Monthly outlook for Mount Carmel, NY: average high 56.1°, average low 36.3°. That is 1.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 26 October (64.4°), the coolest 24 October (27.8°).
56.1°/36.3°
Average high / low
+1.8°
Above normal
4 / 6
Wet days / normal
0.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
24 October – 2 November
58.9°
54°
+2.7°
3 November – 12 November
51.3°
49.8°
+0.9°
13 November – 22 November
at normal
44.7°
—
October records over 66 years
83.1°7 October 1963All-time high
24.4°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Bainbridge (14 mi).
Sun, 2561° / 30°0
61 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 61°, low 30°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind3.4 mph SW
Humidity40%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Mon, 2664° / 33°0
64 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 26 October
Mostly clear. High 64°, low 33°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5.1 mph W
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Tue, 2750° / 34°0
50 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 50°, low 34°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind4.7 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Wed, 2856° / 30°0
56 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 30°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind6.1 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Thu, 2963° / 42°0
63 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 63°, low 42°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind9.5 mph SW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Fri, 3057° / 43°0.02
57 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 43°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind6.6 mph NW
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sat, 3160° / 40°0
60 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 40°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind6.9 mph S
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sun, 0161° / 44°0.09
61 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 44°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind12.7 mph S
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Mon, 0259° / 50°0.33
59 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 50°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind17 mph NW
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Tue, 0354° / 35°0
54 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 35°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind13.5 mph NW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Wed, 0451° / 32°0.19
51 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 32°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind15.1 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Thu, 0556° / 41°0.25
56 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 41°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind13 mph S
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Fri, 0641° / 31°0.02
41 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 41°, low 31°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind13.6 mph NW
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sat, 0748° / 30°0.02
48 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 30°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind9.1 mph SW
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sun, 0858° / 40°0.03
58 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 40°.
Pressure29.44 inHg
Wind16.2 mph W
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 0949° / 35°0.13
49 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high70° (2020)
Record low19° (2019)
Tue, 1049° / 36°0.15
49 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high70° (2020)
Record low19° (2017)
Wed, 1148° / 36°0.14
48 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high66° (2006)
Record low16° (2017)
Thu, 1246° / 34°0.17
46 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high67° (1964)
Record low17° (2019)
Fri, 1346° / 32°0.1
46 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high62° (1964)
Record low16° (2019)
Sat, 1446° / 33°0.12
46 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high65° (1989)
Record low13° (1986)
Sun, 1546° / 33°0.13
46 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high66° (1993)
Record low17° (1967)
Mon, 1645° / 33°0.13
45 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high64° (1990)
Record low13° (1972)
Tue, 1745° / 31°0.12
45 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high62° (2006)
Record low5° (1972)
Wed, 1845° / 32°0.09
45 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high62° (2016)
Record low14° (1972)
Thu, 1945° / 31°0.09
45 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high64° (1985)
Record low12° (1972)
Fri, 2044° / 31°0.13
44 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high69° (1991)
Record low4° (1986)
Sat, 2143° / 30°0.11
43 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high59° (1991)
Record low13° (1987)
Sun, 2242° / 29°0.12
42 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high61° (2007)
Record low-3° (2018)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Carmel, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Carmel, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.