Monthly outlook for Mount Carmel, NY: average high 53.1°, average low 36°. That is 1.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 3.7 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (67.4°), the coolest 8 November (29°).
53.1°/36°
Average high / low
+1.1°
Above normal
4 / 6
Wet days / normal
3.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
28 October – 6 November
57.3°
52.7°
+2.5°
7 November – 16 November
46.1°
47.3°
-0.7°
17 November – 26 November
at normal
43.7°
—
October records over 66 years
83.1°7 October 1963All-time high
24.4°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Bainbridge (14 mi).
Thu, 2967° / 42°0
67 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 67°, low 42°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8 mph SW
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Fri, 3055° / 40°0.03
55 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 55°, low 40°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind13.1 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Sat, 3149° / 37°0
49 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 31 October
Mostly clear. High 49°, low 37°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind5.9 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Sun, 0160° / 35°0
60 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 35°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind5.4 mph S
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Mon, 0261° / 35°0
61 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 61°, low 35°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.7 mph W
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 0358° / 44°0
58 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 44°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.9 mph SE
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Wed, 0446° / 35°0
46 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 35°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind11.9 mph SE
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Thu, 0556° / 41°0.67
56 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 56°, low 41°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind15.7 mph SE
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Fri, 0659° / 38°1.22
59 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Heavy rain. High 59°, low 38°.
Pressure29.41 inHg
Wind16.9 mph W
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sat, 0736° / 32°0.06
36 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Light snow. High 36°, low 32°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind12.4 mph NW
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sun, 0842° / 29°0
42 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Partly cloudy. High 42°, low 29°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind12.1 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Mon, 0948° / 29°0
48 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 48°, low 29°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.1 mph NW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Tue, 1051° / 30°0
51 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Mostly clear. High 51°, low 30°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind4.7 mph SE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Wed, 1153° / 33°0
53 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 53°, low 33°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.4 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Thu, 1246° / 41°1.74
46 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Heavy rain. High 46°, low 41°.
Pressure29.41 inHg
Wind18.3 mph NW
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 1346° / 32°0.1
46 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high62° (1964)
Record low16° (2019)
Sat, 1446° / 33°0.12
46 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high65° (1989)
Record low13° (1986)
Sun, 1546° / 33°0.13
46 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high66° (1993)
Record low17° (1967)
Mon, 1645° / 33°0.13
45 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high64° (1990)
Record low13° (1972)
Tue, 1745° / 31°0.12
45 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high62° (2006)
Record low5° (1972)
Wed, 1845° / 32°0.09
45 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high62° (2016)
Record low14° (1972)
Thu, 1945° / 31°0.09
45 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high64° (1985)
Record low12° (1972)
Fri, 2044° / 31°0.13
44 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high69° (1991)
Record low4° (1986)
Sat, 2143° / 30°0.11
43 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high59° (1991)
Record low13° (1987)
Sun, 2242° / 29°0.12
42 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high61° (2007)
Record low-3° (2018)
Mon, 2343° / 29°0.08
43 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low-12° (2018)
Tue, 2443° / 30°0.1
43 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high64° (2014)
Record low6° (1971)
Wed, 2543° / 30°0.15
43 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high60° (1979)
Record low1° (1995)
Thu, 2644° / 31°0.19
44 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high62° (1979)
Record low15° (2005)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Carmel, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Carmel, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.