Monthly outlook for Elbow Lake, MN: average high 56.9°, average low 41.9°. That is 3.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 October (71.5°), the coolest 29 October (28.4°).
56.9°/41.9°
Average high / low
+3.8°
Above normal
5 / 3
Wet days / normal
0.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
21 October – 30 October
56.1°
52°
+2.3°
31 October – 9 November
58.1°
46°
+6.7°
10 November – 19 November
at normal
39.1°
—
October records over 66 years
88.7°1 October 2023All-time high
4.5°26 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Herman (15 mi).
Thu, 2271° / 46°0
71 °
Elbow Lake, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 71°, low 46°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind9 mph SE
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Fri, 2370° / 58°0.33
70 °
Elbow Lake, Friday, 23 October
Heavy rain. High 70°, low 58°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind16.4 mph SE
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Sat, 2462° / 50°0.03
62 °
Elbow Lake, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 50°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind13.2 mph NW
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Sun, 2548° / 43°0.06
48 °
Elbow Lake, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 48°, low 43°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind6.4 mph NE
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Mon, 2644° / 42°0.26
44 °
Elbow Lake, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 44°, low 42°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind14.6 mph NE
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Tue, 2744° / 37°0
44 °
Elbow Lake, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 44°, low 37°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind10 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Wed, 2848° / 36°0.11
48 °
Elbow Lake, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 48°, low 36°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind16.3 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Thu, 2947° / 28°0
47 °
Elbow Lake, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 47°, low 28°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind9.3 mph NW
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Fri, 3055° / 34°0
55 °
Elbow Lake, Friday, 30 October
Partly cloudy. High 55°, low 34°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind13.6 mph S
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sat, 3161° / 43°0
61 °
Elbow Lake, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 61°, low 43°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind11.8 mph NW
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Sun, 0163° / 44°0
63 °
Elbow Lake, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 44°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9.6 mph SE
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Mon, 0263° / 53°0.06
63 °
Elbow Lake, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 63°, low 53°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind11.6 mph NE
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Tue, 0355° / 41°0
55 °
Elbow Lake, Tuesday, 3 November
Clear. High 55°, low 41°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind12.4 mph NE
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Wed, 0450° / 32°0
50 °
Elbow Lake, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 50°, low 32°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind14.1 mph S
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Thu, 0557° / 37°0
57 °
Elbow Lake, Thursday, 5 November
Mostly clear. High 57°, low 37°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.3 mph S
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 0646° / 31°0.05
46 °
Elbow Lake, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high74° (2020)
Record low2° (1991)
Sat, 0746° / 30°0.03
46 °
Elbow Lake, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high70° (2020)
Record low0° (1991)
Sun, 0844° / 30°0.04
44 °
Elbow Lake, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high72° (1999)
Record low4° (1991)
Mon, 0942° / 29°0.09
42 °
Elbow Lake, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high63° (2010)
Record low12° (2017)
Tue, 1039° / 28°0.09
39 °
Elbow Lake, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high61° (2015)
Record low5° (1979)
Wed, 1139° / 26°0.03
39 °
Elbow Lake, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high62° (2005)
Record low4° (1995)
Thu, 1238° / 25°0.05
38 °
Elbow Lake, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high61° (2001)
Record low-2° (1966)
Fri, 1341° / 27°0.04
41 °
Elbow Lake, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high67° (1999)
Record low-1° (1986)
Sat, 1440° / 28°0.02
40 °
Elbow Lake, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high66° (2025)
Record low2° (2014)
Sun, 1540° / 26°0.03
40 °
Elbow Lake, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high61° (2015)
Record low6° (2014)
Mon, 1640° / 26°0.05
40 °
Elbow Lake, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high64° (2001)
Record low0° (1997)
Tue, 1738° / 26°0.04
38 °
Elbow Lake, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high66° (2001)
Record low2° (1997)
Wed, 1838° / 25°0.07
38 °
Elbow Lake, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high58° (1979)
Record low1° (2014)
Thu, 1938° / 24°0.08
38 °
Elbow Lake, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high55° (1989)
Record low5° (1996)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elbow Lake, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elbow Lake, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.