Monthly outlook for Warsaw, ND: average high 54.9°, average low 37.1°. That is 5.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.3 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 23 October (71.7°), the coolest 26 October (29.5°).
54.9°/37.1°
Average high / low
+5.1°
Above normal
2 / 3
Wet days / normal
0.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
22 October – 31 October
53.9°
47.9°
+3.3°
1 November – 10 November
56.5°
40.5°
+8.9°
11 November – 20 November
at normal
34.7°
—
October records over 66 years
86.9°3 October 2025All-time high
6.3°30 October 1991All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Minto (5 mi).
Fri, 2372° / 51°0.1
72 °
Warsaw, Friday, 23 October
Rain. High 72°, low 51°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind13.5 mph SE
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Sat, 2463° / 45°0
63 °
Warsaw, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 63°, low 45°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind14.6 mph W
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Sun, 2550° / 38°0
50 °
Warsaw, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 50°, low 38°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind7.7 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point24°
Mon, 2645° / 30°0
45 °
Warsaw, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 45°, low 30°.
Pressure30.68 inHg
Wind6.3 mph NE
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point26°
Tue, 2743° / 34°0.19
43 °
Warsaw, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 43°, low 34°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind7.9 mph NE
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Wed, 2854° / 37°0.01
54 °
Warsaw, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 37°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind15 mph NW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Thu, 2947° / 30°0
47 °
Warsaw, Thursday, 29 October
Partly cloudy. High 47°, low 30°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12.6 mph W
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
Fri, 3043° / 31°0
43 °
Warsaw, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 43°, low 31°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.2 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Sat, 3154° / 30°0
54 °
Warsaw, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 54°, low 30°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind14.9 mph SW
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
Sun, 0148° / 34°0
48 °
Warsaw, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 48°, low 34°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind6.5 mph NW
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Mon, 0253° / 33°0
53 °
Warsaw, Monday, 2 November
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 33°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8.8 mph SW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Tue, 0352° / 38°0
52 °
Warsaw, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 38°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind5 mph S
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Wed, 0460° / 37°0
60 °
Warsaw, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 60°, low 37°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind10.3 mph SW
Humidity25%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
Thu, 0564° / 43°0
64 °
Warsaw, Thursday, 5 November
Mostly clear. High 64°, low 43°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12.5 mph SW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Fri, 0662° / 46°0
62 °
Warsaw, Friday, 6 November
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 46°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind14.7 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 0740° / 26°0.05
40 °
Warsaw, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high63° (1999)
Record low-6° (1971)
Sun, 0840° / 26°0.06
40 °
Warsaw, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low-11° (2003)
Mon, 0937° / 25°0.03
37 °
Warsaw, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high63° (2016)
Record low1° (2017)
Tue, 1035° / 23°0.06
35 °
Warsaw, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high57° (2016)
Record low-6° (2017)
Wed, 1135° / 22°0.03
35 °
Warsaw, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high60° (2005)
Record low-14° (1986)
Thu, 1235° / 22°0.04
35 °
Warsaw, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high58° (2016)
Record low-5° (1986)
Fri, 1336° / 22°0.05
36 °
Warsaw, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high61° (2016)
Record low-12° (1986)
Sat, 1437° / 22°0.02
37 °
Warsaw, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high62° (2025)
Record low-4° (1995)
Sun, 1536° / 23°0.04
36 °
Warsaw, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high54° (2015)
Record low2° (2002)
Mon, 1636° / 23°0.02
36 °
Warsaw, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high57° (2001)
Record low1° (1978)
Tue, 1734° / 23°0.04
34 °
Warsaw, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high59° (2001)
Record low-2° (2005)
Wed, 1833° / 20°0.04
33 °
Warsaw, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low20°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high49° (1963)
Record low-12° (1986)
Thu, 1933° / 21°0.06
33 °
Warsaw, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high51° (1989)
Record low-12° (1978)
Fri, 2032° / 19°0.07
32 °
Warsaw, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high32°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high54° (2023)
Record low-13° (1978)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Warsaw, ND are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Warsaw, ND since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.