Monthly outlook for Erwin, NY: average high 61°, average low 42.1°. That is 1.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.1 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 17 October (79.5°), the coolest 22 October (28.4°).
61°/42.1°
Average high / low
+1.2°
Above normal
5 / 6
Wet days / normal
1.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
8 October – 17 October
65.5°
60.2°
+3°
18 October – 27 October
53.6°
56°
-1.3°
28 October – 6 November
at normal
53°
—
October records over 66 years
84.9°1 October 2019All-time high
23.9°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Savona (11 mi).
Fri, 0967° / 36°0
67 °
Erwin, Friday, 9 October
Clear. High 67°, low 36°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind10.3 mph W
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Sat, 1068° / 41°0
68 °
Erwin, Saturday, 10 October
Mostly clear. High 68°, low 41°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind6.5 mph S
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Sun, 1158° / 52°0.32
58 °
Erwin, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 58°, low 52°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind10 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Mon, 1265° / 54°0.28
65 °
Erwin, Monday, 12 October
Rain. High 65°, low 54°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind8.9 mph SE
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Tue, 1364° / 41°0.33
64 °
Erwin, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 64°, low 41°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind20 mph NW
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Wed, 1450° / 35°0
50 °
Erwin, Wednesday, 14 October
Mostly clear. High 50°, low 35°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind16.2 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Thu, 1560° / 33°0
60 °
Erwin, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 33°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.3 mph S
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Fri, 1677° / 50°0
77 °
Erwin, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 77°, low 50°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind15 mph SW
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Sat, 1780° / 60°0
80 °
Erwin, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 80°, low 60°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8.1 mph SW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Sun, 1863° / 50°0.06
63 °
Erwin, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 50°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.8 mph N
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Mon, 1953° / 39°0.04
53 °
Erwin, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 53°, low 39°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind9.9 mph N
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Tue, 2058° / 36°0
58 °
Erwin, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 58°, low 36°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind5 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Wed, 2145° / 32°0.03
45 °
Erwin, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 45°, low 32°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind13.3 mph NW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Thu, 2255° / 28°0
55 °
Erwin, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 55°, low 28°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind11.4 mph S
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Fri, 2349° / 44°0.01
49 °
Erwin, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 44°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind15.7 mph S
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2456° / 42°0.09
56 °
Erwin, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high76° (1963)
Record low26° (1969)
Sun, 2556° / 42°0.13
56 °
Erwin, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high77° (1963)
Record low28° (1962)
Mon, 2655° / 41°0.1
55 °
Erwin, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high78° (1963)
Record low29° (2018)
Tue, 2755° / 41°0.11
55 °
Erwin, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high76° (2023)
Record low27° (1976)
Wed, 2854° / 39°0.1
54 °
Erwin, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high74° (1984)
Record low26° (1976)
Thu, 2952° / 38°0.14
52 °
Erwin, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high70° (1989)
Record low26° (1965)
Fri, 3053° / 38°0.1
53 °
Erwin, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high75° (2024)
Record low29° (1983)
Sat, 3154° / 39°0.1
54 °
Erwin, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low26° (1988)
Sun, 0154° / 40°0.09
54 °
Erwin, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high71° (2024)
Record low29° (2023)
Mon, 0254° / 40°0.13
54 °
Erwin, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high73° (1982)
Record low24° (1993)
Tue, 0354° / 39°0.06
54 °
Erwin, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high70° (1982)
Record low28° (2024)
Wed, 0452° / 38°0.11
52 °
Erwin, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high72° (2015)
Record low25° (1991)
Thu, 0551° / 38°0.09
51 °
Erwin, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high72° (2022)
Record low21° (1991)
Fri, 0651° / 38°0.08
51 °
Erwin, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high74° (2022)
Record low27° (1962)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Erwin, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Erwin, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.