Weather in Natural Dam, NY
Natural Dam, Friday, 6 November, 01:47
Overcast. Feels like 55°. High 64°, low 53°.
Monthly outlook for Natural Dam, NY: average high 47.1°, average low 36.2°. That is 1.5° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.1 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 6 November (63.8°), the coolest 14 November (26.3°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 November – 15 November | 46.2° | 45.6° | +0.3° |
| 16 November – 25 November | 48.5° | 41.7° | +3.8° |
| 26 November – 5 December | at normal | 38.6° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Pope Mills (11 mi).
0.71
Natural Dam, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 52°, low 43°.
0.06Natural Dam, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 43°.
0.14Natural Dam, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 41°.
0Natural Dam, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 41°.
0.04Natural Dam, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 36°.
0.01
Natural Dam, Thursday, 12 November
Light snow. High 37°, low 28°.
0Natural Dam, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 37°, low 27°.
0.03Natural Dam, Saturday, 14 November
Light snow. High 35°, low 26°.
0Natural Dam, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 39°, low 30°.
0Natural Dam, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 28°.
0Natural Dam, Tuesday, 17 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 35°.
0Natural Dam, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 31°.
0.06Natural Dam, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 45°.
0Natural Dam, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 34°.
0Natural Dam, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 36°.
0.09
Natural Dam, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Natural Dam, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Natural Dam, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Natural Dam, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Natural Dam, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Natural Dam, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Natural Dam, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Natural Dam, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Natural Dam, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Natural Dam, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Natural Dam, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Natural Dam, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Natural Dam, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Natural Dam, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Natural Dam, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Natural Dam, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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