Monthly outlook for Mud Lock, NY: average high 58°, average low 41°. That is 0.1° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (78.4°), the coolest 19 October (27.5°).
58°/41°
Average high / low
−0.1°
Below normal
6 / 7
Wet days / normal
0.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
10 October – 19 October
60.7°
59.2°
+0.8°
20 October – 29 October
53.5°
55.5°
-1.1°
30 October – 8 November
at normal
52.4°
—
October records over 66 years
85.8°1 October 2019All-time high
27.7°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Aurelius (4 mi).
Sun, 1162° / 48°0.17
62 °
Mud Lock, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 48°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12.3 mph S
Humidity74%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Mon, 1268° / 47°0.02
68 °
Mud Lock, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 68°, low 47°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind5.1 mph W
Humidity79%
Visibility2.8 mi
Dew point56°
Tue, 1378° / 56°0.08
78 °
Mud Lock, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 78°, low 56°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind10.3 mph S
Humidity76%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point65°
Wed, 1468° / 58°0.13
68 °
Mud Lock, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 68°, low 58°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind7.7 mph NW
Humidity88%
Visibility5.8 mi
Dew point59°
Thu, 1556° / 45°0
56 °
Mud Lock, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 45°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind12.1 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 1664° / 44°0.2
64 °
Mud Lock, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 64°, low 44°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind20.1 mph SW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Sat, 1753° / 36°0.13
53 °
Mud Lock, Saturday, 17 October
Snow. High 53°, low 36°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind13.8 mph N
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sun, 1843° / 31°0.02
43 °
Mud Lock, Sunday, 18 October
Light snow. High 43°, low 31°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind14.1 mph N
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Mon, 1950° / 28°0
50 °
Mud Lock, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 50°, low 28°.
Pressure30.68 inHg
Wind6.4 mph S
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Tue, 2056° / 34°0
56 °
Mud Lock, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 34°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind7 mph S
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Wed, 2159° / 37°0
59 °
Mud Lock, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 37°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind12.5 mph S
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Thu, 2266° / 46°0
66 °
Mud Lock, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 66°, low 46°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind16 mph W
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Fri, 2352° / 40°0.13
52 °
Mud Lock, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 52°, low 40°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind9.8 mph NW
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Sat, 2442° / 35°0.02
42 °
Mud Lock, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 42°, low 35°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sun, 2545° / 30°0
45 °
Mud Lock, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 45°, low 30°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind7.4 mph W
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2655° / 44°0.14
55 °
Mud Lock, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high77° (1963)
Record low33° (1972)
Tue, 2755° / 43°0.14
55 °
Mud Lock, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high76° (2023)
Record low29° (1976)
Wed, 2854° / 42°0.13
54 °
Mud Lock, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high75° (1984)
Record low29° (1976)
Thu, 2952° / 41°0.11
52 °
Mud Lock, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high69° (1989)
Record low29° (1965)
Fri, 3053° / 41°0.11
53 °
Mud Lock, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high75° (2024)
Record low32° (1990)
Sat, 3154° / 41°0.14
54 °
Mud Lock, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low30° (1988)
Sun, 0155° / 42°0.14
55 °
Mud Lock, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high71° (1974)
Record low32° (1965)
Mon, 0254° / 42°0.21
54 °
Mud Lock, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high73° (1982)
Record low27° (1965)
Tue, 0354° / 41°0.09
54 °
Mud Lock, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high70° (1982)
Record low31° (1996)
Wed, 0452° / 40°0.13
52 °
Mud Lock, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high71° (1994)
Record low29° (1989)
Thu, 0552° / 40°0.12
52 °
Mud Lock, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high73° (2024)
Record low27° (1991)
Fri, 0651° / 40°0.12
51 °
Mud Lock, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high75° (2022)
Record low30° (1967)
Sat, 0750° / 38°0.12
50 °
Mud Lock, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high69° (1975)
Record low26° (1962)
Sun, 0849° / 38°0.13
49 °
Mud Lock, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low24° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mud Lock, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mud Lock, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.