Monthly outlook for Lake Elmo, MN: average high 41°, average low 30.8°. That is 1.4° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.2 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 November (54.7°), the coolest 23 November (16.6°).
41°/30.8°
Average high / low
+1.4°
Above normal
1 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 November – 20 November
46°
40°
+3.3°
21 November – 30 November
32.8°
34.4°
-0.9°
1 December – 10 December
at normal
28.8°
—
November records over 66 years
72°2 November 2022All-time high
-11.7°30 November 1964All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Landfall (5 mi).
Thu, 1243° / 33°0
43 °
Lake Elmo, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 33°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind9.2 mph N
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point22°
Fri, 1338° / 28°0
38 °
Lake Elmo, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 38°, low 28°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind5.6 mph N
Humidity75%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point23°
Sat, 1440° / 29°0
40 °
Lake Elmo, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 40°, low 29°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind2 mph SE
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point25°
Sun, 1545° / 29°0
45 °
Lake Elmo, Sunday, 15 November
Partly cloudy. High 45°, low 29°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind6.3 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Mon, 1647° / 36°0
47 °
Lake Elmo, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 36°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind7.3 mph S
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Tue, 1749° / 32°0
49 °
Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 49°, low 32°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind11.7 mph S
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Wed, 1847° / 42°0.03
47 °
Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 18 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 42°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind15.1 mph S
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Thu, 1950° / 45°0.2
50 °
Lake Elmo, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 45°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind15.3 mph S
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Fri, 2045° / 39°0
45 °
Lake Elmo, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 39°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind12.1 mph NE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sat, 2139° / 30°0
39 °
Lake Elmo, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 39°, low 30°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind15.1 mph N
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Sun, 2228° / 21°0
28 °
Lake Elmo, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 28°, low 21°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind14.3 mph N
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point1°
Mon, 2324° / 17°0
24 °
Lake Elmo, Monday, 23 November
Partly cloudy. High 24°, low 17°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind12 mph N
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point0°
Tue, 2432° / 20°0
32 °
Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 24 November
Partly cloudy. High 32°, low 20°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind6.7 mph S
Humidity25%
Visibility—
Dew point-2°
Wed, 2536° / 26°0
36 °
Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 36°, low 26°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind4.5 mph SE
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point12°
Thu, 2637° / 28°0
37 °
Lake Elmo, Thursday, 26 November
Partly cloudy. High 37°, low 28°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind4.6 mph N
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point13°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2732° / 20°0.08
32 °
Lake Elmo, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high32°
Average low20°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high58° (1998)
Record low-7° (1996)
Sat, 2832° / 20°0.08
32 °
Lake Elmo, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high32°
Average low20°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high54° (2006)
Record low-1° (1977)
Sun, 2933° / 21°0.07
33 °
Lake Elmo, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high59° (1998)
Record low-11° (1985)
Mon, 3032° / 21°0.06
32 °
Lake Elmo, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high32°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high56° (1998)
Record low-12° (1964)
Tue, 0131° / 19°0.06
31 °
Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high60° (1998)
Record low-4° (2014)
Wed, 0230° / 18°0.04
30 °
Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low18°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high58° (1982)
Record low-7° (1991)
Thu, 0330° / 18°0.04
30 °
Lake Elmo, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low18°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high58° (1962)
Record low-16° (1985)
Fri, 0430° / 17°0.05
30 °
Lake Elmo, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low17°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high58° (2017)
Record low-12° (1991)
Sat, 0530° / 16°0.05
30 °
Lake Elmo, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low16°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high58° (2001)
Record low-5° (2000)
Sun, 0628° / 14°0.02
28 °
Lake Elmo, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high28°
Average low14°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high44° (2023)
Record low-19° (1972)
Mon, 0727° / 14°0.02
27 °
Lake Elmo, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high27°
Average low14°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high48° (2023)
Record low-23° (1972)
Tue, 0828° / 15°0.04
28 °
Lake Elmo, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high28°
Average low15°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high46° (2023)
Record low-9° (2007)
Wed, 0928° / 15°0.06
28 °
Lake Elmo, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high28°
Average low15°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high46° (2020)
Record low-11° (1995)
Thu, 1027° / 13°0.02
27 °
Lake Elmo, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high27°
Average low13°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high48° (1979)
Record low-19° (1977)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Elmo, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Elmo, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.