Monthly outlook for Mud Lock, NY: average high 57.4°, average low 41.4°. That is 0.2° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.7 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (75.8°), the coolest 19 October (29°).
57.4°/41.4°
Average high / low
−0.2°
Below normal
5 / 7
Wet days / normal
1.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 October – 20 October
57.9°
58.7°
-0.5°
21 October – 30 October
56.6°
55.1°
+0.8°
31 October – 9 November
at normal
52.1°
—
October records over 66 years
85.8°1 October 2019All-time high
27.7°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Aurelius (4 mi).
Mon, 1267° / 45°0.01
67 °
Mud Lock, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 45°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind7.3 mph NW
Humidity77%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Tue, 1376° / 50°0.48
76 °
Mud Lock, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 76°, low 50°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind10 mph S
Humidity93%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point65°
Wed, 1464° / 57°0.02
64 °
Mud Lock, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 57°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind9.4 mph NW
Humidity87%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point59°
Thu, 1556° / 45°0
56 °
Mud Lock, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 45°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6.6 mph N
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Fri, 1655° / 45°0.61
55 °
Mud Lock, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 55°, low 45°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind17.4 mph NW
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sat, 1743° / 33°0.37
43 °
Mud Lock, Saturday, 17 October
Snow. High 43°, low 33°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind22.5 mph N
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sun, 1842° / 30°0
42 °
Mud Lock, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 42°, low 30°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind16 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Mon, 1955° / 29°0
55 °
Mud Lock, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 29°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind15.2 mph SW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Tue, 2059° / 38°0
59 °
Mud Lock, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 59°, low 38°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind11.6 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Wed, 2157° / 39°0
57 °
Mud Lock, Wednesday, 21 October
Partly cloudy. High 57°, low 39°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind5.7 mph NE
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Thu, 2260° / 41°0
60 °
Mud Lock, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 41°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind6.4 mph SE
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Fri, 2362° / 42°0
62 °
Mud Lock, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 62°, low 42°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind7.4 mph S
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Sat, 2459° / 43°0
59 °
Mud Lock, Saturday, 24 October
Partly cloudy. High 59°, low 43°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.3 mph N
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sun, 2551° / 38°0
51 °
Mud Lock, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 51°, low 38°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind10.2 mph N
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Mon, 2649° / 36°0.1
49 °
Mud Lock, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 36°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind19.1 mph S
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2755° / 43°0.14
55 °
Mud Lock, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high76° (2023)
Record low29° (1976)
Wed, 2854° / 42°0.13
54 °
Mud Lock, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high75° (1984)
Record low29° (1976)
Thu, 2952° / 41°0.11
52 °
Mud Lock, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high69° (1989)
Record low29° (1965)
Fri, 3053° / 41°0.11
53 °
Mud Lock, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high75° (2024)
Record low32° (1990)
Sat, 3154° / 41°0.14
54 °
Mud Lock, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low30° (1988)
Sun, 0155° / 42°0.14
55 °
Mud Lock, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high71° (1974)
Record low32° (1965)
Mon, 0254° / 42°0.21
54 °
Mud Lock, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high73° (1982)
Record low27° (1965)
Tue, 0354° / 41°0.09
54 °
Mud Lock, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high70° (1982)
Record low31° (1996)
Wed, 0452° / 40°0.13
52 °
Mud Lock, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high71° (1994)
Record low29° (1989)
Thu, 0552° / 40°0.12
52 °
Mud Lock, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high73° (2024)
Record low27° (1991)
Fri, 0651° / 40°0.12
51 °
Mud Lock, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high75° (2022)
Record low30° (1967)
Sat, 0750° / 38°0.12
50 °
Mud Lock, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high69° (1975)
Record low26° (1962)
Sun, 0849° / 38°0.13
49 °
Mud Lock, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low24° (1976)
Mon, 0950° / 38°0.11
50 °
Mud Lock, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high70° (2020)
Record low23° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mud Lock, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mud Lock, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.