Weather in Mount Carmel, NY
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 25 October, 12:04
Clear. Feels like 51°. High 57°, low 28°.
Monthly outlook for Mount Carmel, NY: average high 56.7°, average low 41.8°. That is 2.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 1.9 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 1 November (66.7°), the coolest 25 October (27.8°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 October – 3 November | 59.8° | 53.8° | +3.3° |
| 4 November – 13 November | 51.4° | 49° | +1.4° |
| 14 November – 23 November | at normal | 44.4° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Bainbridge (14 mi).
0Mount Carmel, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 64°, low 32°.
0
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 27 October
Mostly clear. High 50°, low 33°.
0Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 28 October
Mostly clear. High 57°, low 29°.
0Mount Carmel, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 64°, low 43°.
0.02
Mount Carmel, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 43°.
0
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 41°.
0.02Mount Carmel, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 67°, low 50°.
0.06Mount Carmel, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 50°.
0.03Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 54°.
0.81Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Heavy rain. High 60°, low 53°.
0.08Mount Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 46°.
0.14Mount Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 44°.
0.04Mount Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 41°.
0.06Mount Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 37°.
0.63Mount Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Rain. High 51°, low 44°.
0.15Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Mount Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Mount Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Mount Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Mount Carmel, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Mount Carmel, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Mount Carmel, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Carmel, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Carmel, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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