Monthly outlook for Natural Dam, NY: average high 53.3°, average low 44.6°. That is 3.5° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 10 days (about 5.7 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (71.4°), the coolest 16 November (31°).
53.3°/44.6°
Average high / low
+3.5°
Above normal
10 / 7
Wet days / normal
5.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
1 November – 10 November
58.4°
48.9°
+5.2°
11 November – 20 November
45°
43.3°
+0.9°
21 November – 30 November
at normal
40.4°
—
November records over 66 years
73.9°5 November 2022All-time high
7.7°22 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Pope Mills (11 mi).
Mon, 0263° / 48°0
63 °
Natural Dam, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 63°, low 48°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind10.4 mph SW
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Tue, 0355° / 51°0.26
55 °
Natural Dam, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 55°, low 51°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8.7 mph S
Humidity97%
Visibility2.0 mi
Dew point51°
Wed, 0471° / 56°0
71 °
Natural Dam, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 71°, low 56°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind5.9 mph SW
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Thu, 0563° / 57°0.51
63 °
Natural Dam, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 63°, low 57°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind12.2 mph S
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Fri, 0662° / 50°0.37
62 °
Natural Dam, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 62°, low 50°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind11.5 mph S
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sat, 0763° / 55°0.36
63 °
Natural Dam, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 63°, low 55°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind14.1 mph S
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sun, 0854° / 49°0.23
54 °
Natural Dam, Sunday, 8 November
Rain. High 54°, low 49°.
Pressure29.29 inHg
Wind5.7 mph SW
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Mon, 0949° / 45°1.39
49 °
Natural Dam, Monday, 9 November
Rain. High 49°, low 45°.
Pressure29.03 inHg
Wind15.9 mph SW
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Tue, 1044° / 42°0.33
44 °
Natural Dam, Tuesday, 10 November
Rain. High 44°, low 42°.
Pressure29.44 inHg
Wind9.8 mph NW
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Wed, 1144° / 41°0.23
44 °
Natural Dam, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 41°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind6.8 mph N
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Thu, 1245° / 39°0
45 °
Natural Dam, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 39°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind5.1 mph SW
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Fri, 1349° / 40°0
49 °
Natural Dam, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 40°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind8.5 mph S
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sat, 1445° / 42°1.47
45 °
Natural Dam, Saturday, 14 November
Heavy rain. High 45°, low 42°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind22.2 mph NE
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Sun, 1543° / 34°0.56
43 °
Natural Dam, Sunday, 15 November
Rain. High 43°, low 34°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind22.4 mph NE
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Mon, 1644° / 31°0
44 °
Natural Dam, Monday, 16 November
Partly cloudy. High 44°, low 31°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.1 mph SW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 1742° / 32°0.11
42 °
Natural Dam, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high63° (1987)
Record low19° (2019)
Wed, 1843° / 32°0.08
43 °
Natural Dam, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high60° (1994)
Record low21° (2018)
Thu, 1943° / 32°0.08
43 °
Natural Dam, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high66° (2016)
Record low20° (1986)
Fri, 2042° / 31°0.11
42 °
Natural Dam, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high65° (1991)
Record low19° (1986)
Sat, 2141° / 31°0.14
41 °
Natural Dam, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high55° (2003)
Record low10° (2018)
Sun, 2240° / 30°0.09
40 °
Natural Dam, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high62° (1999)
Record low8° (2018)
Mon, 2341° / 30°0.09
41 °
Natural Dam, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high64° (1979)
Record low11° (2018)
Tue, 2441° / 30°0.09
41 °
Natural Dam, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high64° (2014)
Record low11° (2000)
Wed, 2541° / 30°0.09
41 °
Natural Dam, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low13° (1993)
Thu, 2641° / 31°0.19
41 °
Natural Dam, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low16° (1978)
Fri, 2740° / 30°0.14
40 °
Natural Dam, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high61° (1988)
Record low14° (1978)
Sat, 2840° / 31°0.17
40 °
Natural Dam, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low18° (2002)
Sun, 2940° / 29°0.13
40 °
Natural Dam, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high63° (2005)
Record low11° (1989)
Mon, 3040° / 29°0.15
40 °
Natural Dam, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high61° (1991)
Record low11° (2013)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Natural Dam, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Natural Dam, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.