 15 November | at normal | 42.5° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Landfall (5 mi).
0
Lake Elmo, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 42°.
0Lake Elmo, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 43°.
0Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 64°, low 45°.
0Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 66°, low 49°.
0Lake Elmo, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 55°.
0.03
Lake Elmo, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 53°.
0.01Lake Elmo, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 71°, low 64°.
0Lake Elmo, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 50°.
0
Lake Elmo, Monday, 26 October
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 47°.
0.89Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 27 October
Heavy rain. High 70°, low 53°.
0.05Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 53°.
0
Lake Elmo, Thursday, 29 October
Mostly clear. High 61°, low 46°.
0.26Lake Elmo, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 48°.
0.11
Lake Elmo, Saturday, 31 October
Snow. High 66°, low 37°.
0Lake Elmo, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 36°.
0.07Lake Elmo, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Lake Elmo, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Lake Elmo, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Lake Elmo, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Lake Elmo, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13
Lake Elmo, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Lake Elmo, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Lake Elmo, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Lake Elmo, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Lake Elmo, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Elmo, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Elmo, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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