Monthly outlook for Mud Lock, NY: average high 59.6°, average low 44.2°. That is 0.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 3.5 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 10 October (68.3°), the coolest 19 October (30.2°).
59.6°/44.2°
Average high / low
+0.6°
Above normal
5 / 7
Wet days / normal
3.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
9 October – 18 October
59.8°
59.7°
+0.1°
19 October – 28 October
59.1°
55.9°
+1.8°
29 October – 7 November
at normal
52.6°
—
October records over 66 years
85.8°1 October 2019All-time high
27.7°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Aurelius (4 mi).
Sat, 1068° / 44°0
68 °
Mud Lock, Saturday, 10 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 44°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind5.3 mph SE
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Sun, 1158° / 50°0.57
58 °
Mud Lock, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 58°, low 50°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.1 mph SE
Humidity92%
Visibility1.4 mi
Dew point52°
Mon, 1268° / 54°0.01
68 °
Mud Lock, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 68°, low 54°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind7.4 mph NW
Humidity83%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point57°
Tue, 1368° / 54°0.43
68 °
Mud Lock, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 68°, low 54°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind10.5 mph N
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point65°
Wed, 1456° / 46°0.02
56 °
Mud Lock, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 46°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind8.4 mph N
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Thu, 1556° / 39°0
56 °
Mud Lock, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 39°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6.8 mph SE
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Fri, 1663° / 49°0.5
63 °
Mud Lock, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 63°, low 49°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind26.5 mph S
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sat, 1752° / 42°0.02
52 °
Mud Lock, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 52°, low 42°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind19.9 mph W
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sun, 1846° / 33°0
46 °
Mud Lock, Sunday, 18 October
Partly cloudy. High 46°, low 33°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind11.7 mph NW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Mon, 1952° / 30°0
52 °
Mud Lock, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 52°, low 30°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind8.8 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Tue, 2059° / 36°0
59 °
Mud Lock, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 59°, low 36°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind9.2 mph S
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Wed, 2163° / 39°0
63 °
Mud Lock, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 63°, low 39°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind11.7 mph S
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Thu, 2264° / 48°0
64 °
Mud Lock, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 48°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind14 mph S
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Fri, 2364° / 53°0.09
64 °
Mud Lock, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 53°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind21.2 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sat, 2454° / 45°1.88
54 °
Mud Lock, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 54°, low 45°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind18.7 mph NW
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2556° / 44°0.14
56 °
Mud Lock, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high78° (1963)
Record low32° (1962)
Mon, 2655° / 44°0.14
55 °
Mud Lock, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high77° (1963)
Record low33° (1972)
Tue, 2755° / 43°0.14
55 °
Mud Lock, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high76° (2023)
Record low29° (1976)
Wed, 2854° / 42°0.13
54 °
Mud Lock, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high75° (1984)
Record low29° (1976)
Thu, 2952° / 41°0.11
52 °
Mud Lock, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high69° (1989)
Record low29° (1965)
Fri, 3053° / 41°0.11
53 °
Mud Lock, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high75° (2024)
Record low32° (1990)
Sat, 3154° / 41°0.14
54 °
Mud Lock, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low30° (1988)
Sun, 0155° / 42°0.14
55 °
Mud Lock, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high71° (1974)
Record low32° (1965)
Mon, 0254° / 42°0.21
54 °
Mud Lock, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high73° (1982)
Record low27° (1965)
Tue, 0354° / 41°0.09
54 °
Mud Lock, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high70° (1982)
Record low31° (1996)
Wed, 0452° / 40°0.13
52 °
Mud Lock, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high71° (1994)
Record low29° (1989)
Thu, 0552° / 40°0.12
52 °
Mud Lock, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high73° (2024)
Record low27° (1991)
Fri, 0651° / 40°0.12
51 °
Mud Lock, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high75° (2022)
Record low30° (1967)
Sat, 0750° / 38°0.12
50 °
Mud Lock, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high69° (1975)
Record low26° (1962)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mud Lock, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mud Lock, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.