Monthly outlook for Elmdale, NY: average high 52.6°, average low 39.2°. That is 1.8° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 October (63.1°), the coolest 18 October (26.3°).
52.6°/39.2°
Average high / low
−1.8°
Below normal
5 / 7
Wet days / normal
1.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 October – 20 October
52.4°
57°
-2.5°
21 October – 30 October
52.8°
52.7°
+0.1°
31 October – 9 November
at normal
49.4°
—
October records over 66 years
83.3°4 October 2023All-time high
25.7°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Pope Mills (9 mi).
Mon, 1262° / 45°0
62 °
Elmdale, Monday, 12 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 45°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind5.3 mph W
Humidity90%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Tue, 1355° / 47°0.54
55 °
Elmdale, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 55°, low 47°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind4.1 mph NE
Humidity99%
Visibility1.3 mi
Dew point52°
Wed, 1459° / 48°0.01
59 °
Elmdale, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 48°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind4.7 mph W
Humidity86%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Thu, 1554° / 44°0
54 °
Elmdale, Thursday, 15 October
Partly cloudy. High 54°, low 44°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind7.4 mph N
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Fri, 1647° / 43°0.74
47 °
Elmdale, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 47°, low 43°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind18.8 mph NW
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sat, 1742° / 31°0.35
42 °
Elmdale, Saturday, 17 October
Snow. High 42°, low 31°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind16.3 mph NW
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sun, 1840° / 26°0
40 °
Elmdale, Sunday, 18 October
Partly cloudy. High 40°, low 26°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind13.4 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Mon, 1950° / 30°0
50 °
Elmdale, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 50°, low 30°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind14.4 mph SW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Tue, 2053° / 38°0.01
53 °
Elmdale, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 53°, low 38°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind8.9 mph S
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Wed, 2153° / 38°0
53 °
Elmdale, Wednesday, 21 October
Mostly clear. High 53°, low 38°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind5.7 mph NE
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Thu, 2255° / 38°0
55 °
Elmdale, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 38°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind6 mph NE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Fri, 2360° / 39°0
60 °
Elmdale, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 60°, low 39°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.8 mph E
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sat, 2449° / 43°0.04
49 °
Elmdale, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 43°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind6.4 mph N
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sun, 2550° / 36°0
50 °
Elmdale, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 50°, low 36°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Mon, 2649° / 34°0.12
49 °
Elmdale, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 34°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind13.3 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2753° / 41°0.13
53 °
Elmdale, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high71° (2023)
Record low28° (1976)
Wed, 2851° / 40°0.13
51 °
Elmdale, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high71° (1984)
Record low28° (1976)
Thu, 2950° / 38°0.09
50 °
Elmdale, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high66° (1989)
Record low28° (1965)
Fri, 3050° / 38°0.09
50 °
Elmdale, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high69° (2024)
Record low29° (2002)
Sat, 3152° / 39°0.11
52 °
Elmdale, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high72° (2024)
Record low28° (1972)
Sun, 0152° / 40°0.14
52 °
Elmdale, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high65° (2024)
Record low27° (1965)
Mon, 0251° / 40°0.18
51 °
Elmdale, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high69° (1971)
Record low23° (1965)
Tue, 0351° / 39°0.11
51 °
Elmdale, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high70° (1961)
Record low25° (2002)
Wed, 0449° / 38°0.11
49 °
Elmdale, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high67° (2022)
Record low26° (1989)
Thu, 0549° / 38°0.12
49 °
Elmdale, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high74° (2022)
Record low25° (1986)
Fri, 0649° / 38°0.12
49 °
Elmdale, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high69° (2005)
Record low27° (1962)
Sat, 0748° / 37°0.09
48 °
Elmdale, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high69° (1975)
Record low21° (2002)
Sun, 0846° / 35°0.15
46 °
Elmdale, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high65° (1996)
Record low24° (2019)
Mon, 0947° / 36°0.1
47 °
Elmdale, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high65° (2020)
Record low21° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elmdale, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elmdale, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.