Monthly outlook for Mount Carmel, NY: average high 52°, average low 33.7°. That is 1.4° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 October (63°), the coolest 29 October (23°).
52°/33.7°
Average high / low
−1.4°
Below normal
5 / 6
Wet days / normal
1.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
20 October – 29 October
52.6°
55.2°
-1.4°
30 October – 8 November
50.9°
51.9°
-0.5°
9 November – 18 November
at normal
46.5°
—
October records over 66 years
83.1°7 October 1963All-time high
24.4°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Bainbridge (14 mi).
Wed, 2159° / 29°0
59 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 59°, low 29°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5.3 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Thu, 2254° / 34°0.01
54 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 34°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11.5 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Fri, 2346° / 31°0
46 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 23 October
Mostly clear. High 46°, low 31°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind9.2 mph N
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point27°
Sat, 2453° / 28°0
53 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 53°, low 28°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind5 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sun, 2558° / 30°0
58 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 25 October
Mostly clear. High 58°, low 30°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind4 mph S
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Mon, 2659° / 42°0
59 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 42°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind7.4 mph W
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Tue, 2755° / 44°0.17
55 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 55°, low 44°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.5 mph W
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Wed, 2840° / 28°0.11
40 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 28 October
Snow. High 40°, low 28°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind10.2 mph NW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Thu, 2940° / 23°0.06
40 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 29 October
Light snow. High 40°, low 23°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind13.5 mph W
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Fri, 3045° / 26°0.01
45 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 30 October
Light snow. High 45°, low 26°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9.9 mph W
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Sat, 3149° / 29°0
49 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 49°, low 29°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind9.3 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sun, 0153° / 33°0
53 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 1 November
Mostly clear. High 53°, low 33°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind10.2 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Mon, 0257° / 39°0
57 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 39°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4.4 mph SE
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 0352° / 46°0.88
52 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 52°, low 46°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind11.5 mph S
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Wed, 0448° / 40°0.08
48 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 40°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind13 mph NW
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 0551° / 38°0.11
51 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high70° (2022)
Record low24° (1991)
Fri, 0651° / 38°0.1
51 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high73° (2022)
Record low22° (1962)
Sat, 0749° / 36°0.09
49 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high69° (1975)
Record low7° (1962)
Sun, 0849° / 35°0.13
49 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low20° (2019)
Mon, 0949° / 35°0.13
49 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high70° (2020)
Record low19° (2019)
Tue, 1049° / 36°0.15
49 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high70° (2020)
Record low19° (2017)
Wed, 1148° / 36°0.14
48 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high66° (2006)
Record low16° (2017)
Thu, 1246° / 34°0.17
46 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high67° (1964)
Record low17° (2019)
Fri, 1346° / 32°0.1
46 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high62° (1964)
Record low16° (2019)
Sat, 1446° / 33°0.12
46 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high65° (1989)
Record low13° (1986)
Sun, 1546° / 33°0.13
46 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high66° (1993)
Record low17° (1967)
Mon, 1645° / 33°0.13
45 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high64° (1990)
Record low13° (1972)
Tue, 1745° / 31°0.12
45 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high62° (2006)
Record low5° (1972)
Wed, 1845° / 32°0.09
45 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high62° (2016)
Record low14° (1972)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Carmel, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Carmel, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.