Monthly outlook for Elbow Lake, MN: average high 42.3°, average low 31.2°. That is 3.3° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 23 November (54.7°), the coolest 27 November (12.3°).
42.3°/31.2°
Average high / low
+3.3°
Above normal
6 / 3
Wet days / normal
1.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 November – 21 November
47.8°
38.4°
+5.3°
22 November – 1 December
33.1°
31.9°
+0.6°
2 December – 11 December
at normal
26.8°
—
November records over 66 years
73.9°6 November 2020All-time high
-16.8°30 November 1964All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Herman (15 mi).
Fri, 1337° / 25°0
37 °
Elbow Lake, Friday, 13 November
Mostly clear. High 37°, low 25°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind3.8 mph E
Humidity80%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point25°
Sat, 1442° / 24°0
42 °
Elbow Lake, Saturday, 14 November
Partly cloudy. High 42°, low 24°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind10.6 mph SE
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point25°
Sun, 1548° / 31°0
48 °
Elbow Lake, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 48°, low 31°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind11.6 mph S
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Mon, 1653° / 37°0
53 °
Elbow Lake, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 53°, low 37°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind14.2 mph S
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Tue, 1754° / 42°0
54 °
Elbow Lake, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 42°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind16 mph S
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Wed, 1854° / 49°0.05
54 °
Elbow Lake, Wednesday, 18 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 49°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind14.7 mph S
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Thu, 1952° / 44°0.15
52 °
Elbow Lake, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 44°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind17.7 mph SW
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Fri, 2050° / 40°0.01
50 °
Elbow Lake, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 40°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind11.3 mph SE
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sat, 2149° / 45°0.42
49 °
Elbow Lake, Saturday, 21 November
Rain. High 49°, low 45°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind16.5 mph NE
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sun, 2243° / 39°0.52
43 °
Elbow Lake, Sunday, 22 November
Rain. High 43°, low 39°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind16.9 mph NE
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Mon, 2355° / 34°0.49
55 °
Elbow Lake, Monday, 23 November
Snow. High 55°, low 34°.
Pressure29.35 inHg
Wind16.4 mph W
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Tue, 2430° / 21°0.14
30 °
Elbow Lake, Tuesday, 24 November
Light snow. High 30°, low 21°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind22 mph NW
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Wed, 2524° / 18°0.02
24 °
Elbow Lake, Wednesday, 25 November
Light snow. High 24°, low 18°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind18.6 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point14°
Thu, 2622° / 13°0.03
22 °
Elbow Lake, Thursday, 26 November
Light snow. High 22°, low 13°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind12.9 mph NW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point15°
Fri, 2725° / 12°0
25 °
Elbow Lake, Friday, 27 November
Partly cloudy. High 25°, low 12°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind9.6 mph W
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point11°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2830° / 17°0.07
30 °
Elbow Lake, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low17°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high50° (1962)
Record low-11° (1985)
Sun, 2932° / 18°0.03
32 °
Elbow Lake, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high32°
Average low18°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high55° (1998)
Record low-15° (1985)
Mon, 3030° / 18°0.03
30 °
Elbow Lake, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low18°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high53° (1995)
Record low-17° (1964)
Tue, 0130° / 17°0.05
30 °
Elbow Lake, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low17°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high58° (1998)
Record low-9° (2014)
Wed, 0229° / 15°0.02
29 °
Elbow Lake, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low15°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high56° (1982)
Record low-13° (1985)
Thu, 0328° / 15°0.02
28 °
Elbow Lake, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high28°
Average low15°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high57° (1962)
Record low-19° (1985)
Fri, 0429° / 15°0.04
29 °
Elbow Lake, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low15°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high44° (1982)
Record low-17° (1991)
Sat, 0528° / 14°0.02
28 °
Elbow Lake, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high28°
Average low14°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high47° (1979)
Record low-15° (2000)
Sun, 0626° / 11°0.02
26 °
Elbow Lake, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high49° (2023)
Record low-25° (1972)
Mon, 0726° / 13°0.02
26 °
Elbow Lake, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low13°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high49° (2023)
Record low-22° (1972)
Tue, 0826° / 13°0.03
26 °
Elbow Lake, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low13°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high49° (1990)
Record low-19° (2013)
Wed, 0926° / 12°0.03
26 °
Elbow Lake, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low12°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high50° (2015)
Record low-22° (1977)
Thu, 1025° / 10°0.01
25 °
Elbow Lake, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high25°
Average low10°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high48° (2015)
Record low-27° (1977)
Fri, 1125° / 10°0.02
25 °
Elbow Lake, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high25°
Average low10°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high47° (2011)
Record low-20° (2019)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elbow Lake, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elbow Lake, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.