Monthly outlook for Warsaw, ND: average high 55.1°, average low 38.5°. That is 4.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.5 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 23 October (72.4°), the coolest 30 October (29.4°).
55.1°/38.5°
Average high / low
+4.8°
Above normal
3 / 3
Wet days / normal
1.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
21 October – 30 October
54.5°
48.5°
+3.3°
31 October – 9 November
56°
41.5°
+8°
10 November – 19 November
at normal
35°
—
October records over 66 years
86.9°3 October 2025All-time high
6.3°30 October 1991All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Minto (5 mi).
Thu, 2268° / 33°0
68 °
Warsaw, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 68°, low 33°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8.3 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Fri, 2372° / 56°0.1
72 °
Warsaw, Friday, 23 October
Rain. High 72°, low 56°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind13.1 mph S
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Sat, 2463° / 45°0
63 °
Warsaw, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 45°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind15.2 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Sun, 2549° / 36°0
49 °
Warsaw, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 49°, low 36°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind8.5 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Mon, 2647° / 31°0
47 °
Warsaw, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 47°, low 31°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind7.1 mph N
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Tue, 2746° / 30°0
46 °
Warsaw, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 46°, low 30°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind6.8 mph S
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
Wed, 2842° / 36°0.03
42 °
Warsaw, Wednesday, 28 October
Snow. High 42°, low 36°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind11.8 mph NW
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Thu, 2947° / 31°0
47 °
Warsaw, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 47°, low 31°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12.3 mph NW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Fri, 3047° / 29°0
47 °
Warsaw, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 47°, low 29°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind13.2 mph S
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Sat, 3162° / 39°0
62 °
Warsaw, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 62°, low 39°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind21.9 mph SW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sun, 0155° / 39°0
55 °
Warsaw, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 39°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind6.5 mph SE
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Mon, 0261° / 44°0
61 °
Warsaw, Monday, 2 November
Partly cloudy. High 61°, low 44°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind14.5 mph S
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Tue, 0362° / 45°0
62 °
Warsaw, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 45°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind10 mph SE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Wed, 0451° / 46°0.52
51 °
Warsaw, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 51°, low 46°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind22.1 mph NE
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Thu, 0545° / 34°0.82
45 °
Warsaw, Thursday, 5 November
Snow. High 45°, low 34°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind20.4 mph N
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 0640° / 27°0.07
40 °
Warsaw, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high66° (2016)
Record low-1° (1991)
Sat, 0740° / 26°0.05
40 °
Warsaw, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high63° (1999)
Record low-6° (1971)
Sun, 0840° / 26°0.06
40 °
Warsaw, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low-11° (2003)
Mon, 0937° / 25°0.03
37 °
Warsaw, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high63° (2016)
Record low1° (2017)
Tue, 1035° / 23°0.06
35 °
Warsaw, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high57° (2016)
Record low-6° (2017)
Wed, 1135° / 22°0.03
35 °
Warsaw, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high60° (2005)
Record low-14° (1986)
Thu, 1235° / 22°0.04
35 °
Warsaw, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high58° (2016)
Record low-5° (1986)
Fri, 1336° / 22°0.05
36 °
Warsaw, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high61° (2016)
Record low-12° (1986)
Sat, 1437° / 22°0.02
37 °
Warsaw, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high62° (2025)
Record low-4° (1995)
Sun, 1536° / 23°0.04
36 °
Warsaw, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high54° (2015)
Record low2° (2002)
Mon, 1636° / 23°0.02
36 °
Warsaw, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high57° (2001)
Record low1° (1978)
Tue, 1734° / 23°0.04
34 °
Warsaw, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high59° (2001)
Record low-2° (2005)
Wed, 1833° / 20°0.04
33 °
Warsaw, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low20°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high49° (1963)
Record low-12° (1986)
Thu, 1933° / 21°0.06
33 °
Warsaw, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high51° (1989)
Record low-12° (1978)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Warsaw, ND are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Warsaw, ND since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.