Weather in Natural Dam, NY
Natural Dam, Thursday, 5 November, 13:53
Partly cloudy. Feels like 65°. High 65°, low 56°.
Monthly outlook for Natural Dam, NY: average high 49.9°, average low 38.6°. That is 2.8° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 8 days (about 1.1 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 5 November (65.5°), the coolest 12 November (26.3°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 November – 14 November | 49.2° | 46.2° | +1.6° |
| 15 November – 24 November | 51.1° | 41.9° | +5.1° |
| 25 November – 4 December | at normal | 39.1° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Pope Mills (11 mi).
0.02
Natural Dam, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 65°, low 54°.
0.43Natural Dam, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 54°, low 43°.
0.14Natural Dam, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 42°.
0.12Natural Dam, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 42°.
0.07Natural Dam, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 42°.
0.09
Natural Dam, Wednesday, 11 November
Snow. High 48°, low 31°.
0.02Natural Dam, Thursday, 12 November
Light snow. High 37°, low 26°.
0.07Natural Dam, Friday, 13 November
Light snow. High 36°, low 31°.
0.02Natural Dam, Saturday, 14 November
Light snow. High 38°, low 29°.
0
Natural Dam, Sunday, 15 November
Mostly clear. High 44°, low 26°.
0
Natural Dam, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 53°, low 37°.
0.01Natural Dam, Tuesday, 17 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 38°.
0
Natural Dam, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 42°.
0Natural Dam, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 41°.
0.06Natural Dam, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 38°.
0.14
Natural Dam, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Natural Dam, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Natural Dam, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Natural Dam, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Natural Dam, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Natural Dam, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Natural Dam, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Natural Dam, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Natural Dam, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Natural Dam, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Natural Dam, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Natural Dam, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Natural Dam, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Natural Dam, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Natural Dam, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Natural Dam, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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