Monthly outlook for Elbow Lake, MN: average high 55.3°, average low 43°. That is 3.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 October (64°), the coolest 4 November (35.4°).
55.3°/43°
Average high / low
+3.8°
Above normal
7 / 3
Wet days / normal
1.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
24 October – 2 November
55°
50.2°
+2.7°
3 November – 12 November
55.6°
43.3°
+6.8°
13 November – 22 November
at normal
38°
—
October records over 66 years
88.7°1 October 2023All-time high
4.5°26 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Herman (15 mi).
Sun, 2551° / 41°0.01
51 °
Elbow Lake, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 51°, low 41°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind3.4 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Mon, 2647° / 41°0.39
47 °
Elbow Lake, Monday, 26 October
Rain. High 47°, low 41°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind10 mph E
Humidity79%
Visibility2.5 mi
Dew point37°
Tue, 2756° / 43°0.2
56 °
Elbow Lake, Tuesday, 27 October
Rain. High 56°, low 43°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind15 mph S
Humidity75%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Wed, 2853° / 40°0
53 °
Elbow Lake, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 53°, low 40°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind6.1 mph SW
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Thu, 2958° / 39°0
58 °
Elbow Lake, Thursday, 29 October
Mostly clear. High 58°, low 39°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind7.3 mph E
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 3054° / 40°0.04
54 °
Elbow Lake, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 40°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind16.8 mph SE
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sat, 3157° / 49°0.66
57 °
Elbow Lake, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 57°, low 49°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind19.7 mph SE
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sun, 0156° / 50°0.26
56 °
Elbow Lake, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 50°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind20.5 mph N
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Mon, 0253° / 41°0
53 °
Elbow Lake, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 53°, low 41°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind20.6 mph N
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Tue, 0349° / 37°0
49 °
Elbow Lake, Tuesday, 3 November
Partly cloudy. High 49°, low 37°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind6.6 mph NW
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Wed, 0450° / 35°0
50 °
Elbow Lake, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 35°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind17.3 mph SE
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Thu, 0558° / 45°0
58 °
Elbow Lake, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 45°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind17.5 mph SE
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Fri, 0662° / 47°0
62 °
Elbow Lake, Friday, 6 November
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 47°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind15.6 mph SE
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sat, 0758° / 48°0.09
58 °
Elbow Lake, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 48°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind15.8 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sun, 0857° / 44°0
57 °
Elbow Lake, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 57°, low 44°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind12.4 mph W
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 0942° / 29°0.09
42 °
Elbow Lake, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high63° (2010)
Record low12° (2017)
Tue, 1039° / 28°0.09
39 °
Elbow Lake, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high61° (2015)
Record low5° (1979)
Wed, 1139° / 26°0.03
39 °
Elbow Lake, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high62° (2005)
Record low4° (1995)
Thu, 1238° / 25°0.05
38 °
Elbow Lake, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high61° (2001)
Record low-2° (1966)
Fri, 1341° / 27°0.04
41 °
Elbow Lake, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high67° (1999)
Record low-1° (1986)
Sat, 1440° / 28°0.02
40 °
Elbow Lake, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high66° (2025)
Record low2° (2014)
Sun, 1540° / 26°0.03
40 °
Elbow Lake, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high61° (2015)
Record low6° (2014)
Mon, 1640° / 26°0.05
40 °
Elbow Lake, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high64° (2001)
Record low0° (1997)
Tue, 1738° / 26°0.04
38 °
Elbow Lake, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high66° (2001)
Record low2° (1997)
Wed, 1838° / 25°0.07
38 °
Elbow Lake, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high58° (1979)
Record low1° (2014)
Thu, 1938° / 24°0.08
38 °
Elbow Lake, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high55° (1989)
Record low5° (1996)
Fri, 2035° / 22°0.05
35 °
Elbow Lake, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high58° (1962)
Record low1° (1978)
Sat, 2135° / 21°0.02
35 °
Elbow Lake, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high59° (1990)
Record low-4° (1985)
Sun, 2235° / 22°0.03
35 °
Elbow Lake, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high57° (2006)
Record low-3° (1996)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elbow Lake, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elbow Lake, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.