Weather in Mount Carmel, NY
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 31 October, 11:25
Clear. Feels like 42°. High 52°, low 32°.
Monthly outlook for Mount Carmel, NY: average high 53.8°, average low 40.6°. That is 2.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 1.0 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (66°), the coolest 1 November (30.6°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 October – 9 November | 58.4° | 51.6° | +3.8° |
| 10 November – 19 November | 46.3° | 46.1° | +0.1° |
| 20 November – 29 November | at normal | 43° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Bainbridge (14 mi).
0
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 1 November
Mostly clear. High 60°, low 31°.
0
Mount Carmel, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 38°.
0Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 42°.
0Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 66°, low 47°.
0.36
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 64°, low 53°.
0.11Mount Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 53°.
0.07Mount Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 49°.
0Mount Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 45°.
0.06Mount Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 46°.
0Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 41°.
0Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 35°.
0.02Mount Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 36°.
0.11Mount Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 40°, low 36°.
0.15Mount Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 41°, low 31°.
0.15
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Snow. High 41°, low 34°.
0.13
Mount Carmel, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Mount Carmel, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Mount Carmel, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Mount Carmel, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Mount Carmel, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Mount Carmel, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Mount Carmel, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Mount Carmel, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Carmel, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Carmel, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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