Monthly outlook for Mud Lock, NY: average high 59.7°, average low 43°. That is 1.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 2.6 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (75.3°), the coolest 18 October (29.5°).
59.7°/43°
Average high / low
+1.3°
Above normal
7 / 7
Wet days / normal
2.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 October – 21 October
61.8°
58.5°
+1.9°
22 October – 31 October
56.2°
54.7°
+0.8°
1 November – 10 November
at normal
51.6°
—
October records over 66 years
85.8°1 October 2019All-time high
27.7°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Aurelius (4 mi).
Tue, 1375° / 53°0.41
75 °
Mud Lock, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 75°, low 53°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind8.6 mph S
Humidity89%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point65°
Wed, 1466° / 57°0.07
66 °
Mud Lock, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 57°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind12.4 mph NW
Humidity75%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Thu, 1556° / 45°0
56 °
Mud Lock, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 45°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind5.3 mph N
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Fri, 1659° / 47°0.63
59 °
Mud Lock, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 59°, low 47°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind23 mph NW
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sat, 1749° / 40°0.07
49 °
Mud Lock, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 40°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind19.3 mph NW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sun, 1855° / 30°0
55 °
Mud Lock, Sunday, 18 October
Partly cloudy. High 55°, low 30°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind11.9 mph SW
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Mon, 1966° / 39°0
66 °
Mud Lock, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 66°, low 39°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind11.9 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 2067° / 48°0
67 °
Mud Lock, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 48°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind9.8 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Wed, 2157° / 39°0
57 °
Mud Lock, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 57°, low 39°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind6.3 mph N
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Thu, 2264° / 39°0
64 °
Mud Lock, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 64°, low 39°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind13.8 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 2372° / 49°0.33
72 °
Mud Lock, Friday, 23 October
Rain. High 72°, low 49°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind18.3 mph SW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sat, 2448° / 35°0.05
48 °
Mud Lock, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 48°, low 35°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind16.5 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sun, 2553° / 32°0
53 °
Mud Lock, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 53°, low 32°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind9.9 mph S
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Mon, 2646° / 44°1
46 °
Mud Lock, Monday, 26 October
Heavy rain. High 46°, low 44°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind11.3 mph N
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Tue, 2754° / 40°0
54 °
Mud Lock, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 40°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind7.9 mph NW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 2854° / 42°0.13
54 °
Mud Lock, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high75° (1984)
Record low29° (1976)
Thu, 2952° / 41°0.11
52 °
Mud Lock, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high69° (1989)
Record low29° (1965)
Fri, 3053° / 41°0.11
53 °
Mud Lock, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high75° (2024)
Record low32° (1990)
Sat, 3154° / 41°0.14
54 °
Mud Lock, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low30° (1988)
Sun, 0155° / 42°0.14
55 °
Mud Lock, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high71° (1974)
Record low32° (1965)
Mon, 0254° / 42°0.21
54 °
Mud Lock, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high73° (1982)
Record low27° (1965)
Tue, 0354° / 41°0.09
54 °
Mud Lock, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high70° (1982)
Record low31° (1996)
Wed, 0452° / 40°0.13
52 °
Mud Lock, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high71° (1994)
Record low29° (1989)
Thu, 0552° / 40°0.12
52 °
Mud Lock, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high73° (2024)
Record low27° (1991)
Fri, 0651° / 40°0.12
51 °
Mud Lock, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high75° (2022)
Record low30° (1967)
Sat, 0750° / 38°0.12
50 °
Mud Lock, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high69° (1975)
Record low26° (1962)
Sun, 0849° / 38°0.13
49 °
Mud Lock, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low24° (1976)
Mon, 0950° / 38°0.11
50 °
Mud Lock, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high70° (2020)
Record low23° (1976)
Tue, 1050° / 38°0.15
50 °
Mud Lock, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low21° (2017)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mud Lock, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mud Lock, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.