Weather in Mount Carmel, NY
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 20 October, 19:59
Clear. Feels like 46°. High 63°, low 38°.
Monthly outlook for Mount Carmel, NY: average high 51.8°, average low 33.2°. That is 1.5° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 2.1 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 October (63°), the coolest 31 October (23.8°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 October – 29 October | 55.3° | 55.2° | +0° |
| 30 October – 8 November | 46° | 51.9° | -3.3° |
| 9 November – 18 November | at normal | 46.5° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Bainbridge (14 mi).
0
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 60°, low 31°.
0
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 22 October
Mostly clear. High 58°, low 28°.
0Mount Carmel, Friday, 23 October
Mostly clear. High 50°, low 31°.
0Mount Carmel, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 54°, low 27°.
0Mount Carmel, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 58°, low 30°.
0Mount Carmel, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 61°, low 35°.
0
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 41°.
0.05
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 44°, low 42°.
0.8Mount Carmel, Thursday, 29 October
Rain. High 47°, low 35°.
0.04
Mount Carmel, Friday, 30 October
Light snow. High 36°, low 28°.
0Mount Carmel, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 47°, low 24°.
0.02Mount Carmel, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 34°.
1.15Mount Carmel, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 58°, low 52°.
0.02Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November
Light snow. High 43°, low 32°.
0
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Partly cloudy. High 41°, low 25°.
0.11
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Mount Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Mount Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Mount Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Mount Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Mount Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Carmel, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Carmel, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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