Monthly outlook for Natural Dam, NY: average high 50.3°, average low 39°. That is 2.5° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 1.2 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (72.2°), the coolest 16 November (26.2°).
50.3°/39°
Average high / low
+2.5°
Above normal
7 / 7
Wet days / normal
1.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
3 November – 12 November
54.7°
47.6°
+4°
13 November – 22 November
43°
42.4°
+0.3°
23 November – 2 December
at normal
39.9°
—
November records over 66 years
73.9°5 November 2022All-time high
7.7°22 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Pope Mills (11 mi).
Wed, 0472° / 56°0
72 °
Natural Dam, Wednesday, 4 November
Mostly clear. High 72°, low 56°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind7.2 mph SW
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Thu, 0565° / 53°0.27
65 °
Natural Dam, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 65°, low 53°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind13.6 mph SW
Humidity88%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point60°
Fri, 0662° / 49°0.04
62 °
Natural Dam, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 49°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind0.8 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Sat, 0751° / 48°0.38
51 °
Natural Dam, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 51°, low 48°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind8.1 mph SW
Humidity97%
Visibility4.5 mi
Dew point48°
Sun, 0849° / 42°0.15
49 °
Natural Dam, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 42°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind12.4 mph W
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Mon, 0947° / 41°0
47 °
Natural Dam, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 41°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind10 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Tue, 1055° / 44°0.01
55 °
Natural Dam, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 44°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind14 mph SW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Wed, 1142° / 29°0.02
42 °
Natural Dam, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 42°, low 29°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind8.6 mph NW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Thu, 1241° / 27°0
41 °
Natural Dam, Thursday, 12 November
Partly cloudy. High 41°, low 27°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9.1 mph SW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point16°
Fri, 1345° / 31°0.13
45 °
Natural Dam, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 31°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind11.4 mph SW
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sat, 1435° / 29°0.15
35 °
Natural Dam, Saturday, 14 November
Snow. High 35°, low 29°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind9.4 mph N
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sun, 1536° / 27°0
36 °
Natural Dam, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 36°, low 27°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind14.2 mph N
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Mon, 1641° / 26°0
41 °
Natural Dam, Monday, 16 November
Partly cloudy. High 41°, low 26°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind6.6 mph W
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Tue, 1749° / 31°0
49 °
Natural Dam, Tuesday, 17 November
Mostly clear. High 49°, low 31°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind10 mph SW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Wed, 1852° / 36°0
52 °
Natural Dam, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 36°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind13.9 mph SW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 1943° / 32°0.08
43 °
Natural Dam, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high66° (2016)
Record low20° (1986)
Fri, 2042° / 31°0.11
42 °
Natural Dam, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high65° (1991)
Record low19° (1986)
Sat, 2141° / 31°0.14
41 °
Natural Dam, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high55° (2003)
Record low10° (2018)
Sun, 2240° / 30°0.09
40 °
Natural Dam, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high62° (1999)
Record low8° (2018)
Mon, 2341° / 30°0.09
41 °
Natural Dam, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high64° (1979)
Record low11° (2018)
Tue, 2441° / 30°0.09
41 °
Natural Dam, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high64° (2014)
Record low11° (2000)
Wed, 2541° / 30°0.09
41 °
Natural Dam, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low13° (1993)
Thu, 2641° / 31°0.19
41 °
Natural Dam, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low16° (1978)
Fri, 2740° / 30°0.14
40 °
Natural Dam, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high61° (1988)
Record low14° (1978)
Sat, 2840° / 31°0.17
40 °
Natural Dam, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low18° (2002)
Sun, 2940° / 29°0.13
40 °
Natural Dam, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high63° (2005)
Record low11° (1989)
Mon, 3040° / 29°0.15
40 °
Natural Dam, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high61° (1991)
Record low11° (2013)
Tue, 0139° / 28°0.18
39 °
Natural Dam, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high60° (1998)
Record low11° (1989)
Wed, 0238° / 27°0.1
38 °
Natural Dam, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high56° (1982)
Record low5° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Natural Dam, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Natural Dam, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.