Monthly outlook for Mud Lock, NY: average high 61.6°, average low 44.7°. That is 2.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 2.1 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 23 October (74.7°), the coolest 28 October (32.7°).
61.6°/44.7°
Average high / low
+2.5°
Above normal
5 / 7
Wet days / normal
2.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 October – 22 October
62.8°
58°
+2.7°
23 October – 1 November
59.6°
54.6°
+2.8°
2 November – 11 November
at normal
50.9°
—
October records over 66 years
85.8°1 October 2019All-time high
27.7°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Aurelius (4 mi).
Wed, 1463° / 51°0.1
63 °
Mud Lock, Wednesday, 14 October
Rain. High 63°, low 51°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind8 mph NW
Humidity90%
Visibility4.4 mi
Dew point59°
Thu, 1557° / 51°0
57 °
Mud Lock, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 51°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind3.1 mph E
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Fri, 1669° / 47°1.59
69 °
Mud Lock, Friday, 16 October
Heavy rain. High 69°, low 47°.
Pressure29.44 inHg
Wind13.6 mph SW
Humidity93%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point66°
Sat, 1746° / 38°0.05
46 °
Mud Lock, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 46°, low 38°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind18.4 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point25°
Sun, 1860° / 40°0
60 °
Mud Lock, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 60°, low 40°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind10 mph SW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Mon, 1969° / 46°0
69 °
Mud Lock, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 46°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind16 mph SW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Tue, 2063° / 43°0
63 °
Mud Lock, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 43°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind7.3 mph N
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Wed, 2162° / 40°0
62 °
Mud Lock, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 62°, low 40°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind5.1 mph S
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Thu, 2265° / 43°0
65 °
Mud Lock, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 43°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind14.2 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Fri, 2375° / 56°0
75 °
Mud Lock, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 75°, low 56°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind14.6 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sat, 2474° / 55°0
74 °
Mud Lock, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 74°, low 55°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind19.2 mph W
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sun, 2559° / 42°0
59 °
Mud Lock, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 42°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind15.2 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Mon, 2653° / 38°0.19
53 °
Mud Lock, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 53°, low 38°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind9.7 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 2747° / 34°0
47 °
Mud Lock, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 47°, low 34°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind14.2 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Wed, 2850° / 33°0
50 °
Mud Lock, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 50°, low 33°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind9 mph S
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 2952° / 41°0.11
52 °
Mud Lock, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high69° (1989)
Record low29° (1965)
Fri, 3053° / 41°0.11
53 °
Mud Lock, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high75° (2024)
Record low32° (1990)
Sat, 3154° / 41°0.14
54 °
Mud Lock, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low30° (1988)
Sun, 0155° / 42°0.14
55 °
Mud Lock, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high71° (1974)
Record low32° (1965)
Mon, 0254° / 42°0.21
54 °
Mud Lock, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high73° (1982)
Record low27° (1965)
Tue, 0354° / 41°0.09
54 °
Mud Lock, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high70° (1982)
Record low31° (1996)
Wed, 0452° / 40°0.13
52 °
Mud Lock, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high71° (1994)
Record low29° (1989)
Thu, 0552° / 40°0.12
52 °
Mud Lock, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high73° (2024)
Record low27° (1991)
Fri, 0651° / 40°0.12
51 °
Mud Lock, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high75° (2022)
Record low30° (1967)
Sat, 0750° / 38°0.12
50 °
Mud Lock, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high69° (1975)
Record low26° (1962)
Sun, 0849° / 38°0.13
49 °
Mud Lock, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low24° (1976)
Mon, 0950° / 38°0.11
50 °
Mud Lock, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high70° (2020)
Record low23° (1976)
Tue, 1050° / 38°0.15
50 °
Mud Lock, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low21° (2017)
Wed, 1147° / 38°0.15
47 °
Mud Lock, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high66° (2020)
Record low20° (2017)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mud Lock, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mud Lock, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.