Monthly outlook for Mount Arab, NY: average high 53.6°, average low 40.4°. That is 1.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 8 days (about 4.1 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 October (64.9°), the coolest 19 October (28°).
53.6°/40.4°
Average high / low
+1.2°
Above normal
8 / 7
Wet days / normal
4.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 October – 21 October
52.2°
52.8°
-0.3°
22 October – 31 October
55.9°
48.6°
+4.1°
1 November – 10 November
at normal
45.2°
—
October records over 66 years
82°4 October 2023All-time high
16.9°28 October 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Tupper Lake (8 mi).
Tue, 1361° / 52°2.09
61 °
Mount Arab, Tuesday, 13 October
Heavy rain. High 61°, low 52°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind7.8 mph S
Humidity98%
Visibility0.9 mi
Dew point58°
Wed, 1460° / 47°0.19
60 °
Mount Arab, Wednesday, 14 October
Rain. High 60°, low 47°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind8.9 mph W
Humidity95%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Thu, 1551° / 41°0
51 °
Mount Arab, Thursday, 15 October
Partly cloudy. High 51°, low 41°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5 mph N
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Fri, 1649° / 36°0.49
49 °
Mount Arab, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 49°, low 36°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind4.8 mph S
Humidity98%
Visibility2.6 mi
Dew point47°
Sat, 1736° / 31°0.26
36 °
Mount Arab, Saturday, 17 October
Snow. High 36°, low 31°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind16.6 mph NW
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sun, 1845° / 29°0
45 °
Mount Arab, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 45°, low 29°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind10.1 mph SW
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Mon, 1951° / 28°0
51 °
Mount Arab, Monday, 19 October
Mostly clear. High 51°, low 28°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind11 mph S
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Tue, 2055° / 36°0
55 °
Mount Arab, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 36°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind4.4 mph S
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Wed, 2157° / 40°0
57 °
Mount Arab, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 57°, low 40°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6.7 mph NW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Thu, 2257° / 39°0
57 °
Mount Arab, Thursday, 22 October
Mostly clear. High 57°, low 39°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind3.6 mph S
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Fri, 2356° / 46°0.05
56 °
Mount Arab, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 46°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind12.1 mph SW
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sat, 2465° / 55°0.08
65 °
Mount Arab, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 55°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind13.8 mph SW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sun, 2556° / 47°0.89
56 °
Mount Arab, Sunday, 25 October
Rain. High 56°, low 47°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind11.8 mph W
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Mon, 2649° / 39°0.02
49 °
Mount Arab, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 39°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind5.3 mph W
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Tue, 2753° / 37°0
53 °
Mount Arab, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 53°, low 37°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind4.1 mph SE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 2848° / 36°0.15
48 °
Mount Arab, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high68° (1971)
Record low17° (1976)
Thu, 2946° / 34°0.11
46 °
Mount Arab, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high65° (1971)
Record low23° (1965)
Fri, 3046° / 34°0.09
46 °
Mount Arab, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high68° (2024)
Record low23° (1966)
Sat, 3148° / 34°0.11
48 °
Mount Arab, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high70° (2024)
Record low23° (1972)
Sun, 0148° / 35°0.18
48 °
Mount Arab, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high66° (2024)
Record low22° (1965)
Mon, 0247° / 35°0.18
47 °
Mount Arab, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high64° (1971)
Record low16° (1965)
Tue, 0347° / 34°0.12
47 °
Mount Arab, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high67° (1982)
Record low14° (2002)
Wed, 0445° / 34°0.13
45 °
Mount Arab, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high65° (2022)
Record low20° (1989)
Thu, 0545° / 34°0.15
45 °
Mount Arab, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high68° (2022)
Record low21° (1965)
Fri, 0645° / 34°0.15
45 °
Mount Arab, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high64° (2022)
Record low21° (1987)
Sat, 0744° / 32°0.09
44 °
Mount Arab, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high66° (1975)
Record low11° (2002)
Sun, 0842° / 31°0.14
42 °
Mount Arab, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high65° (2020)
Record low16° (1992)
Mon, 0943° / 31°0.11
43 °
Mount Arab, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high67° (2020)
Record low14° (1976)
Tue, 1044° / 31°0.13
44 °
Mount Arab, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high67° (2020)
Record low12° (2017)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Arab, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Arab, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.