Monthly outlook for Nelson, MN: average high 56.1°, average low 40.9°. That is 1.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 10 October (79.2°), the coolest 17 October (26.9°).
56.1°/40.9°
Average high / low
+1.1°
Above normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
7 October – 16 October
59.1°
55.5°
+2°
17 October – 26 October
51.2°
51.1°
+0°
27 October – 5 November
at normal
45.8°
—
October records over 66 years
85.3°1 October 2023All-time high
13.3°23 October 2002All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Miltona (11 mi).
Thu, 0865° / 43°0
65 °
Nelson, Thursday, 8 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 43°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6.6 mph W
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Fri, 0970° / 48°0
70 °
Nelson, Friday, 9 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 48°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind11.1 mph SE
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Sat, 1079° / 64°0
79 °
Nelson, Saturday, 10 October
Clear. High 79°, low 64°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind19.3 mph S
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Sun, 1174° / 51°0.01
74 °
Nelson, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 74°, low 51°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind16.1 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Mon, 1249° / 40°0.35
49 °
Nelson, Monday, 12 October
Snow. High 49°, low 40°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind14.5 mph N
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Tue, 1345° / 38°0.02
45 °
Nelson, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 45°, low 38°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind11.1 mph SE
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Wed, 1450° / 39°0.07
50 °
Nelson, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 50°, low 39°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind18.6 mph SE
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Thu, 1548° / 39°0.33
48 °
Nelson, Thursday, 15 October
Rain. High 48°, low 39°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind18.7 mph W
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 1639° / 35°0
39 °
Nelson, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 39°, low 35°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind20.1 mph NW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Sat, 1745° / 27°0
45 °
Nelson, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 45°, low 27°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind13.3 mph NW
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
Sun, 1851° / 33°0
51 °
Nelson, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 51°, low 33°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind13 mph W
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Mon, 1952° / 36°0
52 °
Nelson, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 52°, low 36°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind13.2 mph NE
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Tue, 2053° / 34°0
53 °
Nelson, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 53°, low 34°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind9.2 mph NE
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Wed, 2152° / 41°0
52 °
Nelson, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 52°, low 41°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind10.1 mph NW
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Thu, 2254° / 37°0
54 °
Nelson, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 37°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind12.2 mph W
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2350° / 37°0.07
50 °
Nelson, Friday, 23 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high75° (1963)
Record low13° (2002)
Sat, 2450° / 37°0.04
50 °
Nelson, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high71° (1989)
Record low18° (2020)
Sun, 2550° / 37°0.05
50 °
Nelson, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high75° (1989)
Record low19° (2020)
Mon, 2650° / 36°0.07
50 °
Nelson, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high75° (1989)
Record low13° (2020)
Tue, 2749° / 36°0.09
49 °
Nelson, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high69° (1983)
Record low13° (2020)
Wed, 2848° / 35°0.06
48 °
Nelson, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high70° (2024)
Record low22° (1967)
Thu, 2947° / 35°0.07
47 °
Nelson, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high62° (2005)
Record low19° (2020)
Fri, 3047° / 35°0.09
47 °
Nelson, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high63° (2007)
Record low18° (1996)
Sat, 3146° / 34°0.09
46 °
Nelson, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high65° (1999)
Record low17° (1996)
Sun, 0145° / 33°0.08
45 °
Nelson, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high67° (1990)
Record low13° (1984)
Mon, 0245° / 32°0.06
45 °
Nelson, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high70° (2022)
Record low11° (1991)
Tue, 0344° / 32°0.03
44 °
Nelson, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high67° (2008)
Record low8° (1991)
Wed, 0443° / 31°0.03
43 °
Nelson, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high64° (2020)
Record low-1° (1991)
Thu, 0544° / 31°0.03
44 °
Nelson, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high66° (2016)
Record low8° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Nelson, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Nelson, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.