Monthly outlook for Elbow Lake, MN: average high 50.1°, average low 41.1°. That is 3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 3.3 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 1 November (64.9°), the coolest 13 November (35°).
50.1°/41.1°
Average high / low
+3°
Above normal
7 / 3
Wet days / normal
3.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
29 October – 7 November
54.3°
47.2°
+3.9°
8 November – 17 November
43.2°
40.2°
+1.7°
18 November – 27 November
at normal
34.3°
—
October records over 66 years
88.7°1 October 2023All-time high
4.5°26 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Herman (15 mi).
Fri, 3053° / 40°0
53 °
Elbow Lake, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 53°, low 40°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind8.5 mph SE
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Sat, 3155° / 46°0.22
55 °
Elbow Lake, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 55°, low 46°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind8.5 mph E
Humidity90%
Visibility5.8 mi
Dew point47°
Sun, 0165° / 51°0
65 °
Elbow Lake, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 51°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind12.1 mph SE
Humidity76%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Mon, 0260° / 56°1.96
60 °
Elbow Lake, Monday, 2 November
Heavy rain. High 60°, low 56°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind16.1 mph SE
Humidity94%
Visibility1.9 mi
Dew point55°
Tue, 0359° / 43°0.42
59 °
Elbow Lake, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 59°, low 43°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind18.1 mph NW
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Wed, 0451° / 42°0.11
51 °
Elbow Lake, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 42°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind15.8 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Thu, 0552° / 40°0
52 °
Elbow Lake, Thursday, 5 November
Mostly clear. High 52°, low 40°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind7.4 mph NE
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Fri, 0649° / 41°0.03
49 °
Elbow Lake, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 41°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind6.5 mph NE
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 0750° / 38°0
50 °
Elbow Lake, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 50°, low 38°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind6.1 mph E
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sun, 0846° / 39°0.05
46 °
Elbow Lake, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 39°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind10.8 mph SE
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Mon, 0941° / 39°0.07
41 °
Elbow Lake, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 41°, low 39°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind6.7 mph E
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Tue, 1046° / 35°0
46 °
Elbow Lake, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 46°, low 35°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.7 mph SE
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Wed, 1143° / 37°0.02
43 °
Elbow Lake, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 37°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind14.9 mph SE
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Thu, 1243° / 39°0.41
43 °
Elbow Lake, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 39°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind12.8 mph W
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Fri, 1340° / 35°0
40 °
Elbow Lake, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 40°, low 35°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind13.4 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 1440° / 28°0.02
40 °
Elbow Lake, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high66° (2025)
Record low2° (2014)
Sun, 1540° / 26°0.03
40 °
Elbow Lake, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high61° (2015)
Record low6° (2014)
Mon, 1640° / 26°0.05
40 °
Elbow Lake, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high64° (2001)
Record low0° (1997)
Tue, 1738° / 26°0.04
38 °
Elbow Lake, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high66° (2001)
Record low2° (1997)
Wed, 1838° / 25°0.07
38 °
Elbow Lake, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high58° (1979)
Record low1° (2014)
Thu, 1938° / 24°0.08
38 °
Elbow Lake, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high55° (1989)
Record low5° (1996)
Fri, 2035° / 22°0.05
35 °
Elbow Lake, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high58° (1962)
Record low1° (1978)
Sat, 2135° / 21°0.02
35 °
Elbow Lake, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high59° (1990)
Record low-4° (1985)
Sun, 2235° / 22°0.03
35 °
Elbow Lake, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high57° (2006)
Record low-3° (1996)
Mon, 2334° / 22°0.03
34 °
Elbow Lake, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high56° (2025)
Record low-2° (1970)
Tue, 2435° / 20°0.03
35 °
Elbow Lake, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low20°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high56° (2011)
Record low-14° (1985)
Wed, 2533° / 21°0.05
33 °
Elbow Lake, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high52° (1960)
Record low-10° (1977)
Thu, 2631° / 19°0.04
31 °
Elbow Lake, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high53° (1998)
Record low-15° (1996)
Fri, 2730° / 17°0.06
30 °
Elbow Lake, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low17°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high56° (2017)
Record low-13° (1985)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elbow Lake, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elbow Lake, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.